2015 Navarrese regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Navarre 2015 Navarrese regional election Navarre parliamentary no 2011 Navarrese regional election 2011 2019 Navarrese regional election 2019 9th Parliament of Navarre All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre 26 #Opinion polls 501,267 10px 3.3% 342,173 (68.3%)10px 0.9 pp 24 May 2015 170x170px Javier Esparza Navarrese People's Union 30 November 2014 19 seats, 34.5% 15 10px 4 92,705 27.4% 10px 7.1 pp 170x170px Uxue Barkos Geroa Bai 3 October 2014 8 seats, 15.4%"NaBai11" Results for NaBai 2011 in the 2011 election. 9 10px 1 53,497 15.8% 10px 0.4 pp 170x170px Adolfo Araiz EH Bildu 11 October 2014 7 seats, 13.3% 8 10px 1 48,166 14.2% 10px 0.9 pp 170x170px Laura Pérez Podemos/Ahal Dugu 14 February 2015 Did not contest 7 10px 7 46,207 13.7% New party 170x170px María Chivite PSN–PSOE 19 October 2014 9 seats, 15.9% 7 10px 2 45,164 13.4% 10px 2.5 pp 170x170px Ana Beltrán People's Party of Navarre 6 March 2015 4 seats, 7.3% 2 10px 2 13,289 3.9% 10px 3.4 pp President President after election Yolanda Barcina Navarrese People's Union Uxue Barkos Zabaltzen (GBai) A regional election was held in Navarre on 24 May 2015 to elect the 9th Parliament of the chartered community. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain. Regional president Yolanda Barcina, who had only came to power in 2011 after the establishment of a coalition government between the Navarrese People's Union (UPN) and the Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE)—which proved to be short-lived, as Barcina herself expelled the PSN from the cabinet in 2012 over disagreements with then-PSN leader Roberto Jiménez—announced on 10 November 2014 that she would not seek re-election for a second term in office. This came after a term that proved to become the most unstable since the Spanish transition to democracy, with Barcina's minority government being unable to pass any budget following 2012, with one failed motion of no confidence in 2013 and the scare of a new one in 2014 over a number of alleged corruption scandals besieging UPN.Doria Javier 16 February 2014 https://elpais.com/politica/2014/02/15/actualidad/1392497273_818852.html Réquiem por la octava legislatura en Navarra es El País 12 June 2022 After a spell of 19 years in power since 1996, the election saw UPN's support plummet to a low in popular support unseen since 1987, whereas the PSN scored its worst result in history after falling to fifth place. Both parties, together with the support obtained by the then-ruling party in Spain, the People's Party (PP), commanded just 24 seats, two short of a majority, allowing an alliance of Geroa Bai (GBai), EH Bildu and Izquierda-Ezkerra (I–E) with external support from Podemos to access the regional government and have GBai's Uxue Barkos elected as new president. Background The 2011 regional election had resulted in a coalition agreement between Navarrese People's Union (UPN) and the Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN), with UPN leader Yolanda Barcina being elected as President.Arrarás Amaia 18 June 2011 https://elpais.com/politica/2011/06/18/actualidad/1308409042_726938.html UPN y PSN cierran un acuerdo de Gobierno “sólido” para Navarra es El País Pamplona 9 December 2024 However, tensions remained frequent between both coalition partners, and in June 2012, PSN-PSOE leader and then-Vice President of Navarre Roberto Jiménez' questioning of a UPN's decision to pass an additional budget cut of 132 billion euros resulted in his expulsion from Barcina's cabinet.Arrarás Amaia 1 June 2012 https://elpais.com/politica/2012/06/01/actualidad/1338571777_833110.html El PSN-PSOE anuncia crisis de Gobierno en Navarra por recorte presupuestario es El País Pamplona 9 December 2024 The PSOE withdrew from the regional government, leaving UPN in minority.Arrarás Amaia 15 June 2012 https://elpais.com/politica/2012/06/15/actualidad/1339740661_971869.html UPN gobernará en minoría Navarra tras romper con el PSN es El País Pamplona 9 December 2024Agencias 15 June 2012 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2012/06/15/la_coalicion_del_gobierno_foral_rompe_sin_cumplir_ano_83718_2061.html El pacto de Gobierno UPN-PSN se rompe sin cumplir un año es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 9 December 2024 As a consequence, with the left-wing opposition commanding a majority in Parliament, political instability marked the remainder of the legislature, with the government being unable to pass its bills into law or to approve further budgets.Europa Press 25 November 2014 https://www.eldiario.es/navarra/ultimas-noticias/parlamento-presupuestos-navarra-prorrogadas-tercera_1_4498578.html El Parlamento foral rechaza los Presupuestos para 2015 y Navarra tendrá cuentas prorrogadas por tercera vez es eldiario.es Pamplona 9 December 2024 The eruption of the Caja Navarra scandal in early 2013, involving President Barcina and other UPN high-ranking members,Doria Javier 7 March 2013 https://elpais.com/politica/2013/03/07/actualidad/1362683681_364258.html Caja Navarra pagó hasta 2.680 euros a cargos de UPN por reuniones de una hora es El País Pamplona 9 December 20246 June 2013 https://elpais.com/politica/2013/06/05/actualidad/1370456532_055078.html Las dietas opacas de Caja Navarra atrapan a Barcina es El País Pamplona 9 December 2024 resulted in an ill-fated attempt by Bildu and Aralar–Nafarroa Bai to bring forward a censure motion against Yolanda Barcina, which had no realistic prospect of succeeding because of PSN's abstention.Europa Press / EFE 18 April 2013 https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2013/04/18/espana/1366275942.html La abstención del PSN salva a Yolanda Barcina en la moción de censura es El Mundo Navarre 9 December 2024 Additionally, dissent within Barcina's party materialized with party Vice President Alberto Catalán forcing a leadership election in March 2013 which Barcina was only narrowly able to win.Oliden Ander Iñaki 17 March 2013 https://www.eldiario.es/politica/barcina-upn-dividida-caja-navarra_1_5611598.html Barcina se hace con el control absoluto de una UPN dividida en plena crisis por las dietas de Caja Navarra es eldiario.es 9 December 2024 In February 2014, regional minister of Finance, Lourdes Goicoechea, was accused of influence peddling within the regional Treasury,11 February 2014 https://www.europapress.es/navarra/noticia-exdirectora-hacienda-acusa-goicoechea-persistentes-injerencias-desconfianza-profesionales-20140211184301.html La exdirectora de Hacienda acusa a Goicoechea de "persistentes injerencias" y la consejera lo niega es Europa Press Pamplona 9 December 202413 February 2014 https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2014/02/13/52fc8ea7ca474163318b456c.html La ex directora de Hacienda encendió la mecha es El Mundo Madrid 9 December 2024 prompting Roberto Jiménez to threaten Barcina with a censure motion if she did not voluntarily call for a snap regional election.12 February 2014 https://www.antena3.com/noticias/espana/psn-anuncia-mocion-censura-barcina-convoca-elecciones_2014021257527e314beb2837bbfc44a2.html El PSN anuncia una moción de censura a Barcina si no convoca elecciones es Antena 3 9 December 202414 February 2014 https://www.eldiario.es/politica/escandalo-corrupcion-gobierno-navarra-dimision_1_5026762.html “Le dije que los datos de Hacienda foral no estaban disponibles para uso particular” es eldiario.es 9 December 2024 The PSOE national leadership, however, explicitly forbade its regional branch from reaching any kind of agreement that needed Bildu's support, and Jiménez backed down on his threat as a consequence.Gutiérrez Calvo Vera 5 March 2014 https://elpais.com/politica/2014/03/05/actualidad/1394054028_870358.html El PSOE renuncia a la moción de censura en Navarra para evitar apoyarse en Bildu es El País Madrid 9 December 2024 The PSN-PSOE was severely mauled in the same year European Parliament election, winning just 14.5% compared to the 31.5% it had won in 2009, and losing over half of its 2009 votes (31,629 compared to 63,848 in 2009). Roberto Jiménez resigned as PSN leader, being succeeded by María Chivite.Europa Press 27 May 2014 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/05/26/roberto_jimenez_presentara_las_elecciones_2015_navarra_160970_2061.html Roberto Jiménez renuncia a ser el candidato del PSN es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 9 December 2024EFE 13 December 2014 https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2014/12/13/548c213f22601d53668b456e.html La senadora María Chivite, nueva líder de los socialistas navarros es El Mundo Pamplona 9 December 2024 The abertzale left represented under EH Bildu's flag, on the other hand, became the second political force of the community for the first time ever, with 20.2% of the vote.EFE 26 May 2014 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/05/26/bildu_segundo_navarra_dice_que_quot_cambio_democratico_quot_imparable_160916_2061.html Bildu, segundo en Navarra, dice que el "cambio democrático" es imparable es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 9 December 2024 Podemos' emergence in opinion polls marked the end of the legislature into 2015. Yolanda Barcina, who had initially expressed her willingness to stand for re-election as late as August 2014,Lecumberri Elena https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/08/30/barcina_encabezara_lista_upn_las_proximas_elecciones_173129_2061.html Yolanda Barcina hace oficial su candidatura a las elecciones es Diario de Navarra Cadreita 30 August 2014 announced on 10 November 2014 that she would not stand for a second term.Agencias 10 November 2014 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/11/10/yolanda_barcina_sera_candidata_upn_las_proximas_elecciones_183038_2061.html Barcina no concurrirá a la reelección en 2015 es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 12 June 2022 A primary election was held on 29 November, in which incumbent Local Administration minister Javier Esparza defeated Alberto Catalán and became UPN candidate for the 2015 regional election.29 November 2014 https://www.eldiario.es/navarra/ultimas-noticias/alberto-catalan-upn-gobierno-navarra_1_4486747.html Esparza derrota a Alberto Catalán y será el candidato de UPN al Gobierno de Navarra es eldiario.es 12 June 2022 Overview Under the 1982 Reintegration and Improvement of the Chartered Regime, the Parliament of Navarre was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous chartered community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.LORAFNA 1982 arts. 11–13 & 19–22. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LFEPN 1986 art. 2. Date The term of the Parliament of Navarre expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. If no snap election was called before the last year of the legislative term, the election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fourth Sunday of May four years after the previous election.LORAFNA 1982 art. 15; LFEPN 1986 arts. 12–14 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the latest possible date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 24 May 2015. The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or during the last year of parliament before its planned expiration, nor before one year after a previous one under this procedure.LORAFNA 1982 art. 30; LFGNP 2004 arts. 7, 22 & 30. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from election day, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.LORAFNA 1982 art. 29. The election to the Parliament of Navarre was officially called on 31 March 2015 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BON, setting election day for 24 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 17 June.Foral Decree 2/2015 2015 arts. 1 & 3. Electoral system Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.LORAFNA 1982 art. 15; LFEPN 1986 art. 3 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 2–3). Additionally, non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting, a system known as "begged" voting (es Voto rogado).LOREG 1985 art. 75.Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 31 August 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210831202218/https://cafebabel.com/en/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote-5ae00a98f723b35a145e6867/ usurped The Parliament of Navarre had a minimum of 40 and a maximum of 60 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 50. All were elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the chartered community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) regionally.LORAFNA 1982 art. 15; LFEPN 1986 arts. 1 & 9–10. The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LFEPN 1986 art. 11 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48). Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/anavarra.html Elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Nafarroako Parlamentua) (desde 1979) es Historia Electoral.com 3 May 2026https://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/memorias-actividad/MEMO1415.pdf Parlamento de Navarra. VIII Legislatura. Memoria de Actividades (22-mayo-2014 a 22-mayo-2015) es Parliament of Navarre 3 May 2026 + Parliamentary composition in March 2015 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group UPN 19 19 Socialists of Navarre Parliamentary Group PSN–PSOE 9 9 Bildu–Navarre Parliamentary Group Bildu 7 7 Aralar–Navarre Yes Parliamentary Group Aralar 6 6 People's Parliamentary Group of Navarre PP 4 4 Left Parliamentary Group IU 2 3 Batzarre 1 Mixed Group EAJ/PNV 1 2 Zabaltzen 1 Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LFEPN 1986 art. 18 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.LOREG 1985 art. 44 bis. Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election: Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats UPN List on Navarrese People's Union (UPN) 50px Javier Esparza ConservatismChristian democracyRegionalism 34.5% 19 PSN–PSOE List on Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) 50px María Chivite Social democracy 15.9% 9 EFE 20 October 2014 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/10/19/maria_chivite_sera_cabeza_lista_del_psn_las_elecciones_2015_179986_2061.html María Chivite será cabeza de lista del PSN en las elecciones 2015 es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 12 June 2022EFE 13 December 2014 https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20141213/54421797478/la-senadora-maria-chivite-elegida-secretaria-general-del-psn-psoe.html La senadora María Chivite, elegida secretaria general del PSN-PSOE es La Vanguardia Pamplona 12 June 2022 GBai List on Expanding (ZBN) Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) Villava Group (AT) 50px Uxue Barkos Basque nationalismSocial democracy 15.4%"NaBai11" 8 EFE 19 September 2014 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/09/19/barkos_unica_candidata_para_liderar_lista_geroa_bai_parlamento_175988_2061.html Barkos, única candidata para liderar lista de Geroa Bai al Parlamento es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 12 June 20223 October 2014 https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/actualidad/politica/2014/10/03/uxue-barkos-e-itziar-gomez/444825.html Uxue Barkos e Itziar Gomez, proclamadas candidatas de Geroa Bai es Diario de Noticias Pamplona 12 June 2022 EH Bildu List on Create (Sortu) Basque Solidarity (EA) Aralar (Aralar) Alternative (Alternatiba) 50px Adolfo Araiz Basque independenceAbertzale leftSocialism 13.3% 7 Encinas Javier 8 October 2014 https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/actualidad/politica/2014/10/08/adolfo-araiz-sera-cabeza-lista/446043.html Adolfo Araiz será el cabeza de lista de EH Bildu al Parlamento es Diario de Noticias Pamplona 12 June 2022 PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Ana Beltrán ConservatismChristian democracy 7.3% 4 Arnez Beatriz 6 January 2015 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2015/01/06/ana_beltran_perfila_como_candidata_del_las_forales_190025_2061.html Ana Beltrán se perfila como la candidata del PP a las forales es Diario de Navarra Pamplona 12 June 2022 I–E (n) List on United Left of Navarre (IUN/NEB)– Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK)– The Dawn Marxist Organization (La Aurora (OM))– Republican Left (IR)– Open Left (IzAb) Assembly (Batzarre) 50px José Miguel Nuin SocialismCommunism 5.7% 3 Podemos/Ahal Dugu List on We Can (Podemos) 50px Laura Pérez Left-wing populismDirect democracyDemocratic socialism colspan="2" Did not contest Europa Press 14 February 2015 https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/actualidad/politica/2015/02/14/laura-perez-elegida-secretaria-general/477134.html Laura Pérez, elegida secretaria general de Podemos Navarra con el 52,3% de los votos es Diario de Noticias Pamplona 12 June 2022 C's List on Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 50px Diego Paños Liberalism colspan="2" Did not contest Europa Press 12 April 2015 https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/2430008/0/diego-panos-cabeza-lista-ciudadanos-al-parlamento-navarra/?autoref=true Diego Paños, cabeza de lista de Ciudadanos al Parlamento de Navarra es 20 minutos Pamplona 12 June 2022 Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre. Color key: #FFEAEA Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Navarrese People's Union|UPN 25px|link=Socialist Party of Navarre|PSN–PSOE 28px|link=Geroa Bai|GBai 27px|link=EH Bildu 28px|link=People's Party of Navarre|PP 28px|link=Izquierda-Ezkerra|I–E (n) 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 68.3 27.475% Verdana 15 13.475% Verdana 7 15.875% Verdana 9 14.375% Verdana 8 3.975% Verdana 2 3.775% Verdana 2 0.575% Verdana 0 13.775% Verdana 7 3.075% Verdana 0 11.6 GAD3/Antena 3Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015 http://www.slideshare.net/GAD3_com/con-150405-comparativa-encuestas-resultados-antena-3-48692251 es GAD3 28 May 2015 11–22 May 2015???75% Verdana 15/16?75% Verdana 6/7?75% Verdana 8/9?75% Verdana 7/8?75% Verdana 3/4?75% Verdana 0/1 –?75% Verdana 6/7?75% Verdana 1/2? GAD3/ABCRajoy cree un éxito ser el más votado aunque pierda plazas simbólicas https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/05/17/023.html es ABC 17 May 2015 17 May 2015???75% Verdana 14/15?75% Verdana 6?75% Verdana 8/9?75% Verdana 7?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 1 –?75% Verdana 7/8?75% Verdana 3? NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantendria-sin-apoyos-castilla-y-leon-castilla-la-mancha-murcia-y-la-rioja-ML9739680 es La Razón 17 May 2015Comunidad Foral de Navarra: Sólo el PSOE de María Chívite podrá parar la amenaza abertzale https://www.larazon.es/espana/comunidad-foral-de-navarra-solo-el-psoe-de-maria-chivite-podra-parar-la-amenaza-abertzale-DK9738995 es La Razón 17 May 2015Comunidad Foral de Navarra. Encuesta mayo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3082979_20150517014446.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20160222085908/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3082979_20150517014446.pdf dead 22 February 2016 es La Razón 17 May 2015 17 May 2015 400? 22.375% Verdana 12/13 11.975% Verdana 6/7 11.075% Verdana 6 15.275% Verdana 8/9 8.375% Verdana 4/5 5.275% Verdana 2/3 – 10.875% Verdana 6 8.575% Verdana 4/5 7.1 Gizaker/Grupo NoticiasUPN se estanca y el cambio se abre paso con una participación histórica http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2015/05/16/especiales/elecciones-24-m/upn-se-estanca-y-el-cambio-se-abre-paso-con-una-participacion-historica es Diario de Noticias 17 May 2015 bot: unknown https://web.archive.org/web/20150518091719/http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2015/05/16/especiales/elecciones-24-m/upn-se-estanca-y-el-cambio-se-abre-paso-con-una-participacion-historica 18 May 2015 UPN se estanca y el cambio se abre paso con una participación histórica https://es.calameo.com/read/00269896996001244e193 es Diario de Noticias 16 May 2015 13 May 2015 800 76.2 24.375% Verdana 13 11.575% Verdana 6 17.975% Verdana 10 16.175% Verdana 8 4.475% Verdana 2 3.175% Verdana 1 1.475% Verdana 0 14.375% Verdana 8 4.275% Verdana 2 6.4 CIES/Diario de NavarraLigera recuperación de UPN (15-16) y leve caída de Geroa Bai (8) y Podemos (7-8) https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2015/05/17/ligera_recuperacion_upn_leve_caida_geroa_bai_podemos_231799_2061.html es Diario de Navarra 17 May 2015NAVARRA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo CIES https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/navarra-mayo-2015-sondeo-cies.html es Electográfica 17 May 2015 5–7 May 2015 1,228 71 28.575% Verdana 15/16 9.675% Verdana 5 15.175% Verdana 8 13.175% Verdana 6/7 5.675% Verdana 2/3 3.675% Verdana 1/2 – 13.875% Verdana 7/8 8.275% Verdana 4 13.4 inPactosEncuesta preelectoral https://twitter.com/inpactosnavarra/status/602803481053900800 es inPactos 25 May 2015Ficha técnica https://twitter.com/inpactosnavarra/status/598786115403980800 es inPactos 14 May 2015NAVARRA, Abril 2015. Sondeo Inpactos https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/navarra-abril-2015-sondeo-inpactos.html es Electográfica 30 April 2015 13–20 Apr 2015 508? 25.575% Verdana 14 14.575% Verdana 8 12.575% Verdana 6 15.075% Verdana 8 4.075% Verdana 2 5.575% Verdana 3 – 13.575% Verdana 7 5.075% Verdana 2 10.5 CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Foral de Navarra (Estudio nº 3075. Marzo-Abril 2015) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es3075mar_A.pdf es CIS 7 May 2015El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2015/05/08/pagina-17/95357635/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 8 May 2015 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 789? 20.875% Verdana 11/12 11.275% Verdana 6 10.075% Verdana 5 12.575% Verdana 7 6.775% Verdana 3 5.175% Verdana 2 0.575% Verdana 0 19.975% Verdana 11 8.775% Verdana 4/5 0.9 CIES/Diario de NavarraNAVARRA, Abril 2015. Sondeo CIES https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/navarra-abril-2015-sondeo-cies.html es Electográfica 26 April 2015 14–17 Apr 2015 800 71 26.175% Verdana 14/15 10.275% Verdana 5 17.175% Verdana 9 13.775% Verdana 7 6.475% Verdana 3 3.275% Verdana 0/1 – 14.775% Verdana 8 5.975% Verdana 3 9.0 HerkapNueva y sorprendente encuesta electoral en Navarra https://www.navarraconfidencial.com/2015/04/10/nueva-y-sorprendente-encuesta-electoral-en-navarra/ es NavarraConfidencial.com 10 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20200703165700/https://www.navarraconfidencial.com/2015/04/10/nueva-y-sorprendente-encuesta-electoral-en-navarra/ 3 July 2020 deadNAVARRA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo Herkap https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/navarra-marzo-2015-sondeo-herkap.html es Electográfica 10 April 2015 16–23 Mar 2015 400 78 22.575% Verdana 13 10.475% Verdana 5 7.875% Verdana 4 17.375% Verdana 9 9.575% Verdana 5 6.475% Verdana 3 – 13.975% Verdana 7 7.775% Verdana 4 5.2 Gizaker/Grupo NoticiasEl desplome de UPN abre la puerta al cambio http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2015/03/22/politica/navarra/el-desplome-de-upn-abre-la-puerta-al-cambio es Diario de Noticias 22 March 2015 bot: unknown https://web.archive.org/web/20150324180921/http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2015/03/22/politica/navarra/el-desplome-de-upn-abre-la-puerta-al-cambio 24 March 2015 El desplome de UPN abre la puerta al cambio https://es.calameo.com/read/002698969ca2e5adc24cf es Diario de Noticias 22 March 2015 9–11 Mar 2015 800 71.2 24.275% Verdana 13 13.975% Verdana 7 15.875% Verdana 9 14.475% Verdana 8 5.275% Verdana 2 3.375% Verdana 1 – 16.475% Verdana 9 3.075% Verdana 1 7.8 NC Report/La RazónEl PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-seguira-siendo-el-mas-votado-en-las-cc-aa-pese-a-la-caida-en-apoyos-CM9493271 es La Razón 20 April 2015Comunidad Foral de Navarra: Bajo amenaza abertzale https://www.larazon.es/espana/comunidad-foral-de-navarra-bajo-amenaza-abertzale-CN9492675 es La Razón 20 April 2015Comunidad Foral de Navarra. Encuesta marzo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2945888_20150420022408.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20160222090334/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2945888_20150420022408.pdf dead 22 February 2016 es La Razón 20 April 2015 2–11 Mar 2015 400? 22.375% Verdana 12/13 11.275% Verdana 6/7 9.475% Verdana 5/6 16.575% Verdana 8/9 10.275% Verdana 5/6 5.275% Verdana 2/3 – 8.675% Verdana 4/5 9.775% Verdana 5/6 5.8 CIES/Diario de NavarraLos sociólogos ponen en duda los resultados del 'navarrómetro' https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/mas_navarra/2014/11/28/los_sociologos_ponen_duda_los_resultados_del_navarrometro_185451_2061.html es Diario de Navarra 28 November 2014 28 Nov 2014???75% Verdana 15/16?75% Verdana 6?75% Verdana 4/5?75% Verdana 9?75% Verdana 1/2?75% Verdana 2 –?75% Verdana 12 –? Orbere/Parliament of NavarreEstudio sobre la actualidad de Navarra. Informe de Resultados. Noviembre 2014 https://www.diariodenavarra.es/uploads/documentos/2014/11/21/_navarrometro201414284_5d3db488.pdf es Grupo Orbere 21 November 2014 3–7 Nov 2014 1,500 64.5 15.375% Verdana 8 9.775% Verdana 5 8.675% Verdana 4 20.875% Verdana 11 3.275% Verdana 1 4.275% Verdana 2 2.875% Verdana 1 35.575% Verdana 18 – 14.7 Llorente & CuencaEl reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015 http://www.desarrollando-ideas.com/publico/141104_dmasi_Informe_especial_reparto_poder_territorial_2015.pdf es desarrollando-ideas.com 31 October 2014 31 Oct 2014???75% Verdana 15/17?75% Verdana 7/8?75% Verdana 7/9?75% Verdana 7/10?75% Verdana 3/4?75% Verdana 2/4 –?75% Verdana 0/1 –? Torrene Consulting/GaraEstimación de voto y escaños en el Parlamento Foral https://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/132/662/original/20141207_encuesta_nafarroa.pdf es Naiz 7 December 2014C. F. NAVARRA, Noviembre 2014. Sondeo Torrene Consulting https://www.electografica.com/2014/12/c-f-navarra-noviembre-2014-torrene.html es Electográfica 7 December 2014 13–31 Oct 2014 400 69.9 23.175% Verdana 13 12.175% Verdana 6 11.375% Verdana 7 16.475% Verdana 9 8.575% Verdana 4 4.575% Verdana 2 – 15.675% Verdana 9 – 6.7 2014 EP electionProyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos https://elpais.com/elpais/2014/05/31/media/1401568389_275456.html es El País 31 May 2014 25 May 2014 44.5 – 14.575% Verdana (9) 2.575% Verdana (0) 20.275% Verdana (12) 25.175% Verdana (16) 9.575% Verdana (6) 4.675% Verdana (2) 9.375% Verdana (6) 1.875% Verdana (0) 4.9 inPactosEncuesta marzo 2014 http://ahotsa.info/igotakoak/encuesta-marzo-14pdf es Ahotsa 8 March 2014 bot: unknown https://web.archive.org/web/20140310162716/http://ahotsa.info/igotakoak/encuesta-marzo-14pdf 10 March 2014 COMUNIDAD FORAL DE NAVARRA, Febrero 2014. Inpactos https://www.electografica.com/2014/03/comunidad-foral-de-navarra-febrero-2014.html es Electográfica 8 March 2014 21–26 Feb 2014 500? 23.575% Verdana 13 21.075% Verdana 11 16.575% Verdana 9 17.575% Verdana 9 5.075% Verdana 2 12.075% Verdana 6 – – – 2.5 NC Report/La RazónEl PP ganaría de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomías https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-ganaria-de-nuevo-en-9-de-13-autonomias-LJ4391184 es La Razón 18 November 2013Encuesta autonómicas NC Report noviembre 2013 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video%285843%29.pdf es La Razón 18 November 2013 16 October 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303195841/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video(5843).pdf 3 March 2016 dead 15 Oct–12 Nov 2013???75% Verdana 16/17?75% Verdana 9?75% Verdana 10/11?75% Verdana 10?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 3/4 – – –? inPactosUna encuesta predice el desplome UPN-PP y la posibilidad de un gobierno entre PSN, Geroa Bai e I-E http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2013/09/30/politica/navarra/una-encuesta-predice-el-desplome-de-upn-pp-y-la-posibilidad-de-un-gobierno-entre-psn-geroa-bai-e-ie es Diario de Noticias 30 September 2013 bot: unknown https://archive.today/20150227220616/http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2013/09/30/politica/navarra/una-encuesta-predice-el-desplome-de-upn-pp-y-la-posibilidad-de-un-gobierno-entre-psn-geroa-bai-e-ie 27 February 2015 30 Sep 2013 500? 28.075% Verdana 15 19.575% Verdana 11 16.075% Verdana 9 14.075% Verdana 7 5.075% Verdana 2 11.575% Verdana 6 – – – 8.5 Gizaker/Grupo NoticiasVuelco por el cambio en Navarra https://es.calameo.com/read/002698969b39df43df80b es Diario de Noticias 8 June 2013Barcina hunde a UPN y propicia un vuelco en Nafarroa https://es.calameo.com/read/002698969db355b0240de es Deia 8 June 2013Encuesta Gizaker http://www.burbuja.info/inmobiliaria/politica/439524-momento-despliegue-ikurrina-fiestas-san-fermin-9.html es Diario de Noticias 8 June 2013 8–13 May 2013 800 66.9 26.875% Verdana 15 16.175% Verdana 8 19.175% Verdana 10 20.075% Verdana 11 5.275% Verdana 2 7.375% Verdana 4 – – – 6.8 NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantiene el poder autonómico https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantiene-el-poder-autonomico-AF2250507 es La Razón 13 May 2013Necesitaría pactos para gobernar en Navarra, Asturias, Canarias, Extremadura y Aragón https://www.larazon.es/espana/necesitaria-pactos-para-gobernar-en-navarra-a-LF2250159 es La Razón 13 May 2013El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ es Electómetro 13 May 2013 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20160304052841/http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ 4 March 2016 15 Apr–10 May 2013 250??75% Verdana 18 16.275% Verdana 9?75% Verdana 8?75% Verdana 8 8.375% Verdana 4?75% Verdana 3 – – –? Geroa BaiNavarra: ¿Uxue Presidenta? http://elmundoencifras.com/navarra-uxue-presidenta/ es El mundo en cifras 10 May 2013 bot: unknown https://web.archive.org/web/20130609005750/http://elmundoencifras.com/navarra-uxue-presidenta/ 9 June 2013 9 May 2013?? 27.375% Verdana 13/15 10.775% Verdana 5/6 21.375% Verdana 10/12 19.075% Verdana 10/12 5.575% Verdana 2/3 9.575% Verdana 4/6 – – – 6.0 GaraAmaiur sería el primer grupo en el Parlamento de Gasteiz https://gara.naiz.eus/paperezkoa/20120423/336357/es/Amaiur-seria-primer-grupo-Parlamento-Gasteiz- es Gara 23 April 2012 23 Apr 2012 625 70 35.075% Verdana 19 13.075% Verdana 7 16.975% Verdana 9 18.775% Verdana 10 4.875% Verdana 2 6.875% Verdana 3 – – – 16.3 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 68.9 "PP" Within PP. 22.075% Verdana (12) 12.875% Verdana (7) 14.9"Amaiur" Results for Amaiur.75% Verdana (8) 38.275% Verdana (20) 5.575% Verdana (3) 2.175% Verdana (0) – – 16.2 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 67.4 34.575% Verdana 19 15.975% Verdana 9 15.475% Verdana 8 13.375% Verdana 7 7.375% Verdana 4 5.775% Verdana 3 0.775% Verdana 0 – – 18.6 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Navarrese People's Union|UPN 25px|link=Socialist Party of Navarre|PSN–PSOE 28px|link=Geroa Bai|GBai 27px|link=EH Bildu 28px|link=People's Party of Navarre|PP 28px|link=Izquierda-Ezkerra|I–E (n) 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Lead 2015 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 24 May 2015 19.2 9.5 11.2 10.1 2.8 2.6 0.4 9.7 2.1 28.6 8.0 CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 789 7.2 6.6 5.5 10.7 3.3 3.3 0.3 15.3 4.7 31.5 9.2 4.6 Gizaker/Grupo Noticias 9–11 Mar 2015 800 10.5 6.9 11.0 9.5 2.3 3.1 – 16.0 2.3 20.1 13.8 5.0 Orbere/Parliament of Navarre 3–7 Nov 2014 1,500 8.4 5.7 5.1 12.6 1.8 2.4 1.4 19.4 – 27.2 11.6 6.8 Torrene Consulting/Gara 13–31 Oct 2014 400 10.9 5.7 3.6 8.9 3.9 2.6 – 10.4 – 14.1 38.5 0.5 2014 EP election"CERA" 25 May 2014 – 6.6 1.2 9.2 11.5 4.3 2.1 4.3 0.8 53.6 2.3 inPactos 21–26 Feb 2014 500 10.7 13.3 11.1 14.3 2.4 9.9 0.8 – – 11.7 15.1 1.0 2011 general election"CERA" 20 Nov 2011 "PP" 15.4 9.0 10.4"Amaiur" 26.8 3.9 1.4 – – 28.7 11.4 2011 regional election"CERA" 22 May 2011 23.8 10.9 10.6 9.1 5.0 3.9 0.5 – – 30.3 12.9 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Navarrese People's Union|UPN 25px|link=Socialist Party of Navarre|PSN–PSOE 28px|link=Geroa Bai|GBai 27px|link=EH Bildu 28px|link=People's Party of Navarre|PP 28px|link=Izquierda-Ezkerra|I–E (n) 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Other/None Lead CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 789 10.0 9.0 6.9 11.3 3.5 3.2 0.3 17.3 4.7 9.0 24.9 6.0 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Navarrese People's Union|UPN 25px|link=Socialist Party of Navarre|PSN–PSOE 28px|link=Geroa Bai|GBai 27px|link=EH Bildu 28px|link=People's Party of Navarre|PP 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Other/None Lead CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 789 47.9 4.5 2.2 2.4 3.1 4.7 0.1 1.2 33.8 43.2 Preferred President The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Navarre. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px Other/None/Notcare Lead BarcinaUPN EsparzaUPN ChivitePSN BarkosGBai AraizEH Bildu BeltránPP NuinI–E (n) PérezPodemos Gizaker/Grupo Noticias 13 May 2015 800 – 8.8 5.8 22.5 7.8 – – 5.1 4.9 41.8 13.7 CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 789 – 7.3 4.2 18.5 7.4 1.8 2.3 3.7 3.1 51.7 11.1 Gizaker/Grupo Noticias 9–11 Mar 2015 800 1.8 5.3 3.3 16.0 5.9 – – 6.0 10.6 51.1 10.0 Results + ← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Parliament of Navarre election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Navarrese People's Union (UPN) 92,705 27.44 −7.04 15 −4 Yes to the Future (GBai)1 53,497 15.83 +0.42 9 +1 Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu) 48,166 14.25 +0.97 8 +1 We Can (Podemos/Ahal Dugu) 46,207 13.67 New 7 +7 Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) 45,164 13.37 −2.48 7 −2 People's Party (PP) 13,289 3.93 −3.36 2 −2 Left (I–E (n)) 12,482 3.69 −2.02 2 −1 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 9,993 2.96 New 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 2,304 0.68 New 0 ±0 Equo–European Green Party (Equo) 2,170 0.64 New 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 1,740 0.51 −0.17 0 ±0 Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN/NOK) 1,733 0.51 −0.47 0 ±0 Navarrese Freedom (Ln) 955 0.28 New 0 ±0 Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 880 0.26 −0.07 0 ±0 Blank ballots 6,610 1.96 −0.56 Total 337,895 50 ±0 Valid votes 337,895 98.75 −0.02 Invalid votes 4,278 1.25 +0.02 Votes cast / turnout 342,173 68.26 +0.83 Abstentions 159,094 31.74 −0.83 Registered voters 501,267 SourcesResultados Electorales y Composición del Parlamento de Navarra. IX Legislatura (2015-2019) https://parlamentodenavarra.es/es/contenido/ix-legislatura es Parliament of Navarre 3 May 202616 June 2015 Resolución 475/2015, de 16 de junio, del Director General de Presidencia y Justicia, por la que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra celebradas el 24 de mayo de 2015, conforme al Acta de proclamación remitida por la Junta Electoral Provincial de Navarra https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/NAVARRA_2015_Resultados.pdf es Official Gazette of Navarre 116 2253-9646 7378–7381 3 May 2026 left Footnotes: 1 Yes to the Future results are compared to Navarre Yes 2011 totals in the 2011 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px UPN Navarrese People's Union 27.44 GBai Geroa Bai 15.83 EH Bildu EH Bildu 14.25 Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 13.67 PSN–PSOE Socialist Party of Navarre 13.37 PP People's Party of Navarre 3.93 I–E (n) Izquierda-Ezkerra 3.69 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 2.96 Others #777777 2.89 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.96 Seats #ddd 550px 500px UPN Navarrese People's Union 30.00 GBai Geroa Bai 18.00 EH Bildu EH Bildu 16.00 Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 14.00 PSN–PSOE Socialist Party of Navarre 14.00 PP People's Party of Navarre 4.00 I–E (n) Izquierda-Ezkerra 4.00 Aftermath Government formation Government of Uxue Barkos InvestitureNomination of Uxue Barkos (GBai) Ballot → 20 July 2015 Required majority → 26 out of 50 15 Yes • GBai (9) • EH Bildu (8) • Podemos (7) • I–E (n) (2) 26 50 green 125px No • UPN (15) • PP (2) 17 50 red 125px Abstentions • PSN (7) 7 50 gray 125px Absentees 0 50 black 125px Sources Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Bibliography 30em y Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra Organic Law 13/1982 10 August 1982 version as of 28 October 2010 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1982-20824 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20824&tn=1&p=20101028 3 May 2026 LORAFNA 1982 y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 31 March 2015 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 5 October 2025 LOREG 1985 y Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra Foral Law 16/1986 17 November 1986 version as of 11 June 2004 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1987-1255 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-1255&tn=1&p=20040611 3 May 2026 LFEPN 1986 y Ley Foral 14/2004, de 3 de diciembre, del Gobierno de Navarra y de su Presidente Foral Law 14/2004 3 December 2004 version as of 23 May 2008 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2005-1576 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2005-1576&tn=1&p=20080523 3 May 2026 LFGNP 2004 y Decreto Foral 2/2015, de 30 de marzo, de la Presidenta de la Comunidad Foral de Navarra, de convocatoria de elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra Foral Decree 2/2015 30 March 2015 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2015-3458 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2015-3458 3 May 2026 Foral Decree 2/2015 2015 Regional election Navarre Category:Regional elections in Navarre Navarre