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2004 United States presidential election in Kansas
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2004 United States presidential election in Kansas Kansas presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Kansas 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Kansas 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 6 736,456 62.00% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 434,993 36.62% 310px County results 310px Congressional district results Bush
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90%
Kerry
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 70.1% (of registered voters) 58.6% (of voting age population)
The 2004 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Kansas was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. On election day, it trended Republican from the 2000 election by a swing margin of almost 5%. He won every single congressional district and county, excluding two: Wyandotte County and Douglas County.
Caucuses
2004 Kansas Democratic presidential caucuses
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 13 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW 21 November 2010 usurped
+SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid RCook Political ReportSolid RResearch 2000Solid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington PostLikely RWashington DispatchLikely RWashington TimesSolid RThe New York TimesSolid RCNNLikely RNewsweekSolid RAssociated PressSolid RRasmussen ReportsLikely R
Polling
Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double-digit margin of victory and with at least 56% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 58% to 37% for Kerry and 3% for Nader.https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=20 US Election Atlas 2004 Presidential Election Polls. Kansas Polls
Fundraising
Bush raised $980,035.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush — $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Kerry raised $387,484.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry — $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President
Advertising and visits
Neither presidential candidate advertised or visited this state. However, John Edwards visited the city of Lawrence in Douglas County briefly.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ America votes 2004: Campaign ad buys CNN 2022-05-27 2021-04-22 https://web.archive.org/web/20210422073439/http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ live http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html America votes 2004: Candidate tracker CNN 2022-05-27
Analysis
Apart from its flirtation with William Jennings Bryan and Woodrow Wilson, Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry Kansas was Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide in 1964. A combination of rural counties embedded with deep pockets of evangelical Christianity/social conservatism and moderate, fiscally conservative residents in Johnson County, Kansas nearly always votes Republican.
Results
2004 United States presidential election in Kansashttp://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Official General Election Results for US president (2004) July 17, 2009 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf May 13, 2009 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&year=2004&fips=20 2004 Presidential General Election Results — KansasPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) 736,456 62.00% 6 Democratic John Kerry 434,993 36.62% 0 Reform Ralph Nader 9,348 0.79% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 4,013 0.34% 0 Independent Michael Peroutka 2,899 0.24% 0 Write In David Cobb 33 0.00% 0 Write In John Joseph Kennedy 5 0.00% 0 Write In Bill Van Auken 5 0.00% 0 Write In Walt Brown 4 0.00% 0 Totals 1,187,756 100.00% 6 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 58.6%
Results by county
CountyOur Campaigns https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=6062 KS US President Race — November 02, 2004George W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticRalph NaderReformMichael James BadnarikLibertarianVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal votes cast # % # % # % # % # % # % Allen 3,867 65.84% 1,922 32.73% 53 0.90% 20 0.34% 11 0.19% 1,945 33.11% 5,873 Anderson 2,500 64.72% 1,295 33.52% 40 1.04% 13 0.34% 15 0.39% 1,205 31.20% 3,863 Atchison 3,880 54.51% 3,120 43.83% 65 0.91% 29 0.41% 24 0.34% 760 10.68% 7,118 Barber 1,782 74.16% 588 24.47% 19 0.79% 4 0.17% 10 0.42% 1,194 49.69% 2,403 Barton 8,666 74.03% 2,874 24.55% 106 0.91% 30 0.26% 30 0.26% 5,792 49.48% 11,706 Bourbon 4,372 65.39% 2,216 33.14% 64 0.96% 23 0.34% 11 0.16% 2,156 32.25% 6,686 Brown 3,092 69.99% 1,268 28.70% 35 0.79% 12 0.27% 11 0.25% 1,824 41.29% 4,418 Butler 18,438 70.16% 7,495 28.52% 174 0.66% 92 0.35% 81 0.31% 10,943 41.64% 26,280 Chase 1,055 70.29% 418 27.85% 12 0.80% 9 0.60% 7 0.47% 637 42.44% 1,501 Chautauqua 1,529 78.01% 404 20.61% 10 0.51% 10 0.51% 7 0.36% 1,125 57.40% 1,960 Cherokee 6,083 61.36% 3,726 37.59% 69 0.70% 23 0.23% 12 0.12% 2,357 23.77% 9,913 Cheyenne 1,353 79.96% 320 18.91% 9 0.53% 7 0.41% 3 0.18% 1,033 61.05% 1,692 Clark 1,014 78.54% 257 19.91% 8 0.62% 4 0.31% 8 0.62% 757 58.63% 1,291 Clay 3,174 79.15% 793 19.78% 22 0.55% 12 0.30% 9 0.22% 2,381 59.37% 4,010 Cloud 3,221 71.53% 1,210 26.87% 42 0.93% 17 0.38% 13 0.29% 2,011 44.66% 4,503 Coffey 3,259 73.93% 1,093 24.80% 33 0.75% 12 0.27% 11 0.25% 2,166 49.13% 4,408 Comanche 770 78.49% 200 20.39% 3 0.31% 4 0.41% 4 0.41% 570 58.10% 981 Cowley 9,407 65.11% 4,818 33.35% 121 0.84% 60 0.42% 41 0.28% 4,589 31.76% 14,447 Crawford 8,626 52.19% 7,617 46.09% 181 1.10% 60 0.36% 43 0.26% 1,009 6.10% 16,527 Decatur 1,355 77.87% 355 20.40% 20 1.15% 8 0.46% 2 0.11% 1,000 57.47% 1,740 Dickinson 6,295 71.61% 2,364 26.89% 72 0.82% 35 0.40% 25 0.28% 3,931 44.72% 8,791 Doniphan 2,491 69.14% 1,065 29.56% 25 0.69% 14 0.39% 8 0.22% 1,426 39.58% 3,603Douglas 20,544 41.00% 28,634 57.14% 624 1.25% 209 0.42% 100 0.20% -8,090 -16.14% 50,111 Edwards 1,084 72.46% 386 25.80% 19 1.27% 3 0.20% 4 0.27% 698 46.66% 1,496 Elk 1,119 73.86% 369 24.36% 17 1.12% 2 0.13% 8 0.53% 750 49.50% 1,515 Ellis 7,891 64.75% 4,033 33.09% 158 1.30% 61 0.50% 44 0.36% 3,858 31.66% 12,187 Ellsworth 2,259 72.82% 801 25.82% 23 0.74% 13 0.42% 6 0.19% 1,458 47.00% 3,102 Finney 7,479 75.29% 2,351 23.67% 64 0.64% 18 0.18% 21 0.21% 5,128 51.62% 9,933 Ford 6,632 73.56% 2,286 25.35% 61 0.68% 17 0.19% 20 0.22% 4,346 48.21% 9,016 Franklin 7,391 64.40% 3,921 34.17% 106 0.92% 31 0.27% 27 0.24% 3,470 30.23% 11,476 Geary 4,703 64.18% 2,531 34.54% 58 0.79% 21 0.29% 15 0.20% 2,172 29.64% 7,328 Gove 1,196 81.53% 247 16.84% 12 0.82% 5 0.34% 7 0.48% 949 64.69% 1,467 Graham 1,082 75.14% 334 23.19% 10 0.69% 6 0.42% 8 0.56% 748 51.95% 1,440 Grant 2,169 78.64% 561 20.34% 11 0.40% 11 0.40% 6 0.22% 1,608 58.30% 2,758 Gray 1,816 80.89% 408 18.17% 17 0.76% 4 0.18% 0 0.00% 1,408 62.72% 2,245 Greeley 584 79.46% 138 18.78% 9 1.22% 3 0.41% 1 0.14% 446 60.68% 735 Greenwood 2,282 70.35% 911 28.08% 30 0.92% 8 0.25% 13 0.40% 1,371 42.27% 3,244 Hamilton 888 78.58% 229 20.27% 5 0.44% 7 0.62% 1 0.09% 659 58.31% 1,130 Harper 2,154 73.52% 727 24.81% 30 1.02% 9 0.31% 10 0.34% 1,427 48.71% 2,930 Harvey 9,534 63.10% 5,331 35.28% 171 1.13% 46 0.30% 28 0.19% 4,203 27.82% 15,110 Haskell 1,356 84.80% 227 14.20% 10 0.63% 5 0.31% 1 0.06% 1,129 70.60% 1,599 Hodgeman 953 80.56% 223 18.85% 6 0.51% 1 0.08% 0 0.00% 730 61.71% 1,183 Jackson 3,730 63.35% 2,064 35.05% 44 0.75% 21 0.36% 29 0.49% 1,666 28.30% 5,888 Jefferson 5,408 61.50% 3,253 37.00% 79 0.90% 32 0.36% 21 0.24% 2,155 24.50% 8,793 Jewell 1,495 78.07% 385 20.10% 13 0.68% 10 0.52% 12 0.63% 1,110 57.97% 1,915 Johnson 158,103 61.12% 97,866 37.83% 1,420 0.55% 992 0.38% 306 0.12% 60,237 23.29% 258,687 Kearny 1,177 80.89% 272 18.69% 4 0.27% 1 0.07% 1 0.07% 905 62.20% 1,455 Kingman 2,801 74.42% 904 24.02% 27 0.72% 14 0.37% 18 0.48% 1,897 50.40% 3,764 Kiowa 1,275 81.47% 256 16.36% 19 1.21% 5 0.32% 10 0.64% 1,019 65.11% 1,565 Labette 5,400 59.09% 3,615 39.56% 76 0.83% 28 0.31% 20 0.22% 1,785 19.53% 9,139 Lane 823 81.16% 181 17.85% 4 0.39% 3 0.30% 3 0.30% 642 63.31% 1,014 Leavenworth 15,949 58.35% 11,039 40.39% 191 0.70% 86 0.31% 66 0.24% 4,910 17.96% 27,331 Lincoln 1,368 76.00% 391 21.72% 23 1.28% 11 0.61% 7 0.39% 977 54.28% 1,800 Linn 3,048 64.29% 1,631 34.40% 37 0.78% 14 0.30% 11 0.23% 1,417 29.89% 4,741 Logan 1,255 82.40% 248 16.28% 13 0.85% 3 0.20% 4 0.26% 1,007 66.12% 1,523 Lyon 7,951 59.16% 5,234 38.94% 154 1.15% 48 0.36% 53 0.39% 2,717 20.22% 13,440 Marion 4,516 73.32% 1,536 24.94% 69 1.12% 14 0.23% 24 0.39% 2,980 48.38% 6,159 Marshall 3,261 63.84% 1,789 35.02% 39 0.76% 6 0.12% 13 0.25% 1,472 28.82% 5,108 McPherson 9,595 71.78% 3,589 26.85% 114 0.85% 44 0.33% 25 0.19% 6,006 44.93% 13,367 Meade 1,748 82.41% 356 16.78% 12 0.57% 3 0.14% 2 0.09% 1,392 65.63% 2,121 Miami 9,013 64.31% 4,838 34.52% 90 0.64% 30 0.21% 45 0.32% 4,175 29.79% 14,016 Mitchell 2,609 77.90% 693 20.69% 26 0.78% 10 0.30% 11 0.33% 1,916 57.21% 3,349 Montgomery 9,598 67.99% 4,338 30.73% 98 0.69% 44 0.31% 38 0.27% 5,260 37.26% 14,116 Morris 1,961 66.79% 931 31.71% 28 0.95% 6 0.20% 10 0.34% 1,030 35.08% 2,936 Morton 1,287 81.66% 276 17.51% 5 0.32% 4 0.25% 4 0.25% 1,011 64.15% 1,576 Nemaha 4,027 73.71% 1,355 24.80% 39 0.71% 19 0.35% 23 0.42% 2,672 48.91% 5,463 Neosho 4,705 65.07% 2,424 33.52% 69 0.95% 19 0.26% 14 0.19% 2,281 31.55% 7,231 Ness 1,407 77.39% 382 21.01% 17 0.94% 4 0.22% 8 0.44% 1,025 56.38% 1,818 Norton 2,092 80.49% 473 18.20% 21 0.81% 8 0.31% 5 0.19% 1,619 62.29% 2,599 Osage 4,800 64.32% 2,537 33.99% 77 1.03% 27 0.36% 22 0.29% 2,263 30.33% 7,463 Osborne 1,587 76.48% 454 21.88% 25 1.20% 5 0.24% 4 0.19% 1,133 54.60% 2,075 Ottawa 2,333 78.53% 595 20.03% 26 0.88% 8 0.27% 9 0.30% 1,738 58.50% 2,971 Pawnee 2,172 72.69% 773 25.87% 26 0.87% 8 0.27% 9 0.30% 1,399 46.82% 2,988 Phillips 2,256 79.24% 557 19.56% 20 0.70% 6 0.21% 8 0.28% 1,699 59.68% 2,847 Pottawatomie 6,326 71.70% 2,176 24.66% 91 1.03% 30 0.34% 200 2.27% 4,150 47.04% 8,823 Pratt 3,121 71.19% 1,200 27.37% 38 0.87% 18 0.41% 7 0.16% 1,921 43.82% 4,384 Rawlins 1,414 82.21% 289 16.80% 9 0.52% 6 0.35% 2 0.12% 1,125 65.41% 1,720 Reno 17,748 64.95% 9,114 33.36% 275 1.01% 91 0.33% 96 0.35% 8,634 31.59% 27,324 Republic 2,238 77.47% 607 21.01% 20 0.69% 11 0.38% 13 0.45% 1,631 56.46% 2,889 Rice 3,182 72.71% 1,130 25.82% 41 0.94% 3 0.07% 20 0.46% 2,052 46.89% 4,376 Riley 12,672 60.60% 7,908 37.82% 224 1.07% 63 0.30% 44 0.21% 4,764 22.78% 20,911 Rooks 2,121 78.27% 534 19.70% 37 1.37% 6 0.22% 12 0.44% 1,587 58.57% 2,710 Rush 1,226 68.53% 517 28.90% 27 1.51% 9 0.50% 10 0.56% 709 39.63% 1,789 Russell 2,671 75.77% 810 22.98% 24 0.68% 8 0.23% 12 0.34% 1,861 52.79% 3,525 Saline 15,111 65.58% 7,524 32.65% 251 1.09% 78 0.34% 77 0.33% 7,587 32.93% 23,041 Scott 1,924 83.69% 347 15.09% 17 0.74% 5 0.22% 6 0.26% 1,577 68.60% 2,299 Sedgwick 110,381 62.12% 64,839 36.49% 1,345 0.76% 695 0.39% 419 0.24% 45,542 25.63% 177,679 Seward 4,272 78.54% 1,122 20.63% 24 0.44% 8 0.15% 13 0.24% 3,150 57.91% 5,439 Shawnee 44,188 54.17% 36,264 44.45% 687 0.84% 236 0.29% 202 0.25% 7,924 9.72% 81,577 Sheridan 1,144 81.37% 239 17.00% 13 0.92% 2 0.14% 8 0.57% 905 64.37% 1,406 Sherman 2,088 75.60% 632 22.88% 25 0.91% 13 0.47% 4 0.14% 1,456 52.72% 2,762 Smith 1,803 76.08% 540 22.78% 17 0.72% 4 0.17% 6 0.25% 1,263 53.30% 2,370 Stafford 1,649 75.43% 506 23.15% 20 0.91% 4 0.18% 7 0.32% 1,143 52.28% 2,186 Stanton 796 82.40% 165 17.08% 4 0.41% 1 0.10% 0 0.00% 631 65.32% 966 Stevens 1,936 85.47% 310 13.69% 12 0.53% 4 0.18% 3 0.13% 1,626 71.78% 2,265 Sumner 7,092 67.62% 3,217 30.67% 92 0.88% 38 0.36% 49 0.47% 3,875 36.95% 10,488 Thomas 3,007 77.70% 816 21.09% 28 0.72% 6 0.16% 13 0.34% 2,191 56.61% 3,870 Trego 1,225 72.66% 434 25.74% 21 1.25% 4 0.24% 2 0.12% 791 46.92% 1,686 Wabaunsee 2,531 70.23% 1,001 27.77% 36 1.00% 10 0.28% 26 0.72% 1,530 42.46% 3,604 Wallace 742 84.70% 112 12.79% 13 1.48% 6 0.68% 3 0.34% 630 71.91% 876 Washington 2,498 78.31% 643 20.16% 31 0.97% 6 0.19% 12 0.38% 1,855 58.15% 3,190 Wichita 869 81.83% 183 17.23% 6 0.56% 4 0.38% 0 0.00% 686 64.60% 1,062 Wilson 3,263 74.19% 1,060 24.10% 41 0.93% 13 0.30% 21 0.48% 2,203 50.09% 4,398 Woodson 1,204 68.29% 530 30.06% 19 1.08% 3 0.17% 7 0.40% 674 38.23% 1,763Wyandotte 17,919 33.56% 34,923 65.40% 331 0.62% 123 0.23% 105 0.20% -17,004 -31.84% 53,401Totals736,45662.00%434,99336.62%9,3480.79%4,0130.34%2,9460.25%301,46325.38%1,187,756
right 270px Swing by county Legend #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 270px Trend by county Legend #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5%
Results by congressional district
Bush won all four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project
District Bush Kerry RepresentativeKansas 1 1st 72% 26%Jerry MoranKansas 2 2nd 59% 39%Jim RyunKansas 3 3rd 55% 44%Dennis MooreKansas 4 4th 64% 34%Todd Tiahrt
Electors
List of 2004 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to Bush/Cheney.http://www.kssos.org/other/2004_Presidential_Electors.html Kansas Secretary of State ± 2004 Presidential Electors
Ruth Garvey Fink
Bud Hentzen
Dennis Jones
Wanda Konold
Jack Ranson
Patricia Pitney Smith
See also
United States presidential elections in Kansas
Presidency of George W. Bush
References
Kansas
2004
Category:2004 Kansas elections