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2010 Minnesota gubernatorial election
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2010 Minnesota gubernatorial election Minnesota 1983 presidential no 2006 Minnesota gubernatorial election 2006 2014 Minnesota gubernatorial election 2014 November 2, 2010 File:Mark Dayton official photo.jpg 150x150px Mark Dayton Yvonne Prettner Solon Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party 919,232 43.63% File:Tom Emmer official portrait 114th Congress (cropped 2).jpg Tom Emmer Annette Meeks Republican Party (United States) 910,462 43.21% 3x4.svg Tom Horner Jim Mulder Independence Party of Minnesota 251,487 11.94% 280px County results 280px Congressional district results 280px Precinct results 1 280px Dayton: #BDD3FF 30–40% #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Emmer: #FFC8CD 30–40% #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Horner: #aae5aa 30–40% #87de87 40–50% #37c837 60–70% #165016 >90%Tie: #DECDE6 30–40% #d2b1d9 40–50% #ae8bb1 50% #808080 No votes Governor Tim Pawlenty Republican Party (United States) Mark Dayton Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
The 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the 40th governor of the U.S. state of Minnesota for a four-year term to begin in January 2011. The general election was contested by the major party candidates State Representative Tom Emmer (R–Delano), former U.S. Senator Mark Dayton (DFL), and Independence Party candidate Tom Horner. After a very close race, Dayton was elected governor.http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/12/04/democrat-dayton-wins-minnesota-gov-recount/ Democrat Dayton wins Minnesota Gov. recount cnn.com 4 April 2018 4 March 2020 https://web.archive.org/web/20200304070153/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/12/04/democrat-dayton-wins-minnesota-gov-recount/ dead Emmer would be elected to the United States House of Representatives four years later.https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2014/minnesota-elections Minnesota Election Results The New York Times
This was the first time the Democrats won the governorship since Rudy Perpich won re-election in 1986. With a margin of 0.4% (or 8,770 votes), this election was the closest race of the 2010 gubernatorial election cycle.
Republican primary
After incumbent Governor Tim Pawlenty announced in June 2009 that he would not seek a third term,Kessler Pat http://wcco.com/politics/tim.pawlenty.minnesota.2.1027979.html Pawlenty Won't Seek 3rd Term, So What's Next? WCCO June 2, 2009 2010-11-04 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100428001134/http://wcco.com/politics/tim.pawlenty.minnesota.2.1027979.html April 28, 2010 the field was open for Republicans to seek their party's endorsement. At the Minnesota GOP's off-year state convention in October 2009, former Representative Marty Seifert took first place in a straw poll with 37% of the vote. Representative Tom Emmer took second place with 23%, Patricia Anderson had 14%, and the rest of the participating candidates received less than 10% each.Rachel E. Stassen-Berger, Star Tribune http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/63453812.html?elr=KArks8c7PaP3E77K_3c::D3aDhUoaEaD_ec7PaP3iUiacyKUnciaec8O7EyUr Seifert is top GOP pick for governor in straw poll StarTribune.com 2009-10-03 2010-05-04http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1173663.shtml?cat=1 KSTP TV – Minneapolis and St. Paul – Seifert Wins GOP Straw Poll Kstp.com 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20091005084552/http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1173663.shtml?cat=1 2009-10-05 dead
Seifert had another victory in the February 2 precinct caucuses, winning a statewide straw poll of caucus attendees with 50% of the vote, followed by Emmer with 39%. None of the other candidates got beyond single digits.http://politicsinminnesota.com/blog/2010/02/caucus-night-dfl-and-gop-straw-poll-results-are-trickling-in/ » Caucus night: Seifert wins; Kelliher, Rybak too close to call 3 February 2010 Politicsinminnesota.com 2010-05-04 Delegates to the state convention, however, were more closely divided between Emmer and Seifert than the initial straw poll indicated. Both camps claimed a delegate lead throughout the process leading up to the state convention, but the outcome was uncertain and was ultimately decided on the convention floor.http://politicsinminnesota.com/blog/2010/04/gop-gubernatorial-hopefuls-seifert-and-emmer-take-their-neck-and-neck-race-to-convention-delegates/ GOP gov hopefuls Seifert and Emmer take neck-and-neck race to convention delegates 2010-04-28 2010-05-04
On April 30, Emmer won the Republican endorsement at the party's state convention in Minneapolis. After Emmer won 56% of the vote on the second ballot, Seifert withdrew from the race and threw his support to Emmer. Emmer then chose Metropolitan Council member Annette Meeks as his running mate for lieutenant governor.http://www.twincities.com/ci_14971517 GOP gubernatorial candidate Tom Emmer picks Met Council member Annette Meeks as his running mate 27 April 2010 TwinCities.com 2010-05-04
Emmer won the August 10 primary, earning a spot on the November ballot.http://elections.startribune.com/returns/mgovsm.html?elr=KArksLckD8EQDUoaEyqyP4O:DW3ckUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aU1yDEmP:QMDCinchO7DU Star Tribune Elections.startribune.com 2010-11-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20110716132016/http://elections.startribune.com/returns/mgovsm.html?elr=KArksLckD8EQDUoaEyqyP4O:DW3ckUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aU1yDEmP:QMDCinchO7DU 2011-07-16 dead
Candidates
Declared
Bob Carney Jr., inventorhttp://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/01/11/gubernatorial-candidates/ Field of gubernatorial candidates continues to grow Tim Pugmire Minnesota Public Radio 2010-01-11 2010-05-04
William McGaugheyhttp://www.republicancontract.com/4-25-10All.htm News Release Republicancontract.com 2010-04-25 2010-08-21
Leslie Davis, environmental activisthttp://www.lesliedavis.org/ Leslie Davis for Governor Minnesota Lesliedavis.org 2009-06-30 2010-05-04GOP Plans Gubernatorial Straw Poll Saint Paul Pioneer Press 2009-07-18
Gregory K. Soderberg
Tom Emmer, state representativehttp://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2009/07/06/emmer_governor/ Minnesota Public Radio 2009-07-06 2010-06-30 Tim Nelson Rep. Tom Emmer joins governor's race
Annette Meeks, Metropolitan Council member
Ole Savior, perennial candidate, artist, poet
Todd "Elvis" Anderson, Elvis impersonatorhttp://olesavior.wordpress.com/2010/05/19/my-lt-governor-is-elvis/ My Lt Governor is Elvis 19 May 2010 wordpress.com 4 April 2018
Withdrew
Patricia Anderson, former state auditorhttp://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=836044&catid=14 https://archive.today/20130127013421/http://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=836044&catid=14 dead 2013-01-27 Twin Cities, MN | Anderson out of gov's race, says Coleman a factor kare11.com 2010-05-04
Bill Haas, former state representative, former mayor of Champlinhttp://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=768790&catid=14 https://archive.today/20130127021317/http://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=768790&catid=14 dead 2013-01-27 Twin Cities, MN | former Minn. GOP lawmaker to run for governor kare11.com 2010-05-04
David Hann, state senatorAssociated Press http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/84472182.html Hann drops out of Minn. governor's race StarTribune.com 2010-02-16 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20100221052938/http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/84472182.html 2010-02-21 dead
Phil Herwig, activisthttp://www.cfboard.state.mn.us/campfin/rpdetail/rp16890.html Principal Campaign Committee Registration Information Cfboard.state.mn.us 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20100515080659/http://www.cfboard.state.mn.us/campfin/rpdetail/rp16890.html 2010-05-15 dead
Mike Jungbauer, state senator, former mayor of East Bethelhttp://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2009/11/11/jungbauer-drops/ Republican Jungbauer drops run for Minn. governor | Minnesota Public Radio NewsQ Minnesota.publicradio.org 2009-11-11 2010-05-04
Paul Kohls, state representativehttp://wcco.com/politics/Paul.kohls.campaign.2.1278926.html Republican Kohls Suspends Campaign For MN Governor WCCO 2009-10-29 2010-05-04 November 2010 H3llBot
Marty Seifert, state representative, former State House minority leader
Declined
Laura Brod, state representativeKevin Duchschere, Star Tribune http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/50178732.html Seifert brings his farming roots into governor's race StarTribune.com 2009-07-07 2010-05-04 January 24, 2025 https://web.archive.org/web/20250124013827/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/50178732.html dead
Norm Coleman, former U.S. senator, former St. Paul mayorhttp://minnesota.publicradio.org/collections/special/columns/polinaut/archive/2009/06/coleman_comment_1.shtml Coleman comments on gov run | Polinaut Minnesota Public Radio 2009-06-04 2010-05-04http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2009/10/03/norm-coleman-ponders-2010-gubernatorial-run/ Norm Coleman ponders 2010 gubernatorial run | Minnesota Public Radio NewsQ Minnesota.publicradio.org 2009-10-03 2010-05-04
Paul Koering, state senator http://www.kxmc.com/News/385970.asp Latest Minnesota news, sports, business and entertainment:... KXMC May 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes http://www.minnpost.com/douggrow/2009/08/12/10846/as_a_gay_candidate_for_governor_paul_koering_says_he_has_no_party_support As a gay candidate for governor, Paul Koering says he has no party support 2009-08-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20090815184252/http://www.minnpost.com/douggrow/2009/08/12/10846/as_a_gay_candidate_for_governor_paul_koering_says_he_has_no_party_support 2009-08-15 dead
Tim Pawlenty, incumbent governor
Jim Ramstad, former U.S. representativehttp://www.startribune.com/politics/state/50790792.html?elr=KArksLckD8EQDUoaEyqyP4O:DW3ckUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUac8HEaDiaMDCinchO7DU Ramstad says he won't run for Minn. governor July 14, 2009 July 14, 2009 Star Tribune January 24, 2025 https://web.archive.org/web/20250124030305/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/50790792.html?elr=KArksLckD8EQDUoaEyqyP4O:DW3ckUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUac8HEaDiaMDCinchO7DU dead
Brian Sullivan, businessmanhttp://www.twincities.com/politics/ci_12574536?nclick_check=1 At The Capitol / Sullivan not running for governor in 2010 11 June 2009 TwinCities.com 2010-05-04
Steve Sviggum, commissioner of Labor and Industry and former State House speakerhttp://development.postbulletin.com/blogs/breaking_news/2009/06/03/steve-sviggum-of-kenyon-says-hes-interested-in-running-for-governor/ Steve Sviggum interested in running for governor June 3, 2009 July 5, 2009 Rochester Post-Bulletin https://web.archive.org/web/20110715105948/http://development.postbulletin.com/blogs/breaking_news/2009/06/03/steve-sviggum-of-kenyon-says-hes-interested-in-running-for-governor/ July 15, 2011 dead mdy-all
Charlie Weaver, former commissioner of Public SafetyStassen Rachel E. http://www.startribune.com/blogs/71589792.html GOP's Charlie Weaver opts out of governor's race StarTribune.com 2009-11-23 2010-05-04 2011-04-11 https://web.archive.org/web/20110411000315/http://www.startribune.com/blogs/71589792.html dead
Results
Republican primary results
Tom Emmer Republican Party (United States) 107,558 82.5
Bob Carney Jr. Republican Party (United States) 9,856 7.6
Leslie Davis Republican Party (United States) 8,598 6.6
Ole Savior Republican Party (United States) 4,396 3.4
130,408 100
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
The list of candidates seeking the DFL's nomination was long going into the February 2 caucuses, with over 11 candidates having submitted their names for the candidate preference ballot. Former U.S. Senator Mark Dayton notably declined to be included on the ballot. Minneapolis Mayor R. T. Rybak won the straw poll with 21.8% of the vote, with State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher receiving 20.1%, and "uncommitted" receiving 14.7%. The other each candidates received single-digit support. http://caucusresults.sos.state.mn.us/ElecRslts.asp?M=PTY&PtyCd=DFL&elr=KArks8c7PaP3E77K_3c::D3aDhUoaEaD_ec7PaP3iUiacyKUUr Preference Ballot for Governor: Unofficial results:Results Statewide for Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party Minnesota Secretary of State 2010-02-03http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/83411252.html Caucus night: Seifert wins GOP poll, DFLers vote Rybak Star Tribune 2010-02-03 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20100330033635/http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/83411252.html 2010-03-30 dead
Former State Senator Steve Kelley dropped out of the race after a disappointing result in the straw poll. State Senator Tom Bakk also dropped out on March 20 after announcing at the St. Louis County Convention that he believed his chances of winning were slim.
On April 24, the DFL State Convention was held in Duluth. State Senator John Marty withdrew from the race after seeing lower than expected support on the first ballot, and State Representative Tom Rukavina withdrew after the fourth ballot, endorsing Kelliher. State Representative Paul Thissen withdrew after the fifth ballot, and before the results of the sixth ballot were announced, Rybak withdrew as well, endorsing Kelliher.Steve Perry http://politicsinminnesota.com/blog/2010/04/ballot-by-ballot-results/ Ballot by ballot results Star Tribune 2010-02-03 2010-05-04 Kelliher was subsequently endorsed by the convention. Ramsey County Attorney Susan Gaertner, who had not sought the DFL endorsement but was planning to run in the primary, dropped out two days later. That left Kelliher facing Dayton and former State House Minority Leader Matt Entenza in the August primary.
Shortly after the end of the 2010 legislative term, all three major DFL candidates had announced their choices for lieutenant governor. On May 21, Kelliher announced that John Gunyou would be her running mate. Gunyou was Minnetonka City Manager and was state finance commissioner in Republican Governor Arne Carlson's administration.http://www.minnpost.com/stories/2010/05/21/18398/kelliher_takes_a_calculated_risk_with_choice_of_john_gunyou_as_running_mate Kelliher takes a calculated risk with choice of John Gunyou as running mate 2010-05-21 2010-05-22 MinnPost Doug Grow https://web.archive.org/web/20100524021911/http://www.minnpost.com/stories/2010/05/21/18398/kelliher_takes_a_calculated_risk_with_choice_of_john_gunyou_as_running_mate 2010-05-24 dead On May 24, Dayton announced Yvonne Prettner Solon as his running mate. Solon was a psychologist and three-term state senator.http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/05/24/dayton-running-mate/ Dayton picks state Sen. Prettner Solon as running mate Minnesota Public Radio NewsQ 2010-05-24 2010-08-21 On May 27, Entenza announced Robyne Robinson as his running mate. Robinson was a small-business owner and former TV anchor.http://www.startribune.com/local/95020199.html Entenza chooses Robinson as his running mate Star Tribune 2010-05-27 2010-08-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20100530054037/http://www.startribune.com/local/95020199.html 2010-05-30 dead
Dayton narrowly won the August 10 primary, earning the right to serve as his party's nominee.http://wcco.com/politics/dfl.primary.winner.2.1852822.html AP: Dayton Wins DFL Nomination For Governor WCCO 2010-08-11 2010-11-04 November 2010 H3llBot He was formally endorsed by the DFL on August 21.http://www.minnpost.com/politicalagenda/2010/08/21/20781/dfl_formally_endorses_dayton_candidate_gives_them_red_meat_before_annual_barbecue DFL formally endorses Dayton; candidate gives them red meat before annual barbecue MinnPost 2010-11-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20100908220045/http://www.minnpost.com/politicalagenda/2010/08/21/20781/dfl_formally_endorses_dayton_candidate_gives_them_red_meat_before_annual_barbecue 2010-09-08 dead
Candidates
thumb|Candidate Mark Dayton speaking at a debate, 2009
Declared
Mark Dayton, former United States senatorhttp://www.keyc.com/node/25628 Former U.S. Senator Dayton Running For Governor Keyc.com 2009-07-31 2010-05-04 April 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes
Yvonne Prettner Solon, Minnesota state senator
Matt Entenza, former State House minority leaderPatricia Lopez http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/43540712.html?elr=KArks:DCiUtEia_nDaycUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU Entenza announces bid for Governor in '10 Star Tribune 2009-04-23 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20241229034327/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/43540712.html?elr=KArks:DCiUtEia_nDaycUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU December 29, 2024 dead
Robyne Robinson, former television personality
Peter Idusogie
Lady Jayne Fontaine
Margaret Anderson Kelliher, State Speaker of the House
John Gunyou, Minnetonka city manager
Withdrew
Tom Bakk, state senator https://web.archive.org/web/20090802102038/http://www.politicsinminnesota.com/2009/jul28/3511/what-makes-them-run-bakk-says-reviving-minnesota-economy-job-one August 2, 2009
Susan Gaertner, Ramsey County attorneyMannix Andy http://blogs.citypages.com/blotter/2010/04/susan_gaertner.php Susan Gaertner drops out of governor race Blogs.citypages.com 2010-04-26 2010-05-04 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100505073604/http://blogs.citypages.com/blotter/2010/04/susan_gaertner.php 2010-05-05
Steve Kelley, former state senator http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/50950132.html?page=2&c=y Suburban lawmaker Hann wants to be Minn. governor Minneapolis Star Tribune August 12, 2009 December 29, 2024 https://web.archive.org/web/20241229035014/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/50950132.html?page=2&c=y dead http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/02/04/kelley-out/ DFLer Steve Kelley drops out of Minn. gov race Minnesota Public radio NewsQ 2010-02-04 2010-05-04
John Marty, state senator and 1994 DFL gubernatorial nominee
Patricia Torres Ray, state senator2010-03-31 Marty picks running mate: state Sen. Patricia Torres Ray http://www.minnpost.com/politicalagenda/2010/03/31/17033/marty_picks_running_mate_state_sen_patricia_torres_ray 2010-07-20 MinnPost 2010-07-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20100714200232/http://www.minnpost.com/politicalagenda/2010/03/31/17033/marty_picks_running_mate_state_sen_patricia_torres_ray dead
Tom Rukavina, state representativeStar Tribune http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/51481632.html Thissen launches run for governor; Rukavina explores run Star Tribune 2009-07-23 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20090726130342/http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/51481632.html 2009-07-26 dead
R.T. Rybak, Minneapolis mayorhttp://www.minnpost.com/politicalagenda/2010/04/24/17629/kelliher_endorsed_rybak_concedes_nomination Kelliher endorsed: Rybak concedes nomination Minnpost.com 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20100429013252/http://www.minnpost.com/politicalagenda/2010/04/24/17629/kelliher_endorsed_rybak_concedes_nomination 2010-04-29 dead
Paul Thissen, state representativeStar Tribune http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/51481632.html?elr=KArksD:aDyaEP:kD:aUq9_b9b_jEkP:QUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU Thissen launches run for governor; Rukavina explores run Star Tribune 2009-07-23 2010-05-04 December 29, 2024 https://web.archive.org/web/20241229033445/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/51481632.html?elr=KArksD:aDyaEP:kD:aUq9_b9b_jEkP:QUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU dead
Declined
Chris Coleman, mayor of Saint PaulCampbell Bradley http://blogs.citypages.com/blotter/2009/10/chris_coleman_w.php Chris Coleman will NOT run for Governor – Minneapolis / St. Paul News – The Blotter Blogs.citypages.com 2009-10-08 2010-05-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20100505154715/http://blogs.citypages.com/blotter/2009/10/chris_coleman_w.php 2010-05-05 dead
Mike Opat, chairman of the Hennepin County Board of Commissionershttp://www.minnpost.com/stories/2009/06/29/9821/gubernatorial_candidates_ins_and_outs_and_maybes_of_the_race Gubernatorial Candidates Ins and Outs (and maybes) of the Race MinnPost 2009-07-20 2008-08-10 https://web.archive.org/web/20090702041310/http://www.minnpost.com/stories/2009/06/29/9821/gubernatorial_candidates_ins_and_outs_and_maybes_of_the_race 2009-07-02 dead
Polling
Poll sourceDates administeredMark DaytonMatt EntenzaMargaret Anderson KelliherUndecidedSampling errorSurvey USASurvey USAAugust 2–4, 2010 43% 22% 27% 8% 4.5%Minnesota Pollhttp://www.startribune.com/politics/state/99695934.html?elr=KArksD:aDyaEP:kD:aUq9_b9b_jEkP:QUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU Minnesota Poll August 1, 2010 January 24, 2025 https://web.archive.org/web/20250124011701/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/99695934.html?elr=KArksD:aDyaEP:kD:aUq9_b9b_jEkP:QUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU dead July 26–29, 2010 40% 17% 30% 13% 7.3%Survey USASurvey USAJune 14–16, 2010 39% 22% 26% 11% 4.5%Humphrey Institute /MPRHumphrey Institute / MPRMay 13–16, 2010 38% 6% 28% 28% 8.75%
Results
thumb|280px|Results by county:
Dayton #bdd3ff 30–40% #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70%
Kelliher #ffccaa 30–40% #ffb380 40–50%
Entenza #afe9af 30–40% #5fd35f 50–60%
At 11:50 p.m. on primary night, Dayton took the lead from Kelliher, who had held an ever-shrinking lead since the polls closed.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/MN The 2010 Results Maps Politico.Com 2010-08-21 August 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100823031212/http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/MN dead
Mark Dayton Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party 182,738 41.3
Margaret Anderson Kelliher Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party 175,767 39.8
Matt Entenza Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party 80,509 18.2
Peter Idusogie Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party 3,123 0.7
442,137 100
Independence primary
On Sunday, May 9, 2010, Tom Horner won the endorsement of the Independence Party for governor. His main opponent, Rob Hahn, said he would contest the primary.Mannix Andy http://blogs.citypages.com/blotter/2010/05/tom_horner_wins.php Tom Horner wins IP endorsement Blogs.citypages.com 2010-05-09 2010-11-04 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101102220015/http://blogs.citypages.com/blotter/2010/05/tom_horner_wins.php 2010-11-02
Horner won the August 10 primary, defeating Hahn to earn a place on the November ballot.
Candidates
Rob HahnRob Hahn, publisher, joins gov race for Independence Party Tim Pugmire January 14, 2010 http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/01/14/hahn-independence-party/
Thomas Harens
Tom Horner, public affairs consultantTom Horner tops IP gubernatorial field Bob Von Sternberg Minneapolis Star Tribune March 2, 2010 http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/85948247.html?elr=KArks7PYDiaK7DU2EPaL_V_9E7ODiUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU January 24, 2025 March 3, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20250124042802/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/85948247.html?elr=KArks7PYDiaK7DU2EPaL_V_9E7ODiUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU dead
Jim Mulder
Phil Rattéhttp://community-2.webtv.net/coralcalcium/BIOGRAPHY/ Resume and Biography Community-2.webtv.net 2010-08-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20120402212953/http://community-2.webtv.net/coralcalcium/BIOGRAPHY 2012-04-02 dead
Gayle-Lynn Lemasterhttp://www.gaylelynn.com/ LeMaster Gayle-Lynn 2010-08-10 2010-08-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20110128085257/http://gaylelynn.com/ 2011-01-28 dead
John T. Uldrich
Stephen Williams
Rahn V. Workcuff
Mark F. Workcuff
Withdrew
Joe Repya, former lieutenant colonel in the U.S. Armyhttp://www.twincities.com/politics/ci_14227101?source=rss Repya turns to fight for IP endorsement in gubernatorial race 20 January 2010 Twincities.com 2010-05-04http://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=842612 https://archive.today/20130723003355/http://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=842612 dead 23 July 2013 Joe Repya drops out of governor's race kare11.com 22 February 2010 23 July 2013
Declined
Dean Barkley, former U.S. senatorhttp://minnesotaindependent.com/38034/whos-in-for-2010-third-party-contenders Who's in for 2010: Third party contenders Minnesotaindependent.com 2010-05-04
Peter Bell, Metropolitan Council chair
David Olson, Minnesota Chamber of Commerce president
Tim Penny, former U.S. representativehttp://minnesotaindependent.com/38034/whos-in-for-2010-third-party-contenders Who's in for 2010: Third party contenders « Minnesota Independent: News. Politics. Media Minnesotaindependent.com 2010-05-04
Results
Independence Party primary resultshttp://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20100810/ElecRslts.asp?M=S&Races=0331 Election Reporting Electionresults.sos.state.mn.us 2010-08-10 2010-08-21 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20120229033814/http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20100810/ElecRslts.asp?M=S&Races=0331 2012-02-29
Tom Horner Independence Party of Minnesota 11,380 64.2
Rob Hahn Independence Party of Minnesota 2,538 14.3
John T. Uldrich Independence Party of Minnesota 1,766 10.0
Phile Ratté Independence Party of Minnesota 1,215 7.0
Rahn V. Workcuff Independence Party of Minnesota 815 4.5
17,714 100
General election
Early polls showed Emmer even with his likely DFL opponents, with Horner trailing far behind, and a large percentage of voters undecided.http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/05/19/mpr-humphrey-poll-dayton-leads/?refid=0 Minnesota Public Radio 2010-05-19 2010-05-27 MPR-Humphrey Institute poll: Dayton leads DFL race for governor Mark Zdechlikhttp://www.hhh.umn.edu/centers/cspg/humphrey_polling/pdf/HHH_MPR_May_GovernorsRace.pdf Humphrey Institute, University of Minnesota Dayton Starts with Edge in Democratic Primary and Fall Election dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100617173213/http://www.hhh.umn.edu/centers/cspg/humphrey_polling/pdf/HHH_MPR_May_GovernorsRace.pdf 2010-06-17http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1548641.shtml?cat=1 KSTP TV - Minneapolis and St. Paul - Exclusive: Poll results in the 2010 Minn. gov. race Kstp.com 2010-08-21 2010-05-16 https://web.archive.org/web/20100516125903/http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1548641.shtml?cat=1 dead As the race progressed, polls showed the candidates even, or Dayton with a small but significant lead.http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_governor_july_19_2010/ Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports 2010-07-19 2010-11-04 The nonpartisan Cook Political Report, CQ Politics and pollster Rasmussen Reports rated the gubernatorial election a tossup,http://cookpolitical.com/governors 2010 Governors Race Ratings Cook Political Report October 29, 2010http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor Race Ratings Chart: Governor CQ Politics October 29, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor October 5, 2010 http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2010/08/30/mpr-humphrey-poll-dayton-emmer-deadlock/ MPR News-Humphrey Institute poll: Dayton, Emmer deadlocked | Minnesota Public Radio News Minnesota.publicradio.org 2010-08-31 2010-11-04Stassen-Berger Rachel http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/99695934.html?elr=KArksD:aDyaEP:kD:aUq9_b9b_jEkP:QUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU Minnesota Poll Star Tribune 2010-08-01 2010-11-04 January 24, 2025 https://web.archive.org/web/20250124011701/https://www.startribune.com/politics/state/99695934.html?elr=KArksD:aDyaEP:kD:aUq9_b9b_jEkP:QUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU dead http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/election_2010_gubernatorial_scorecard Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2010 while New York Times political statistician Nate Silver gave Dayton an 86% chance of winning and Emmer 14%.http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/governor/minnesota FiveThirtyEight Forecasts: Minnesota Governor Elections.nytimes.com 2010-11-04
Dayton led Emmer at the close of balloting by 8,770 votes (0.42%).http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20101102/ElecRslts.asp?M=S&Races=0331 Minnesota Secretary of State's Office, Retrieved, November 3, 2010 Electionresults.sos.state.mn.us 1997-02-26 2010-11-04 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101106004226/http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20101102/ElecRslts.asp?M=S&Races=0331 November 6, 2010 The margin of victory was small enough to trigger an automatic recount under state law, but analysts generally thought it unlikely that Dayton's lead would be overturned.http://politicsinminnesota.com/blog/2010/11/dayton-prelude-to-a-recount/ Prelude to a recount Politics in Minnesota 2010-11-03 2010-11-03
Dayton became just the fourth victorious Minnesota Democrat to win a gubernatorial election with a Democrat in the White House in 28 cycles. http://editions.lib.umn.edu/smartpolitics/2013/12/06/can-dayton-catch-lightning-in/ Can Dayton Catch Lightning in a Bottle Twice? Smart Politics Eric Ostermeier December 6, 2013
Candidates
Mark Dayton (DFL), former United States senator; and Yvonne Prettner Solon, Minnesota state senator
Tom Emmer (R), state representative; and Annette Meeks, Metropolitan Council member
Linda Eno (Resource Party) and Howard Hanson
Farheen Hakeem (G) and Dan Dittman
Tom Horner (IP), public affairs consultant; and Jim Mulder
Ken Pentel (EDP) and Erin Wallace Minnesota Secretary of State 2010-06-30 Candidates for State Office http://candidates.sos.state.mn.us/CandidateFilingResults.aspx?county=0&municipality=0&schooldistrict=0&hospitaldistrict=0&level=1&party=0&federal=False&judicial=False&executive=True&senate=False&representative=False&title=&office=0&candidateid=0
Chris Wright (GR) and Edwin Engelmann
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php dead October 28, 2010 2010 Governors Race Ratings Cook Political Report October 28, 2010 Tossup October 14, 2010 Rothenberghttp://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2010-gubernatorial-ratings-october-28-2010 Governor Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 28, 2010 Tilt D Flip October 28, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/2010_elections_governor_map.html 2010 Governor Races RealClearPolitics October 28, 2010 Tossup November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2010102801/ THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS 28 October 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 28, 2010 Lean D Flip October 28, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor Race Ratings Chart: Governor CQ Politics October 28, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor October 5, 2010 Tossup October 28, 2010
Polling
Graphical summary
Opinion polling for the 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial election.chart Opinion polling for the 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial election.tab 700px
Poll source Dates administeredMargion of Error TomEmmer (R) MarkDayton (DFL) TomHorner (I) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Oct. 27 – 29, 2010 ±2.2% 40% 43% 15% 3%SurveyUSASurveyUSA Oct. 24 – 27, 2010 ±4% 38% 39% 13% 9%Minnesota Public RadioMinnesota Public Radio Oct. 21 – 25, 2010 ±3.6% 29% 41% 11% 20%St. Cloud State UniversitySt. Cloud State University Oct. 10 – 21, 2010 ±5.0% 30% 40% 19% 10%Minnesota PollMinnesota Poll Oct. 18 – 21, 2010 ±3.9% 34% 41% 13% 12%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports Oct. 20, 2010 ±4.0% 41% 44% 10% 5%Survey USASurvey USA https://web.archive.org/web/20101017023358/http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1792455.shtml?cat=1 2010-10-17 Oct. 11 – 13, 2010 ±3.7% 37% 42% 14% 7%Rasmussen Reports Oct. 6, 2010 ±4% 38% 40% 15% 7%Humphrey Institute/MPRHumphrey Institute/MPR Sep. 22 – 26, 2010 ±3.6% 27% 38% 16% 19%Minnesota PollMinnesota Poll Sep. 20–23, 2010 ±4.1% 30% 39% 18% 13%Rasmussen Reports Sep. 22, 2010 ±4% 42% 41% 9% 2%Survey USASurvey USA Sep. 12 – 14, 2010 ±3.9% 36% 38% 18% 4%Humphrey Institute/MPRHumphrey Institute/MPR Aug. 31, 2010 ±5.3% 34% 34% 13% 19%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports Aug. 12, 2010 ±4.0% 36% 45% 10% 10%Survey USA Aug. 2 – 4, 2010 ±2.7% 32% 46% 9% 13%Minnesota Poll Jul. 26 – 29, 2010 ±4.3% 30% 40% 13% 17%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports Jul. 19, 2010 ±4.5% 36% 40% 10% 14%Survey USA Jun. 14 – 16, 2010 ±2.5% 35% 38% 12% 15%Decision Resources, Ltd.Decision Resources, Ltd. May 28 – Jun. 2, 2010 ±3.5% 28% 40% 18% 14%Rasmussen Reports May 24, 2010±4.5% 37% 35% 12% 16%Humphrey Institute/MPRHumphrey Institute/MPRMay 13 – 16, 2010±5.8% 31% 35% 9% 25%Survey USASurvey USA May 3 – 5, 2010±4.1% 42% 34% 9% 15%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports Mar. 10, 2010±3% 35% 38% 7% 20%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
With Entenza
Poll source Dates administered Tom Emmer (R) Matt Entenza (DFL) Tom Horner (I) Undecided Sampling errorSurvey USA August 2–4, 2010 33% 38% 12% 17% 2.7%Minnesota Poll July 26–29, 2010 31% 36% 15% 17% 4.3%Rasmussen Reports July 19, 2010 36% 37% 12% 15% 4.5%Survey USA June 14–16, 2010 37% 33% 12% 18% 2.5%Decision Resources, Ltd. May 28 – June 2, 2010 27% 34% 19% 20% 3.5%Rasmussen Reports May 24, 2010 37% 34% 12% 17% 4.5%Humphrey Institute /MPR May 13–16, 2010 32% 28% 11% 29% 5.8%Survey USA May 3–5, 2010 42% 31% 10% 16% 4.1%Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 37% 28% 8% 26% 3%
With Kelliher
Poll source Dates administered Tom Emmer (R) Margaret Anderson Kelliher (DFL) Tom Horner (I) Undecided Sampling errorSurvey USA August 2–4, 2010 33% 39% 12% 17% 2.7%Minnesota Poll July 26–29, 2010 29% 38% 13% 18% 4.3%Rasmussen Reports July 19, 2010 35% 40% 11% 14% 4.5%Survey USA June 14–16, 2010 35% 33% 12% 21% 2.5%Decision Resources, Ltd. May 28 – June 2, 2010 28% 38% 17% 17% 3.5%Rasmussen Reports May 24, 2010 38% 36% 11% 15% 4.5%Humphrey Institute /MPR May 13–16, 2010 32% 29% 10% 30% 5.8%Survey USA May 3–5, 2010 41% 33% 9% 17% 4.1%Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 37% 34% 8% 19% 3%
With Pawlenty
SourceDateTim PawlentyMark DaytonKSTP-TV/SurveyUSAKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 47% 43%
SourceDateTim PawlentyR. T. RybakKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 47% 42%
SourceDateTim PawlentyChris ColemanKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 48% 37%
SourceDateTim PawlentyMatt EntenzaKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 51% 37%
SourceDateTim PawlentySusan GaertnerKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 50% 36%
SourceDateTim PawlentyTom BakkKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 52% 34%
SourceDateTim PawlentyJohn MartyKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 51% 34%
SourceDateTim PawlentyMargaret Anderson KelliherKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 51% 34%
SourceDateTim PawlentyPaul ThissenKSTP-TV/SurveyUSA May 20, 2009 51% 32%
With Emmer
SourceDateTom EmmerMark DaytonRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 35% 38%
SourceDateTom EmmerMargaret Anderson KelliherRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 37% 34%
SourceDateTom EmmerR.T. RybakRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 35% 38%
SourceDateTom EmmerTom BakkRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 36% 29%
SourceDateTom EmmerTom RukavinaRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 38% 29%
SourceDateTom EmmerMatt EntenzaRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 37% 28%
With Seifert
SourceDateMarty SeifertMark DaytonRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 39% 38%
SourceDateMarty SeifertMargaret Anderson KelliherRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 39% 35%
SourceDateMarty SeifertR.T. RybakRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 38% 38%
SourceDateMarty SeifertTom BakkRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 37% 30%
SourceDateMarty SeifertTom RukavinaRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 39% 30%
SourceDateMarty SeifertMatt EntenzaRasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 38% 30%
With Coleman
SourceDateNorm ColemanR.T. RybakPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 7–8, 2009 37% 43%
SourceDateNorm ColemanMark DaytonPublic Policy Polling June 7–8, 2009 39% 41%
SourceDateNorm ColemanMargaret Anderson KelliherPublic Policy Polling June 7–8, 2009 42% 34%
Results
thumb|right|280px|County results for the Independence Party:
Horner #ffdac1 <9% #ffcca9 9-10% #ffb580 10-11% #ff9a50 11-12% #ff8450 12-13% #ff7350 13-14% #d76143 14-15% #ae4e36 15-16% #8d3b21 16%<
2010 gubernatorial election results, Minnesota
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
Mark Dayton
919,232
43.63%
-2.07%
Republican Party (United States)
Tom Emmer
910,462
43.21%
-3.49%
Independence Party of Minnesota
Tom Horner
251,487
11.94%
+5.54%
Grassroots Party
Chris Wright
7,516
0.36%
n/a
Green Party (United States)
Farheen Hakeem
6,188
0.29%
-0.21%
Ecology Democracy Party
Ken Pentel
6,180
0.29%
n/a
Resource Party
Linda Eno
4,092
0.19%
n/a
Write-ins
1,864
0.09%
2,106,979
100
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party Republican Party (United States)
Recount results
The recount was carried out by the Minnesota Secretary of State, Mark Ritchie, as part of a State Canvassing Board, which consists of the secretary of state, two justices of the Minnesota Supreme Court, and two judges of a Minnesota district court.http://www.house.leg.state.mn.us/hrd/pubs/ss/ssrecount.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20120402070855/http://www.house.leg.state.mn.us/hrd/pubs/ss/ssrecount.htm April 2, 2012 Minnesota House of Representatives, Retrieved, November 3, 2010. The vote totals were not changed, and Dayton was declared the governor-elect.
thumb|Olmsted County, Minnesota officials recounting votes on November 29, 2010
2010 gubernatorial election results, Minnesota
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
Mark Dayton/Yvonne Prettner Solon
919,232
43.63%
-2.07%
Republican Party (United States)
Tom Emmer/Annette Meeks
910,462
43.21%
-3.49%
Independence Party of Minnesota
Tom Horner/Jim Mulder
251,487
11.94%
+5.54%
Grassroots Party
Chris Wright
7,516
0.36%
n/a
Green Party (United States)
Farheen Hakeem
6,188
0.29%
-0.21%
Ecology Democracy Party
Ken Pentel
6,180
0.29%
n/a
Resource Party
Linda Eno
4,092
0.19%
n/a
Write-ins
1,864
0.09%
2,106,979
100
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Clearwater (largest city: Bagley)
Grant (largest city: Elbow Lake)
Pennington (largest city: Thief River Falls)
Lincoln (largest city: Tyler)
Pine (largest city: Pine City)
Fillmore (largest city: Spring Valley)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Clay (largest city: Moorhead)
Nicollet (largest city: North Mankato)
right 280px Swing by county Legend #00bdec Democratic — +10-12.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #AAEEFF Democratic — +2.5-5% #D5F6FF Democratic — +0-2.5% #FFD5D5 Republican — +0-2.5% #FFAAAA Republican — +2.5-5% #FF8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #FF5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #FF2A2A Republican — +10-12.5% 280px Trend by county Legend #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #AAEEFF Democratic — +2.5-5% #D5F6FF Democratic — +0-2.5% #FFD5D5 Republican — +0-2.5% #FFAAAA Republican — +2.5-5% #FF8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #FF5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #FF2A2A Republican — +10-12.5% 280px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
#0671b0 Flip
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
References
30em
External links
December 2023
Complete Set of 2010 Minnesota Governor Polling Data and Interactive Graph
Minnesota Secretary of State – Elections & Voting https://web.archive.org/web/20100717233409/http://www.sos.mn.gov/index.aspx?page=4 2010-07-17
Minnesota State Offices at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Minnesota Governor from Follow the Money
2010 Minnesota Gubernatorial Primary Election Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Minnesota Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner from Real Clear Politics
2010 Minnesota Governor's Race from CQ Politics
2010 MN Governor's Race from Politics in Minnesota
Race Profile in The New York Times
State Elections at the Minneapolis Star-Tribune
Official campaign websites (archived)
Mark Dayton for Governor (DFL)
Margaret Anderson Kelliher for Governor (DFL)
Tom Horner for Governor (IP)
Tom Emmer for Governor (R)
Ken Pentel for Governor (EDP)
Gubernatorial
2010
Minnesota