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2012 United States presidential election in Florida
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June 2025
April 2012
2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Florida Florida presidential no 2008 United States presidential election in Florida 2008 November 6, 2012 2016 United States presidential election in Florida 2016 72% 2021 Voter Turnout https://dos.fl.gov/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/voter-turnout/ live Florida Division of Elections https://web.archive.org/web/20150602000936/http://dos.myflorida.com:80/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/voter-turnout/ June 2, 2015 x200px President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Illinois Joe Biden 29 4,237,756 50.01% Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg Mitt Romney Republican Party (United States) Massachusetts Paul Ryan 0 4,163,447 49.13% 350px County results 350px Congressional district results
Obama
#b9d7ff 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70%
#1666cb 70–80%
#0645B4 80–90%
Romney
#f2b3be 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90% President Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States)
The 2012 United States presidential election in Florida took place on November 6, as part of the 2012 U.S. presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose 29 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, U.S. Representative Paul Ryan.http://www.nodeju.com/30913/2-days-after-election-florida-still-counting-votes.html 2 Days After Election Florida Still Counting Votes November 9, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121112130136/http://www.nodeju.com/30913/2-days-after-election-florida-still-counting-votes.html November 12, 2012 dead mdy-all 'Obama wint ook in Florida' (in Dutch)https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-20257843 Barack Obama closes in on Florida vote victory BBC News November 9, 2012 October 28, 2016
By November 8, the vote counting had still not concluded. However, with much of the remaining vote still coming in was from heavily Democratic areas, Romney's Florida campaign acknowledged that he had lost the state to Obama. In order to certify the election in Florida, the ballots continued to be counted.Caputo Marc Obama to win Florida; becomes emotional during thank you speech http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/08/3087995/romney-campaign-we-lost-florida.html The Miami Herald November 8, 2012 Both Miami-Dade and Broward County completed their ballot counts on November 8, leaving Palm Beach and Duval counties as the only two that did not have a final count at the end of the day.Weaver Jay Mazzei Patricia Morgan Curtis Broward joins Miami -Dade in completing election count http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/08/3088564/miami-dades-election-count-comes.html https://swap.stanford.edu/20121109194533/http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/08/3088564/miami-dades-election-count-comes.html dead November 9, 2012 The Miami Herald November 8, 2012
Florida required all counties to finish counting by noon Saturday but would not announce an official winner until the votes were certified on November 20. A recount is not done unless the difference is less than 0.5%. At 11 PM EST on November 9, the margin for Obama was 0.86%, with all but one county finished with their counting.http://www.digtriad.com/news/article/253699/57/Florida-Election-Results-By-Noon-Saturday Florida May Have Election Results By Noon Saturday 2012-11-09 https://web.archive.org/web/20121113055357/http://www.digtriad.com/news/article/253699/57/Florida-Election-Results-By-Noon-Saturday November 13, 2012 dead On November 10, most major news sources projected Obama to be the winner of Florida's 29 electoral votes. It was the last state to be called in the 2012 presidential election and also the closest.http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-obama-wins-florida-20121110,0,4062134.story It's official: Obama wins Florida Los Angeles Times November 10, 2012 2012-11-14http://staugustine.com/news/politics/2012-11-10/obama-wins-florida-topping-romney-final-tally Obama wins Florida, topping Romney in final tally 2012-11-14https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-campaign-florida-idUSL1E8MA16W20121110 Obama's final win in Florida gives him 332 electoral votes Reuters November 10, 2012 2012-11-14
Despite Tampa having been the site of the 2012 Republican National Convention, Obama ultimately carried Florida with 50.01% of the vote, to Romney's 49.13%, a margin of 0.88%. Having also won the state in 2008, Obama's 2012 victory made him the first Democrat since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944 to carry Florida in two consecutive elections, and also marked the first time since 1948 that the state voted Democratic in consecutive elections.
Nonetheless, Obama's margin of victory decreased from 2.81% in 2008. He also lost Flagler and Volusia Counties, which he had won in 2008;Florida en-US The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2012/results/states/florida.html 2020-09-01 0362-4331 he thus became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying the counties since Harry S. Truman in 1948 and the first to do so without carrying the latter since John F. Kennedy in 1960. Florida is also one of only three states that backed Obama twice that would go on to vote against his vice president Joe Biden in 2020, the other two being Iowa and Ohio.
As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that a Democratic presidential nominee has carried Florida, or the counties of Jefferson, St. Lucie, and Monroe. This remains the second closest presidential result in the state ever, behind only the 2000 election, and to date, 2012 was the only presidential race since 2000 where Florida's victory margin was less than 1%. Obama's victory in 2012, and that of Bill Nelson in the concurrent U.S. Senate race, was also the last time a Democrat won a federal statewide election in Florida, with the last statewide win coming in 2018.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
June 2022
Republican primary
2012 Florida Republican primary Florida presidential no 2008 Florida Republican presidential primary 2008 2012 01 31 2016 Florida Republican presidential primary 2016 Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg Mitt Romney Massachusetts 50 776,159 46.40% Florida Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2012.svg Florida results by county
#ff6600 Mitt Romney
#800080 Newt Gingrich Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg Newt Gingrich Georgia 0 534,121 31.93% Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Rick Santorum Pennsylvania 0 223,249 13.35% Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg Ron Paul Texas 0 117,461 7.02% ff6600 800080 008000 ffcc00 x125px
The Republican primary was held on January 31, 2012.http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/FL-R Florida Republican primary The Green Papers Richard E. Berg-Andersson December 28, 2011 January 14, 2012 50 of Florida's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to the Presidential contender receiving the most votes in today's Florida Presidential Primary. (Republican Party of Florida Rule 10 B). Fifty delegates were at stake, none of them RNC (or super) delegates; it is unclear whether these delegates will be allocated proportionally or winner-take-all. Originally awarded 99 delegates, the Republican National Committee removed half of Florida's delegates because the state committee moved its Republican primary before March 6;http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/2011/10/25/gop-chairman-florida-will-be-penalized-and-the-2012-race-is-now-set/ GOP chairman: Florida will be penalized, and 2012 race was set | Iowa Caucuses Caucuses.desmoinesregister.com October 25, 2011 January 22, 2012 the Republican National Committee rules also set the delegate allocation to be proportional because the contest was held before April 1.http://www.foxnews.com/interactive/politics/2012/02/01/gingrich-memo-on-florida-delegate-allocation/ Gingrich memo on Florida delegate allocation February 8, 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20120205174346/http://www.foxnews.com/interactive/politics/2012/02/01/gingrich-memo-on-florida-delegate-allocation/ February 5, 2012 It is a closed primary. There were 4,063,853 registered Republican voters as of January 3, 2012.http://election.dos.state.fl.us/voter-registration/statistics/pdf/2012/PPP2012_CountyParty.pdf County Voter Registration By Party as of Jan. 3, 2012 5 Florida Division of Elections January 15, 2012 January 22, 2012
Florida is spread over two time zones, so voting wasn't completed until 7 pm CST/8pm EST.http://doe.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/Index.asp?ElectionDate=1/31/2012&DATAMODE= Florida Department of State – Election Results Florida Department of State: Division of Elections February 22, 2012
Significance
In an effort to increase the political importance of their state's primary and receive added media exposure often directed to the early contests, Florida decided to plan its primary ahead of the early contests, a move that violated Republican Party rules and forced early states to move up their contests.Astor Maggie Florida Primary: January Date Violates Republican Rules, Complicates Race http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/221581/20110928/florida-primary-date-republican-presidential-race-iowa.htm International Business Times September 28, 2011 February 6, 2012 Florida announced that their primary would occur on January 31 instead of the expected March; Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina were expected to have their primaries in February but were forced to push their primaries into January, thereby shortening the overall amount of time that each person could campaign. Florida made this move in 2008.
As a result of this calendar violation, Florida was stripped of half of its delegates, awarding only 50 delegates instead of the original 100 delegates.
Dean Cannon, the Republican speaker of the Florida House of Representatives: "My goal all along is for Florida to preserve her place as the fifth spot on the nominating calendar and not to move ahead of Iowa and New Hampshire."O'Conner Patrick Early Florida Primary Would Scramble 2012 Calendar https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052970203405504576599140469674956 February 5, 2012 The Wall Street Journal September 29, 2011
Controversy
According to a Gingrich campaign memo, he planned to challenge the results based on an interpretation of the Republican National Committee's rules that state that no contest can be winner-take-all prior to April 1, 2012.https://www.politico.com/story/2012/01/fla-delegate-dispute-could-drag-on-071989 Florida primary 2012: Delegate dispute could drag on Politico.com May 4, 2012http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/02/gingrich-to-challenge-floridas-winner-take-all-primary-results.html Gingrich to Challenge Florida's Winner-Take-All Primary Results February 2012 nymag.com May 4, 2012https://www.npr.org/blogs/itsallpolitics/2012/02/02/146307946/gingrich-challenges-floridas-winner-take-all-delegate-scheme Gingrich Challenges Florida's Winner-Take-All Delegate Scheme npr.org May 4, 2012http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/state/gingrich-challenges-florida-gop-winner-take-all-rule-2144340.html?printArticle=y Gingrich challenges Florida GOP winner-take-all rule in attempt to get delegates PalmBeachPost.com February 3, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120203165406/http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/state/gingrich-challenges-florida-gop-winner-take-all-rule-2144340.html May 4, 2012http://floridaconservativenews.com/2012/02/gingrich-camp-memo-challenges-florida-as-winner-take-all-rnc-responds/ Gingrich Camp Memo Challenges Florida as Winner-Take-All; RNC Responds FloridaConservativeNews.com May 4, 2012 February 3, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160203212616/http://floridaconservativenews.com/2012/02/gingrich-camp-memo-challenges-florida-as-winner-take-all-rnc-responds/ dead http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/289999/rnc-member-gingrich-icouldi-contest-fla-brian-bolduc# RNC Member: Gingrich Could Contest Fla. nationalreview.com National Review May 4, 2012 Gingrich would have requested that delegates be divided proportionally, corresponding to the percentage of votes each candidate received.http://www.foxnews.com/interactive/politics/2012/02/01/gingrich-memo-on-florida-delegate-allocation/ Gingrich Memo "RE: Issues Surrounding Florida's Allocation of Delegates" FoxNews.com Politics February 2, 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20120205174346/http://www.foxnews.com/interactive/politics/2012/02/01/gingrich-memo-on-florida-delegate-allocation/ February 5, 2012 It is not known what result a successful challenge might have had.
General election
Predictions
SourceRankingAs ofHuffington PostHuffington Post Election Dashboard HuffPost http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map https://archive.today/20130813173708/http://web.archive.org/web/20120502191502/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map 2013-08-13TossupNovember 6, 2012CNNAmerica's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map CNN http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator#?battleground dead https://archive.today/20130119130158/http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator%23?battleground 2013-01-19TossupNovember 6, 2012 The New York TimesElection 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2012/electoral-map.html https://archive.today/20120708093751/http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/electoral-map July 8, 2012 Tossup November 6, 2012The Washington Post2012 Presidential Election Results The Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ limited live https://web.archive.org/web/20120726195644/https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ 2012-07-26TossupNovember 6, 2012RealClearPolitics http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html dead https://web.archive.org/web/20110608112207/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html 2011-06-08 RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White HouseTossupNovember 6, 2012Sabato's Crystal Ball https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERMLean R flipNovember 5, 2012FiveThirtyEight https://www.masslive.com/news/2012/11/nate_silvers_political_calcula.html Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcomeLean DNovember 6, 2012
Results
250px|thumb|State Senate District Results:
Obama
#b9d7ff 40-50%
#86b6f2 50-60%
#4389e3 60-70%
#1666cb 70-80%
#0645B4 80-90%
Romney
#e27f90 50-60%
#cc2f4a 60-70%
#d40000 70-80%
The final vote count was unknown at noon Friday, November 9, 2012.Broward joins Miami-Dade in completing election count The delay in the final count was caused by a combination of an extremely long ballot (with eleven state amendment questions) and a high number of absentee ballots. There were 240,000 absentee ballots in Miami-Dade County, Florida alone, with 54,000 of these cast on election day. Four urban counties, Dade, Broward, Palm Beach and Duval, all experienced problems with counting their large number of absentee ballots. Each ballot had to be hand certified page by page, and then the pages had to be hand fed into the counting machine one by one. At noon Friday, Dade and Broward had finished counting, but Palm Beach and Duval were still counting.
2012 United States presidential election in Floridahttp://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections David Leip October 28, 2016PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) 4,237,756 50.01% 29 Republican Mitt Romney 4,163,447 49.13% 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson 44,726 0.53% 0 Green Jill Stein 8,947 0.11% 0 Peace and Freedom Party Roseanne Barr 8,154 0.10% 0 Objectivist Party Tom Stevens 3,856 0.05% 0 Justice Party Rocky Anderson 1,754 0.02% 0 America's Party Tom Hoefling 946 0.01% 0 Reform Andre Barnett 820 0.01% 0 Socialist Stewart Alexander 799 0.01% 0 Socialism and Liberation Peta Lindsay 322 0.00% 0 Write-ins Write-ins 2,652 0.03% 0 Totals 8,474,179 100.00% 29 Voter turnout (eligible voters) 72.00%
By county
section June 2024 The county table results do not match the election box or the infobox. please fix it
April 2026 Data needs to be replaced with the finalized canvas SOS report. Not individual county report which has extra write-in votes
County Barack ObamaDemocratic Mitt RomneyRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Alachua 69,699 57.71% 48,797 40.40% 2,277 1.89% 20,902 17.31% 120,773 Baker 2,311 20.29% 8,975 78.80% 104 0.91% -6,664 -58.51% 11,390 Bay 22,051 27.53% 56,876 71.01% 1,174 1.46% -34,825 -43.48% 80,101 Bradford 3,325 28.51% 8,219 70.46% 120 1.03% -4,894 -41.95% 11,664 Brevard 122,993 42.94% 159,300 55.62% 4,135 1.44% -36,307 -12.68% 286,428 Broward 508,312 67.12% 244,101 32.23% 4,941 0.65% 264,211 34.89% 757,354 Calhoun 1,664 26.91% 4,366 70.61% 153 2.48% -2,702 -43.70% 6,183 Charlotte 35,906 42.28% 47,996 56.52% 1,021 1.20% -12,090 -14.24% 84,923 Citrus 28,460 38.37% 44,662 60.22% 1,047 1.41% -16,202 -21.85% 74,169 Clay 25,759 26.61% 70,022 72.33% 1,024 1.06% -44,263 -45.72% 96,805 Collier 51,698 34.62% 96,520 64.64% 1,106 0.74% -44,822 -30.02% 149,324 Columbia 8,462 31.08% 18,429 67.69% 336 1.23% -9,967 -36.61% 27,227 DeSoto 4,174 42.22% 5,587 56.51% 126 1.27% -1,413 -14.29% 9,887 Dixie 1,798 25.84% 5,052 72.60% 109 1.56% -3,254 -46.76% 6,959 Duval 196,737 47.67% 211,615 51.27% 4,381 1.06% -14,878 -3.60% 412,733 Escambia 58,185 39.06% 88,711 59.55% 2,071 1.39% -30,526 -20.49% 148,967 Flagler 23,207 45.77% 26,969 53.19% 531 1.04% -3,762 -7.42% 50,707 Franklin 1,845 33.58% 3,570 64.98% 79 1.44% -1,725 -31.40% 5,494 Gadsden 15,770 70.01% 6,630 29.43% 125 0.56% 9,140 40.58% 22,525 Gilchrist 1,885 23.75% 5,917 74.55% 135 1.70% -4,032 -50.80% 7,937 Glades 1,603 40.03% 2,344 58.54% 57 1.43% -741 -18.51% 4,004 Gulf 2,014 28.26% 4,995 70.10% 117 1.64% -2,981 -41.84% 7,126 Hamilton 2,228 41.11% 3,138 57.90% 54 1.00% -910 -16.79% 5,420 Hardee 2,463 34.00% 4,696 64.83% 85 1.17% -2,233 -30.83% 7,244 Hendry 4,751 46.51% 5,355 52.42% 109 1.07% -604 -5.91% 10,215 Hernando 37,830 45.07% 44,938 53.54% 1,160 1.39% -7,108 -8.47% 83,928 Highlands 16,148 37.96% 25,915 60.92% 478 1.12% -9,767 -22.96% 42,541 Hillsborough 286,467 52.71% 250,186 46.04% 6,776 1.25% 36,281 6.67% 543,429 Holmes 1,264 15.25% 6,919 83.46% 107 1.29% -5,655 -68.21% 8,290 Indian River 27,492 38.41% 43,450 60.70% 638 0.89% -15,958 -22.29% 71,580 Jackson 7,342 35.02% 13,418 64.00% 207 0.98% -6,076 -28.98% 20,967 Jefferson 3,945 50.45% 3,808 48.70% 67 0.85% 137 1.75% 7,820 Lafayette 687 20.17% 2,668 78.33% 51 1.50% -1,981 -58.16% 3,406 Lake 61,799 40.89% 87,643 57.99% 1,702 1.02% -25,844 -17.10% 151,144 Lee 110,157 41.32% 154,163 57.83% 2,278 0.85% -44,006 -16.51% 266,598 Leon 90,881 61.13% 55,805 37.54% 1,985 1.33% 35,076 23.59% 148,671 Levy 6,119 33.15% 12,054 65.31% 284 1.54% -5,935 -32.16% 18,457 Liberty 942 28.64% 2,301 69.96% 46 1.40% -1,359 -41.32% 3,289 Madison 4,176 47.85% 4,474 51.27% 77 0.88% -298 -3.42% 8,727 Manatee 66,503 43.22% 85,627 55.65% 1,736 1.13% -19,124 -12.43% 153,866 Marion 66,831 41.32% 93,043 57.53% 1,864 1.15% -26,212 -16.21% 161,738 Martin 30,107 38.09% 48,183 60.96% 747 0.95% -18,076 -22.87% 79,037 Miami-Dade 541,440 61.58% 332,981 37.87% 4,758 0.55% 208,459 23.71% 879,179 Monroe 19,404 49.56% 19,234 49.12% 516 1.32% 170 0.44% 39,154 Nassau 10,251 25.23% 29,929 73.67% 445 1.10% -19,678 -48.44% 40,625 Okaloosa 23,421 24.63% 70,168 73.80% 1,486 1.57% -46,747 -49.17% 95,075 Okeechobee 4,856 39.27% 7,328 59.25% 183 1.48% -2,472 -19.98% 12,367 Orange 273,665 58.56% 188,589 40.36% 5,049 1.08% 85,076 18.20% 467,303 Osceola 67,239 61.73% 40,592 37.27% 1,091 1.00% 26,647 24.46% 108,922 Palm Beach 349,651 58.14% 247,398 41.13% 4,390 0.73% 102,253 17.01% 601,439 Pasco 98,263 45.86% 112,427 52.48% 3,558 1.66% -14,164 -6.62% 214,248 Pinellas 239,104 52.08% 213,258 46.45% 6,750 1.47% 25,846 5.63% 459,112 Polk 114,622 45.95% 131,577 52.75% 3,243 1.30% -16,955 -6.80% 249,442 Putnam 11,667 37.13% 19,326 61.50% 431 1.37% -7,659 -24.37% 31,424 St. Johns 35,190 30.59% 78,513 68.25% 1,332 1.16% -43,323 -37.66% 115,035 St. Lucie 65,869 53.42% 56,202 45.58% 1,230 1.00% 9,667 7.84% 123,301 Santa Rosa 17,768 23.06% 58,186 75.51% 1,106 1.43% -40,418 -52.45% 77,060 Sarasota 95,119 45.74% 110,504 53.14% 2,338 1.12% -15,385 -7.40% 207,961 Seminole 96,445 46.12% 109,943 52.57% 2,732 1.31% -13,498 -6.45% 209,120 Sumter 19,524 32.25% 40,646 67.13% 376 0.62% -21,122 -34.88% 60,546 Suwannee 4,751 26.85% 12,672 71.63% 269 1.52% -7,921 -44.78% 17,692 Taylor 2,764 30.24% 6,249 68.37% 127 1.39% -3,485 -38.13% 9,140 Union 1,339 24.76% 3,980 73.59% 89 1.65% -2,641 -48.83% 5,408 Volusia 114,748 48.78% 117,490 49.94% 3,016 1.28% -2,742 -1.16% 235,254 Wakulla 5,175 35.21% 9,290 63.21% 232 1.58% -4,115 -28.00% 14,697 Walton 6,671 23.34% 21,490 75.19% 421 1.47% -14,819 -51.85% 28,582 Washington 2,820 25.54% 8,038 72.79% 184 1.67% -5,218 -47.25% 11,042Totals4,237,75649.90%4,163,44749.03%90,9721.07%74,3090.87%8,492,175
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Flagler (largest city: Palm Coast)
Volusia (largest city: Deltona)
right 275px Swing by county 275px Trend relative to the state by county
Legend #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% 275px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
By congressional district
Despite losing the state, Romney won 16 of 27 congressional districts including one held by a Democrat, while Obama won 11, including two held by Republicans.https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2013/07/09/1220127/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2012-election-results-by-congressional-and-legislative-districts Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts Daily Kos 11 August 2020
District Romney Obama RepresentativeFlorida 1 1st68.66% 30.18%Jeff MillerFlorida 2 2nd 52.38% 46.52%Steve SoutherlandFlorida 3 3rd 61.5% 37.5%Ted YohoFlorida 4 4th 63.62% 35.45%Ander CrenshawFlorida 5 5th 28.05% 71.23%Corrine BrownFlorida 6 6th 57.7% 41.4%Ron DeSantisFlorida 7 7th 51.81% 47.1%John MicaFlorida 8 8th 56.76% 42.18%Bill PoseyFlorida 9 9th 37.21% 61.94%Alan GraysonFlorida 10 10th 53.35% 45.72%Daniel WebsterFlorida 11 11th 58.85% 40.23%Rich NugentFlorida 12 12th 54.04% 44.77%Gus BilirakisFlorida 13 13th 48.65% 50.12%Bill YoungFlorida 14 14th 33.96% 65.05%Kathy CastorFlorida 15 15th 53.33% 45.58%Dennis RossFlorida 16 16th 54.22% 44.9%Vern BuchananFlorida 17 17th 57.88% 41.2%Tom RooneyFlorida 18 18th 51.72% 47.56%Patrick MurphyFlorida 19 19th 60.6% 38.76%Trey RadelFlorida 20 20th 16.98% 82.16%Alcee HastingsFlorida 21 21st 38.85% 60.6%Ted DeutchFlorida 22 22nd 44.93% 54.38%Lois FrankelFlorida 23 23rd 37.9% 61.5%Debbie Wasserman SchultzFlorida 24 24th 12.17% 87.52%Frederica WilsonFlorida 25 25th 50.8% 48.7%Mario Díaz-BalartFlorida 26 26th 46.35% 53.1%Joe GarciaFlorida 27 27th 46.45% 53.05%Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
Analysis
Obama won the state and its 29 electoral votes on Election Day by a margin of 0.88%, down from the 2.82% margin in 2008. Florida was the closest race in the country at the presidential level. Throughout the night, Obama and Romney exchanged the lead, but the networks avoided calling the state for Obama until November 10 because long lines in the larger urban areas of the state meant that the vote count was delayed.
According to exit polling, Obama won 95% of the African-American vote (13% of voters), 60% of Latino voters (up 3 points from 2008 and 17% of all voters), and 50% among Independents (who accounted for 33% of all voters). Mitt Romney won white voters by 24 percent. In addition, both Democratic and Republican strategists agreed that the President's ground game and early voting leads played a huge role in such a tight race. Despite laws that curbed early voting, more than 4 million Floridians cast a ballot before Election Day (almost 50% of all voters), and reports showed that Obama was leading by about 104,000 among those voters.
The political geography of Florida is largely divided in thirds: South Florida (around the Miami metropolitan area) is heavily Democratic, North Florida (the Florida Panhandle, and the Jacksonville metropolitan area) is heavily Republican outside of Tallahassee and Gainesville, while Central Florida is a "swing" area of the state, where Democrats have made inroads in recent years.
Mirroring the results of the 2008 presidential election in Florida, Obama dominated South Florida, winning Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties by comfortable margins, and actually increased his vote share in Miami -Dade and Broward counties from 2008. However, Romney's performance in Palm Beach County was notable considering he is the first Republican presidential candidate in over a decade to receive over 40% of the county's vote. Obama's gains in South Florida have been attributed to increasing his vote share among Cuban Americans, a large demographic in and around Miami who have reliably voted Republican, from 35% in 2008 to 48% against Romney's 52% in 2012. Combined with his large margins of victory among non-Cuban Hispanics in the state, Arian Campo-Flores at The Wall Street Journal claimed that, "Together, both trends are accelerating a realignment of the state's Latino vote, from once solidly Republican to now reliably Democratic."Campo-Flores Arian Cuban-Americans Move Left https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424127887324073504578107412795405272 Twelve years later, in 2024, Republican Donald Trump won Miami-Dade County and a majority of Hispanics in Florida, while winning the state by 13%.Mazzei Patricia Trump Is the First Republican Presidential Candidate to Win Miami-Dade County Since 1988 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/05/us/trump-miami-dade-florida.html 12 November 2024 The New York Times 5 November 2024
Although Obama lost large swaths of North Florida, he was able to keep the margins relatively close along the Eastern Seaboard. He lost to Romney in Duval County, anchored by Florida's largest city, Jacksonville, by only 3%, and Volusia County, home to Daytona Beach, by less than 2%. Where the state tipped into the Obama column was in Central Florida, the site of enormous growth in the last two decades. Obama was able to deliver big wins in the Orlando and Tampa Bay areas, where George W. Bush won in 2004. In the former, Obama carried Orange County (which includes Orlando) by 19 points and Osceola County near Orlando by a 24-point margin (Bush won it in 2004 52%-47%). In both counties, he was able to tap into a growing Puerto Rican community, which overwhelmingly broke his way.
In the Tampa Bay region, Obama once again carried Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, by a 6-point margin, receiving over 13,000 more votes than he won in 2008. Obama also won Pinellas County, home to St. Petersburg, by a 52%-46.5% margin. Bush had narrowly carried the county by about 0.1% in 2004. In all, Obama won the three largest counties in Central Florida – Hillsborough, Orange, and Pinellas – while keeping his losing margins low in other populous counties – Polk, Seminole, and Manatee County.
Contrary to the 2010 elections where Democrats lost four seats from Florida in the U.S. House of Representatives, Democrats picked up four seats from Florida this time around, as the state's congressional delegation increased by 2 members. Patrick Murphy defeated incumbent Republican Allen West in Florida's 18th congressional district and Joe Garcia defeated incumbent Republican David Rivera in Florida's 26th congressional district. Democrat Alan Grayson won a new seat in Florida's 9th congressional district while former West Palm Beach mayor, Lois Frankel, won the newly created seat in Florida's 22nd congressional district for the Democrats. At the state level, Democrats picked up two seats in the Florida State Senate and five seats in the Florida House of Representatives as well.
References
30em
External links
Official website of Florida's Secretary of State's office
Official website of the Florida Republican Party
The Green Papers: for Florida
The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order
expanded
United States president
Florida
2012