2012 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

none February 2026 September 2023 2012 United States House of Representatives election in Montana Montana presidential no 2010 United States House of Representatives election in Montana 2010 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana 2014 November 6, 2012 x150px File:Steve Daines, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg Steve Daines Republican Party (United States) 255,468 53.25% File:Kim Gillan 2012 (3x4).jpg Kim Gillan Democratic Party (United States) 204,939 42.72% 2012 United States House of Representatives election in Montana results map by county.svg County resultsDaines: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80% #c21b18 80–90%Gillan: #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% U.S. Representative Denny Rehberg Republican Party (United States) Steve Daines Republican Party (United States) thumb|Montana's at-large congressional district The 2012 congressional election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, to determine who would represent the state of Montana in the United States House of Representatives. At the time, Montana had one seat in the House. Incumbent Denny Rehberg did not run for reelection, choosing instead to run unsuccessfully for the seat in the U.S. Senate.http://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/article_e0073c4e-7c2b-11df-b753-001cc4c002e0.html It's official: Rehberg says he's taking on Tester February 5, 2011 February 5, 2011 Billings Gazette Charles S. Johnson A primary election was held on June 5, 2012.http://sos.mt.gov/elections/Archives/2010s/2012/2012_Election_Calendar.pdf Montana 2012 Primary and General Election Calendar August 16, 2011 Secretary of State Linda McCulloch https://web.archive.org/web/20110810223301/http://sos.mt.gov/elections/Archives/2010s/2012/2012_Election_Calendar.pdf August 10, 2011 dead Republican businessman Steve Daines won the open seat. 2 Republican primary Candidates Nominee Steve Daines, businessman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2008http://www.kxlf.com/news/bozeman-s-steve-daines-comments-on-switching-from-senate-to-house-race/ Bozeman's Steve Daines comments on switching from Senate to House race February 3, 2011 June 1, 2011 KXLF.com Judy Slate https://web.archive.org/web/20110713174908/http://www.kxlf.com/news/bozeman-s-steve-daines-comments-on-switching-from-senate-to-house-race/ July 13, 2011 dead mdy-all Eliminated in primary Eric Brosten, author and engineerhttp://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/star-wars-is-top-issue-for-gop-house-candidate/article_31ed9571-4590-5df3-a86a-db387161c8be.html Star Wars is top issue for GOP House candidate February 2, 2012 February 7, 2012 Billings Gazette Charles S. Johnson Vincent Melkus, student at Colorado Mesa University and former Marinehttp://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/ex-marine-from-hardin-files-for-montana-s-u-s/article_3184ccb6-67fe-11e1-9a7e-001871e3ce6c.html Ex-Marine from Hardin files for Montana's U.S. House seat March 6, 2012 March 11, 2012 Missoulian Charles S. Johnson Withdrawn John Abarr, white supremacist and Ku Klux Klan organizer.Cates Kristen More inclusive KKK chapter makes some suspicious https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/11/03/inclusive-kkk-montana-chapter/18406129/ USA TODAY 25 February 2024https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/republican-mont-candidate-for-congress-with-kkk-ties-drops-out-due-to-lack-of-support/2011/10/05/gIQAfdloNL_story.html Republican Mont. candidate for Congress with KKK ties drops out due to lack of support October 5, 2011 October 15, 2011 The Washington PostJune 2021 medicmedic Hypothetical polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnAbarr SteveDaines Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 16–19, 2011 382 ± 5.0% 14% 22% — 64% Results Republican primary resultsState of Montana. Official Canvas Retrieved December 20, 2022 Steve Daines Republican Party (United States) 82,843 71.2 Eric Brosten Republican Party (United States) 21,012 18.1 Vincent Melkus Republican Party (United States) 12,420 10.7 116,275 100.0 Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Kim Gillan, state senator from Billingshttp://www.kaj18.com/news/kim-gillan-enters-democratic-race-for-us-house/ Kim Gillan enters Democratic race for US House June 21, 2011 June 21, 2011 KAJ18.com Marnee Banks https://web.archive.org/web/20120321003032/http://www.kaj18.com/news/kim-gillan-enters-democratic-race-for-us-house/ March 21, 2012 dead Eliminated in primary Sam Rankin, real estate salesman and candidate for this seat in 2010http://helenair.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/billings-real-estate-agent-rankin-joins-u-s-house-race/article_edd750d8-69b5-11e1-afdc-001871e3ce6c.html Billings real estate agent Rankin joins U.S. House race as Demo March 9, 2012 March 11, 2012 Independent Record Diane Smith, businesswomanhttp://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/article_b0d89e30-f1cf-5a02-b661-68d6801dad48.html Whitefish businesswoman becomes 5th Democrat in U.S. House race November 3, 2011 November 11, 2011 Billings Gazette Mike Dennison Dave Strohmaier, Missoula city council memberhttp://www.kpax.com/news/strohmaier-announces-run-for-congress/ Strohmaier announces run for Congress June 18, 2011 June 20, 2011 KPAX Allyson Weller https://web.archive.org/web/20110623010336/http://www.kpax.com/news/strohmaier-announces-run-for-congress/ June 23, 2011 dead Rob Stutz, attorneyhttp://www.krtv.com/news/helena-attorney-rob-stutz-announces-run-for-us-house/ Helena attorney Rob Stutz announces run for US House August 10, 2011 August 16, 2011 KRTV Marnee Banks https://web.archive.org/web/20110929083822/http://www.krtv.com/news/helena-attorney-rob-stutz-announces-run-for-us-house/ September 29, 2011 dead Jason Ward, farmer and construction manager for the Crow Nationhttp://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/crow-tribal-member-files-as-democrat-for-u-s-house/article_84c3b2b6-43e1-11e1-a6ed-001871e3ce6c.html Crow tribal member files as Democrat for U.S. House seat January 20, 2012 January 25, 2012 Missoulian Charles S. Johnson Franke Wilmer, state representative from Bozemanhttp://www.krtv.com/news/wilmer-of-bozeman-announces-u-s-house-bid/ Wilmer of Bozeman announces U.S. House bid February 1, 2011 June 1, 2011 KRTV.com Marnee Banks https://web.archive.org/web/20110713171859/http://www.krtv.com/news/wilmer-of-bozeman-announces-u-s-house-bid/ July 13, 2011 dead mdy-all Declined Melinda Gopher, writer and candidate for this seat in 2010http://helenair.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/gopher-not-running-for-congress-she-sets-eye-on-senate/article_c0ecadf4-6d9b-11e1-97e8-001871e3ce6c.html Gopher not running for Congress; she sets eye on Senate in 2014 March 14, 2012 March 15, 2012 Independent Record Brian Schweitzer, Governor of Montanahttp://www.rollcall.com/issues/56_136/Schweitzer-might-challenge-baucus-in-2014-montana-primary-206288-1.html Could Schweitzer Challenge Baucus in 2014? June 9, 2011 June 10, 2011 Roll Call David M. Druckerhttp://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/article_3f03c623-fc77-572a-b462-756a5b2baaed.html Schweitzer says his future isn't in Congress July 28, 2011 August 2, 2011 Billings Gazette Charles S. Johnson Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror KimGillan SamRankin DianeSmith DaveStrohmaier RobStutz JasonWard FrankeWilmer UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 332 ± 5.4% 21% 4% 13% 9% 1% 0% 11% 41% Results Democratic primary results Kim Gillan Democratic Party (United States) 25,077 31.0 Franke Wilmer Democratic Party (United States) 14,836 18.4 Diane Smith Democratic Party (United States) 12,618 15.6 Dave Strohmaier Democratic Party (United States) 11,366 14.1 Sam Rankin Democratic Party (United States) 9,382 11.6 Jason Ward Democratic Party (United States) 4,959 6.1 Rob Stutz Democratic Party (United States) 2,586 3.2 80,824 100.0 Libertarian primary Candidates Nominee David Kaiserhttp://helenair.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/filing-deadline-busy-day-precedes-busy-election-season/article_580ce218-6cd3-11e1-9761-001871e3ce6c.html Filing deadline: Busy day precedes busy election season March 13, 2012 March 15, 2012 Independent Record Mike Dennison General election Endorsements Steve Daines (R) Organizations National Republican Congressional Committee "Vanguard" ProgramCANDIDATES http://gopyoungguns.com/candidates gopyoungguns.com 16 January 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20130101110717/http://gopyoungguns.com/candidates 1 January 2013 Kim Gillan (D) Organizations Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" ProgramRED TO BLUE 2012 http://www.dccc.org/pages/redtoblue DCCC 5 March 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20121026213338/http://www.dccc.org/pages/redtoblue 26 October 2012 Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror SteveDaines (R) KimGillan (D) DavidKaiser (L) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) November 2–3, 2012 737 ± 3.6% 48% 44% 3% 4%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon October 29–31, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 1% 8%Pharos Research GroupPharos Research Group October 26–28, 2012 799 ± 4.9% 52% 45% – 4%Pharos Research GroupPharos Research Group October 19–21, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 47% 41% – 12%Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) October 8–10, 2012 737 ± 3.6% 43% 34% 10% 12%MSU-BillingsMSU-Billings September 27–30, 2012 477 ± 4.6% 36% 23% 3% 38%Mellman (D-Montana JET PAC)Mellman (D-Montana JET PAC) September 23–26, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 36% 34% 5% 25%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon September 17–19, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 46% 38% 2% 14%Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) September 10–11, 2012 656 ± 3.8% 40% 37% 9% 15%Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) April 26–29, 2012 934 ± 3.2% 33% 27% — 40%Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) June 16–19, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 35% 27% — 38% background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base); Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnAbarr (R) KimGillan (D) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling (report) June 16–19, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 30% 26% — 44% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnAbarr (R) FrankeWilmer (D) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling (report) June 16–19, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 33% 25% — 42% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror SteveDaines (R) FrankeWilmer (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 934 ± 3.2% 36% 25% — 39%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 16–19, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 35% 25% — 40% Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races Cookpolitical.com November 5, 2012 November 6, 2012Likely R November 5, 2012 Rothenberghttp://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house House Ratings Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com November 2, 2012 November 4, 2012Safe R November 2, 2012 Roll Call, 2012 11 04 us onLikely R November 4, 2012 Sabato's Crystal BallCrystal Ball https://web.archive.org/web/20230420175527/https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ April 20, 2023 , 2012 11 05 us onLikely R November 5, 2012 NY TimesHouse Race Ratings, The New York Times, 2012 11 04 us onSafe R November 4, 2012RCP, 2012 11 04 us onLikely R November 4, 2012The HillHouse Ratings https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/race-ratings/107735-the-hills-house-ratings-democrats-chances-for-seats-have-dimmed/ The Hill November 4, 2012 November 3, 2012 Likely R November 4, 2012 Results Montana's at-large congressional district, 2012https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/attachments/2012_General_Canvass.pdf?dt=1480457264103&dt=1480523087997&dt=1483636395345&dt=1484090685147&dt=1484090818653&dt=1484091059850&dt=1484092785123&dt=1484668556665&dt=1484676687552&dt=1485286813335&dt=1485286979901&dt=1491412807839&dt=1494348815885&dt=1494348873534&dt=1497553987845&dt=1497555053569&dt=1497555121034&dt=1497555299184&dt=1497892315130&dt=1519325848767 2012 General Canvass 2019-02-23 Republican Party (United States) Steve Daines 255,468 53.25% -7.16% Democratic Party (United States) Kim Gillan 204,939 42.72% +8.88% Libertarian Party (United States) David Kaiser 19,333 4.03% -1.71% 479,740 100.0% N/A Republican Party (United States) Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Missoula (Largest city: Missoula) Glacier (largest city: Cut Bank) Roosevelt (largest city: Wolf Point) Hill (largest city: Havre) Blaine (largest city: Chinooko) References 33em External links Elections at the Montana Secretary of State United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, 2012 at Ballotpedia Montana U.S. House at OurCampaigns.com Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Montana at OpenSecrets Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation Campaign websites Steve Daines campaign website Kim Gillan campaign website David Kaiser campaign website House of Representatives Montana 2012