2012 Basque regional election

Election in the Spanish region of the Basque Country 2012 Basque regional election Basque Country parliamentary no 2009 Basque regional election 2009 2016 Basque regional election 2016 All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 #Opinion polls 1,775,351 10px 0.0% 1,135,568 (64.0%)10px 0.7 pp 21 October 2012 170x170px Iñigo Urkullu Basque Nationalist Party 2 December 2007 Biscay 30 seats, 38.1% 27 10px 3 384,766 34.2% 10px 3.9 pp 170x170px Laura Mintegi EH Bildu 2 July 2012 Biscay 5 seats, 9.6%"Aralar+EA" Results for Aralar (6.0%, 4 seats) and EA (3.6%, 1 seat) in the 2009 election. 21 10px 16 277,923 24.7% 10px 15.1 pp 170x170px Patxi López PSE–EE (PSOE) 23 March 2002 Álava 25 seats, 30.4% 16 10px 9 212,809 18.9% 10px 11.5 pp 170x170px Antonio Basagoiti People's Party of the Basque Country 12 July 2008 Biscay 13 seats, 13.9% 10 10px 3 130,584 11.6% 10px 2.3 pp 170x170px Gorka Maneiro Union, Progress and Democracy 2008 Álava 1 seat, 2.1% 1 10px 0 21,539 1.9% 10px 0.2 pp x250px Vote winner strength by constituency x300px Election results by constituency Lehendakari Lehendakari after election Patxi López PSE–EE (PSOE) Iñigo Urkullu Basque Nationalist Party A regional election was held in the Basque Country on 21 October 2012 to elect the 10th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with a regional election in Galicia. Lehendakari Patxi López announced the parliament's dissolution half a year ahead of schedule as a result of the People's Party (PP) withdrawing their support from his government,21 August 2012 Patxi López convoca elecciones para que los vascos elijan un "modelo" anticrisis https://elpais.com/politica/2012/08/21/actualidad/1345538065_277520.html es El País 21 August 2012 prompting Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who had been scheduling a snap election in Galicia to be held at some point throughout late 2012, to make his decision to have a simultaneous vote.27 August 2012 Feijóo justifica el adelanto electoral para "no crear más inestabilidad" https://elpais.com/ccaa/2012/08/27/galicia/1346049449_644353.html es El País 14 February 2020 The election saw a heavy defeat for the ruling Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), with the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) retaining first place with a slightly diminished support. In the first electoral campaign without ETA—the band had announced a "definitive cessation of its armed activity" in October 201120 October 2011 Basque group Eta says armed campaign is over https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15393014 BBC News 20 October 2011—the abertzale left experienced a major breakthrough under the EH Bildu label nine years after the illegalization of Batasuna, obtaining a record result with 21 seats and 24.7% of the share.21 October 2012 El PNV gana las elecciones sin mayoría y Bildu desplaza al PSE como segunda fuerza política http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20121021/pnv-ganaria-elecciones-bildu-seria-segunda-fuerza-politica-segun-sondeo-etb/571216.shtml es RTVE 9 February 2020 The PP deepened on its long-term decline and, with 11.6% and 10 seats, scored its worst result since 1990,21 October 2012 El PP obtiene su peor resultado en unas autonómicas desde 1990 https://www.eldiario.es/politica/PP-obtiene-peor-resultado-autonomicas_0_60894153.html es eldiario.es 9 February 2020 while Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) retained its single seat in parliament. Altogether, the bloc formed by the PSE–EE, PP and UPyD which had supported López in 2009 was reduced from 39 to 27 seats.21 October 2012 El desplome del PSOE y Feijóo rescatan a Rajoy ante el reto soberanista en Euskadi https://elpais.com/politica/2012/10/21/actualidad/1350833050_287482.html es El País 21 October 201222 October 2012 Elecciones vascas 2012: El PNV gana las elecciones con 27 escaños https://www.abc.es/elecciones/vascas/2012/abci-resultados-elecciones-vascas-2012-201210210000_noticia.html es ABC 9 February 2020 Iñigo Urkullu of the PNV became the new lehendakari, forming a minority government with the sole support of his party after over three years in opposition.13 December 2012 Urkullu, elegido lehendakari https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/12/13/paisvasco/1355390713.html es El Mundo 9 February 2020 Under Urkullu, the PNV would see an ideological realignment from former lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe's sovereigntist stance and confrontational style towards more moderate, pragmatic and big tent positions.24 September 2012 La moderación de Urkullu inquieta https://elpais.com/ccaa/2012/09/24/paisvasco/1348515259_180579.html es El País 15 February 20209 September 2016 Íñigo Urkullu, la calma que llegó tras Ibarretxe https://www.abc.es/elecciones/elecciones-vascas/abci-inigo-urkullu-calma-llego-tras-ibarretxe-201609090344_noticia.html es ABC 15 February 2020 Background Following the 2009 regional election, Patxi López of the PSE–EE became lehendakari through a confidence and supply agreement with the PP,12 March 2009 El PP entrega a Patxi López su apoyo para que presida el Gobierno vasco https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/2009-03-12/el-pp-entrega-a-patxi-lopez-su-apoyo-para-que-presida-el-gobierno-vasco_210359/ es El Confidencial 9 February 202030 March 2009 El pacto del PSE-PP garantiza cuatro años de gobierno de Patxi López https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/03/30/actualidad/1238401027_850215.html es El País 9 February 2020 bringing an end to 30 years of uninterrupted rule by the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) and sending the party to opposition in the regional parliament for the first time since the Spanish transition to democracy.9 March 2009 Más de 650 altos cargos temen por su puesto si el PNV sale del Gobierno vasco https://www.elcorreo.com/vizcaya/20090309/politica/altos-cargos-temen-puesto-20090309.html es El Correo 9 February 2020 The local PSE–PP alliance endured the historical rivalry at the national level between the two parties,14 August 2009 Patxi López dice que el pacto con el PP está 'blindado y aislado' de disputas https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20090814/53764035397/patxi-lopez-dice-que-el-pacto-con-el-pp-esta-blindado-y-aislado-de-disputas.html es La Vanguardia 9 February 202018 April 2011 Patxi López: El pacto de Gobierno PSE-PP goza de 'estupenda' salud https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2011/04/18/paisvasco/1303129582.html es El Mundo 9 February 2020 despite suffering from frequent clashes as the PP set out a series of conditions for maintaining their support,17 May 2010 El pacto PSE-PP estaría en peligro si el Gobierno negocia con ETA https://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/421706/el-pacto-pse-pp-estaria-peligro-gobierno-negocia-eta/ es EiTB 9 February 2020 as well as a steady opposition from the PNV.31 May 2010 El PNV busca reventar el pacto PSE-PP en el Ejecutivo vasco https://www.elperiodicoextremadura.com/noticias/espana/pnv-busca-reventar-pacto-pse-pp-ejecutivo-vasco_513419.html es El Periódico de Extremadura 9 February 2020 In May 2012, some months after winning the 2011 Spanish general election and forming the new Spanish government, the PP terminated the alliance in retaliation to the PSOE's opposition to Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's reform agenda,20 May 2012 Los desencuentros de un pacto https://elpais.com/ccaa/2012/05/20/paisvasco/1337539784_498751.html es El País 9 February 20207 May 2012 Basagoiti da por terminado el pacto con Patxi López y pide un adelanto electoral en Euskadi http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20120507/basagoiti-da-terminado-pacto-patxi-lopez-pide-adelanto-electoral/522542.shtml es RTVE 9 February 2020 prompting Patxi López to announce a snap regional election for October 2012. On 5 September 2010, ETA declared a ceasefire at a time when it found itself militarily weakened by police action—the group had been unable to stage any attack in Spanish territory since 9 August 2009—and beleaguered by infighting, distrust in the operational capacities and reliability of its members and pressures from abertzale left groups (which were being kept politically outlawed by Spanish courts) for the band to stop the killings.6 September 2010 ETA proclama otro alto el fuego https://elpais.com/diario/2010/09/06/espana/1283724002_850215.html es El País 14 February 20206 September 2010 ETA decreta el alto el fuego presionada, acorralada y dividida https://elpais.com/diario/2010/09/06/espana/1283724010_850215.html es El País 14 February 20206 September 2010 Gobierno y partidos ven "insuficiente" el anuncio de alto el fuego de ETA https://elpais.com/elpais/2010/09/05/actualidad/1283674620_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 On 10 January 2011, ETA proclaimed its will for the September 2010 ceasefire to be "permanent, general and verifiable" by international observers.10 January 2011 ETA anuncia un alto el fuego "permanente, general y verificable" https://elpais.com/elpais/2011/01/10/actualidad/1294651023_850215.html es El País 14 February 202027 March 2011 ETA se muestra dispuesta a una verificación "informal" de su tregua https://elpais.com/elpais/2011/03/27/actualidad/1301217417_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 Three days after the Donostia-San Sebastián International Peace Conference held on 17 October 2011, ETA would announce a "definitive cessation of its armed activity".20 October 2011 ETA pone fin a 43 años de terror https://elpais.com/politica/2011/10/19/actualidad/1319056094_153776.html es El País 14 February 2020 In April 2011, following the illegalization of Sortu in March—perceived as a continuation of Batasuna, the banned political branch of the ETA terrorist group—Eusko Alkartasuna (EA), Alternatiba and groups and independent individuals from the abertzale left formed a coalition named Bildu to contest the incoming 2011 local elections.8 March 2011 Cronología del proceso de la ilegalización de Sortu https://elpais.com/elpais/2011/03/08/actualidad/1299575827_850215.html es El País 12 February 202023 March 2011 El Supremo acuerda ilegalizar Sortu por solo dos votos de diferencia https://elpais.com/elpais/2011/03/23/actualidad/1300871849_850215.html es El País 12 February 202026 March 2011 Sortu intenta burlar la ilegalización con una coalición llamada Bildu https://elpais.com/diario/2011/03/26/espana/1301094003_850215.html es El País 12 February 2020 Despite an early ruling by the Supreme Court on 2 May which barred Bildu from contesting,2 May 2011 El Tribunal Supremo deja a Bildu fuera de las elecciones https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20110502/54148568664/el-tribunal-supremo-deja-a-bildu-fuera-de-las-elecciones.html es La Vanguardia 12 February 2020 the Constitutional Court overturned the ban and allowed the coalition to run in the elections,5 May 2011 El Constitucional da vía libre a Bildu para acudir a las elecciones https://elpais.com/elpais/2011/05/05/actualidad/1304583479_850215.html es El País 12 February 2020 in which it secured a major breakthrough by obtaining 25.6% and a majority of town councillors in the Basque Country.23 May 2011 Bildu, segunda fuerza política del País Vasco https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2011/05/22/paisvasco/1306088919.html es El Mundo 12 February 202022 May 2011 Bildu, primera fuerza política del País Vasco en número de concejales https://cadenaser.com/ser/2011/05/22/espana/1306021830_850215.html es Cadena SER 12 February 2020 Aralar would join the coalition in late 2011 ahead of the 20 November general election under the Amaiur umbrella,2 October 2011 La izquierda abertzale presenta su nueva marca, Amaiur, para las elecciones generales http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20111002/izquierda-abertzale-presenta-su-nueva-marca-amaiur-para-generales/465652.shtml es RTVE 12 February 2020 which came second in the Basque Country with 24.1% of the vote, behind the PNV with 27.4%; in seats, however, Amaiur came out in top with six against the PNV's five.21 November 2011 Amaiur logra siete escaños y el PNV pierde uno pero se mantiene como fuerza vasca más votada http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20111121/amaiur-logra-siete-escanos-pnv-baja-pero-se-mantiene-como-fuerza-vasca-mas-votada/476859.shtml es RTVE 12 February 2020 Subsequently, the four main groups that constituted Amaiur, namely Sortu—which would be legalized by the Constitutional Court in June 201220 June 2012 El Tribunal Constitucional legaliza Sortu y le impone límites frente a las víctimas https://elpais.com/politica/2012/06/20/actualidad/1340199122_567465.html es El País 12 February 2020—EA, Alternatiba and Aralar, announced the establishment of EH Bildu as a joint electoral list ahead of the next Basque regional election,10 June 2012 La nueva marca electoral de los soberanistas vascos es EHBildu https://elpais.com/ccaa/2012/06/10/paisvasco/1339325803_625809.html es El País 21 October 2012 with Laura Mintegi being nominated as the alliance's candidate for lehendakari.2 July 2012 Laura Mintegi será la candidata a lehendakari de la coalición Euskal Herria Bildu https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20120702/54319662264/laura-mintegi-candidata-lehendakari-coalicion-abertzale-euskal-herria-bildu.html es La Vanguardia 2 July 2012 Overview Under the 1979 Statute of Autonomy, the Basque Parliament was the unicameral legislature of the Basque Autonomous Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a lehendakari.Statute 1979 arts. 25 & 27–28. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LEPV 1990 final prov. 1. Date The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 art. 46. The previous election was held on 1 March 2009, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 1 March 2013. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 5 February 2013, setting the latest possible date for election day on 31 March 2013. The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process.LGV 1981 arts. 7 & 50–51. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a 60-day period from the Parliament's reconvening, the chamber was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.LGV 1981 art. 6. The People's Party (PP), on whose confidence and supply the López's government relied, withdrew their support in May 2012 claiming "difficulties in finding meeting points" with the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), leaving López in a clear minority.7 May 2012 Crisis de Gobierno en Euskadi, el PP retira su apoyo a Patxi López https://www.eleconomista.es/pais_vasco/noticias/3947596/05/12/Crisis-de-Gobierno-en-Euskadi-el-PP-retira-su-apoyo-a-Patxi-Lopez.html es El Economista 9 February 2020 While initially intending to reach the end of the legislature,20 June 2012 Patxi López afirma que las elecciones vascas serán "cuando tocan" http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20120620/patxi-lopez-afirma-elecciones-vascas-seran-cuando-tocan/538214.shtml es RTVE 9 February 2020 mounting pressure from both the PP and the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) led López to announce on 21 August that he would be dissolving parliament and call a snap election for 21 October 2012 over an impossibility to keep carrying out the government's legislative agenda.7 May 2012 El PNV pide al lehendakari que se someta a una cuestión de confianza https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2012/05/07/radio_bilbao/1336348228_850215.html es Cadena SER 9 February 202021 August 2012 Patxi López adelanta las elecciones vascas al 21 de octubre y critica el "torpedeo" de PP y PNV http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20120821/elecciones-vascas-21-octubre/559172.shtml es RTVE 9 February 2020 The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 28 August 2012 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOPV, setting election day for 21 October.Decree 12/2012 2012 art. 1. Electoral system Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 arts. 2–3 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). Amendments in 2011 introduced a requirement for non-resident citizens to apply for voting, a system known as "begged" voting (es Voto rogado).LOREG 1985 art. 75.Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 31 August 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210831202218/https://cafebabel.com/en/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote-5ae00a98f723b35a145e6867/ usurped The Basque Parliament had 75 seats. All were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, each of which was assigned a fixed number of 25 seats to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 arts. 9–12; Decree 12/2012 2012 art. 2. The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Dublin https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php 22 July 2017 30 July 2017 The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LEPV 1990 arts. 12 & 65 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48). Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aeuzkadi.html Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (desde 1980) es Historia Electoral.com 9 November 2024https://www.legebiltzarra.eus/c_comorga_gru_L09.html Parlamentarios y Órganos. Grupos. Composición. Históricos - IX Legislatura (2009-2012) es Basque Parliament 12 March 2026 + Parliamentary composition in August 2012 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group EAJ/PNV 30 30 Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group PSE–EE (PSOE) 25 25 Basque People's Parliamentary Group PP 13 13 Aralar Parliamentary Group Aralar 4 4 Mixed Group EA 1 3 EzAn–IU 1 UPyD 1 Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LEPV 1990 art. 53 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.LOREG 1985 art. 44 bis. Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election: Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats EAJ/PNV List on Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 50px Iñigo Urkullu Basque nationalismChristian democracyConservative liberalism 38.1% 30 15 5 July 2012 Urkullu tras ser elegido candidato a lehendakari: 'Euskadi pide cambio' https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/07/05/paisvasco/1341509372.html es El Mundo 9 February 2020 PSE–EE(PSOE) List on Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 50px Patxi López Social democracy 30.4% 25 15 2 September 2012 Patxi López afirma que se presenta 'para ganar' https://www.eitb.eus/es/elecciones/autonomicas-vascas/detalle/947044/elecciones-euskadi-2012--patxi-lopez-candidato-pse-ee-lehendakari/ es EiTB 9 February 2020 PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Antonio Basagoiti ConservatismChristian democracy 13.9% 13 15 12 May 2012 Basagoiti es reelegido presidente del PP vasco con un 92,5% de los votos https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20120512/54293081808/basagoiti-reelegido-presidente-pp-vasco-92-5-de-votos.html es La Vanguardia 9 February 2020 EH Bildu List on Create (Sortu) Basque Solidarity (EA) Aralar (Aralar) Alternative (Alternatiba) 50px Laura Mintegi Basque independenceAbertzale leftSocialism 9.6%"Aralar+EA" 5 15 EB–B List on United Left–Greens (EB–B) 50px Raquel Modubar SocialismSocial democracyDemocratic socialism 3.5% 1 15 7 September 2012 La abogada santurtziarra Raquel Modubar será la candidata a lehendakari de EB https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/09/07/paisvasco/1347037263.html es El Mundo 9 February 2020 UPyD List on Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 50px Gorka Maneiro Social liberalismRadical centrism 2.1% 1 15 1 July 2012 https://www.elcorreo.com/vizcaya/20120701/mas-actualidad/politica/upyd-elige-gorka-maneiro-201207011719.html UPyD elige a Gorka Maneiro como candidato a lehendakari es El Correo 30 January 2020 IU–LV List on Plural Left–United Left (EzAn–IU) 50px Mikel Arana SocialismCommunism colspan="2" Did not contest 15 31 March 2012 Izquierda Unida acuerda que Ezker Anitza sea su 'único referente' en Euskadi https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/03/31/paisvasco/1333210978.html es El Mundo 9 February 20207 September 2012 Lara (IU) respalda a Mikel Arana (Ezker Anitza) como candidato a lehendakari https://www.eldiario.es/politica/IU-Mikel-Arana-Ezker-Anitza_0_45145921.html es eldiario.es 9 February 20202 October 2012 Mikel Arana, líder de Ezker Anitza-IU, impulsa una nueva etapa más allá de la escisión de EB http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20121002/mikel-arana-ezker-anitza-iu-nueva-etapa-mas-alla-escision/561885.shtml es RTVE 9 February 2020 Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament. Color key: #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 32px|link=Aralar (Basque political party)|Aralar 30px|link=Eusko Alkartasuna|EA 27px|link=United Left–Greens|EB–B 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 27px|link=EH Bildu 27px|link=Ezker Anitza|IU–LV Lead 2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012 64.0 34.275% Verdana 27 18.975% Verdana 16 11.675% Verdana 10 "EHB" Within EH Bildu. "EHB" 1.575% Verdana 0 1.975% Verdana 1 24.775% Verdana 21 2.775% Verdana 0 9.5 Ipsos/EITBEAJ/PNV gana las Elecciones en la CAV / Euskadi - 2012 parlamentaria https://www.elotrolado.net/hilo_eaj-pnv-gana-las-elecciones-en-la-cav-euskadi-2012_1821686 es El Otro Lado 21 October 2012Spanish exit polls: Sampling error or nonresponse bias? http://www.uv.es/pavia/RIS/Supplemenraty_online_appendix.pdf Revista Internacional de Sociología 23 August 2016 21 Oct 2012 8,987? 32.675% Verdana 24/27 16.975% Verdana 13/15 11.475% Verdana 9/11 "EHB" "EHB" 1.575% Verdana 0 1.475% Verdana 0/1 28.975% Verdana 23/26 2.975% Verdana 0/1 3.7 NC Report/La RazónGanaría el PNV e intentaría gobernar solo sin mayoría http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/2356-ganaria-el-pnv-e-intentaria-gobernar-solo-sin-mayoria https://web.archive.org/web/20121018000346/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/2356-ganaria-el-pnv-e-intentaria-gobernar-solo-sin-mayoria dead 18 October 2012 es La Razón 15 October 2012 24 October 2012 2–13 Oct 2012 1,020 64.5 33.275% Verdana 24/27 18.975% Verdana 14/16 13.075% Verdana 10/12 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.575% Verdana 1 26.475% Verdana 20/22 3.775% Verdana 2 6.8 Aztiker/GaraEncuesta de intención de voto (reparto de escaños y % de voto) http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/634/original/eh_1410_inkesta.pdf es Naiz 14 October 2012 2–11 Oct 2012 1,200? 34.775% Verdana 28 14.675% Verdana 12 10.875% Verdana 9 "EHB" "EHB" 0.075% Verdana 0 2.275% Verdana 1 28.575% Verdana 24 3.275% Verdana 1 6.2 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PNV cosecha un tercio de los votos y Bildu, casi la cuarta parte http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-5kYCMYC_cM0/UHkRHLOoirI/AAAAAAAAFiA/S3htM-bPnEI/s1600/4+SONDEO+EL+MUNDO+SIGMA+DOS+(I)+Elecciones+Pais+Vasco+1.jpg es El Mundo 13 October 2012 8–10 Oct 2012 1,050? 33.375% Verdana 24/26 20.275% Verdana 16/18 14.775% Verdana 12 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.175% Verdana 0 24.575% Verdana 20 2.875% Verdana 1 8.8 MyWord/Cadena SEREl PNV ganará las elecciones en Euskadi, según el ObSERvatorio http://cadenaser.com/ser/2012/10/15/espana/1350258613_850215.html es Cadena SER 15 October 2012Estudio preelectoral del País Vasco (15/10/2012) http://www.cadenaser.com/csermedia/cadenaser/media/201210/15/espana/20121015csrcsrnac_2_Pes_PDF.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20121021042006/http://www.cadenaser.com/csermedia/cadenaser/media/201210/15/espana/20121015csrcsrnac_2_Pes_PDF.pdf dead 2012-10-21 es MyWord 15 October 2012 3–10 Oct 2012 1,206? 32.375% Verdana 25/27 18.875% Verdana 14/15 10.575% Verdana 9/10 "EHB" "EHB" 1.575% Verdana 0 5.875% Verdana 1 25.675% Verdana 23/25 1.875% Verdana 0 6.7 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/586/original/encuesta.pdf es Naiz 13 October 2012 1–10 Oct 2012?? 35.275% Verdana 28 14.675% Verdana 12 10.475% Verdana 8 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.275% Verdana 1 28.375% Verdana 24 3.375% Verdana 2 6.9 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/500/original/20121012_inkesta_ostirala.pdf es Naiz 12 October 2012 30 Sep–9 Oct 2012?? 34.475% Verdana 28 15.375% Verdana 12 10.875% Verdana 9 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.175% Verdana 1 28.275% Verdana 24 3.275% Verdana 1 6.2 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/449/original/20121011_aztiker.pdf es Naiz 11 October 2012 29 Sep–8 Oct 2012?? 34.675% Verdana 27 15.375% Verdana 13 11.275% Verdana 10 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.075% Verdana 1 27.975% Verdana 23 3.175% Verdana 1 6.7 Ikerfel/El CorreoEl PNV gana sin mayoría suficiente y en Gipuzkoa acorta distancias con EH Bildu http://www.diariovasco.com/elecciones/paisvasco/autonomicas/2012/noticias/gana-mayoria-suficiente-gipuzkoa-201210131950.html es Diario Vasco 13 October 2012 6–7 Oct 2012 2,000? 33.175% Verdana 25/27 18.575% Verdana 15/16 12.575% Verdana 10 "EHB" "EHB" – 1.975% Verdana 0/1 26.375% Verdana 21 4.575% Verdana 2/3 6.8 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/373/original/20121010_aztiker.pdf es Naiz 10 October 2012 28 Sep–7 Oct 2012?? 32.775% Verdana 27 15.675% Verdana 13 11.575% Verdana 9 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.675% Verdana 1 27.275% Verdana 23 3.875% Verdana 2 5.5 Ikertalde/GPSEstudio preelectoral. Elecciones Autonómicas 2012 (Octubre 2012) http://www.lehendakaritza.ejgv.euskadi.eus/contenidos/informe_estudio/o_12praut/es_12praut/adjuntos/12praut_es.pdf es Basque Government 13 October 2012 1–5 Oct 2012 2,254 69.0 33.475% Verdana 24/26 19.475% Verdana 16/17 11.475% Verdana 10 "EHB" "EHB" 0.775% Verdana 0 1.575% Verdana 1 26.675% Verdana 21/23 2.675% Verdana 0/1 6.8 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/151/original/20121008_inkesta.pdf es Naiz 8 October 2012 25 Sep–5 Oct 2012?? 32.275% Verdana 26 16.875% Verdana 13 11.875% Verdana 10 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.175% Verdana 1 27.475% Verdana 24 3.075% Verdana 1 4.8 NC Report/La RazónPNV y Bildu se mantienen en cabeza http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/3298-pnv-y-bildu-se-mantienen-en-cabeza https://web.archive.org/web/20121013235353/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/3298-pnv-y-bildu-se-mantienen-en-cabeza dead 13 October 2012 es La Razón 8 October 2012 24 October 2012 25 Sep–4 Oct 2012 510? 32.175% Verdana 24/25 17.975% Verdana 14 13.375% Verdana 10/12 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.875% Verdana 1 28.075% Verdana 21/23?75% Verdana 3 4.1 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/122/original/inkesta.pdf es Naiz 7 October 2012 24 Sep–4 Oct 2012?? 33.475% Verdana 26 14.975% Verdana 13 12.475% Verdana 11 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.075% Verdana 0 27.275% Verdana 23 3.475% Verdana 2 6.2 Gizaker/Grupo NoticiasEl PNV ganaría las elecciones sin un margen suficiente que le asegure acceder a Ajuria Enea http://www.noticiasdegipuzkoa.com/2012/10/13/politica/euskadi/el-pnv-ganaria-las-elecciones-sin-un-margen-suficiente-que-le-asegure-acceder-a-ajuria-enea https://web.archive.org/web/20121015163703/http://www.noticiasdegipuzkoa.com/2012/10/13/politica/euskadi/el-pnv-ganaria-las-elecciones-sin-un-margen-suficiente-que-le-asegure-acceder-a-ajuria-enea dead 15 October 2012 es Noticias de Gipuzkoa 13 October 2012El PNV ganaría las elecciones sin un margen suficiente que le asegure acceder a Ajuria Enea https://es.calameo.com/read/00269896911faa609da24 es Deia 13 October 2012 2–3 Oct 2012 1,350 68.3 33.975% Verdana 24/25 19.875% Verdana 16/17 14.275% Verdana 11/13 "EHB" "EHB" 1.175% Verdana 0 1.375% Verdana 0 27.175% Verdana 21/22 1.975% Verdana 0 6.8 Aztiker/GaraIntención de voto http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/082/original/20121005_intencion_tendencia.pdf es Naiz 5 October 2012 23 Sep–3 Oct 2012?? 35.875% Verdana 26 15.875% Verdana 14 13.875% Verdana 11 "EHB" "EHB" – 1.775% Verdana 1 27.475% Verdana 22 3.675% Verdana 1 8.4 Aztiker/GaraEncuesta de intención de voto (reparto de escaños y % de voto) http://www.naiz.eus/media/asset_publics/resources/000/011/004/original/20121004encuesta_voto.pdf es Naiz 4 October 2012 22 Sep–2 Oct 2012 1,030? 35.175% Verdana 26 16.375% Verdana 14 14.175% Verdana 11 "EHB" "EHB" 0.275% Verdana 0 1.775% Verdana 0 26.875% Verdana 22 3.875% Verdana 2 8.3 NC Report/La Razón 30 Sep 2012?? 31.575% Verdana 23/25 18.175% Verdana 14/15 13.775% Verdana 11/13 "EHB" "EHB" – 3.175% Verdana 0 27.575% Verdana 22/24?75% Verdana 0/1 4.0 CISPreelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas, 2012 (Estudio nº 2959. Septiembre 2012) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es2959mar_A.pdf es CIS 5 October 2012El PP revalidaría su mayoría en Galicia y el PNV volvería a ganar en Euskadi http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2012/10/06/pagina-14/90532900/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 6 October 2012 10–25 Sep 2012 2,898? 36.275% Verdana 27 17.275% Verdana 14 10.775% Verdana 9/10 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.075% Verdana 0 25.175% Verdana 21/22 4.275% Verdana 3 11.1 NC Report/La RazónEHBildu gana hasta dos escaños en perjuicio de PNV y PSOE http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/7935-ehbildu-gana-hasta-dos-escanos-en-perjuicio-de-pnv-y-psoe https://web.archive.org/web/20120926233941/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7935-ehbildu-gana-hasta-dos-escanos-en-perjuicio-de-pnv-y-psoe dead 26 September 2012 es La Razón 24 September 2012 24 October 2012 23 Sep 2012?? 31.575% Verdana 23/25 18.275% Verdana 14/15 13.875% Verdana 11/13 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.575% Verdana 0 27.775% Verdana 21/24?75% Verdana 1/2 3.8 NC Report/La RazónEl PNV se mantiene como el partido más votado http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/6988-el-pnv-se-mantiene-como-el-partido-mas-votado https://web.archive.org/web/20120920185233/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/6988-el-pnv-se-mantiene-como-el-partido-mas-votado dead 20 September 2012 es La Razón 17 September 2012 24 October 2012 16 Sep 2012?? 32.075% Verdana 23/26 18.675% Verdana 14/16 14.375% Verdana 11/13 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.975% Verdana 1 26.775% Verdana 21/22?75% Verdana 1 5.3 NC Report/La Razón 9 Sep 2012?? 31.8 18.9 14.2 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.8 26.3 – 5.5 NC Report/La RazónDeriva soberanista en el País Vasco http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/9535-deriva-soberanista-en-el-pais-vasco https://web.archive.org/web/20121001144417/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/9535-deriva-soberanista-en-el-pais-vasco dead 1 October 2012 es La Razón 27 August 2012 5 September 2012 21–25 Aug 2012 570 64.3 31.275% Verdana 22/25 19.075% Verdana 14/16 14.175% Verdana 11/13 "EHB" "EHB" – 3.175% Verdana 1 26.575% Verdana 20/22 3.575% Verdana 2 4.7 Sigma Dos/El MundoApoyo histórico al nacionalismo http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-JPeFPQqMztY/UDm32UUTeJI/AAAAAAAADhs/qUyYBO2rz6Q/s1600/1+ENCUESTA+EL+MUNDO+SIGMA+DOS+Apoyo+historico+al+nacionalismo.jpg es El Mundo 26 August 2012 22–24 Aug 2012 900? 33.775% Verdana 24/25 21.475% Verdana 17 12.875% Verdana 12 "EHB" "EHB" – 1.175% Verdana 0 27.375% Verdana 21/22 2.375% Verdana 0 6.4 NC Report/La RazónLos nacionalistas se crecen ante el retroceso del PSE http://www.larazon.es/detalle_hemeroteca/noticias/LA_RAZON_468785/historico/1709-los-nacionalistas-se-crecen-ante-el-retroceso-del-pse https://web.archive.org/web/20130114180837/http://www.larazon.es/detalle_hemeroteca/noticias/LA_RAZON_468785/historico/1709-los-nacionalistas-se-crecen-ante-el-retroceso-del-pse dead 14 January 2013 es La Razón 25 June 2012 21–23 Jun 2012 750 64.3 30.675% Verdana 22/24 19.575% Verdana 15/16 16.775% Verdana 14 "EHB" "EHB" – 2.375% Verdana 0 25.175% Verdana 21/22 3.875% Verdana 1/2 5.5 Low Cost/Libertad DigitalLibertad Digital. 27 de junio de 2012. Elecciones Parlamento Vasco 2012 http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2012/parl_vasco/html/encuestas/enc_2012_06_digital_c.htm es Basque Government 27 June 2012 11–18 Jun 2012 750? 30.975% Verdana 25/26 22.875% Verdana 18/19 14.675% Verdana 10 "EHB" "EHB" – 1.575% Verdana 0 23.875% Verdana 19/20 3.575% Verdana 0/3 8.8 Ikerfel/El CorreoEl PNV ganaría con holgura a EH Bildu en un Parlamento de mayoría nacioanalista http://www.diariovasco.com/20120624/mas-actualidad/politica/encuesta-electoral-201206240843.html es Diario Vasco 24 June 2012El Correo. 24 de junio de 2012. Elecciones Parlamento Vasco 2012 http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2012/parl_vasco/html/encuestas/enc_2012_06_correo_c.htm es Basque Government 24 June 2012 7–14 Jun 2012 2,000? 34.675% Verdana 24/26 18.875% Verdana 14/17 12.175% Verdana 11/12 "EHB" "EHB" – 1.275% Verdana 0 25.875% Verdana 19/21 4.775% Verdana 2 8.8 CPS/EHUEstimaciones Electorales del Euskobarómetro de Mayo de 2012 para el Parlamento Vasco https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8lscQcayf3KSWJUNWhVNkVKcE0/edit es EHU 29 June 2012 8–24 May 2012 1,200 65 32.175% Verdana 23/24 20.075% Verdana 17 14.075% Verdana 12/13 "EHB" "EHB" 2.075% Verdana 0 1.875% Verdana 0 24.775% Verdana 22 3.075% Verdana 0 7.4 NC Report/La RazónEl PSOE se hunde y el PP sube a los tres años del pacto vasco http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/3340-el-psoe-se-hunde-y-el-pp-sube-a-los-tres-anos-del-pacto-vasco https://web.archive.org/web/20121014115829/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/3340-el-psoe-se-hunde-y-el-pp-sube-a-los-tres-anos-del-pacto-vasco dead 14 October 2012 es La Razón 14 May 2012 17 May 2012 7–12 May 2012 900 64.3 29.875% Verdana 22/23 19.175% Verdana 15 16.575% Verdana 14 "Amaiur" Within Amaiur. "Amaiur" – – 27.275% Verdana 22/23 3.575% Verdana 1/2 2.6 GaraAmaiur sería el primer grupo en el Parlamento de Gasteiz http://gara.naiz.eus/paperezkoa/20120423/336357/es/Amaiur-seria-primer-grupo-Parlamento-Gasteiz- es Gara 23 April 2012Gara. 23 de abril de 2012. Elecciones Parlamento Vasco 2012 http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2012/parl_vasco/html/encuestas/enc_2012_04_gara_c.htm es Basque Government 23 April 2012 23 Apr 2012 1,875? 29.075% Verdana 22 15.075% Verdana 12 16.075% Verdana 15 1.075% Verdana 0 "Amaiur" – – 28.075% Verdana 24 5.075% Verdana 2 1.0 CPS/EHUEstimaciones Electorales para el Parlamento Vasco. Euskobarómetro Noviembre 2011 https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8lscQcayf3KYm93aENtS1lUbktuZHNJdVJQMVNYQQ/edit es EHU 1 March 2012 25 Nov–19 Dec 2011 1,200 65 30.775% Verdana 22/23 18.375% Verdana 16 15.475% Verdana 14 "Amaiur" "Amaiur" – 1.875% Verdana 0 24.775% Verdana 19/22 3.175% Verdana 0/3 6.0 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 67.3 27.475% Verdana (20) 21.675% Verdana (18) 17.875% Verdana (15) "Amaiur" "Amaiur" – 1.875% Verdana (0) 24.175% Verdana (20) 3.775% Verdana (2) 3.3 2011 foral elections 22 May 2011 63.5 30.975% Verdana (24) 16.875% Verdana (13) 14.375% Verdana (13) 3.575% Verdana (1) "Bildu" Within Bildu. 3.375% Verdana (2) 0.875% Verdana (0) 25.375% Verdana (22) – 5.6 Gizaker/Grupo NoticiasLa entrada de la izquierda abertzale dejaría a PSE y PP sin su mayoría parlamentaria http://www.noticiasdealava.com/2011/02/13/politica/euskadi/la-entrada-de-la-izquierda-abertzale-dejaria-a-pse-y-pp-sin-su-mayoria-parlamentaria https://web.archive.org/web/20110216014532/http://www.noticiasdealava.com/2011/02/13/politica/euskadi/la-entrada-de-la-izquierda-abertzale-dejaria-a-pse-y-pp-sin-su-mayoria-parlamentaria dead 16 February 2011 es Noticias de Álava 13 February 2011Las lecciones de una encuesta https://arabatik.wordpress.com/2011/02/14/las-lecciones-de-una-encuesta/ es Arabatik 14 February 2011Encuesta sobre la situación sociopolítica de la CAV https://h1bizkaia.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/gizaker.jpg https://web.archive.org/web/20161014062340/https://h1bizkaia.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/gizaker.jpg dead 14 October 2016 es Gizaker 13 February 2011 27–29 Jan 2011 1,100 71.7 36.775% Verdana 29/30 24.475% Verdana 20/21 12.475% Verdana 11/12 5.475% Verdana 3/4 2.375% Verdana 0 2.875% Verdana 0 1.575% Verdana 1 12.875% Verdana 9/10 – 12.3 Gizaker/Grupo NoticiasÁlava desactivaría, un año después, la mayoría absoluta del pacto de PSE y PP http://www.noticiasdealava.com/2010/04/02/politica/euskadi/alava-desactivaria-un-ano-despues-la-mayoria-absoluta-del-pacto-de-pse-y-pp https://web.archive.org/web/20100408172115/http://www.noticiasdealava.com/2010/04/02/politica/euskadi/alava-desactivaria-un-ano-despues-la-mayoria-absoluta-del-pacto-de-pse-y-pp dead 8 April 2010 es Noticias de Álava 2 April 2010Álava desactivaría, un año después, la mayoría absoluta del pacto de PSE y PP https://arabakoaralar.wordpress.com/2010/04/06/encuesta-gizaker-para-diario-de-noticias-de-alava-aralar-2-parlamentarios-por-araba/ es Arabako Aralar 2 April 2010 26 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304104315/https://arabakoaralar.wordpress.com/2010/04/06/encuesta-gizaker-para-diario-de-noticias-de-alava-aralar-2-parlamentarios-por-araba/ 4 March 2016 dead 1–5 Mar 2010? 67.7 38.975% Verdana 31 29.375% Verdana 24 13.375% Verdana 12 9.575% Verdana 5 3.375% Verdana 1 2.275% Verdana 1 1.875% Verdana 1 – – 9.6 2009 EP election 7 Jun 2009 41.2 28.575% Verdana (21) 27.875% Verdana (24) 16.075% Verdana (14) 5.675% Verdana (4) 1.875% Verdana (0) 1.575% Verdana (0) 16.075% Verdana (12) – 0.7 2009 regional election 1 Mar 2009 64.7 38.175% Verdana 30 30.475% Verdana 25 13.975% Verdana 13 6.075% Verdana 4 3.675% Verdana 1 3.575% Verdana 1 2.175% Verdana 1 – – 7.7 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 32px|link=Aralar (Basque political party)|Aralar 30px|link=Eusko Alkartasuna|EA 27px|link=United Left–Greens|EB–B 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 27px|link=EH Bildu 27px|link=Ezker Anitza|IU–LV Lead 2012 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 21 Oct 2012 22.3 12.3 7.6 "EHB" "EHB" 1.0 1.3 16.1 1.8 34.2 6.2 MyWord/Cadena SER 3–10 Oct 2012 1,206 12.8 10.1 5.9 "EHB" "EHB" 2.0 5.2 7.1 2.8 40.0 7.5 2.7 CIS 10–25 Sep 2012 2,898 20.5 9.5 2.5 "EHB" "EHB" – 0.5 14.6 3.0 28.1 16.3 5.9 2011 general election"CERA" 20 Nov 2011 18.8 14.8 12.2 "Amaiur" "Amaiur" – 1.2 16.5 2.5 30.8 2.3 2011 foral elections 22 May 2011 19.4 10.5 9.0 2.2 "Bildu" 2.1 0.5 15.9 – 36.5 3.5 2009 EP election"CERA" 7 Jun 2009 11.9 11.6 6.7 2.4 0.8 0.6 6.7 – 58.0 0.3 2009 regional election"CERA" 1 Mar 2009 22.3 17.8 8.2 3.5 2.1 2.0 1.2 – – 35.7 4.5 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 27px|link=EH Bildu 27px|link=Ezker Anitza|IU–LV Other/None Lead CIS 10–25 Sep 2012 2,898 25.0 11.5 3.1 0.7 17.4 3.3 4.1 34.9 7.6 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 27px|link=EH Bildu 27px|link=Ezker Anitza|IU–LV Other/None Lead CIS 10–25 Sep 2012 2,898 59.5 3.2 1.1 9.6 0.1 0.1 26.4 49.9 Preferred Lehendakari The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px Other/None/Notcare Lead UrkulluPNV LópezPSE–EE BasagoitiPP ManeiroUPyD MintegiEH Bildu AranaIU–LV CIS 10–25 Sep 2012 2,898 24.3 12.9 3.0 0.4 13.5 2.0 15.3 28.6 10.8 Results Overall + ← Summary of the 21 October 2012 Basque Parliament election results → center|335px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 384,766 34.16 −3.98 27 −3 Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu)1 277,923 24.67 +15.05 21 +16 Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 212,809 18.89 −11.47 16 −9 People's Party (PP) 130,584 11.59 −2.36 10 −3 United Left–The Greens: Plural Left (IU–LV) 30,318 2.69 New 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 21,539 1.91 −0.21 1 ±0 United Left–Greens (EB–B) 17,345 1.54 −1.93 0 −1 Equo Greens–Basque Ecologists (Equo)2 11,625 1.03 +0.49 0 ±0 Blank Seats (EB/AZ) 11,480 1.02 New 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ATTKAA) 4,066 0.36 +0.22 0 ±0 Hartos.org (Hartos.org) 2,831 0.25 New 0 ±0 For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 2,476 0.22 −0.07 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 1,113 0.10 +0.06 0 ±0 Family and Life Party (PFyV) 821 0.07 −0.03 0 ±0 Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) 778 0.07 −0.04 0 ±0 Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 684 0.06 New 0 ±0 Basque Communists–Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (EK–PCPE) 442 0.04 New 0 ±0 Welcome (Ongi Etorri) 101 0.01 New 0 ±0 Community Integration Party (PYC) 59 0.01 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 14,640 1.30 +0.20 Total 1,126,400 75 ±0 Valid votes 1,126,400 99.18 +7.98 Invalid votes 9,168 0.81 −7.98 Votes cast / turnout 1,135,568 63.96 −0.72 Abstentions 639,783 36.04 +0.72 Registered voters 1,775,351 Sourceshttps://www.euskadi.eus/ab12aAREWar/resultado/maint Resultados Electorales es Basque Government 28 December 202519 November 2012 Acuerdo de 9 de noviembre de 2012, de la Junta Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma del País Vasco, por el que se dispone la publicación de los resultados correspondientes al escrutinio general de las elecciones al Parlamento Vasco celebradas el día 21 de octubre de 2012 https://www.euskadi.eus/web01-bopv/es/bopv2/datos/2012/11/1205083a.pdf es Official Gazette of the Basque Country 223 2483-5366 2012/5083.1–2012/5083.4 12 March 2026 left Footnotes: 1 Basque Country Gather results are compared to the combined totals of Aralar and Basque Solidarity in the 2009 election. 2 Equo Greens–Basque Ecologists results are compared to The Greens totals in the 2009 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px EAJ/PNV Basque Nationalist Party 34.16 EH Bildu EH Bildu 24.67 PSE–EE (PSOE) Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 18.89 PP People's Party of the Basque Country 11.59 IU–LV Ezker Anitza 2.69 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 1.91 EB–B United Left–Greens 1.54 Equo Equo 1.03 EB/AZ Blank Seats 1.02 Others #777777 1.19 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.30 Seats #ddd 550px 500px EAJ/PNV Basque Nationalist Party 36.00 EH Bildu EH Bildu 28.00 PSE–EE (PSOE) Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 21.33 PP People's Party of the Basque Country 13.33 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 1.33 Distribution by constituency Constituency PNV EH Bildu PSE–EE PP UPyD % S % S % S % S % S Álava 25.5 7 21.7 6 19.3 6 18.7 5 3.5 1 Biscay 37.9 11 21.2 6 18.7 5 11.7 3 1.8 − Gipuzkoa 31.6 9 31.8 9 19.0 5 8.4 2 1.4 − Total 34.2 27 24.7 21 18.9 16 11.6 10 1.9 1 Sources Aftermath Government formation Investiture Ballot → 12 December 2012 13 December 2012 Required majority → 38 out of 75 Simple Iñigo Urkullu (PNV) • PNV (27) 27 75 Basque Nationalist Party 125px 15 27 75 Basque Nationalist Party 125px 15 Laura Mintegi (EH Bildu) • EH Bildu (21) 21 75 EH Bildu 125px 15 21 75 EH Bildu 125px 15 Abstentions/Blank ballots • PSE–EE (16) • PP (10) • UPyD (1) 27 75 gray 125px 27 75 gray 125px Absentees 0 75 black 125px 0 75 black 125px Sources Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Bibliography 30em y Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco Organic Law 3/1979 18 December 1979 version as of 22 December 1979 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1979-30177 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1979-30177&tn=1&p=19791222 12 March 2026 Statute 1979 y Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno Law 7/1981 30 June 1981 version as of 7 June 2012 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2012-5927 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2012-5927&tn=1&p=20120607 12 March 2026 LGV 1981 y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 22 September 2012 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20120922 5 October 2025 LOREG 1985 y Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco Law 5/1990 15 June 1990 version as of 2 March 2005 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2012-2859 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2012-2859&tn=1&p=20050302 12 March 2026 LEPV 1990 y Decreto 12/2012, de 27 de agosto, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones Decree 12/2012 27 August 2012 Official Gazette of the Basque Country es https://www.euskadi.eus/bopv2/datos/2012/08/1203884a.pdf 12 March 2026 Decree 12/2012 2012 autocollapse Regional election Basque Country Category:Regional elections in the Basque Country (autonomous community) Basque Country