2012 United States Senate election in Arizona

none March 2026 December 2022 December 2017 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona Arizona presidential no 2006 United States Senate election in Arizona 2006 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona 2018 52.9% (voting eligible)http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html 2012 General Election Turnout Rates George Mason University Dr. Michael McDonald February 9, 2013 April 3, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130424003112/http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html April 24, 2013 dead mdy-all November 6, 2012 150x150px File:Jeff Flake, official portrait, 112th Congress 2 (cropped).jpg Jeff Flake Republican Party (United States) 1,104,457 49.23% File:Richard Carmona (cropped 2).jpg Richard Carmona Democratic Party (United States) 1,036,542 46.20% 220px County results 220px Congressional district results 220px Precinct results 1 Flake: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Carmona: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% #ae8bb1 50% #808080 No votes U.S. Senator Jon Kyl Republican Party (United States) Jeff Flake Republican Party (United States) The 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Jon Kyl, a Republican and the Senate minority whip, decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term.https://www.politico.com/story/2011/02/sen-kyl-announces-his-retirement-049238 Sen. Jon Kyl announces his retirement from Senate February 10, 2011 February 10, 2011 Politico David Catanese Jennifer Epstein U.S. Representative Jeff Flake won the open seat. As of 2026, this was the last time that a Republican won Arizona's Class 1 Senate seat. Republican primary The filing deadline for Republican candidates was June 1, 2012, and the primary election took place on August 28, 2012. Candidates Declared Wil Cardon, CEO of a real estate investment firmCatanese David Self funder to primary Jeff Flake https://www.politico.com/blogs/david-catanese/2011/08/self-funder-to-primary-jeff-flake-038141?showall August 8, 2011 Politico August 5, 2011 Scott WongTrygstad Kyle Flake Draws Wealthy GOP Primary Opponent http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_21/flake_draws_wealthy_gop_primary_opponent-208062-1.html August 8, 2011 Roll Call August 8, 2011 September 16, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110916132118/http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_21/flake_draws_wealthy_gop_primary_opponent-208062-1.html dead Jeff Flake, U.S. representative from the 6th districthttps://www.azcentral.com/community/ahwatukee/articles/2011/02/14/20110214jeff-flake-announces-for-kyl-senate-seat14-ON.html Jeff Flake announces he'll run for Kyl seat February 14, 2011 February 14, 2011 Associated Press Bryan Hackbarth, former mayor of Youngtownhttp://brian4senate.com Paid for by Bryan Hackbarth for United States Senate brian4senate.com April 12, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20120111001458/http://brian4senate.com/ January 11, 2012 dead Clair Van Steenwyk, conservative radio hosthttps://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/local/articles/2011/10/16/20111016senate-hopefuls-nowicki.html Senate hopefuls' fundraising revealed for 3rd quarter October 16, 2011 October 26, 2011 The Arizona Republic Dan Nowicki Withdrew Doug McKee, businessmanhttp://www.mohavedailynews.com/articles/2011/06/04/news/local/doc4de8d966bb350594011242.txt Local man launches U.S. Senate campaign June 3, 2011 June 6, 2011 Mohave Valley Daily NewsAugust 2024 InternetArchiveBot yes Declined Joe Arpaio, Maricopa County sheriffhttps://www.politico.com/story/2012/01/battling-doj-arpaio-to-run-again-071123 Battling DOJ, Arpaio to run again politico.com January 6, 2012 April 12, 2018 (running for re-election as sheriff) Jan Brewer, Arizona governorhttp://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/02/brewer-wont-run.php Brewer Won't Run for Kyl's Seat February 11, 2011 February 11, 2011 National Journal Sean Sullivan https://web.archive.org/web/20110319174944/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/02/brewer-wont-run.php March 19, 2011 dead mdy-all Trent Franks, U.S. representativehttp://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/04/franks-not-runn.php Franks not running for Senate in Arizona April 1, 2011 April 1, 2011 National Journal Sean Sullivan https://web.archive.org/web/20110515122017/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/04/franks-not-runn.php May 15, 2011 dead mdy-all J. D. Hayworth, former U.S. representativehttp://blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com/valleyfever/2011/04/rumor_mill_jd_hayworth_will_no.php Rumor Mill: J.D. Hayworth Will NOT Run For Senate -- Again April 28, 2011 November 15, 2011 Phoenix New Times James King Jon Kyl, incumbent U.S. senator Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska (2006–2009) and nominee for vice president of the United States in 2008staff CBS Interactive 2011-06-06 Palin denies new Ariz. home is for Senate run - CBS News https://www.cbsnews.com/news/palin-denies-new-ariz-home-is-for-senate-run/ 2024-01-28 www.cbsnews.com en-US Ben Quayle, U.S. representativehttp://www.rollcall.com/news/-203351-1.html Early, Long Whip Race Will Test GOP Cohesion February 12, 2011 February 13, 2011 Roll Call David M. Drucker February 14, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110214111335/http://www.rollcall.com/news/-203351-1.html deadhttps://www.usnews.com/news/washington-whispers/articles/2011/02/11/ben-quayle-staying-put-in-house Ben Quayle Staying Put in House February 11, 2011 February 13, 2011 U.S. News & World Report Paul Bedard David Schweikert, U.S. representativehttp://azstarnet.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/article_2446ecdc-40d1-59a2-b6f6-55539405e820.html With Kyl leaving, we at least know some who won't be seeking his seat February 13, 2011 February 13, 2011 Arizona Daily Star Rhonda Bodfield Andrea Kelly John Shadegg, former U.S. representativehttp://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2011/02/11/shadegg-wont-run-for-kyls-senate.html Shadegg won't run for Kyl's Senate seat, Trent Franks looking at run Mike Sunnucks Phoenix Business Journal February 11, 2011 February 11, 2011 Fife Symington III, former Arizona governorhttps://www.politico.com/blogs/david-catanese/2011/02/fife-eyes-senate-floats-nfl-star-kurt-warner-033273 Fife eyes Senate, floats NFL star Kurt Warner February 10, 2011 February 10, 2011 Politico Alexander Burns Endorsements 2 Jeff Flake Former Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK) Governor Bobby Jindal (R-LA) Senator Jim DeMint (R-SC) & Senate Conservatives Fundhttps://www.rollcall.com/news/arizona-jim-demint-endorses-jeff-flake-in-senate-primary Arizona: Jim DeMint Endorses Jeff Flake in Senate Primary Kyle Trygstad April 30, 2012 Roll Call April 12, 2018 Senator Mike Lee (R-UT) Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) Senator John McCain (R-AZ) Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ) Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI) Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX) Arizona Association of Realtors Arizona Farm Bureau Arizona Home Builders Arizona Right to Life Arizona Sportsmen for Wildlife Citizens Against Government Waste Club for Growth FreedomWorks GING PAC GOProudhttp://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements https://web.archive.org/web/20121025012745/http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements dead October 25, 2012 GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements – GOProud, Inc. October 25, 2012 April 12, 2018 NRA Political Victory FundNRA-PVF Endorses Jeff Flake for U.S. Senate in Arizona https://www.nrapvf.org/articles/20120927/nra-pvf-endorses-jeff-flake-for-us-senate-in-arizona nrapvf.org NRA-PVF 19 September 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20140812193318/https://www.nrapvf.org/articles/20120927/nra-pvf-endorses-jeff-flake-for-us-senate-in-arizona 12 August 2014 en-US September 27, 2012 live National Taxpayers Union 2 Wil Cardon Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator (R-PA) Congressman Trent Franks (R-AZ) State Senator Don Shooter (R-AZ) State Senator Steve Smith (R-AZ) State Senator Al Melvin (R-AZ) State Senator Judy Burges (R-AZ) State Representative Steve Montenegro (R-AZ) State Representative John Fillmore (R-AZ) Mayor Scott Smith of Mesa Mayor Elaine Scruggs of Glendale Americans for Legal Immigration Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror WilCardon JeffFlake BryanHackbarth DougMcKee ClairVan Steenwyk Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling May 17–20, 2012 421 ± 4.8% 20% 42% 3% 1% 2% — 33%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 17–19, 2012 412 ± 4.8% 7% 56% 5% 1% 1% — 31%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 17–20, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 7% 53% 5% 1% 2% — 33%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies April 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes November 14–15, 2011 722 ± 3.6% 4% 52% 1% 1% 2% 8% 32% Debate + 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona Republican primary debate No. Number Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican RepublicanKey:black #90ff90  P  Participant  black #FFFFDD  A  Absent  black #ff9090  N  Not invited  black #CCFFCC  I  Invited #f0e68c W Withdrawn Wil Cardon Jeff Flake Bryan Hackbarth Clair Van Steenwyk1Arizona Senator Republican Debate https://azpbs.org/pressroom/2012/08/arizona-senator-republican-debate/ Arizona PBS 11 March 2026 13 August 2012 Aug. 16, 2012 Arizona PBS Ted Simons YouTube P P P P Results thumb|220px|Results by county: #d40000 Flake—70–80% #cc2f4a Flake—60–70% #e27f90 Flake—50–60% Republican primary resultshttp://www.azsos.gov/election/2012/Primary/Canvass.pdf Official Election Canvass of Results September 3, 2014 Arizona Secretary of State dead https://web.archive.org/web/20131112230133/http://www.azsos.gov/election/2012/Primary/Canvass.pdf November 12, 2013 Jeff Flake Republican Party (United States) 357,360 69.3% Wil Cardon Republican Party (United States) 110,150 21.4% Clair Van Steenwyk Republican Party (United States) 29,159 5.6% Bryan Hackbarth Republican Party (United States) 19,174 3.7% John Lyon (Write-in) Republican Party (United States) 126 nil Luis Acle (Write-in) Republican Party (United States) 56 nil 516,025 100% Democratic primary Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona was the only candidate for the Democratic nomination, receiving all 289,881 votes cast in the primary election.http://www.azsos.gov/election/2012/Primary/Canvass.pdf Archived copy January 6, 2014 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20131112230133/http://www.azsos.gov/election/2012/Primary/Canvass.pdf November 12, 2013 Candidates Declared Richard Carmona, former surgeon general of the United Stateshttp://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/11/carmona-will-ru.php Carmona Will Run in Arizona November 10, 2011 November 10, 2011 National Journal Sean Sullivan https://web.archive.org/web/20111112181213/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/11/carmona-will-ru.php November 12, 2011 dead mdy-all Withdrew Don Bivens, former chairman of the Arizona Democratic Partyhttps://www.rollcall.com/news/arizona-bivens-drops-out-democratic-field-clears Arizona: Bivens Drops Out, Democratic Field Clears Abby Livingston March 28, 2012 Roll Call April 12, 2018 David Ruben, physicianSanders Rebekah https://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/local/articles/2012/05/21/20120521jeff-flake-signatures-primary.html U.S. Rep. Jeff Flake files signatures for primary The Arizona Republic May 21, 2012 May 24, 2012http://azstarnet.com/news/local/democrat-ruben-ends-us-senate-campaign/article_71a4b449-156f-547b-80eb-58ee66b41230.html McCombs Brady Arizona Daily Star June 9, 2012 June 16, 2012 Democrat Ruben ends US Senate campaign Declined Dennis Burke, United States attorneyhttp://www.mainjustice.com/2011/02/11/arizona-u-s-attorney-for-senate Arizona U.S. Attorney for Senate? Fahima Haque Main Justice February 11, 2011 February 14, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110816003646/http://www.mainjustice.com/2011/02/11/arizona-u-s-attorney-for-senate/ August 16, 2011 dead mdy-allhttp://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/gabrielle-giffords-was-plannin.html https://web.archive.org/web/20120914144218/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/gabrielle-giffords-was-plannin.html dead September 14, 2012 Gabrielle Giffords was planning possible Senate run before shooting Chris Cillizza WashingtonPost.com February 10, 2011 February 10, 2011 Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative https://web.archive.org/web/20120131171438/https://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hFOgxmZI1l84ZRGvMEa5ywN5Njmg?docId=3383fa69083f479f80743e3012646b98 January 31, 2012 Phil Gordon, mayor of Phoenixhttp://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2011/02/10/Phoenix-mayor-ponders-run-for-Kyl-seat.html Phoenix mayor ponders a run for Kyl's seat; Luis Gonzalez not interested February 10, 2011 February 10, 2011 Phoenix Business Journal Mike Sunnucks Mark Kelly, astronaut and husband of Gabrielle Giffords (later elected to Arizona's Class 3 Senate seat in 2020).https://www.politico.com/story/2011/07/mark-kelly-im-not-running-for-office-058218 Mark Kelly: I'm not running for office – Jennifer Epstein July 2011 Politico.Com July 11, 2011 Janet Napolitano, U.S. secretary of Homeland Security and former Arizona governorhttp://blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com/valleyfever/2011/02/janet_napolitano_no-go_on_sena.php Janet Napolitano No-Go on Senate Run; Wants to Focus on Border Security February 18, 2011 February 18, 2011 Phoenix New Times James King February 19, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110219171619/http://blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com/valleyfever/2011/02/janet_napolitano_no-go_on_sena.php dead Ed Pastor, U.S. representativehttps://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/84232-arizona-democrat-considering-senate-run-in-absence-of-rep-giffords/ Arizona Democrat considering Senate run in absence of Rep. Giffords March 2, 2011 July 23, 2011 The Hill Sean J. Miller Jim Pederson, former Arizona Democratic Party chairman and 2006 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senatehttps://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/azdc/118987 Pederson won't run for Kyl's Senate seat February 16, 2011 February 16, 2011 The Arizona Republic Dan Nowicki Warren Stewart, civil rights leaderhttps://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/news/articles/2011/11/18/20111118civil-rights-leader-senate-run.html Arizona civil-rights leader weighs Senate run November 20, 2011 November 21, 2011 The Arizona Republic Dan Nowicki Polling background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base); Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror DennisBurke RodneyGlassman TerryGoddard PhilGordan HarryMitchell EdPastor FeleciaRotellini Other/UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 300 ± 5.7% 2% 5% 50% 8% 11% 5% 6% 14% Results Democratic primary results Richard Carmona Democratic Party (United States) 289,881 100% 289,881 100% General election Candidates Richard Carmona (Democratic), former U.S. surgeon general Jeff Flake (Republican), U.S. representative Michael F. Meyer (independent) Marc J. Victor (Libertarian), attorney Debates There were three debates before the election. The first was in Phoenix on October 10, 2012, the second in Tucson on October 15 and the last was in Yuma on October 25. External links Complete video of debate, October 10, 2012 – C-SPAN Complete video of debate, October 15, 2012 – C-SPAN Complete video of debate, October 25, 2012 – C-SPAN Fundraising Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Jeff Flake (R) $9,026,951 $9,557,420 $97,360 $0 Richard Carmona (D) $6,459,739 $6,373,544 $86,195 $0 Marc J. Victor (L) $8,336 $8,334 $0 $0 Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cRichard Carmona Campaign Finances fec.gov April 12, 2018May 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes http://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cJeff Flake Campaign Finances fec.gov April 12, 2018May 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2012&id=AZS2%7CIan Kansas District 04 2012 Race OpenSecretshttp://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cMarc Victor Campaign Finances fec.gov April 12, 2018May 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes http://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cMichael Meyer Campaign Finances fec.gov April 12, 2018May 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes Top contributors Richard Carmona Contribution Jeff Flake Contribution University of Arizona $54,100 Club for Growth $1,000,112 League of Conservation Voters $53,148 Senate Conservatives Fund $176,484 Canyon Ranch $31,400 US Airways $54,300 Clorox Company $25,000 Freeport-McMoRan $53,750 Arizona State University $22,600 Cancer Treatment Centers of America $40,500 Banner Health $18,500 Knight Transportation $35,500 Lewis and Roca $17,100 Pinnacle West Capital $35,500 Taser International $15,500 Marriott International $29,750 Coca-Cola Co $15,286 Shamrock Farms $24,750 Pederson Group $15,000 Services Group of America $15,650 Source: OpenSecretshttp://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=AZS2 Top Contributors 2012 Race: Arizona Senate OpenSecrets Top industries Richard Carmona Contribution Jeff Flake Contribution Ian Gilyeat Contribution Retired $653,066 Republican/Conservative $1,146,046 Retired $250 Lawyers/law firms $409,395 Retired $643,260 Lawyers/law firms $250 Health professionals $313,135 Leadership PACs $502,352 Leadership PACs $279,530 Real estate $302,572 Colleges/universities $189,270 Financial institutions $279,670 Real estate $145,000 Lawyers/law firms $200,702 Business services $122,749 Misc. finance $188,122 Financial institutions $118,500 Mining $170,602 Democratic/Liberal $111,889 Health professionals $164,607 Lobbyists $105,172 Oil & gas $147,860 Source: OpenSecretshttp://www.opensecrets.org/races/indus.php?cycle=2012&id=AZS2%7CTop Top Industries 2012 Race: Arizona Senate OpenSecrets Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 The Cook Political Report September 20, 2018 August 29, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180829035855/https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 dead Tossup November 1, 2012 Sabato's Crystal Ball2012 Senate http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ Sabato's Crystal Ball September 20, 2018 Lean R November 5, 2012 Rothenberg Political Report2012 Senate Ratings http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report September 20, 2018 Tilt R November 2, 2012 Real Clear Politics2012 Elections Map – Battle for the Senate 2012 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics September 20, 2018 Lean R November 5, 2012 Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffFlake (R) RichardCarmona (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 1,080 ± 3% 51% 46% — 3%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 21, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 50% 44% 3% 3%Rocky Mountain PollRocky Mountain Poll October 4–10, 2012 523 ± 4.4% 40% 44% — 16%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 1–3, 2012 595 ± 4% 43% 45% — 12%HighGround/MooreHighGround/Moore https://web.archive.org/web/20121003195819/http://www.azhighground.com/?p=913 October 3, 2012 September 25–26, 2012 500 ± 4% 43% 40% 5% 11%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 3% 9%LCV/Public Policy PollingLCV/Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 993 ± n/a% 44% 43% — 13%LCV/Public Policy PollingLCV/Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2012 833 ± 3.4% 38% 38% — 25%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 26, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 31% 5% 17%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 4–5, 2012 791 ± 3.5% 43% 41% — 16%Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 48% 35% — 17%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies April 30 – May 2, 2012 909 ± 3.3% 44% 40% — 16%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 34% 4% 16%NBC News/MaristNBC News/Marist February 19–20, 2012 2,487 ± 2.0% 42% 29% — 28%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 17–19, 2012 743 ± 3.6% 46% 35% — 19%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 40% 36% — 24% background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base); Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror WilCardon (R) RichardCarmona (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 35% 33% — 32%Public Policy Polling February 17–19, 2012 743 ± 3.6% 37% 33% — 30%Rasmussen Reports March 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 39% 38% 3% 20%Magellan Strategies April 30 – May 2, 2012 909 ± 3.3% 41% 40% — 19%Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 40% 37% — 23% Republican primary Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffFlake J.D.Hayworth SarahPalin GaryPierce MarilynQuayle FifeSymington Other/UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 33% 11% 35% 3% 2% 3% 13% Democratic primary Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror DennisBurke GabrielleGiffords RodneyGlassman TerryGoddard PhilGordan HarryMitchell EdPastor FeleciaRotellini Other/UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 300 ± 5.7% 2% 46% 4% 28% 2% 5% 4% 2% 6% with Don Bivens Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror WilCardon (R) DonBivens (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 35% 27% — 37%Public Policy Polling February 17–19, 2012 743 ± 3.6% 38% 32% — 31%Rasmussen Reports March 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 42% 30% 4% 24% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffFlake (R) DonBivens (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 17–20, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 42% 32% — 26%Public Policy Polling February 17–19, 2012 743 ± 3.6% 46% 35% — 19%Rasmussen Reports March 13, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 47% 30% 3% 20% with J.D. Hayworth Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror J.D.Hayworth (R) GabrielleGiffords (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 31% 57% 12% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror J.D.Hayworth (R) TerryGoddard (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 33% 51% 16% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror J.D.Hayworth (R) PhilGordon (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 36% 44% 20% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror J.D.Hayworth (R) EdPastor (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 37% 42% 21% with Jeff Flake Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffFlake (R) GabrielleGiffords (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 41% 48% 11% with Jon Kyl Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JonKyl (R) TerryGoddard (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling January 28–30, 2011 599 ± 4.0% 50% 40% 9% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JonKyl (R) PhilGordon (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling January 28–30, 2011 599 ± 4.0% 54% 33% 13% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JonKyl (R) AnnKirkpatrick (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling January 28–30, 2011 599 ± 4.0% 51% 35% 14% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JonKyl (R) JanetNapolitano (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling January 28–30, 2011 599 ± 4.0% 53% 41% 6% with Sarah Palin Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror SarahPalin (R) GabrielleGiffords (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 36% 54% 10% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror SarahPalin (R) TerryGoddard (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 40% 49% 11% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror SarahPalin (R) PhilGordon (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 41% 45% 13% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror SarahPalin (R) EdPastor (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 28 – May 1, 2011 623 ± 3.9% 43% 45% 12% Results United States Senate election in Arizona, 20122012 Election. State of Arizona. Official Canvass Republican Party (United States) Jeff Flake 1,104,457 49.23% -4.11% Democratic Party (United States) Richard Carmona 1,036,542 46.20% +2.70% Arizona Libertarian Party Marc J. Victor 102,109 4.55% +1.39% Independent Steven Watts (write-in) 290 0.01% N/A Independent Don Manspeaker (write-in) 24 0.00% N/A 67,915 3.03% -6.81% 2,243,422 100.00% N/A Republican Party (United States) By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none CountyRichard CarmonaDemocraticJeff FlakeRepublicanOthers#%#%#%Apache16,45565.1%7,68030.4%1,1284.4%Cochise19,73640.9%26,20854.3%2,3444.9%Coconino28,72356.6%19,33438.1%2,6505.2%Gila8,09938.2%11,95456.4%1,1545.5%Graham3,77132.2%7,35262.8%5855.0%Greenlee1,34246.1%1,36546.9%2057.0%La Paz1,96135.6%3,12056.6%4317.8%Maricopa602,80944.9%675,50050.3%64,1094.8%Mohave20,86530.6%42,41062.2%4,9247.2%Navajo16,88145.9%18,22849.6%1,6704.5%Pima207,57855.5%153,84641.1%12,6313.4%Pinal45,55842.8%55,00851.6%5,9965.6%Santa Cruz9,45469.9%3,61726.7%4523.3%Yavapai34,90235.6%57,83859.0%5,2115.3%Yuma18,40845.4%20,99751.8%1,1204.6% Totals1,036,54246.2%1,104,45749.2%104,6104.6% right 220px Swing by county 220px Trend relative to the state by county Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10−12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5−15% #00a1c8 Democratic — >15% By congressional district Despite losing, Carmona carried five of nine congressional districts.https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2013/07/09/1220127/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2012-election-results-by-congressional-and-legislative-districts Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts Daily Kos 11 August 2020 District Carmona Flake RepresentativeArizona 1 1st 49.11% 46.32%Ann KirkpatrickArizona 2 2nd 51.52% 45.03%Ron BarberArizona 3 3rd 63.08% 32.79%Raúl Grijalva Arizona 4 4th 33.36% 60.94%Paul GosarArizona 5 5th 35.52% 60.06%Matt SalmonArizona 6 6th 40.32% 55.35%David SchweikertArizona 7 7th 71.87% 23.14%Ed Pastor Arizona 8 8th 38.9% 56.29%Trent FranksArizona 9 9th 51.77% 43.39%Kyrsten Sinema See also 2012 United States Senate elections 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona References External links Arizona Secretary of State – Elections Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation Candidate issue positions at On the Issues Official campaign websites (archived) Richard Carmona for U.S. Senate Jeff Flake for U.S. Senate Ian Gilyeat for U.S. Senate Marc J. Victor For Senate 2012 Arizona United States Senate