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1995 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
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Election in the Spanish region of Castilla–La Mancha
1995 Castilian-Manchegan regional election Castilla–La Mancha parliamentary no 1991 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 1991 1999 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 1999 All 47 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 24 #Opinion polls 1,352,958 10px 3.7% 1,066,571 (78.8%)10px 6.3 pp 28 May 1995 170x170px José Bono Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 25 March 1983 Toledo 27 seats, 52.2% 24 10px 3 483,888 45.7% 10px 6.5 pp 170x170px José Manuel Molina People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 23 December 1989 Toledo 19 seats, 35.9% 22 10px 3 469,127 44.3% 10px 8.4 pp 170x170px José Molina Martínez IU–ICAM 732021 1991 Albacete 1 seat, 6.2% 1 10px 0 80,482 7.6% 10px 1.4 pp CastillaLaManchaProvinceMapCortes1995.svg 300px Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha President José Bono Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha José Bono Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha
A regional election was held in Castilla–La Mancha on 28 May 1995 to elect the 4th es Cortes no of the autonomous community. All 47 seats in the es Cortes no were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.
Despite bearing enormous losses, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) was able to maintain government, albeit with a mere 1-seat majority. The People's Party (PP), which in this election made the greatest gains, finished a close second but remained unable to win the PSOE in one of its—considered—strongest strongholds. Meanwhile, United Left (IU) maintained its presence in the es Cortes no and was able to increase both its vote support and share, but remained unable to gain new seats.
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities.Statute of Autonomy of Castilla–La Mancha of 1982 Organic Law 9 Official State Gazette es 10 August 1982 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20820&tn=1&p=19940325 15 September 2017 Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 47 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php dead 30 July 2017 Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College, Dublin 22 July 2017 Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of five seats, with the remaining 22 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.Castilla–La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986 Law 5 Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha es 23 December 1986 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-2164&tn=1&p=19941230 15 September 2017
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Organic Law 5 Official State Gazette es 19 June 1985 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=19950324 28 December 2016https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG Representation of the people Institutional Act www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Central Electoral Commission 16 June 2017
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the election date for the Cortes on 28 May 1995.
The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha could not be dissolved before the expiration date of parliament. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 24 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha.
Color key:
#EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 17px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 27px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 25px|link=United Left (Spain)|IU Lead 1995 regional election 28 May 1995 78.8 45.775% Verdana 24 44.375% Verdana 22 7.675% Verdana 1 1.4 Eco Consulting/RTVEEl PP se impuso en diez comunidades http://diariodenavarra.mynewsonline.com/index.php?screen=preview&ref=NAV19950529G004 es Diario de Navarra 29 May 1995 28 May 1995?? 43.275% Verdana 21/22 44.275% Verdana 22/24 8.675% Verdana 2/4 1.0 Vox Pública–ODEC/Antena 3 28 May 1995???75% Verdana 19/22?75% Verdana 24/25?75% Verdana 1/3? Demoscopia/El PaísEl PP será la fuerza más votada en 12 comunidades https://elpais.com/diario/1995/05/20/espana/800920832_850215.html es El País 20 May 1995El tirón de Bono mantiene la incógnita https://elpais.com/diario/1995/05/20/espana/800920824_850215.html es El País 20 May 1995Mañana, previsiones para las municipales https://elpais.com/diario/1995/05/20/espana/800920801_850215.html es El País 20 May 1995El PP gana en doce autonomías y el PSOE sólo en Extremadura, según un sondeo http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1995/05/21/pagina-16/33769178/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 21 May 1995 10–15 May 1995 1,000? 41.975% Verdana 20/23 47.075% Verdana 23/25 8.675% Verdana 2/4 5.1 CISPreelectoral Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio 2165. Abril-Mayo 1995) http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2160_2179/2165/e216500.html es CIS 10 May 1995Estudio CIS nº 2165. Ficha técnica http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2160_2179/2165/FT2165.pdf es CIS 10 May 1995 24 Apr–10 May 1995 1,696 75.1 44.2 45.3 8.7 1.1 Gruppo/ABCEl PP ganaría hoy en Castilla–La Mancha por mayoría absoluta https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/1994/10/30/077.html es ABC 30 October 1994 24–27 Sep 1994 1,000? 36.875% Verdana 16/19 47.875% Verdana 24/27 11.275% Verdana 4 11.0 1994 EP election 12 Jun 1994 65.5 37.975% Verdana (18) 47.975% Verdana (25) 10.575% Verdana (4) 10.0 Gruppo/ABCEl PP rozaría la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha, según una encuesta de Gruppo para ABC https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/1994/05/22/084.html es ABC 22 May 1994 10–11 May 1994 1,000? 39.275% Verdana 18/21 46.675% Verdana 23/25 10.675% Verdana 3/4 7.4 Sigma Dos/ABCEl PSOE perdería hoy la mayoría en Castilla–La Mancha, según una encuesta de Sigma 2 para ABC https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/1994/02/27/080.html es ABC 27 February 1994 28–31 Jan 1994 1,000? 42.475% Verdana 21/22 44.875% Verdana 22/23 9.275% Verdana 2/4 2.4 1993 general election 6 Jun 1993 82.1 45.375% Verdana (24) 43.075% Verdana (22) 7.675% Verdana (1) 2.3 1991 regional election 26 May 1991 72.5 52.275% Verdana 27 35.975% Verdana 19 6.275% Verdana 1 16.3
Results
Overall
+ ← Summary of the 28 May 1995 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 483,888 45.70 −6.47 24 −3 People's Party (PP) 469,127 44.30 +8.45 22 +3 United Left–Left of Castilla–La Mancha (IU–ICAM) 80,482 7.60 +1.43 1 ±0 Centrist Union (UC) 4,288 0.40 −3.09 0 ±0 Regionalist Party of Castilla–La Mancha (PRCM) 3,121 0.29 +0.19 0 ±0 Action for Talavera Region (ACTAL) 2,015 0.19 −0.07 0 ±0 The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 1,474 0.14 New 0 ±0 Commoners' Land–Castilian Nationalist Party (TC–PNC) 1,406 0.13 +0.03 0 ±0 Regionalist Party of Guadalajara (PRGU) 543 0.05 −0.03 0 ±0 Guadalajara Independent Union (UIG) 513 0.05 New 0 ±0 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 498 0.05 New 0 ±0 Independent Regional Unity (URI) 391 0.04 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 11,128 1.05 +0.06 Total 1,058,874 47 ±0 Valid votes 1,058,874 99.28 +0.04 Invalid votes 7,697 0.72 −0.04 Votes cast / turnout 1,066,571 78.83 +6.33 Abstentions 286,387 21.17 −6.33 Registered voters 1,352,958 Sourceshttps://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/CASTILLA_LA_MANCHA_1995_ResultadosyElectos.pdf Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results, 28 May 1995 16 June 1995 es www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Electoral Commission of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017https://www.cortesclm.es/web2/paginas/elecciones/eleccionIV.php IV Legislature. Regional election, 28 May 1995 es www.cortesclm.es Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017https://www.historiaelectoral.com/acmancha.html Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019) es Historia Electoral.com 29 September 2017
Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 45.70
PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 44.30
IU–ICAM United Left (Spain) 7.60
Others #777777 1.35
Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.05
Seats #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 51.06
PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 46.81
IU–ICAM United Left (Spain) 2.13
Distribution by constituency
Constituency PSOE PP IU–ICAM % S % S % S Albacete 44.5 5 43.2 4 10.3 1 Ciudad Real 47.2 6 43.0 5 7.7 − Cuenca 45.7 4 47.5 4 4.7 − Guadalajara 37.9 3 48.9 4 9.6 − Toledo 47.6 6 43.5 5 6.3 − Total 45.7 24 44.3 22 7.6 1 Sources
Aftermath
InvestitureJosé Bono (PSOE) Ballot → 30 June 1995 Required majority → 24 out of 47 15 Yes • PSOE (24) 24 47 green 125px No • PP (22) • IU (1) 23 47 red 125px Abstentions 0 47 gray 125px Absentees 0 47 black 125px Sources
References
Opinion poll sources
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Other
Category:1995 in Castilla–La Mancha
Castilla-La Mancha
Category:Regional elections in Castilla–La Mancha
Category:May 1995 in Spain