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2010 United States Senate election in Maryland
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2010 United States Senate election in Maryland Maryland presidential no 2004 United States Senate election in Maryland 2004 2016 United States Senate election in Maryland 2016 November 2, 2010 150x150px Barbara Mikulski official portrait c. 2011.jpg Barbara Mikulski Democratic Party (United States) 1,140,531 62.19% Eric_Wargotz.jpg Eric Wargotz Republican Party (United States) 655,666 35.75% 300px County results 300px Precinct results 1 300px Mikulski: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Wargotz: #FFB2B2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Tie: #D2B1D9 40–50% #AE8BB1 50% U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski Democratic Party (United States) Barbara Mikulski Democratic Party (United States)
The 2010 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 2, 2010. Primary elections were held on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski won re-election to a fifth term.
According to The Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski had indicated she planned to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tie Paul Sarbanes as the longest-serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest-serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process. Nitkin David https://www.baltimoresun.com/2008/11/12/smooth-sailing-for-mikulski/ Smooth sailing for Mikulski January 9, 2009 Maryland Politics Blog The Baltimore Sun November 12, 2008 On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZTdmOWJmZGQ2ZGJiZDhkNzI3NjFiODczMDY5NTRkZjQ https://archive.today/20120707044520/http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZTdmOWJmZGQ2ZGJiZDhkNzI3NjFiODczMDY5NTRkZjQ dead July 7, 2012 Let's Get Real: Barbara Mikulski Does Not Fear a Loss This Year. February 15, 2010 February 16, 2010 National Review Jim Geraghty Jim Geraghty http://voices.washingtonpost.com/postpartisan/2010/02/mikulski_another_dem_retiremen.html https://web.archive.org/web/20120921063744/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/postpartisan/2010/02/mikulski_another_dem_retiremen.html dead September 21, 2012 Mikulski another Dem retirement? Not likely. February 16, 2010 February 16, 2010 The Washington Post Lee Hockstader
She previously won senate elections in 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state parties were expected to focus much of their attention on the seats of Governor Martin O'Malley and first-term Congressman Frank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state. Nitkin and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2009021901 Senate 2010: A three-peat for Democrats or Comeback for the GOP? February 19, 2009 Crystal Ball dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100107165948/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2009021901 January 7, 2010 considered her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."
Democratic primary
thumb|300px|Results by county:
#0645b4 Mikulski—80–90%
#1666cb Mikulski—70–80%
#4389e3 Mikulski—60–70%
Democratic primary resultshttp://www.elections.state.md.us/elections/2010/results/Primary/StateResults_office_007.html Maryland Senate Primary Results Maryland State Board of Elections September 17, 2010 September 17, 2010
Barbara Mikulski (Incumbent)
Democratic Party (United States)
388,868
82.32%
Christopher J. Garner
Democratic Party (United States)
35,579
7.53%
A. Billy Bob Jaworski
Democratic Party (United States)
15,131
3.20%
Blaine Taylor
Democratic Party (United States)
10,787
2.28%
Theresa C. Scaldaferri
Democratic Party (United States)
7,913
1.68%
Sanquetta Taylor
Democratic Party (United States)
7,365
1.56%
Lih Young
Democratic Party (United States)
6,733
1.43%
472,376
100.00%
Republican primary
Nominee
Eric Wargotz, Queen Anne's County Commission President
Eliminated in primary
Joseph Alexander
Barry Steve Asbury, newspaper publisher
Neil Cohen, dentist
Stephens Dempsey
Samuel R. Graham Sr.
John B. Kimble, perennial candidate
Gregory Kump
Daniel W. McAndrew
Jim Rutledge, attorney
Eddie Vendetti, engineer
Results
thumb|300px|Results by county:
#cc2f4a Wargotz—60–70%
#e27f90 Wargotz—50–60%
#f2b3be Wargotz—40–50%
#ffccd0 Wargotz—<40%
#ffccaa Rutledge—<40%
#ffb380 Rutledge—40–50%
Republican primary results
Eric Wargotz
Republican Party (United States)
92,464
38.57%
Jim Rutledge
Republican Party (United States)
73,311
30.58%
Joseph Alexander
Republican Party (United States)
14,026
5.85%
Neil H. Cohen
Republican Party (United States)
13,613
5.68%
Stephens Dempsey
Republican Party (United States)
9,325
3.89%
Daniel W. McAndrew
Republican Party (United States)
8,460
3.53%
John B. Kimble
Republican Party (United States)
8,081
3.37%
Samuel R. Graham, Sr.
Republican Party (United States)
6,600
2.75%
Barry Steve Asbury
Republican Party (United States)
5,900
2.46%
Eddie Vendetti
Republican Party (United States)
5,046
2.10%
Gregory Kump
Republican Party (United States)
2,931
1.22%
239,757
100.00%
General election
Candidates
Major
Barbara Mikulski (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
Eric Wargotz (R), Queen Anne's County, Maryland Commission President (elected) and physician
Minor
Don Kaplan (Independent)
Richard Shawver (Constitution)
Kenniss Henry (Green)
Natasha Pettigrew (deceased) was the Green Party candidate. On September 19, while cycling, Pettigrew was hit by an SUV driver. Her mother, Kenniss Henry, was chosen by the Green Party to replace Pettigrew on the ballot.Natasha Pettigrew – Mother to replace Green Party nominee for Senate – Baltimore Sun
Campaign
Wargotz released two television ads, in the first he created and introduced the term "insidersaurus": comparing Mikulski to a dinosaur by calling her a political "insidersaurus" https://www.politico.com/blogs/ben-smith/2010/09/insidersaurus-028958 'Insidersaurus' Politico September 2010 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3k6PM9AEos Political Insidersaurus:Eric Wargotz on the Hunt YouTubehttps://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2010/09/senate-candidate-runs-on-dinosaur-metaphor/340166/ Senate Candidate Runs on Dinosaur Metaphor The Atlantic September 2, 2010https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2010/09/02/md-sen_wargotz_hits_mikulski_over_political_insidersaurus-comments.html MD-Sen: Wargotz Hits Mikulski for Being A "Political Insidersaurus" | RealClearPoliticshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wcqBUx9CWe0 Eric Wargotz - Political Insidersaurus is FoxNews Ad of the Day YouTube being in Washington for over thirty years (a long-term political incumbent.) A second ad showed a hammer hitting a brick wall, breaking it down and citing criticisms of Mikulski's record as a U.S. Senator. Mikulski released advertisements emphasizing education and job creation.https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/10/03/AR2010100304687_3.html?sid=ST2010100401599 The Washington Post Ben Pershing Kyle Dropp Mikulski leads despite drop in popularity October 4, 2010
Despite Wargotz's limited campaign and resources he received the highest percentage of votes against Mikulski as an incumbent U.S. Senator (over 20 years.)
Debates
Despite repeated requests by the Wargotz Campaign formal debate was declined by the incumbent U.S. Senator Mikulski. The two candidates did appear together on Maryland Public Television (MPT) fielding common questions posed to both by the moderator but no formal debate was held.
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/senate Senate Cook Political Report October 26, 2010 Solid D October 26, 2010 Rothenberghttp://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate Senate Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 26, 2010 Safe D October 22, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html Battle for the Senate RealClearPolitics October 26, 2010 Safe D October 26, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate 2010 Senate Ratings Sabato's Crystal Ball October 26, 2010 October 28, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ dead Safe D October 21, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics October 26, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate October 28, 2010 Safe D October 26, 2010
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BarbaraMikulski (D) EricWargotz (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) July 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 58% 33% 2% 7% Public Policy Polling (report) July 10–12, 2010 569 ± 4.1% 59% 27% –– 14% Rasmussen Reports (report) August 20, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 55% 39% 3% 3% Rasmussen Reports (report) September 15, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 54% 38% 4% 4% Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. (https://archive.today/20130209010248/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/annapolis/2010/10/first_click_marylandanother_po.html report) October 11–16, 2010 816 ± 3.5% 55% 38% –– 7% Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks (report) October 15–20, 2010 798 ± 3.5% 59% 32% –– 8% Rasmussen Reports (report) October 24, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 56% 38% 2% 4%
Fundraising
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Cash minus debt Barbara Mikulski (D) $3,690,724 $2,792,437 $1,772,774 $0 $1,772,774 Eric Wargotz (R) $1,210,327 $743,392 $466,931 $459,600 $-7331. Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=MD&election_yr=2010 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Maryland fec.gov May 1, 2010 August 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes
Results
right 300px Shift by county 300px Trend by county
Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10−12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5−15% #00a1c8 Democratic — >15% 300px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010Maryland State Board of Elections
Democratic Party (United States)
Barbara Mikulski (incumbent)
1,140,531
62.19%
-2.61%
Republican Party (United States)
Eric Wargotz
655,666
35.75%
+2.05%
Green Party (United States)
Kenniss Henry
20,717
1.13%
+0.06%
Constitution Party (United States)
Richard Shawver
14,746
0.80%
+0.42%
2,213
0.11%
+0.05%
1,833,873
100.0%
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
+CountyBarbara A. Mikulski
DemocraticEric Wargotz
RepublicanKennis Henry
GreenRichard Shawver
ConstitutionOther
OtherMarginTotal
Votes
Cast#%#%#%#%#%#% Allegany 9639 44.60% 11350 52.52% 288 1.33% 319 1.48% 16 0.07% -1711 -7.92% 21612 Anne Arundel 102511 51.17% 92994 46.42% 2766 1.38% 1868 0.93% 214 0.11% 9517 4.75% 200353 Baltimore (City) 138312 86.59% 18336 11.48% 2094 1.31% 831 0.52% 167 0.10% 119976 75.11% 159740 Baltimore (County) 165678 58.27% 112670 39.62% 3426 1.20% 2233 0.79% 343 0.12% 53008 18.64% 284350 Calvert 15247 48.44% 15569 49.46% 364 1.16% 275 0.87% 21 0.07% -322 -1.02% 31476 Caroline 4508 45.46% 5142 51.86% 120 1.21% 127 1.28% 19 0.19% -634 -6.39% 9916 Carroll 21632 34.38% 39312 62.48% 834 1.33% 1040 1.65% 101 0.16% -17680 -28.10% 62919 Cecil 13132 44.22% 15600 52.53% 443 1.49% 485 1.63% 40 0.13% -2468 -8.31% 29700 Charles 30106 64.88% 15598 33.62% 348 0.75% 321 0.69% 28 0.06% 14508 31.27% 46401 Dorchester 6481 55.96% 4910 42.39% 99 0.85% 87 0.75% 5 0.04% 1571 13.56% 11582 Frederick 34913 46.67% 38013 50.81% 876 1.17% 905 1.21% 107 0.14% -3100 -4.14% 74814 Garrett 3361 35.76% 5750 61.17% 117 1.24% 164 1.74% 8 0.09% -2389 -25.41% 9400 Harford 40712 43.50% 50513 53.98% 1082 1.16% 1171 1.25% 106 0.11% -9801 -10.47% 93584 Howard 63738 59.71% 40853 38.27% 1239 1.16% 794 0.74% 125 0.12% 22885 21.44% 106749 Kent 4549 56.04% 3405 41.95% 81 1.00% 74 0.91% 8 0.10% 1144 14.09% 8117 Montgomery 204005 70.67% 79582 27.57% 3353 1.16% 1393 0.48% 351 0.12% 124423 43.10% 288684 Prince George's 204441 89.11% 22607 9.85% 1472 0.64% 752 0.33% 164 0.07% 181834 79.25% 229436 Queen Anne's 8575 43.64% 10561 53.75% 195 0.99% 284 1.45% 35 0.18% -1986 -10.11% 19650 St. Mary's 14669 46.86% 15911 50.83% 320 1.02% 377 1.20% 26 0.08% -1242 -3.97% 31303 Somerset 4082 53.98% 3363 44.47% 48 0.63% 67 0.89% 2 0.03% 719 9.51% 7562 Talbot 7968 49.28% 7946 49.15% 147 0.91% 95 0.59% 12 0.07% 22 0.14% 16168 Washington 17356 43.71% 20873 52.57% 579 1.46% 653 1.64% 247 0.62% -3517 -8.86% 39708 Wicomico 14668 49.88% 14189 48.25% 243 0.83% 278 0.95% 30 0.10% 479 1.63% 29408 Worcester 10248 48.28% 10619 50.03% 183 0.86% 153 0.72% 23 0.11% -371 -1.75% 21226 Total 1140531 62.19% 655666 35.75% 20717 1.13% 14746 0.80% 2198 0.12% 484865 26.44% 1833858
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Allegany (largest municipality: Cumberland)
Calvert (largest municipality: Chesapeake Beach)
Caroline (largest municipality: Denton)
Frederick (largest municipality: Frederick)
St. Mary's (largest municipality: California)
Worcester (largest municipality: Ocean Pines)
See also
2010 United States Senate elections
2010 United States elections
References
External links
Maryland State Board of Elections
U.S. Congress candidates for Maryland https://web.archive.org/web/20100930121859/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=MD September 30, 2010 at Project Vote Smart
Maryland U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
2010 Maryland Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Maryland Senate from Rasmussen Reports
Maryland Senate from Real Clear Politics
https://archive.today/20130119204159/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-2010-MD 2010 Maryland Senate Race el from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times
Candidate blogs at The Baltimore Sun
Official campaign sites
Barbara Mikulski for U.S. Senate incumbent
Daniel W. McAndrew for U.S. Senate
Jim Rutledge for U.S. Senate
Vaughn for U.S. Senate
Wargotz for U.S. Senate
Neil Cohen for U.S. Senate
2010
Maryland
United States Senate