2010 United States Senate election in Kentucky

none 2010 Kentucky Senate election March 2026 September 2023 2010 United States Senate election in Kentucky Kentucky presidential no 2004 United States Senate election in Kentucky 2004 2016 United States Senate election in Kentucky 2016 November 2, 2010 150x150px File:Rand Paul, official portrait, 112th Congress alternate (cropped).jpg Republican Party (United States) Rand Paul 755,706 55.73% JackConway (cropped).jpg Jack Conway Democratic Party (United States) 600,052 44.25% 2010 United States Senate election in Kentucky results map by county.svg 300px County resultsPaul: #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Conway: #7996e2 50–60% #6674DE 60–70%Tie: #AE8BB1 50% U.S. Senator Jim Bunning Republican Party (United States) Rand Paul Republican Party (United States) The 2010 United States Senate election in Kentucky took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primaries for each respective party were held on May 18, 2010.https://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2010/01/your_2010_election_calendar.html Your 2010 Election Calendar January 25, 2010 March 20, 2010 National Public Radio Ken Rudin Ken Rudin Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Jim Bunning decided to retire instead of seeking a third term. Republican nominee Rand Paul, an ophthalmologist and son of Congressman Ron Paul, won the open seat against Kentucky Attorney General Jack Conway.http://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/19/1270661/paul-wins-kentucky-gop-senate.html Paul wins Kentucky GOP Senate nomination, to face Conway Brammer Jack May 18, 2010 McClatchy Newspapers May 20, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100522125333/http://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/19/1270661/paul-wins-kentucky-gop-senate.html May 22, 2010 Background In early 2009, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Jim Bunning, who won reelection by a surprisingly narrow margin in 2004, said he would need to raise $10 million for his re-election campaign."U.S. Senator Jim Bunning to run in 2010, needs $10 million" https://web.archive.org/web/20120722023643/http://www.wdrb.com/Global/story.asp?S=9319316 2012-07-22 , Fox/WDRB. Retrieved February 24, 2009. However, NRSC chairman John Cornyn pressured Bunning to retire due to concerns that he could lose a reelection bid.Kraushaar Josh Raju, Manu GOP pressures Bunning to quit Politico January 22, 2009 https://www.politico.com/story/2009/01/gop-pressures-bunning-to-quit-017785 February 5, 2009 In July 2009, Bunning announced he would not run for re-election.June 2010 In February 2009, Senator Bunning stated that another justice could soon be appointed to the United States Supreme Court because Associate Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who had been diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, would be dead within nine months,https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/02/22/gop-senator-jim-bunning-j_n_168995.html GOP Senator Jim Bunning: Justice Ginsburg Will Be Dead In Nine Months HuffPost February 22, 2009 Marcus Baram creating a significant amount of controversy, which resulted in an apology from Bunning.http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090223/NEWS01/90223035 Bunning apologizes for Ginsburg comments James R. Carroll The Courier-Journal February 23, 2009 Ginsburg would not die until 2020—outliving Bunning, who would die in 2017. In late May 2009, Bunning called fellow Kentucky Senator and Republican Minority Leader Mitch McConnell a "control freak" and suggested that he did not need McConnell's endorsement. https://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0509/Bunning_calls_McConnell_a_control_freak.html Politico Bunning calls McConnell a control freak July 7, 2012 September 7, 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20230907023657/https://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0509/Bunning_calls_McConnell_a_control_freak.html dead He also challenged Lexington Herald-Leader editor John Stamper to an arm wrestling match after Stamper questioned whether Bunning was "fit to serve." Additionally, Bunning created further controversy in February 2010 when he objected to a proposal of unanimous consent for an extension of unemployment insurance, COBRA, and other federal programs, citing that this extension was not pay-as-you-go. He proposed an amendment which sought to find the funds to pay for the bill from the Stimulus Bill of 2009, and declared that he supported the unemployed, but that a bill such as this only added to the growing deficit and that it should be paid for immediately.http://bunning.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=NewsCenter.NewsReleases&ContentRecord_id=21648539-d0e8-4c3b-6078-362af45228d7 Bunning Floor Statement On Pay-For Agreement Bunning Jim March 2, 2010 United States Senate March 9, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100307104134/http://bunning.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=NewsCenter.NewsReleases&ContentRecord_id=21648539-d0e8-4c3b-6078-362af45228d7 March 7, 2010 Senator Bob Corker joined Bunning, while other senators worked to cease his objections. When Senator Jeff Merkley urged him to drop his objections to vote on a 30-day extension of benefits, Bunning responded "tough shit."Politico, Jim Bunning repeatedly block unemployment extension, February 25, 2010, https://www.politico.com/story/2010/02/bunning-holds-floor-tough-s-t-033566https://www.politico.com/story/2010/02/bunning-holds-floor-tough-s-t-033566 Bunning holds floor: 'Tough s--t' February 25, 2010 Politico September 27, 2016 Bunning finally agreed to end his objection to the bill in exchange for a vote on his amendment to pay for the package. It failed 53–43 on a procedural vote.https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=111&session=2&vote=00031 U.S. Senate: Legislation & Records Home > Votes > Roll Call Vote Senate.gov June 14, 2010 The extension of unemployment benefits then passed by a vote of 78–19.http://www.wfpl.org/2010/03/02/bunning-drops-objection-to-senate-bill Bunning Drops Objection To Senate Bill Howlett Rick March 2, 2010 WFPL News June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110719151115/http://www.wfpl.org/2010/03/02/bunning-drops-objection-to-senate-bill July 19, 2011 Republican primary Candidates Rand Paul, ophthalmologist Trey Grayson, Secretary of State of Kentucky Gurley L. Martin, World War II veteran Jon J. Scribner, businessman John Stephenson, former Kentucky Superintendent of Public Education Campaign On August 20, 2009, a grassroots-planned moneybomb raised $433,509 for Rand Paul's campaign in a 24-hour period."RandPaulGraphs.com – Donation meter for August 20, 2009", www.randpaulgraphs.com August 21, 2009 According to Paul,http://www.randpaul2010.com/2009/08/rand-bomb-breaks-record Rand Bomb Breaks Record Randpaul2010.com August 22, 2009 June 14, 2010 this set a new record in Kentucky's political fundraising history (for a 24-hour period). Republican Liberty Caucus endorsed Paul in November 2009.Republican Liberty Caucus. Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Rand Paul, Peter Schiff... November 10, 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20091216104257/http://www.rlc.org/2009/11/10/rlc-endorsements-nov2009 December 16, 2009 On December 22, 2009, Rand Paul picked up the endorsement of Concerned Women for America."Women 4 Rand" https://web.archive.org/web/20091227071738/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2009/12/women-4-rand December 27, 2009 , December 22, 2009 Paul embraced the Tea Party movement, and promoted "small government principles" one day after he officially entered the race for Kentucky's open seat.http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/12/rand-paul-has-praise-for-tea-p.html Rand Paul Has Praise for Tea Party Movement Kucinich Jackie December 31, 2009 CQ Politics June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100106030639/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/12/rand-paul-has-praise-for-tea-p.html January 6, 2010 Paul ran a strong anti-Washington message. One commercial tied Grayson as part of the problem, noting that Grayson raised money with AIG executives in Washington. In another advertisement, Paul had also attacked Grayson as a career politician and a liar.Cillizza Chris http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/rand-paul-and-the-washington-m.html?wprss=thefix https://web.archive.org/web/20120926011420/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/rand-paul-and-the-washington-m.html?wprss=thefix dead September 26, 2012 Rand Paul and the Washington "machine" Voices.washingtonpost.com June 14, 2010 Grayson created a new website (randpaulstrangeideas.com) that attacked Paul for his "strange ideas," such as his opposition of the PATRIOT Act, and what Grayson alleged to be his support of closing down Guantanamo Bay and saying that Iran was not a threat.a new website He also attacked Paul for being a Duke University fan.Taylor Jessica 15 March 2010 March Madness in Ky. Senate race https://www.politico.com/story/2010/03/march-madness-in-ky-senate-race-034435 4 June 2024 Politico He sent out another TV ad and web video that stirred controversy by making the case that Paul believes that foreign policy decisions made prior to September 11, 2001, are partially to blame for the attacks.http://www.treygrayson.com/media-gallery/videos Friends of Trey Grayson :: Media Gallery :: Videos https://web.archive.org/web/20100501202553/http://www.treygrayson.com/media-gallery/videos May 1, 2010 Paul immediately responded by launching a statewide television ad in which he expresses his "outrage at terrorists who killed 3,000 innocents" before accusing Grayson of a "lie" and a "shameful" tactic.Cillizza Chris http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/trey-grayson-rand-paul-and-the.html?wprss=thefix https://web.archive.org/web/20100710014127/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/senate/trey-grayson-rand-paul-and-the.html?wprss=thefix dead July 10, 2010 Trey Grayson, Rand Paul and the politics of September 11, 2001 Voices.washingtonpost.com June 14, 2010 Grayson accused the Fox News Channel of favoring Paul over him.Freddoso David Somebody call the waaaahmbulance for Trey Grayson The Washington Examiner May 17, 2010 http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/Somebody-call-the-waaaaahmbulance-for-Trey-Grayson-93970274.html May 17, 2010 May 2012 On May 18, 2010, Paul won the Republican nomination. After conceding the election to Paul, Grayson said, "It's time to put all differences aside, unite behind Dr. Paul, he needs our help and I for one stand ready to serve".Cate Slattery. (May 18, 2010) "Grayson Concedes Early" https://web.archive.org/web/20100522184507/http://wtvq.com/news/3620-grayson-concedes-early- May 22, 2010 WTVQ News. Retrieved May 19, 2010. Endorsements Rand Paul 60 U.S. Senator Jim Bunning of Kentucky"Bunning endorses Paul in U.S. Senate race https://web.archive.org/web/20110417063731/http://bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com/2010/04/14/bunning-endorses-paul-in-us-senate-race/ 2011-04-17 ", April 14, 2010. U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolinahttp://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/05/1252828/demint-endorses-paul-in-us-senate.html DeMint endorses Paul in US Senate race in Ky. Associated Press May 5, 2010 July 7, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20100508063335/http://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/05/1252828/demint-endorses-paul-in-us-senate.html May 8, 2010 Former Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska"Sarah Palin endorses Rand Paul https://web.archive.org/web/20100409055459/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/02/sarah-palin-endorses April 9, 2010 ", February 1, 2010. Former Governor Mike Huckabee of Arkansashttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c684CYfPXNk Mike Huckabee radio ad for Rand Paul YouTube October 20, 2010 Congressman Ron Paul (father of Rand) Former Republican presidential candidate and editor-in-chief of Forbes Steve Forbes"Steve Forbes endorses Rand Paul https://web.archive.org/web/20110103000551/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/01/steve-forbes-endorses January 3, 2011 ", January 7, 2010. State Senator Dan Seum"Dan Seum endorses Rand" https://web.archive.org/web/20100207130344/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/02/dan-seum-endorses-rand February 7, 2010 , February 1, 2010 Editor of conservative weblog RedState Erick Erickson"Erick Erickson on Twitter", December 14, 2009. James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Familyhttp://www.businesswire.com/portal/site/home/permalink/?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20100503005889&newsLang=en Dr. James Dobson Endorses Rand Paul for Senate Business Wire May 3, 2010 June 14, 2010 Cathy Bailey, Former U.S. Ambassador to Latvia"Cathy Bailey backing Rand Paul in primary https://web.archive.org/web/20100513083543/http://www.whas11.com/community/blogs/political-blog/Cathy-Bailey-backing-Rand-Paul-in-primary-93430364.html May 13, 2010 ", May 12, 2010. Brooks Wicker, 3rd congressional district candidatehttp://www.whas11.com/community/blogs/political-blog/Wicker-endorses-Paul--91706544.html Wicker endorses Paul WHAS11 April 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110927085418/http://www.whas11.com/community/blogs/political-blog/Wicker-endorses-Paul--91706544.html 2011-09-27 dead James Edwards, host of The Political Cesspoolhttp://www.thepoliticalcesspool.org/jamesedwards/is-rand-paul-a-racist James Edwards endorses Rand Paul Edwards James May 21, 2010 The Political Cesspool May 23, 2010 January 26, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160126040648/http://www.thepoliticalcesspool.org/jamesedwards/is-rand-paul-a-racist/ dead Concerned Women for America Downsize DC Foundation"Rand Paul & DownsizeDC.org", December 7, 2009. Americans For Prosperity FreedomWorks"A Tea-Party Target List? FreedomWorks Releases Its Races For 2010", January 25, 2010. Gun Owners of America"Gun Owners of America endorse https://web.archive.org/web/20100109122132/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/01/gun-owners-of-america-endorse January 9, 2010 ", January 6, 2010 Republican Liberty Caucus"RLC Endorsements for 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20120905055118/http://www.rlc.org/about/chapters/ky/2010-ky September 5, 2012 ", April 18, 2010. Northern Kentucky Right to Life"Major pro-life endorsement for Rand Paul https://web.archive.org/web/20100420055843/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/04/rands-major-pro-life-endorsement April 20, 2010 ", April 18, 2010. Tea Party Express"FoxNews.com "Tea Party Express Endorsements", April 15, 2010 REAGAN PAChttp://www.reaganpac.com/candidates/paul.htm REAGAN PAC endorses Dr. Rand Paul for United States Senate REAGAN PAC February 12, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101002010259/http://www.reaganpac.com/candidates/paul.htm October 2, 2010 Bluegrass Bulletin's Marcus Carey"Why The Choice Must Be Rand Paul", May 9, 2010. Kentucky Credit Union PAChttp://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/04/700000-more-rand-fans 700,000 more Rand fans Rand Paul for U.S. Senate April 21, 2010 Lexington Herald-Leaderhttp://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/09/1257670/rand-paul-best-choice-to-put-republican.html Rand Paul best choice to put Republican Party on new path – Editorial Kentucky.com May 9, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100512165242/http://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/09/1257670/rand-paul-best-choice-to-put-republican.html May 12, 2010 dead Club for Growthhttp://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/?id=752 Rand Paul Clubforgrowth.org July 30, 2010 August 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101120221524/http://clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/?id=752 2010-11-20 dead Trey Grayson U.S. Senate Republican Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky"McConnell Endorses Trey Grayson over Rand Paul", May 4, 2010. Former Vice President Dick Cheneyhttp://www.treygrayson.com/page/endorsements Friends of Trey Grayson :: Endorsements https://web.archive.org/web/20100425024331/http://www.treygrayson.com/page/endorsements April 25, 2010 Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania Former Congressman Ron Lewis of Kentucky Former New York City Mayor Rudy GiulianiALEXANDER BURNS https://www.politico.com/story/2010/04/rudy-goes-with-grayson-036011 Rudy goes with Grayson – David Catanese Politico June 14, 2010 April 13, 2010 Congressman Hal Rogers of Kentucky State Senator Julie Denton State Senator Tom Jensen State Senator Vernie McGaha State Senator John Schickel State Senator Brandon Smith State Senator Elizabeth Tori State Senator Jack Westwood State Senator Ken Winters State Representative Scott Brinkman State Representative John "Bam" Carney State Representative Tim Couch State Representative Ronald Crimm State Representative Bob Deweese State Representative Myron Dossett State Representative Bill Farmer State Representative Mike Harmon State Representative Brent Housman State Representative Adam Koenig State Representative Brad Montell State Representative Tim Moore State Representative David Osborne State Representative Marie Rader State Representative Steven Rudy State Representative Sal Santoro State Representative Alecia Webb-Edgington State Representative Addia Wuchner State Representative Jill York Kentucky Right to Life The Kentucky EnquirerThe Kentucky Enquirer May 15, 2010 Enquirer endorses Trey Grayson http://nky.cincinnati.com/article/AB/20100515/EDIT01/5160304/Enquirer%20endorses%20Trey%20Grayson May 21, 2010 Polling background:#cff List of Republican primary polling numbers border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base) Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error TreyGrayson RandPaul Other Undecided Survey USA report August 15–17, 2009 516 ± 4.4% 37% 26% 13% 17% Research 2000 reportarchive August 31 – September 2, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 40% 25% 18% 17% Survey USA report October 30 – November 2, 2009 448 ± 4.7% 32% 35% 10% 18% Public Policy Polling reportJuly 2020 medicmedic December 18–21, 2009 478 ± 4.5% 25% 44% — 32% Magellan Strategies reportJuly 2020 medicmedic February 18, 2010 560 ± 4.1% 23% 44% — 33% Survey USA report March 1–3, 2010 454 ± 4.7% 27% 42% 11% 19% Research 2000 reportarchive March 15–17, 2010 600 ± 5.0% 28% 40% 14% 18% Survey USA report April 9–11, 2010 446 ± 4.7% 30% 45% 5% 19% Public Policy Polling report May 1–2, 2010 363 ± 5.1% 28% 46% 4% 21% Research 2000 report https://web.archive.org/web/20100508083101/http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/05/05/16/Senate_primary_horse_race.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf 2010-05-08 May 2–4, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 32% 44% 7% 17% Magellan Strategies reportarchive May 4, 2010 611 ± 3.9% 28% 43% 8% 21% Survey USA report May 9–11, 2010 440 ± 4.8% 33% 49% 7% 11% Research 2000 reportarchive May 10–12, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 35% 45% 7% 13% Public Policy Polling report May 15–16, 2010 1,065 ± 3.0% 34% 52% 7% 7% Magellan Strategies reportarchive May 16, 2010 809 ± 3.4% 30% 55% 8% 7% Results thumb|300px|Republican primary results by county: #E27F7F Paul #E27F7F 50–60% #D75D5D 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #5fd3bc Grayson #87decd 40–50% #5fd3bc 50–60% Republican primary results Rand Paul Republican Party (United States) 206,986 58.8% Trey Grayson Republican Party (United States) 124,864 35.4% Bill Johnson* Republican Party (United States) 7,861 2.2% John Stephenson Republican Party (United States) 6,885 2.0% Gurley L. Martin Republican Party (United States) 2,850 0.8% Jon J. Scribner Republican Party (United States) 2,829 0.8% 352,275 100.0% *Though Bill Johnson dropped out of the race prior to the primary, he still appeared on the ballot. Democratic primary Candidates Jack Conway, Attorney General of Kentucky Daniel Mongiardo, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky and nominee in 2004 James Buckmaster, physicianhttp://www.courier-journal.com/article/20091207/NEWS0106/912070340/Henderson-doctor-joins-Senate-race Henderson doctor joins Senate race Courier-journal.com July 7, 2012 Darlene Fitzgerald Price, former U.S. Customs agenthttp://www.politickerky.com/treypollard/1003/new-face-us-senate-race-2010 A new face in the U.S. Senate race...of 2010 Pollard Trey PolitickerKY.com July 3, 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081202183028/http://www.politickerky.com/treypollard/1003/new-face-us-senate-race-2010 December 2, 2008 Maurice Sweeney, businessmanhttp://www.wdrb.com/Global/story.asp?S=10777643 Maurice Sweeney to challenge Bunning Fox41.com May 22, 2010 June 14, 2010 March 7, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120307165828/http://www.wdrb.com/Global/story.asp?S=10777643 dead Campaign Mongiardo announced that he had received the endorsement of Governor Steve Beshearhttp://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090328/NEWS01/903280412/1008/NEWS01 Beshear endorses Mongiardo for 2010 Senate race Joseph Gerth Courier Journal March 28, 2009 and raised $420,000.http://www.fox17.com/template/inews_wire/wires.regional.ky/3db58afb-www.fox17.com.shtml Mongiardo: Donors give $420,000 for Senate race WZTV FOX 17 April 6, 2009 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20120707175107/http://www.fox17.com/template/inews_wire/wires.regional.ky/3db58afb-www.fox17.com.shtml July 7, 2012 Due to Conway's large margin of victory in his statewide campaign for attorney general, his fundraising ability, and the age difference between Conway and Bunning, Conway was described as a viable candidate.Kraushaar Josh Raju, Manu GOP pressures Bunning to quit Politico January 22, 2009 https://www.politico.com/story/2009/01/gop-pressures-bunning-to-quit-017785 January 24, 2009 Both candidates were against the Senate version of the Affordable Care Act. When Mongiardo said that "it was time to start over," he was criticized by Conway and labeled "Dr. No."http://politifi.com/news/Conway-Launching-Health-Care-Ad-335980.html https://web.archive.org/web/20171216034935/http://politifi.com/news/Conway-Launching-Health-Care-Ad-335980.html dead December 16, 2017 Conway Launching Health Care Ad Politifi.com June 14, 2010 Both candidates supported the final version.May 2012Editorial Conway is best Senate choice for Democrats http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20104180303 The Courier-Journal April 18, 2010 February 14, 2015 Attorney General Conway refused to join a lawsuit claiming that health care reform is unconstitutional.http://www.democratsenators.org/o/57/p/salsa/web/news/public/?news_item_KEY=4963 Jack Conway for United States Senate Democratsenators.org June 14, 2010 May 26, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100526185937/http://www.democratsenators.org/o/57/p/salsa/web/news/public/?news_item_KEY=4963 dead On May 18, 2010, Conway won the Democratic nomination.http://www.wfpl.org/2010/05/19/conway-wins-democratic-primary-for-u-s-senate-seat Conway Wins Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate Seat Gourlay Kristin Espeland May 18, 2010 WFPL News May 20, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110719151221/http://www.wfpl.org/2010/05/19/conway-wins-democratic-primary-for-u-s-senate-seat July 19, 2011 Endorsements Jack Conway 60 U.S. Congressmen Ben Chandler U.S. Congressman John Yarmuth Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives Greg Stumbo Kentucky Finance/Administration Cabinet Secretary Jonathan Miller Louisville Mayor Jerry Abramsonhttp://jackconway.org/index.php?/endorsements.html Endorsements Jack Conway for United States Senate June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100307231307/http://jackconway.org/index.php?%2Fendorsements.html March 7, 2010 dead Former U.S. Senator and former Governor of Kentucky Wendell Fordhttp://www.democratsenators.org/o/57/p/salsa/web/news/public Jack Conway for United States Senate Democratsenators.org June 14, 2010 May 25, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100525120104/http://www.democratsenators.org/o/57/p/salsa/web/news/public/ dead Former Governor of Kentucky John Brown Kentucky State Auditor Crit Luallen The Courier-JournalThe Courier-Journal May 16, 2010 C-J Endorsement Checklist http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20100516/OPINION01/5160315/1055/OPINION/Editorial+%7C+C-J+Endorsement+Checklist May 18, 2010 The Kentucky EnquirerThe Kentucky Enquirer May 15, 2010 Enquirer endorses Jack Conway http://nky.cincinnati.com/article/AB/20100515/EDIT01/5160306/Enquirer+endorses+Jack+Conway May 21, 2010 Lexington Herald-LeaderLexington Herald-Leader May 9, 2010 AG Jack Conway's achievements give him edge for Democrats http://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/09/1257669/ag-jack-conways-achievements-give.html May 18, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100513074907/http://www.kentucky.com/2010/05/09/1257669/ag-jack-conways-achievements-give.html May 13, 2010 dead Daniel Mongiardo 60 Governor Steve Beshear State Senator and former Governor Julian Carroll State Senator Perry Clark State Senator Denise Harper-Angel State Senator Walter Blevins State Senator Tim Shaughnessy State Senator Gerald Neal Former State Senator David KaremMay 2012 Polling background:#cff List of Democratic primary polling numbers border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base) Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JackConway DanielMongiardo Other Undecided Garin-Hart-Yang reportJuly 2020 medicmedic May 12–13, 2009 336 ± 5.3% 28% 43% — 29% Survey USA report August 15–17, 2009 647 ± 3.9% 31% 39% 9% 14% Research 2000 reportarchive August 31 – September 2, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 30% 37% 15% 18% Survey USA report October 30 – November 2, 2009 602 ± 4.1% 28% 39% 10% 16% Public Policy Polling reportJuly 2020 medicmedic December 22, 2009 557 ± 4.2% 37% 33% — 30% Survey USA report March 1–3, 2010 590 ± 4.1% 27% 45% 9% 19% Research 2000 reportarchive March 15–17, 2010 600 ± 5.0% 31% 47% 8% 14% Survey USA report April 9–11, 2010 659 ± 4.7% 32% 35% 11% 21% Public Policy Polling report May 1–2, 2010 459 ± 4.6% 27% 36% 10% 27% Research 2000 report https://web.archive.org/web/20100508083101/http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/05/05/16/Senate_primary_horse_race.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf 2010-05-08 May 2–4, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 32% 39% 12% 17% Survey USA report May 9–11, 2010 662 ± 3.9% 37% 38% 13% 12% Research 2000 report May 10–12, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 36% 39% 10% 15% Results The primary race was extremely close with Conway narrowly prevailing by just over 4,000 votes. The race remained in doubt for much of the night. Finally with 99% of the vote counted the Associated Press declared Conway the winner. Mongiardo called Conway to concede at 10:08 P.M. EST. Mongiardo congratulated Conway and pledged him his full support for the general election. In terms of the breakdown of the results, Conway ran up margins in Jefferson County home of Louisville, and Fayette County home of Lexington. In terms of more rural counties Mongiardo and Conway split the vote. Conway performed well in central Kentucky, while Mongiardo performed well in coal country in east Kentucky and farm country in western Kentucky. In the end Conway's performance in the states most populated county, Jefferson County proved to be just enough to carry him to victory. The primary race was also notable because both Conway and Mongiardo received more votes than Republican Rand Paul.Sharockman Aaron Kentucky Democrats got more votes than Republican Rand Paul, DNC chair says https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2010/may/23/tim-kaine/kentucky-democrats-got-more-votes-republican-rand-/ 2024-06-03 @politifact en-US thumb|300px|Democratic primary results by county: #6674de Conway #bdd3ff 30–40% #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #37c837 Mongiardo #aae5aa 30–40% #87de87 40–50% #5fd35f 50–60% #37c837 60–70% #2ca02c 70–80% #d75d5d Price #ffb2b2 40–50% #ee8e50 Buckmaster #ffcca9 30–40% Democratic primary resultshttp://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/15261/25744/en/summary.html KY - Election Results July 7, 2012 Jack Conway Democratic Party (United States) 229,433 44.0% Daniel Mongiardo Democratic Party (United States) 225,260 43.2% Darlene Fitzgerald Price Democratic Party (United States) 28,531 5.5% James Buckmaster Democratic Party (United States) 20,561 3.9% Maurice Sweeney Democratic Party (United States) 17,874 3.4% 521,659 100.0% General election Candidates Rand Paul (R), ophthalmologist and political activist Jack Conway (D), Attorney General Billy Ray Wilson (independent write-in) Kentucky's ballot access requirements allow Republicans and Democrats to run for office with two signatures, but require minor parties and independents to collect at least 5,000 signatures.http://www.sos.ky.gov/elections/procedures.htm Kentucky: Secretary of State – Candidate Filing Procedures Sos.ky.gov January 28, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100616210823/http://www.sos.ky.gov/elections/procedures.htm 2010-06-16 dead The filing deadline for minor party and independent candidates was on August 10, and no candidate filed. Some speculate that the reason why no minor party or independent candidate filed is because Paul's candidacy helped discourage it. The Libertarian Party of Kentucky held its nominating convention for 2010 elections and failed to nominate a candidate for the U.S. Senate, as no one stepped forward to seek nomination to that office. Despite comments from some observers that Paul espouses libertarian beliefs, the Kentucky Libertarian Party issued an official press release stating "Rand Paul is not a libertarian" and detailing the differences between Paul's beliefs and libertarian principles.http://www.lpky.org/node/243 Libertarian Party of Kentucky Speaks About Rand Paul lpky.org May 25, 2010 2010-08-13 https://web.archive.org/web/20110716132335/http://www.lpky.org/node/243 2011-07-16 dead Similarly, the Constitution Party of Kentucky avoided the Senate race ostensibly because of Rand Paul's presence in that race and perhaps because of his more minarchist stance than Trey Grayson, especially if the latter had been the nominee. Billy Ray Wilson, an independent of London, filed as a write-in candidate.Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State https://web.archive.org/web/20151122002230/http://apps.sos.ky.gov/elections/candidatefilings/statewide/default.aspx?id=3 November 22, 2015 Kentucky Secretary of Statehttp://apps.sos.ky.gov/elections/candidatefilings/statewide/default.aspx?cand=3319 Information for Billy Ray Wilson, Candidate for US Senator Apps.sos.ky.gov May 8, 2012 February 27, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120227173134/http://apps.sos.ky.gov/elections/candidatefilings/statewide/default.aspx?cand=3319 dead http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=396348 KY US Senate Race – November 2, 2010 Our Campaigns August 21, 2010 Campaign Conway began the race trailing Paul, but as he attacked his opponent's positions on social-welfare and criminal-justice policies, the polls began to tighten. Conway agreed to run an advertisement that linked Paul's policy stances to a college prank in which Paul reportedly demanded that a female classmate worship a bong named "Aqua Buddha." Independent political analysts in Kentucky quickly warned that Conway would regret his decision. The ad's focus on religion led critics, including not just Republicans but also some liberals such as Hardball's Chris Matthews, to charge that Conway was improperly questioning Paul's faith, to which Conway countered that the ad was intended to question Paul's "judgment." Nonetheless, Conway swiftly dropped again in the polls, a decline from which he never recovered. Conway ceased his defense of the commercial after the election, admitting that running it had been a mistake; he claimed that he had done so only reluctantly at the urging of national advisers despite finding it "harsh as mule's breath."Voss D. Stephen Gross Donald Miller William J. Walling Jeremy D. Tea Party Effects on 2010 Senate Elections Lexington Books 2011 141–172 Chapter 8: Poster Child for the Tea Party: Rand Paul of Kentucky 978-0739167014 amp Conway saw one last opportunity before his final debate with Paul. One of Rand Paul's supporters stomped on a MoveOn activist after she approached Paul's vehicle, and a video of the event was later used in a Conway TV commercial.https://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20021087-503544.html "Democrats Use 'Head Stomping' in Ad Blasting Rand Paul" (October 28, 2010) CBS News May 8, 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20110122175615/http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20021087-503544.html January 22, 2011 Paul and Conway condemned the attack and the supporter was banned from campaign events.Sargent Greg http://voices.washingtonpost.com/plum-line/2010/10/woman_attacked_by_rand_paul_su.html https://web.archive.org/web/20110926070134/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/plum-line/2010/10/woman_attacked_by_rand_paul_su.html dead September 26, 2011 "Woman attacked by Rand Paul supporters has concussion, sprained arm, MoveOn says" (October 26, 2010) Washington Post Voices.washingtonpost.com May 8, 2012http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/39844442/ns/us_news Paul volunteer ordered to court for scuffle Alford Roger October 26, 2010 Associated Press July 7, 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101029025821/http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/39844442/ns/us_news October 29, 2010 The campaign attracted $8.5 million in contributions from outside groups, of which $6 million was spent to help Rand Paul and $2.5 million to help Conway. This money influx was in addition to the money spent by the candidates themselves: $6 million by Paul and $4.7 million by Conway.Steitzer Stephenie http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20101029/NEWS0106/310290083 "Outside groups spend big in U.S. Senate race" (October 29, 2010) Louisville Courier-Journal Courier-journal.com October 29, 2010 May 8, 2012 https://archive.today/20120731152912/http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20101029/NEWS0106/310290083 2012-07-31 dead http://reporting.sunlightfoundation.com/outside-spending/race/KY-Senate "Outside spending – Kentucky Senate" (xxx) Sunlight Foundation Reporting.sunlightfoundation.com May 8, 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20120723051839/http://reporting.sunlightfoundation.com/outside-spending/race/KY-Senate July 23, 2012 Paul was endorsed by The Kentucky Enquirer,Enquirer endorses Paul for US Senate The Kentucky Enquirer October 24, 2010 http://nky.cincinnati.com/article/AB/20101024/EDIT01/10240328/Enquirer-endorses-Paul-for-US-Senate October 31, 2010 The Richmond Register,Send a Message; vote for Rand Paul The Richmond Register October 30, 2010 http://richmondregister.com/viewpoints/x104122498/Send-a-message-vote-for-Rand-Paul October 31, 2010 and the Bowling Green Daily News;Rand Paul is the right man for the Senate Bowling Green Daily News October 27, 2010 http://www.bgdailynews.com/opinion/our_opinion/rand-paul-is-the-right-man-for-the-senate/article_b1f2d113-aacf-5dd2-9ae1-fc604930ca03.html October 31, 2010 as well as by the National Federation of Independent Business,"National Federation of Independent Business Endorses Dr. Rand Paul" https://web.archive.org/web/20120430084025/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/09/national-federation-of-independent-business-endorses-dr-rand-paul April 30, 2012 , September 23, 2010 Council for Citizens Against Government Waste,"Council For Citizens Against Government Waste Endorses Dr. Rand Paul" https://web.archive.org/web/20120309140737/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/09/council-for-citizens-against-government-waste-endorses-dr-rand-paul March 9, 2012 , September 23, 2010 National Right to Life,"National Right to Life Endorses Rand Paul" https://web.archive.org/web/20120807150221/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/09/national-right-to-life-endorses-rand-paul August 7, 2012 , September 17, 2010 US Chamber of Commerce,"US Chamber of Commerce Endorses Rand Paul" https://web.archive.org/web/20120309140746/http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/09/us-chamber-of-commerce-endorses-rand-paul March 9, 2012 , September 15, 2010 National Vietnam and Gulf War Veterans Coalition,"Rand Paul Receives Endorsement of the National Vietnam and Gulf War Veterans Coalition", September 9, 2010 Mike Huckabee,"Governor Mike Huckabee and Huck Pac Endorse Rand Paul for U.S. Senate in Kentucky", September 16, 2010 and Tony Perkins/FRC Action PAC.Trish Turner Religious Attack Ad Rallies Conservatives to Rand Paul's Side Fox News October 21, 2010 http://politics.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/10/21/religious-attack-ad-rallies-conservatives-rand-pauls-side October 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101023153538/http://politics.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/10/21/religious-attack-ad-rallies-conservatives-rand-pauls-side October 23, 2010 dead mdy-all FRC Action PAC October 22, 2010 FRC Action PAC Endorses Rand Paul for U.S. Senate http://www.frcaction.org/frcapacinternal/frc-action-pac-endorses-rand-paul-for-us-senate October 24, 2010 Conway was endorsed by the Courier-Journalhttp://www.courier-journal.com/article/20101024/OPINION01/310240024/Editorial-Endorsements-Jack-Conway-for-U-S-Senate-in-Kentucky Editorials The Courier-Journal May 8, 2012 and the Lexington Herald Leader.http://www.jackconway.org/2010/10/17/herald-leader-conway-right-choice-for-u-s-senate Herald Leader: Conway right choice for U.S. Senate October 17, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101202175632/http://www.jackconway.org/2010/10/17/herald-leader-conway-right-choice-for-u-s-senate December 2, 2010 Debates March 2013 thumb|Rand Paul and Jack Conway debate, October 2010 There were 5 televised debates between the two candidates. The first debate on October 3, 2010, which was moderated by Chris Wallace, seemed to focus on President Obama's decisions during his 2 years as president. Paul stated, "I think his agenda is wrong for America. I will stand up against President Obama's agenda." Conway responded, "I am a proud Democrat. I'm certainly not going to be on the left of Barack Obama." At the time of the debate, the election's polls indicated the race was a dead heat.Hirschkorn Phil Cordes Nancy Rand Paul, Jack Conway Face Off in Kentucky Senate Debate https://www.cbsnews.com/news/rand-paul-jack-conway-face-off-in-kentucky-senate-debate January 10, 2014 CBS News October 4, 2010 2010 United States Senate election in Kentucky No. Number Date Host Moderator Link Participantsblack #90ff90  P  Participant  black #ff9090  A  Absent  black #A2B2C2  N  Non-invitee  black #CCFFCC  I  Invitee  black #f0e68c  W  Withdrawn Rand Paul Jack Conway 1 May 18, 2010 ???? ????C-SPAN P P 2 October 11, 2010 ???? ????C-SPAN P P 3 October 17, 2010 ???? ????C-SPAN P P 4 October 25, 2010 ???? ????C-SPAN P P Predictions Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/senate Senate Cook Political Report October 20, 2010 Lean R November 1, 2010 Rothenberghttp://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate Senate Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 20, 2010 Lean R October 29, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html Battle for the Senate RealClearPolitics October 20, 2010 Lean R October 19, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate 2010 Senate Ratings Sabato's Crystal Ball October 20, 2010 October 28, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ dead Lean R October 14, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics October 20, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081113145841/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate November 13, 2008 Lean R October 20, 2010 Rasmussen Reportshttp://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kentucky/election_2010_kentucky_senate Election 2010: Senate Balance Of Power Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2010 Safe R October 29, 2010 The New York Timeshttp://elections.nytimes.com/2010/senate Senate Race Ratings The New York Times October 20, 2010 Lean R October 20, 2010 Fundraising Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Rand Paul (R) $6,727,033 $6,068,547 $658,484 $0 Jack Conway (D) $5,027,318 $4,370,349 $684,177 $460,794 Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSProcessCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=KY&election_yr=2010 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kentucky fec.gov October 24, 2010 June 2016 medicmedic Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error RandPaul (R) JackConway (D) Other Undecided SurveyUSA report August 15–17, 2009 1,944 ± 2.3% 38% 43% — 19% Research 2000 reportarchive August 31 – September 2, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 37% 41% — 22% Rasmussen Reports report September 30, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 38% 42% 4% 15% SurveyUSA report October 30 – November 2, 2009 1,770 ± 2.4% 39% 44% — 17% Public Policy Polling reportJuly 2020 medicmedic December 18–21, 2009 1,199 ± 2.8% 42% 36% — 22% Rasmussen Reports report January 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 38% 4% 12% Rasmussen Reports report February 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 39% 3% 11% Rasmussen Reports report March 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 34% 4% 13% Research 2000 reportarchive March 15–17, 2010 600 ± 5.0% 45% 39% — 16% Rasmussen Reports report March 31, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 36% 3% 11% Rasmussen Reports report April 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 38% 4% 10% Public Policy Polling report May 1–2, 2010 946 ± 3.2% 41% 40% — 19% Research 2000 reportarchive May 10–12, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 42% 39% — 19% Rasmussen Reports reportJuly 2020 medicmedic May 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 59% 34% 4% 3% Research 2000 report May 24–26, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 44% 41% — 9% SurveyUSA report May 25–27, 2010 569 ± 4.2% 51% 45% — 4% Rasmussen Reports report June 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 41% 4% 6% Rasmussen Reports report June 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 42% 3% 6% Public Policy Polling report June 28–30, 2010 625 ± 3.9% 43% 43% — 14% Rasmussen Reports report July 20, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 41% 4% 6% SurveyUSA report July 27–29, 2010 568 ± 4.2% 51% 43% — 5% Reuters/Ipsos report August 13–15, 2010 435 ± 4.7% 45% 40% — 15% Rasmussen Reports report August 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 40% 4% 7% SurveyUSA report August 30 – September 1, 2010 561 ± 4.2% 55% 40% — 5% Opinion Research report https://web.archive.org/web/20100909145435/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/08/cnntime-poll-ky-senate-race-all-tied-up/ September 9, 2010 September 2–7, 2010 869 ± 3.5% 46% 46% 5% 4% Rasmussen Reports report September 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 54% 39% 2% 4% Public Policy Polling report September 11–12, 2010 959 ± 3.2% 49% 42% — 9% SurveyUSA report September 21–23, 2010 611 ± 4.0% 49% 47% — 4% Rasmussen Reports report September 29, 2010 500 ± 4.0% 49% 38% 5% 8% Rasmussen Reports report October 18, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 42% 4% 7% Mason-Dixon report October 18–19, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 48% 43% — 9% Rasmussen Reports report October 23, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 50% 43% 2% 5% Public Policy Polling report October 21–24, 2010 900 ± 3.3% 53% 40% — 7% Opinion Research report October 20–26, 2010 785 ± 3.5% 50% 43% — — SurveyUSA report October 24–27, 2010 900 ± 4.0% 52% 43% — 4% Rasmussen Reports report October 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 53% 41% 2% 4% Public Policy Polling report October 28–30, 2010 1,021 ± 3.1% 55% 40% — 5% Results United States Senate election in Kentucky, 20102010 General Election Results https://elect.ky.gov/SiteCollectionDocuments/Election%20Results/2010-2019/2010/off2010gen.pdf Kentucky State Board of Elections Rand Paul Republican Party (United States) 755,706 55.73% +5.07% Jack Conway Democratic Party (United States) 600,052 44.25% -5.09% Billy Ray Wilson (write-in) Independent 338 0.02% N/A 1,356,096 100.0% Republican Party (United States) Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Bell (Largest city: Middlesboro) Bourbon (Largest city: Paris) Caldwell (Largest city: Princeton) Calloway (Largest city: Murray) Carlisle (Largest city: Bardwell) Clark (Largest city: Winchester) Gallatin (Largest city: Warsaw) Graves (Largest city: Mayfield) Greenup (Largest city: Flatwoods) Harrison (Largest city: Cynthiana) Henry (Largest city: Eminence) Hickman (Largest city: Clinton) Livingston (Largest city: Salem) Lyon (Largest city: Eddyville) Marshall (Largest city: Benton) Morgan (Largest city: West Liberty) Nelson (Largest city: Bardstown) Bath (Largest city: Owingsville) Union (Largest city: Morganfield) Webster (Largest city: Providence) Robertson (largest municipality: Mount Olivet) (became tied) Ballard (Largest city: LaCenter) Fulton (Largest city: Fulton) Madison (Largest city: Richmond) Woodford (Largest city: Versailles) References Further reading Voss D. Stephen Gross Donald Miller William J. Walling Jeremy D. Tea Party Effects on 2010 Senate Elections Lexington Books 2011 141–172 Chapter 8: Poster Child for the Tea Party: Rand Paul of Kentucky 978-0739167014 amp External links Kentucky State Board of Elections U.S. Congress candidates for Kentucky Kentucky U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com Campaign contributions from Open Secrets 2010 Kentucky Senate General Election: Rand Paul (R) vs Jack Conway (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com Election 2010: Kentucky Senate from Rasmussen Reports 2010 Kentucky Senate Race from Real Clear Politics 2010 Kentucky Senate Race from CQ Politics Race profile from The New York Times Kentucky Senate election coverage from The Courier-Journal, Louisville Kentucky Senate election coverage from the Lexington Herald-Leader, including Voter's Guide for Democratic https://web.archive.org/web/20110713144446/http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/05/16/06/100516VOTESenateDems.source.prod_affiliate.79.jpg 2011-07-13 and Republican https://web.archive.org/web/20110713144507/http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/05/16/06/100516VOTESenateRep.source.prod_affiliate.79.jpg 2011-07-13 candidates Debates Kentucky Senate Democratic Primary Debate, C-SPAN, May 3, 2010 Kentucky Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPAN, May 10, 2010 Kentucky Senate Candidate Forum, C-SPAN, July 22, 2010 Kentucky Senate Debate, Fox News Sunday, October 3, 2010, full transcript Official campaign websites (Archived) Jack Conway for U.S. Senate Rand Paul for U.S. Senate Category:2010 Kentucky elections Kentucky 2010 Category:Rand Paul