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2014–15 South Pacific cyclone season
Reference material by Wikipedia contributors. This retains its source identity and is not 411 news reporting.
Tropical cyclone season
SPac 2014 2014-2015 South Pacific cyclone season summary.png November 21, 2014 July 4, 2015 Pam (Third-most intense tropical cyclone in the South Pacific) 896 135 10 16, 1 unofficial 12, 1 unofficial 6, 1 unofficial 2 16 total 543 2012–13, 2013–14, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17 2014–15 Australian region cyclone season 2014–15 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
The 2014–15 South Pacific cyclone season was a slightly-below average tropical cyclone season, with five tropical cyclones occurring within the basin between 160°E and 120°W. The season officially ran from November 1, 2014, to April 30, 2015. During the season, tropical cyclones were officially monitored by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) in Nadi, Fiji and the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centers in Brisbane, Australia and Wellington, New Zealand. The United States Armed Forces through the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) also monitored the basin and issued unofficial warnings for American interests. RSMC Nadi attaches a number and an F suffix to tropical disturbances that form in or move into the basin while the JTWC designates significant tropical cyclones with a number and a P suffix. RSMC Nadi, TCWC Wellington and TCWC Brisbane all use the Australian Tropical Cyclone Intensity Scale and estimate windspeeds over a period of ten minutes, while the JTWC estimated sustained winds over a 1-minute period, which are subsequently compared to the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale (SSHWS).
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Seasonal forecasts
Source/Record TropicalCyclone SevereTropical Cyclone Ref Record high: 1997–98: 16 1982–83:10 Fiji Meteorological Service Tropical Cyclone Guidance for Season 2010/11 for the Fiji and the Southwest Pacific Climate Services Division October 26, 2010 May 19, 2024 http://www.pacificdisaster.net/doc/FMS_2010_TC_Guide2010_2011.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20240519224155/http://www.pacificdisaster.net/doc/FMS_2010_TC_Guide2010_2011.pdf live May 19, 2024 Record low: 2011–12: 3 2008–09: 0 Average (1969–70 – 2013–14): 8.5 — 2014/15 Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook in the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre Nadi – Tropical Cyclone Centre Area of Responsibility http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/2014_15_TC_RSMC_Nadi_Tropical_Cyclone_Guidance.pdf Fiji Meteorological Service October 27, 2014 RSMC Nadi – Tropical Cyclone Centre October 15, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141027202753/http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/2014_15_TC_RSMC_Nadi_Tropical_Cyclone_Guidance.pdf October 27, 2014 live 2 NIWA October 8–12 >4 http://img.scoop.co.nz/media/pdfs/1410/TCforecast.docx Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook: Near average tropical cyclone numbers for the region is likely, with increased activity from February onward National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research October 15, 2014 October 22, 2014 Fiji Meteorological Service 6–10 2–4 NIWA February 8–10 >4 http://www.niwa.co.nz/news/southwest-pacific-tropical-cyclone-outlook-update Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook Update February 9, 2015 March 28, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150328225850/http://www.niwa.co.nz/news/southwest-pacific-tropical-cyclone-outlook-update National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research March 18, 2015 live Region Chance ofabove average Averagenumber Actualactivity Southern Pacific48%151 Western South Pacific56%80 Eastern South Pacific47%111Source:BOM's Seasonal Outlooks for Tropical Cyclones.2014–2015 South Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook October 15, 2014 Australian Bureau of Meteorology National Climate Centre http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/south-pacific/tc.shtml November 5, 2013 dead October 15, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20131105080550/http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/south-pacific/tc.shtml
Ahead of the cyclone season, the Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), New Zealand's MetService and National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and various other Pacific Meteorological services, all contributed towards the Island Climate Update tropical cyclone outlook that was released during October 2014. The outlook took into account the ENSO-neutral conditions that had been observed across the Pacific and analogue seasons that had ENSO-neutral and weak El Niño conditions occurring during the season. The outlook called for a near average number of tropical cyclones for the 2014–15 season, with eight to twelve named tropical cyclones, to occur between 135°E and 120°W compared to an average of 10. At least four of the tropical cyclones were expected to become category 3 severe tropical cyclones, while three could become category 4 severe tropical cyclones, they also noted that a Category 5 severe tropical cyclone was unlikely to occur. In addition to contributing towards the Island Climate Update outlook, RSMC Nadi and the BoM issued their own seasonal forecasts for the South Pacific region.
The BoM issued 3 seasonal forecasts for the Southern Pacific between 142.5°E and 120°W, one for the Western Southern Pacific region between 142.5°E and 165°E and one for the Eastern Southern Pacific region between 165°E and 120°W. They predicted that the region as a whole, would experience near average tropical cyclone activity during the coming season with a 55% chance of it being above average. The Western region was predicted to have 39% chance of being above average while the Eastern region had a 55% chance of being above average. Within their outlook the FMS predicted that between six and ten tropical cyclones, would occur within the basin compared to an average of around 8.5 cyclones. At least two of the tropical cyclones were expected to become category 3 severe tropical cyclones, while 1–2 might intensify into a category 4 or 5 severe tropical cyclones. They also reported that the tropical cyclone genesis trough was expected to be located near to and to the east of the International Date Line. This was based on the expected and predicted ENSO conditions, and the existence of the Pacific warm pool of sub-surface temperature anomalies in this region. An updated Island Climate Update tropical cyclone outlook was issued during February 2015, which suggested that near normal activity was still possible. The outlook took into account Tropical Cyclones Niko and Ola as well as the weak El Niño conditions, that were predicted to persist over the region. As a result, the update predicted that an additional six to eight named tropical cyclones would develop over the basin, which would bring the overall total to between eight and ten tropical cyclones. The update also predicted that at least four tropical cyclones would intensify into category three severe tropical cyclones, of which three could intensify and become either a category four or five severe tropical cyclone.
Both the Island Climate Update and the FMS tropical cyclone outlooks assessed the risk of a tropical cyclone affecting a certain island or territory. As the tropical cyclone genesis trough of low pressure was expected to be located near to and to the east of the International Date Line, normal or slightly above normal activity was expected for areas near the dateline. The Island Climate Update Outlook predicted that Vanuatu and New Caledonia had a reduced chance of being affected by multiple tropical cyclones. The Northern Cook Islands, Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Tonga, Wallis and Futuna, the Solomon Islands, Northern New Zealand and French Polynesia's Austral and Society Islands were all predicted to have a normal chance of being affected by a tropical cyclone or ex tropical cyclone. They also predicted that Niue, Samoa, Tokelau, Tuvalu and the Southern Cook Islands had an elevated chance while French Polynesia's Tuamotu Archipelago and Marquesas Islands, Kiribati and the Pitcairn Islands, had an unlikely chance of being affected by a tropical cyclone. The FMS's outlook predicted that Wallis and Futuna, Tuvalu, Samoa, Niue, Tonga, Vanuatu, the Southern Cook Islands and the Solomon Islands had a high chance of being affected by a tropical cyclone. Fiji, French Polynesia, New Caledonia and the Northern Cook Islands and had a moderate chance of being affected by a tropical cyclone while Kiribati had a low chance. Because of its proximity to the warm pool and genesis area, the FMS noted that Tokelau had a low to moderate risk of being affected by a tropical cyclone. RSMC Nadi also predicted that there was an increased risk of severe tropical cyclones, affecting the region this year when compared to the previous season.Fiji Meteorological Service http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/2014_15_TC_Media_Release_Season%20Outlook.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20141027213033/http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/2014_15_TC_Media_Release_Season%20Outlook.pdf October 27, 2014 Moderate Chances For Tropical Cyclones This Season In Fiji live October 24, 2014 October 27, 2014 Kean, Francis There was a high chance of Tuvalu, Samoa, Niue, Tonga, the Southern Cook Islands, Vanuatu and the Solomon Islands being affected by a severe tropical cyclone. The chances of Fiji, New Caledonia, the Northern Cook Islands and French Polynesia being affected by a severe tropical cyclone were moderate while Kiribati, Tokelau and Wallis and Futuna had a low risk. The updated Island Climate Update tropical cyclone outlook reported that there was still a chance that two or more systems could interact with New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji, and Tonga. However, it was noted that activity might be slightly reduced to the north of Vanuatu and that an elevated amount of activity might occur in the Coral Sea, to the east of Queensland.
Seasonal summary
Systems
Tropical Depression 01F
SPac November 21 November 26 TD 01F 23 Nov 2014 at 0030 UTC.jpg 01F 2014 track.png spdepression 1003
During November 21, RSMC Nadi reported that a tropical disturbance had developed about 375 km mi 5 on to the north-west of Mata-Utu, on the French territory of Wallis and Futuna.Tropical Disturbance Summary November 21, 2014 06z November 21, 2014 https://archive.today/20240522152510/https://www.webcitation.org/6UFOhxct6?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201411210600.htm RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service November 21, 2014 May 22, 2024 live http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt Over the next couple of days atmospheric convection surrounding the system gradually became better organised as it moved south-westwards before it was classified as a tropical depression during November 23. September 2016
Tropical Depression 03F
SPac December 20 December 26 03F Dec 23 2014.jpg 03F 2014 track.png 998 30
Late on December 20, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Disturbance 03F, had developed within an area of low vertical windshear to the north-northeast of Pago Pago, American Samoa.Tropical Disturbance Summary December 20, 2014 21z December 20, 2014 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre https://archive.today/20240522152633/https://www.webcitation.org/6V5juqLC8?url=http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/NFFN/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20141220/210000/A_WWPS21NFFN202100_C_RJTD_20141220234818_82.txt Fiji Meteorological Service December 25, 2014 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt live May 22, 2024
Tropical Depression 04F
SPac December 21 December 24 04F 2014-12-22 2015Z.jpg 04F 2014 track.png 1000 spdepression
During December 21, RSMC Nadi reported that a tropical disturbance had developed about 275 km mi 5 on northeast of Aitutaki in the Cook Islands. It moved globally Southeast as a tropical depression. It triggered heavy rain in French Polynesia's Society Islands and in the Northern Cook Islands. September 2016
The system was last noted by the FMS during December 24, while it was located to the southeast of Tahiti, French Polynesia. September 2016
Tropical Depression 05F
SPac December 23 December 29 05F Dec 26 2014.jpg 05F 2014 track.png 1000 spdepression
Tropical Disturbance 05F was first noted on December 23, while it was located about 75 km mi 5 on to the north of Mata-Utu in the island nation of Wallis and Futuna.Tropical Disturbance Summary December 23, 2014 23z RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service https://archive.today/20240522152554/https://www.webcitation.org/6V3a7oMVd?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201412232100.htm December 23, 2014 February 10, 2017 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt live May 22, 2024 The system was located within a marginal environment for further development, which contained low to moderate vertical wind shear and had a good outflow.
Tropical Cyclone Niko
SPac January 19 January 25 Niko Jan 21 2015 2135Z.jpg Niko 2015 track.png 55 55 982
During January 19, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Disturbance 06F had developed, to the northeast of Papeete on the French Polynesian island of Tahiti.Tropical Disturbance Summary January 19, 2015 23z January 19, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service January 21, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522152752/https://www.webcitation.org/6V5nDcXDc?url=http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/NFFN/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20141217/060000/A_WWPS21NFFN170600_C_RJTD_20141217085832_71.txt live May 22, 2024 The system lay under an upper-level ridge of high pressure in an environment, which was favorable for further development with low to moderate vertical windshear.Significant Tropical Weather Outlook for the Western and South Pacific Ocean January 20, 2015 12z Joint Typhoon Warning Center http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abpwweb.txt United States Navy, United States Airforce January 20, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522152830/https://www.webcitation.org/6Vk5bgRA5?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/ABPW10-PGTW_201501201230.htm May 22, 2024 January 21, 2015 dead As a result, the organisation of the atmospheric convection surrounding the system significantly improved, while the systems low level circulation centre rapidly consolidated over the next day. As a result, late on January 20, the JTWC initiated advisories on the system an assigned it the designation 07P. RSMC Nadi subsequently reported that the system had developed into a category 1 tropical cyclone and named it Niko.https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/264186/first-cyclone-of-season-forms-near-tahiti First cyclone of season forms near Tahiti RNZ 22 January 2015 24 June 2022https://www.stuff.co.nz/world/south-pacific/65262271/niko-is-south-pacifics-first-summer-storm Niko is South Pacific's first summer storm Stuff 21 January 2015 24 June 2022 Over the next two days the system gradually intensified further and became a category 2 tropical cyclone early on January 22. It was downgraded to a depression on 24 January.https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/264418/cyclone-niko-downgraded Cyclone Niko downgraded RNZ 24 January 2015 24 June 2022 On January 25, Niko completed its extratropical transition.September 2016
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ola
SPac January 29 February 3 Ola 2015-02-01 0305Z.jpg Ola 2015 track.png 80 90 955
During January 29, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Depression 09F had moved into the basin, from the Australian region to the northwest of New Caledonia.Tropical Disturbance Advisory January 29, 2015 12z January 29, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service January 29, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522152959/https://www.webcitation.org/6VzgX5QP1?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS11-NFFN_201501291200.htm live May 22, 2024 The system was moving towards the east-northeast and lay within an area of low vertical wind shear underneath an upper-level ridge of high pressure. During January 30 the JTWC initiated advisories on the system and assigned it the designation Tropical Cyclone 10P. RSMC Nadi subsequently reported that the system had become a category 1 tropical cyclone and named it Ola. Over the next two days the system gradually intensified further and became a category 3 severe tropical cyclone early on February 1. September 2016
Severe Tropical Cyclone Pam
Cyclone Pam
SPac March 6 March 15 Pam 2015-03-13 0220Z.jpg Pam 2015 path.png 135 150 896
During March 6, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Disturbance 11F had developed about 1140 km mi 5 on to the northwest of Nadi, Fiji.RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Tropical Disturbance Summary March 6, 2015 09z http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt Fiji Meteorological Service March 13, 2015 March 6, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522052711/https://www.webcitation.org/6WqYaQxPI?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201503060900.htm May 22, 2024 dead The disturbance continued on its southwestward track until two days later, when the RSMC had upgraded it to a tropical depression.Tropical Depression 11F from RSMC http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS11-NFFN_201503080600.htm RSMC Nadi 16 March 2015 dead https://archive.today/20240522153153/https://www.webcitation.org/6Ws6ZARTh?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS11-NFFN_201503080600.htm 22 May 2024 The JTWC issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA).TCFA from WTPS21 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/15030818 Joint Typhoon Warning Center 16 March 2015 2 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150402105538/http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/archive/15030818 dead Cyclone Pam developed out of this system on March 9, when RSMC Nadi started tracking it as a Category 1 tropical cyclone. Located in an area of favourable conditions, Pam gradually intensified into a powerful Category 5 severe tropical cyclone by March 12. Pam's ten-minute maximum sustained winds peaked at 250 km/h mph on 5, along with a minimum pressure of 896 hPa, making Pam the most intense tropical cyclone of the basin since Zoe in 2002.Cyclone Pam hits New Zealand http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/03/cyclone-pam-hits-zealand-150315090428701.html Al Jazeera 16 March 2015 Several hours later, the cyclone began to curve towards the south-southeast, allowing Pam to pass just east of Efate,Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Cyclone 17P (Pam) Warning NR 016 http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtps31.pgtw..txt United States Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command March 15, 2015 March 13, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522053917/https://www.webcitation.org/6X2nXEnYB?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201503131500.htm May 22, 2024 Pearl Harbor, Hawaii live becoming the single worst natural disaster in the history of Vanuatu.Joshua Robertson The Guardian March 15, 2015 March 15, 2015 Cyclone Pam: Vanuatu awaits first wave of relief and news from worst-hit islands https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/mar/15/cyclone-pam-death-toll-may-reach-50-in-port-vila-alone-as-full-impact-still-unknown The cyclone crippled Vanuatu's infrastructure: an estimated 90 percent of the nation's buildings were impacted by the storm's effects, telecommunications were paralyzed, and water shortages took place. September 2016
The FMS estimated Pam as having record-breaking 250 km/h mph on 5 ten-minute sustained winds.Nadi Regional Specialized Meteorological Center Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A25 http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtps11.nffn..txt Fiji Meteorological Service March 15, 2015 March 13, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522053552/https://www.webcitation.org/6X2nD8GgB?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS11-NFFN_201503131200.htm May 22, 2024 Nadi, Fiji live The storm's winds gradually slowed afterwards as Pam tracked west of Tafea. However, the FMS indicated that the cyclone's pressure dropped further to a minimum of 896 mbar (hPa; 896 mbar inHg on on 4 out) on March 14.Nadi Regional Specialized Meteorological Center Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A27 http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtps11.nffn..txt Fiji Meteorological Service March 15, 2015 March 14, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522053633/https://www.webcitation.org/6X2nFjv8T?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS11-NFFN_201503140000.htm May 22, 2024 Nadi, Fiji live Pam left the FMS area of responsibility as it progressed along its path, the storm's eye faded away and Pam's low level circulation became displaced from its associated thunderstorms, signalling a rapid weakening phase.Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Cyclone 17P (Pam) Warning NR 021 http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtps31.pgtw..txt United States Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command March 15, 2015 March 15, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522053509/https://www.webcitation.org/6X2nd5j3Z?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201503150300.htm May 22, 2024 Pearl Harbor, Hawaii live Later on March 15, both agencies discontinued issuing advisories as Pam entered a phase of extratropical transition while affecting northeastern New Zealand. September 2016
Tropical Cyclone Reuben
SPac March 19 March 23 Reuben Mar 21 2015 2150Z.jpg Reuben 2015 track.png 40 45 990
On March 19, RSMC Nadi had reported that Tropical Disturbance 12F had developed about 375 km mi 5 on to the southwest of Apia on the Samoan island of Upolu.RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre March 19, 2015 Tropical Disturbance Summary March 19, 2015 09z http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://www.webcitation.org/6XAogOqop?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201503190900.htm Fiji Meteorological Service March 22, 2015 live March 20, 2015 The system moved southwards as it was classified as a tropical depression. On March 21, the JTWC classified 12F as a tropical storm, giving the designation 20P. Early on March 22, RSMC Nadi reported that the system had developed into a category 1 tropical cyclone and named it Reuben, while it was located about 220 km mi 5 on to the south of Nukuʻalofa, Tonga.Noble, Chris March 19, 2015 http://blog.metservice.com/2015/03/tropical-cyclone-reuben/ https://web.archive.org/web/20150329231347/http://blog.metservice.com/2015/03/tropical-cyclone-reuben/ Tropical Cyclone Reuben Meteorological Service of New Zealand March 22, 2015 2015-03-29 dead Early on March 23, both agencies discontinued issuing advisories as Reuben entered a phase of extratropical transition. September 2016
Between March 20–22, Reuben's precursor tropical depression produced heavy rain and strong winds over Fiji's Lau Islands.Fiji Climate Summary: March 2015 Volume 36: Issue 3 https://web.archive.org/web/20150722003308/http://www.met.gov.fj/Summary1.pdf July 22, 2015 Climate Services Division April 15, 2015 April 15, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/Summary1.pdf Fiji Meteorological Service dead
Tropical Depression 14F
SPac March 28 March 31 90P 2015-03-29 2100Z.jpg 14F 2015 track.png 30 subtropicalcyclone 998The depression was last noted by the FMS during March 31, while it was located about 600 km mi 5 on to the southeast of Rarotonga in the Cook Islands.Gale Warning 052: March 31, 2015 00z RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre March 31, 2015 September 15, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt Fiji Meteorological Service https://archive.today/20240522153718/https://www.webcitation.org/6XQwS6CQr?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WOPS01-NFFN_201503310000.htm live May 22, 2024
Tropical Cyclone Solo
SPac April 9 April 12 Solo 2015-04-11 0246Z.jpg Solo 2015 track.png 55 55 985
Tropical Depression 15F developed within the monsoon trough during April 9, about 465 km mi 5 on to the south of Honiara in the Solomon Islands.Tropical Disturbance Summary April 9, 2015 18z April 9, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre April 19, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153352/https://www.webcitation.org/6Xg9cuDRi?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201504091800.htm live May 22, 2024SOLO: bilan provisoire http://www.meteo.nc/actualites/454-solo-bilan-provisoire September 15, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150927194446/http://www.meteo.nc/actualites/454-solo-bilan-provisoire September 27, 2015 April 2015 live French The system was located under an upper-level ridge of high pressure and in a region favouring further development, including low vertical wind shear and sea surface temperatures of above 30 C F.Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Disturbance Summary April 9, 2015 18z April 9, 2015 September 15, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153352/https://www.webcitation.org/6Xg9cuDRi?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201504091800.htm May 22, 2024 dead Tropical Cyclone 23P Warning 1 April 10, 2015 03z April 10, 2015 September 15, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153439/https://www.webcitation.org/6Xg9oOu8r?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS32-PGTW_201504100300.htm live May 22, 2024 As a result, the system rapidly developed during that day as it moved southwards, with atmospheric convection wrapping into the systems low level circulation centre. During the next day the JTWC initiated advisories on the system and classified it as Tropical Cyclone 23P, while the FMS reported that the system had developed into a Category 1 tropical cyclone and named it Solo.Climate Services Division Fiji Annual Climate Summary: 2015 September 30, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/Summary2.pdf October 21, 2016 March 4, 2016 live https://web.archive.org/web/20160304053600/http://www.met.gov.fj/Summary2.pdf The system continued to intensify during that day, before both the JTWC and the FMS reported that Solo had peaked with winds of 100 km/h mph on 5 during April 11, which made it a category 2 tropical cyclone on the Australian scale.Tropical Disturbance Advisory April 11, 2015 00z April 11, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre April 19, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153512/https://www.webcitation.org/6XhihJzfZ?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS11-NFFN_201504110000.htm live May 22, 2024Tropical Cyclone 23P Warning 3 April 11, 2015 03z April 11, 2015 September 15, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153553/https://www.webcitation.org/6XhivK81P?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS32-PGTW_201504110300.htm May 22, 2024 dead
Turning to the south-southeast, Solo entered an area of strong vertical wind shear and subsequently weakened. During April 12, Solo passed about 50 km mi 5 on to the northeast of the Belep Islands, as it moved between New Caledonia's mainland and the Loyalty Islands. Solo was subsequently declassified as a tropical cyclone later that day, after it had lost the characteristics of a tropical cyclone. Within the Solomon Islands, the Makira – Ereteria river was flooded during April 7, while flash flooding destroyed food gardens, bananas and cocoa beans.October 8, 2016 Solomon Islands Country Report live RA V Tropical Cyclone Committee – 16th Session http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/RAV_TCC-16_SolomonIslands_CountryReport_Document.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20161008110930/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/RAV_TCC-16_SolomonIslands_CountryReport_Document.pdf As it impacted New Caledonia, Solo caused wind gusts of up to 100 km/h mph on, while rainfall totals of up to 222 mm in on were recorded in New Caledonia. As an indirect effect of Solo significant damage was recorded in New Caledonia, with road impassable in places and the drinking water deteriorated in the municipality of Pouébo.
Tropical Cyclone Raquel
SPac June 28 July 4 (Exited basin) 17F Jun 29 2015 0245Z.jpg Raquel 2015 track.png 35 40 998
Cyclone Raquel
Tropical Disturbance 17F developed about 718 km mi 5 on to the northeast of Honiara in the Solomon Islands on June 28.Tropical Disturbance Summary June 28, 2015 03z June 28, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service July 25, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522055757/https://www.webcitation.org/6ZcQVy9Ju?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201506280300.htm live May 22, 2024 Over the next couple of days the system moved westwards into the Australian region, where it developed into a Category 1 tropical cyclone and was named Raquel by the BoM during June 30.Young, Steve July 27, 2015 Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks: June 2015 http://www.australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/2015/trak1506.htm live https://web.archive.org/web/20150828010219/http://www.australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/2015/trak1506.htm August 28, 2015 Australian Severe Weather August 2, 2015 Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: Australia: Eastern Region: June 30, 2015 18z http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ10810.shtml https://archive.today/20240522060041/https://www.webcitation.org/6Zit7SxAw?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/AXAU21-ABRF_201506301928.htm June 30, 2015 July 25, 2015 Australian Bureau of Meteorology May 22, 2024 live Raquel subsequently started to move eastwards and moved back into the South Pacific basin, where it weakened into a tropical depression.Queensland Regional Office Tropical Cyclone Raquel 2015 Australian Bureau of Meteorology September 11, 2015 http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/sevwx/qld/qldtc20150630.shtml https://web.archive.org/web/20160120021050/http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/sevwx/qld/qldtc20150630.shtml January 20, 2016 live The system subsequently moved south-westwards and out of the basin during July 4, as it impacted the Solomon Islands, with high wind gusts and heavy rain.Young, Steve July 27, 2015 Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks: June 2015 August 2, 2015 http://www.australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/2015/trak1506.htm live https://web.archive.org/web/20150828010219/http://www.australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/2015/trak1506.htm August 28, 2015 Australian Severe Weather During post analysis, it was determined that Raquel had developed into a Category 1 tropical cyclone during June 30, while it was located within the South Pacific basin.
Other systems
thumb|right|Subtropical Cyclone "Katie" on May 2
Tropical Disturbance 02F developed during December 16, about 360 km mi 5 on northeast of Niue; however, the system was last noted during the next day, as it was suspected to have become an extratropical cyclone.Tropical Disturbance Summary December 16, 2014 21z December 16, 2014 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522152708/https://www.webcitation.org/6V5n9pzo8?url=http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/NFFN/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20141216/210000/A_WWPS21NFFN162100_C_RJTD_20141216225832_66.txt October 10, 2015 May 22, 2024 dead Tropical Disturbance Summary December 17, 2014 06z December 17, 2014 December 17, 2014 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522152752/https://www.webcitation.org/6V5nDcXDc?url=http://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/NFFN/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20141217/060000/A_WWPS21NFFN170600_C_RJTD_20141217085832_71.txt May 22, 2024 dead
Late on January 27, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Disturbance 08F had developed about 275 km mi 5 on to the southeast of Apia, Samoa.Tropical Disturbance Summary January 27, 2015 23z January 27, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service January 30, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522152915/https://www.webcitation.org/6VujY4786?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201501272300.htm live May 22, 2024
On February 2, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Disturbance 10F had developed about 680 km mi 5 on to the northeast of Suva, Fiji.Tropical Disturbance Summary February 2, 2015 06z February 2, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service February 12, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153035/https://www.webcitation.org/6W42LCPKK?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201502020600.htm live May 22, 2024 Over the next day the system moved south-eastwards in an area of low to moderate vertical windshear, before it was last noted during February 4, after the low level circulation centre had become exposed.Tropical Disturbance Summary February 4, 2015 00z February 4, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service February 12, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153115/https://www.webcitation.org/6W628OUE3?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201502040000.htm live May 22, 2024 Tropical Disturbance 13F developed within an area of low vertical windshear, to the north of the island of Papeete on the French Polynesian island of Tahiti during March 19. Over the next few days the system the system moved westwards and remained poorly organised, with atmospheric convection persistent over the systems supposed low level circulation centre.RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre March 21, 2015 Tropical Disturbance Summary March 21, 2015 22z http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt May 22, 2024 live March 22, 2015 Fiji Meteorological Service https://archive.today/20240522153319/https://www.webcitation.org/6XBreIVbB?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201503202100.htm The system was subsequently last noted during March 21, while it was located to the north of Rarotonga in the Southern Cook Islands. During April 15, RSMC Nadi reported that Tropical Depression 16F, had developed about 450 km mi 5 on to the northwest of Port Vila, Vanuatu.Tropical Disturbance Summary April 15, 2015 09z April 15, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre Fiji Meteorological Service April 16, 2015 http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt https://archive.today/20240522153635/https://www.webcitation.org/6XpeGrJAL?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201504150900.htm May 22, 2024 dead During that day the system moved westwards and was last noted as it moved into the Australian region during April 16.Tropical Weather Outlook April 16, 2015 03z April 16, 2015 RSMC Nadi — Tropical Cyclone Centre https://web.archive.org/web/20150319000710/http://www.met.gov.fj/tc_outlook.pdf April 16, 2015 March 19, 2015 Fiji Meteorological Service http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/tc_outlook.pdf dead During May 12, the BoM started to monitor a westward-moving tropical low that had developed near the Solomon Islands, before it moved out of the basin during the next day.http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ10810.shtml Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Coral Sea, May 12, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522153758/https://www.webcitation.org/6YWmwHJVz?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/IDQ10810_201505120551.htm May 12, 2015 May 14, 2015 May 22, 2024 live http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ10810.shtml Australian Bureau of Meteorology November 18, 2015 Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Coral Sea, May 13, 2015 https://archive.today/20240522153844/https://www.webcitation.org/6YWn0xVE9?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/IDQ10810_201505130430.htm May 13, 2015 May 22, 2024 live
After the season had ended, researchers identified that a possible subtropical or tropical cyclone, had existed to the northeast of Easter Island between April 29 – May 4 and unofficially named it Katie.Young, Steven H Blunden, J D. S. Arndt State of the Climate in 2015 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society August 2016 97 8 149–150 10.1175/2016BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 2016BAMS...97.....B 1874/353366 https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00662/77399/ free The system originated within a frontal zone during the later part of April, before it developed into a nonfrontal system during April 29. At this time the majority of atmospheric convection associated with the system was located to the southeast of its low level circulation centre. Over the next couple of days, the system moved south-eastwards and gradually developed further because it was an El Niño year and before it developed into a subtropical storm during May 1. The system subsequently moved north-westwards and degenerated into a remnant low on May 4, before it dissipated during May 6. It was unofficially named due to it forming in an area that is not warm enough to support tropical cyclone formation.
Storm names
Tropical cyclone naming
Within the Southern Pacific a tropical depression is judged to have reached tropical cyclone intensity should it reach winds of 65 km/h mph on and it is evident that gales are occurring at least halfway around the center. Tropical depressions that intensify into a tropical cyclone between the Equator and 25°S and between 160°E and 120°W are named by the FMS. However, should a tropical depression intensify to the south of 25°S between 160°E and 120°W it will be named by MetService in conjunction with the FMS. If a tropical cyclone moves out of the basin and into the Australian region, it will retain its original name. The names Niko, Ola, Reuben and Solo would be used for the first (and only, in the case of Ola) time this year, after replacing the names Nute, Osea, Ron, and Susan after the 1997-98 season. The names that were used for the 2014-15 season are listed below:
Niko
Ola
Pam
Reuben
Solo
If a tropical cyclone enters the South Pacific basin from the Australian region basin (west of 160°E), it will retain the name assigned to it by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The following storms were named in this manner:
Raquel
Retirement
After the season, the names Ola, and Pam were both retired, and replaced with Opeti and Perry respectively.
Season effects
This table lists all the storms that developed in the South Pacific to the east of longitude 160°E during the 2014–15 season. It includes their intensity on the Australian tropical cyclone intensity scale, duration, name, landfalls, deaths, and damages. All data is taken from RSMC Nadi and/or TCWC Wellington, and all of the damage figures are in 2014 USD.
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| 01 01F || 141121 November 21–26 || bgcolor=#TD|1 Tropical depression || bgcolor=#TD|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#TD|1003 1003 hPa inHg 4 on || Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Samoan Islands || 1 Minimal || None ||
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| 02 02F || 141216 December 16–17 || bgcolor=#DI|0 Tropical disturbance || bgcolor=#DI|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#DI|1007 1007 hPa inHg 4 on || None || None || None ||
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| 03 03F || 141220 December 20–26 || bgcolor=#TD|1 Tropical depression || bgcolor=#TD|055 55 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#TD|0998 998 hPa inHg 4 on || Cook Islands || None || None ||
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| 04 04F || 141221 December 21–24 || bgcolor=#TD|1 Tropical depression || bgcolor=#TD|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#TD|1000 1000 hPa inHg 4 on || French Polynesia || None || None ||
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| 05 05F || 141223 December 23–29 || bgcolor=#TD|1 Tropical depression || bgcolor=#TD|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#TD|1000 1000 hPa inHg 4 on || Samoan Islands || None || None ||
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| 06 Niko || 150119 January 19–25 || bgcolor=#A2|3 Category 2 tropical cyclone || bgcolor=#A2|100 100 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#A2|0982 982 hPa inHg 4 on || French Polynesia || 1 Minimal || None ||
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| 08 08F || 150127 January 27–30 || bgcolor=#DI|0 Tropical disturbance || bgcolor=#DI|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#DI|1000 1000 hPa inHg 4 on || Wallis and Futuna, Samoan Islands || None || None ||
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| 09 Ola || 150129 January 29 – February 3 || bgcolor=#A3|4 Category 3 severe tropical cyclone || bgcolor=#A3|150 150 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#A3|0955 955 hPa inHg 4 on || New Caledonia, Lord Howe Island || None || None ||
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| 10 10F || 150202 February 2–4 || bgcolor=#DI|0 Tropical disturbance || bgcolor=#DI|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#DI|1001 1001 hPa inHg 4 on || Tuvalu || None || None ||
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| 11 Pam || 150306 March 6–15 || bgcolor=#A5|6 Category 5 severe tropical cyclone || bgcolor=#A5|250 250 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#A5|0896 896 hPa inHg 4 on || Fiji, Kiribati, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, New Zealand || 543000000 $ || 15 ||
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| 12 Reuben || 150319 March 19–23 || bgcolor=#A1|2 Category 1 tropical cyclone || bgcolor=#A1|075 75 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#A1|0990 990 hPa inHg 4 on || Fiji, Tonga || None || None ||
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| 13 13F || 150319 March 19–21 || bgcolor=#DI|0 Tropical disturbance || bgcolor=#DI|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#DI|1004 1004 hPa inHg 4 on || French Polynesia || None || None ||
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| 14 14F || 150328 March 28–31 || bgcolor=#TD|1 Tropical depression || bgcolor=#TD|055 55 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#TD|0998 998 hPa inHg 4 on || Southern Cook Islands || None || None ||
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| 15 Solo || 150409 April 9–12 || bgcolor=#A2|3 Category 2 tropical cyclone || bgcolor=#A2|100 100 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#A2|0985 985 hPa inHg 4 on || Solomon Islands, New Caledonia || Unknown || None ||
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| 16 16F || 150415 April 15–16 || bgcolor=#TD|1 Tropical depression || bgcolor=#TD|000 Not specified || bgcolor=#TD|1008 1008 hPa inHg 4 on || None || None || None ||
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| 17 Raquel || 150628 June 28 – July 4 || bgcolor=#A1|2 Category 1 tropical cyclone || bgcolor=#A1|075 75 km/h mph on 5 || bgcolor=#A1|998 hPa inHg 4 on on || Solomon Islands || Minimal || 1 ||
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17 systems November 21 – July 4 250 km/h mph on 5 896 hPa inHg 4 on on 543000000 $ 16
See also
Tropical cyclones
Tropical cyclones in 2014 and 2015
List of South Pacific cyclone seasons
Atlantic hurricane seasons: 2014, 2015
Pacific hurricane seasons: 2014, 2015
Pacific typhoon seasons: 2014, 2015
North Indian Ocean cyclone seasons: 2014, 2015
2014–15 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season
2014–15 Australian region cyclone season
2017–18 South Pacific cyclone season
South Atlantic tropical cyclone
Subtropical Cyclone Katie
References
2
External links
2014 y
2010 South Pacific cyclone yes
Category:South Pacific cyclone seasons
2014 SPAC
2015 SPAC