2002 Arizona gubernatorial election

none related races 2002 United States gubernatorial elections January 2025 September 2023 2002 Arizona gubernatorial election Arizona presidential no 1998 Arizona gubernatorial election 1998 2006 Arizona gubernatorial election 2006 November 5, 2002 150x150px File:Portrait Napolitano hires crop.JPG Janet Napolitano Democratic Party (United States) 566,284 46.19% File:Congressional Portrait of Matt Salmon.jpg Matt Salmon Republican Party (United States) 554,465 45.22% File:Richard Mahoney.jpg Richard Mahoney Independent 84,947 6.93% 2002 Arizona gubernatorial election results map by county.svg 220px County resultsNapolitano: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70%Salmon: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% Governor Jane Dee Hull Republican Party (United States) Janet Napolitano Democratic Party (United States) 56.33%https://azsos.gov/elections/results-data/voter-registration-statistics Voter Registration Statistics | Arizona Secretary of State 7 May 2023 thumb|220px|Republican primary results by county #E27F7F Salmon #87de87 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #D75D5D 60–70% thumb|220px|Democratic primary results by county #7996E2 Napolitano #BDD3FF 30–40% #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996E2 50–60% #6674DE 60–70% #5fd35f Gutierrez #aae5aa 30–40% thumb|220px|Libertarian primary results by county #f9d440 Hess #f9d440 50–60% #f4c200 60–70% #daae00 70–80% #be9600 80–90% #ff7644 Fallon #ff7644 50–60% #ae8bb1 Tie The 2002 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican Governor Jane Dee Hull was term limited. The Democratic nominee, Arizona Attorney General Janet Napolitano, narrowly defeated Republican Matt Salmon, a former U.S. Representative, in a victory that was considered a minor upset.GOP candidate in Arizona concedes race https://www.ocala.com/story/news/2002/11/11/gop-candidate-in-arizona-concedes-race/31269189007/ 2025-12-29 The Star Banner en-US Upon her inauguration, Napolitano became the first woman to succeed another woman as governor of a state. This was the last Arizona gubernatorial election in which the winning candidate did not win Maricopa County. Republican primary Candidates Nominee Matt Salmon, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 1st congressional district (1995-2001) Eliminated in primary Betsey Bayless, Secretary of State of Arizona (1997-2003) Carol Springer, State Treasurer of Arizona (1993-2003) Declined Dan Quayle, former vice president (1989-1993) and U.S Senator from Indiana (1981-1989)Ayres B. Drummond Jr. 2001-02-11 Political Briefing; From Arizona, Talk Of a Bid by Quayle (Published 2001) en-US The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2001/02/11/us/political-briefing-from-arizona-talk-of-a-bid-by-quayle.html 2021-01-15 0362-4331 Results Republican primary resultshttps://apps.azsos.gov/election/2002/Primary/Canvass2002PE.pdf State of Arizona Official Canvass 2002 Primary Election - September 10, 2002 Arizona Secretary of State 2024-07-14 Republican Party (United States) Matt Salmon 174,055 55.99% Republican Party (United States) Betsey Bayless 92,473 29.75% Republican Party (United States) Carol Springer 44,333 14.26% Republican Party (United States) Steve Moore (write-in) 16 0.01% Republican Party (United States) Diana Kennedy (write-in) 8 0.00% 310,885 100.00% Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Janet Napolitano, Attorney General of Arizona (1999-2003) Eliminated in primary Alfredo Gutierrez, state senator Mike Newcomb, physician Mark Osterloh, perennial candidate Results Democratic primary results Democratic Party (United States) Janet Napolitano 128,702 57.23% Democratic Party (United States) Alfredo Gutierrez 50,377 22.40% Democratic Party (United States) Mark Osterloh 31,422 13.97% Democratic Party (United States) Mike Newcomb 14,373 6.39% 224,874 100.00% Libertarian primary Candidates Nominee Barry Ness Eliminated in primary Garry Fallon Results Libertarian primary results Barry Hess Arizona Libertarian Party 1,414 51.01% Gary Fallon Arizona Libertarian Party 1,358 48.99% 2,772 100.00% General election Debates Complete video of debate, October 30, 2002 Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political Reporthttp://www.cookpolitical.com:80/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225 https://web.archive.org/web/20021208065752/http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225 December 8, 2002 Governor Updated October 31, 2002 The Cook Political Report The Cook Political Report en October 31, 2002 September 18, 2018 dead mdy-all TossupOctober 31, 2002Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org:80/crystalball/governor_all.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20021212142349/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/governor_all.htm December 12, 2002 Governors Races www.centerforpolitics.org en-US November 4, 2002 September 18, 2018 dead mdy-all Lean D FlipNovember 4, 2002 Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesizekey Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear Marginof error JanetNapolitano (D) MattSalmon (R) RichardMahoney (I) BarryHess (L) Other /UndecidedSurveyUSASurveyUSA October 29–31, 2002 661 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 41% 11% 3% 1% Results The election was extremely close: Napolitano won by just 11,819 votes out of 1,226,111 cast, the closest gubernatorial election in Arizona in many years. Napolitano also won without carrying Maricopa County. Under Arizonan law, the losing candidate may request a recount, for which that candidate must pay, if the margin of victory is less than one percent but greater than half of one percent. In 2002, the margin of victory was 1.0%, barely allowing a recount. It soon became apparent that Napolitano had won the election and would be the next governor of Arizona. Salmon acknowledged that the chance of his prevailing in a recount was extremely small and decided not to ask for one (recounts seldom see a swing over 1,000 votes;October 2018 he was losing by over 10,000). He officially called Napolitano on November 17 and congratulated her on her victory. On November 20, Arizona Secretary of State Betsey Bayless certified the results of the election and declared Napolitano the winner. Arizona gubernatorial election, 2002https://apps.azsos.gov/election/2002/General/Canvass2002GE.pdf State of Arizona Official Canvass 2002 General Election - November 5, 2002 Arizona Secretary of State 2024-07-14 Democratic Party (United States) Janet Napolitano 566,284 46.19% +10.66% Republican Party (United States) Matt Salmon 554,465 45.22% -15.72% Independent Richard D. Mahoney 84,947 6.93% Arizona Libertarian Party Barry Hess 20,356 1.66% -1.01% Independent Carlton Rahmani (write-in) 29 0.00% Independent Tracey Sturgess (write-in) 15 0.00% Independent Naida Axford (write-in) 5 0.00% Independent Raymond Caplette (write-in) 5 0.00% Independent D'Herrera Tapia (write-in) 4 0.00% Independent L. D. Talbow (write-in) 1 0.00% 11,819 0.96% 1,226,111 100.00% Democratic Party (United States) Republican Party (United States) +26.38% By county County Janet NapolitanoDemocratic Matt SalmonRepublican Richard D. MahoneyIndependent Barry HessLibertarian All others Write-in Margin Total votescast # % # % # % # % # % # %Apache10,92761.22%4,04122.64%2,51614.10%3652.04%10.01%6,88638.58%17,850Cochise11,40141.08%13,21047.60%2,7139.78%4261.53%40.01%-1,809-6.52%27,754Coconino18,92854.89%11,58533.59%3,2609.45%7092.06%30.01%7,34321.29%34,485Gila7,33147.44%6,33641.00%1,4679.49%3172.05%10.01%9956.44%15,452Graham2,92436.64%4,49156.27%4675.85%991.24%00.00%-1,567-19.63%7,981Greenlee96644.91%95544.40%1808.37%502.32%00.00%110.51%2,151La Paz1,48841.04%1,76648.70%2597.14%1133.12%00.00%-278-7.67%3,626Maricopa313,10744.43%337,95447.95%42,6966.06%10,9661.56%270.00%-24,847-3.53%704,750Mohave13,22737.59%18,43152.38%2,8898.21%6391.82%00.00%-5,204-14.79%35,186Navajo11,66949.74%9,42340.17%1,9208.18%4441.89%20.01%2,2469.57%23,458Pima118,89651.74%89,00238.73%17,7517.72%4,1401.80%140.01%29,89413.01%229,803Pinal18,30048.13%16,38043.08%2,6586.99%6821.79%30.01%1,9205.05%38,023Santa Cruz3,67557.93%2,06932.61%4957.80%1051.66%00.00%1,60625.32%6,344Yavapai23,23840.50%28,24549.23%4,8668.48%1,0241.78%30.01%-5,007-8.73%57,376Yuma10,20746.67%10,57748.36%8103.70%2771.27%10.00%-370-1.69%21,872Totals566,28446.19%554,46545.22%84,9476.93%20,3561.66%590.00%11,8190.96%1,226,111 Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Coconino (largest municipality: Flagstaff) Gila (largest city: Payson) Greenlee (largest city: Clifton) Navajo (largest city: Show Low) Pima (largest municipality: Tucson) Pinal (largest city: San Tan Valley) Santa Cruz (largest municipality: Nogales) right 220px Swing by county 220px Trend relative to the state by county Legend #006D92 Democratic —+>40% #00a1c8 Democratic —+30−40% #00bdec Democratic —+25−30% #09ceff Democratic—+20%−25% #4bdbff Democratic—+15%−20% #77e3ff Democratic—+10−15% #aaeeff Democratic—+5−10% #D5F6FF Democratic—+<5% #FFD5D5 Republican—+<5% #FFAAAA Republican—+5−10% #FF8080 Republican—+10−15% #FF5555 Republican—+15−20% #FF2A2A Republican—+20−25% #FF0000 Republican—+25−30% 220px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold #0671b0 Flip Republican #f48882 Hold Notes lower-alpha References 2002 Category:2002 United States gubernatorial elections Gubernatorial