2004 Andalusian regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Andalusia July 2020 2004 Andalusian regional election Andalusia parliamentary no 2000 Andalusian regional election 2000 2008 Andalusian regional election 2008 All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia 55 #Opinion polls 6,052,012 10px 2.3% 4,518,545 (74.7%)10px 6.0 pp 14 March 2004 170x170px Manuel Chaves PSOE–A 19 April 1990 Cádiz 52 seats, 44.3% 61 10px 9 2,260,545 50.4% 10px 6.1 pp 170x170px Teófila Martínez People's Party of Andalusia 20 February 1999 Cádiz 46 seats, 38.0% 37 10px 9 1,426,774 31.8% 10px 6.2 pp 170x170px Diego Valderas United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia 15 October 2000 Huelva 6 seats, 8.1% 6 10px 0 337,030 7.5% 10px 0.6 pp 170x170px Antonio Ortega Andalusian Party 24 March 2001 Seville 5 seats, 7.4% 5 10px 0 276,674 6.2% 10px 1.2 pp AndalusiaProvinceMapParliament2004.png 375px Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia President President after election Manuel Chaves PSOE–A Manuel Chaves PSOE–A A regional election was held in Andalusia on 14 March 2004 to elect the 7th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with the 2004 Spanish general election. As happened with the concurrent nationwide election, results in Andalusia were heavily influenced by political controversy derived from the 11 March train bombings in Madrid. The ruling Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) exceeded all opinion poll expectations by securing a comfortable majority. Incumbent Manuel Chaves was thus able to be re-elected for a fifth consecutive term as President of the Regional Government of Andalusia.Lucio Lourdes 15 March 2004 https://elpais.com/diario/2004/03/15/andalucia/1079306524_850215.html Chaves logra mayoría absoluta y hunde al PP es El País Seville 7 April 2026Barbero Luis Belausteguigoitia Santiago 15 March 2004 https://elpais.com/diario/2004/03/15/andalucia/1079306531_850215.html El Partido Popular se desmorona en Andalucía y logra el peor resultado de lo últimos 10 años es El País Seville 7 April 2026 Overview Under the 1981 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of Andalusia was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.Statute 1981 arts. 25, 30–31 & 33. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LEAn 1986 final prov. 1. Date The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication (barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August).Statute 1981 art. 26; LEAn 1986 arts. 14–15 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). The previous election was held on 12 March 2000, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 12 March 2004. The election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 17 February 2004, setting the latest possible date for election day on 11 April 2004. The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one.LGAAn 1983 arts. 14 & 55–56 (am. amended by LGAAn 1994 art. 1). The Parliament of Andalusia was officially dissolved on 20 January 2004 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOJA, setting election day for 14 March and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 31 March.Decree 1/2004 2004 arts. 1–2 & 5.Lucio Lourdes 10 January 2004 https://elpais.com/diario/2004/01/10/andalucia/1073690524_850215.html Chaves pacta con Aznar simultanear el 14 de marzo las elecciones andaluzas y generales es El País Seville 7 April 2026 Electoral system Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.Statute 1981 arts. 26 & 28; LEAn 1986 art. 2 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 2–3). The Parliament of Andalusia had a minimum of 90 and a maximum of 110 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 109. All were elected in eight multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, each of which was assigned an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 distributed in proportion to population (with the number of seats in each province not exceeding two times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.Statute 1981 arts. 26 & 28; LEAn 1986 arts. 16–18. The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Dublin https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php 22 July 2017 30 July 2017 As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:Decree 1/2004 2004 art. 3. Seats Constituencies 18 Seville 16 Málaga 15 Cádiz 13 Córdoba, Granada 12 Jaén 11 Almería, Huelva The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LEAn 1986 art. 19 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48). Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aandalucia.html Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (desde 1982) es Historia Electoral.com 19 October 2025 + Parliamentary composition in January 2004 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE–A 52 52 Andalusian People's Parliamentary Group PP 46 46 United Left/The Greens Parliamentary Group IULV–CA 6 6 Andalusian Parliamentary Group PA 3 3 Mixed Group PSA 2Ricardo Chamorro and Pedro Pacheco, former PA legislators.Pedrote Isabel 31 January 2001 https://elpais.com/diario/2001/01/31/andalucia/980896933_850215.html Pacheco se va al grupo mixto sin 'revancha' ni ánimo de desestabilizar es El País 28 April 20261 September 2001 https://elpais.com/diario/2001/09/01/andalucia/999296628_850215.html Pacheco será el presidente del grupo mixto y Chamorro hará de portavoz es El País Seville 28 April 2026Pedrote Isabel 15 September 2001 https://elpais.com/diario/2001/09/15/andalucia/1000506123_850215.html El ingreso de Pedro Pacheco en el nuevo PSA consuma la división formal del andalucismo es El País Seville 28 April 2026 2 Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LEAn 1986 arts. 22–23 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election: Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats PSOE–A List on Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 50px Manuel Chaves Social democracy 44.3% 52 Lucio Lourdes 4 December 2000 https://elpais.com/diario/2000/12/04/andalucia/975885723_850215.html Chaves logra un apoyo del 79% a una ejecutiva renovada y con más mujeres que hombres es El País Seville 8 April 2026 PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Teófila Martínez ConservatismChristian democracy 38.0% 46 Barbero Luis García Alejandro Víctor 22 September 2002 https://elpais.com/diario/2002/09/22/andalucia/1032646924_850215.html El PP acude a una fórmula inédita para que el congreso 'designe' a Martínez candidata a la Junta es El País Granada 7 April 2026Barbero Luis García Alejandro Víctor 22 September 2002 https://elpais.com/diario/2002/09/22/espana/1032645603_850215.html Teófila Martínez, reelegida presidenta del PP andaluz es El País Granada 7 April 2026 IULV–CA List on United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)– Communist Party of Andalusia (PCA)– Collective for the Unity of Workers–Andalusian Left Bloc (CUT–BAI)– Revolutionary Workers' Party (POR)– Workers' Revolutionary Party–Revolutionary Left (PRT–IR) 50px Diego Valderas SocialismCommunism 8.1% 6 Pedrote Isabel 10 October 2000 https://elpais.com/diario/2000/10/10/andalucia/971130128_850215.html La cúpula de IU proclama la victoria de Valderas mientras Caballero denuncia un proceso "trucado" es El País Seville 28 April 2026Sánchez María Esperanza 15 October 2000 https://elpais.com/diario/2000/10/17/andalucia/971734924_850215.html Dentro del sistema es El País 28 April 2026Pedrote Isabel 15 December 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/12/15/andalucia/1071444124_850215.html Valderas es reelegido coordinador de IU con una leve subida al conseguir el 59% de apoyos es El País Matalascañas 28 April 2026 PA List on Andalusian Party (PA) 50px Antonio Ortega Andalusian nationalismSocial democracy 7.4% 5 Jiménez Titos Francisco 24 March 2001 https://elpais.com/diario/2001/03/24/andalucia/985389734_850215.html Los andalucistas ratifican hoy a Ortega como candidato es El País Granada 28 April 2026 PSA List on Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA) 50px Pedro Pacheco Andalusian nationalismSocial democracy colspan="2" Did not contest Román Francisco José 14 December 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/12/14/andalucia/1071357723_850215.html El PSA elige a Pacheco como su candidato autonómico es El País Cádiz 28 April 2026 Former Labour minister in the first government of José María Aznar, Manuel Pimentel, abandoned the People's Party (PP) in March 2003 in protest over the Irak War crisis,24 March 2003 https://elpais.com/elpais/2003/03/23/actualidad/1048411018_850215.html El ex ministro Manuel Pimentel deja el PP por su apoyo a la "guerra ilícita" es El País Seville 28 April 202625 March 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/03/25/andalucia/1048548132_850215.html Una despedida que se ha fraguado en los tres últimos años es El País Seville 28 April 2026Barbero Luis 25 March 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/03/25/andalucia/1048548133_850215.html Los 'efectos colaterales' en el PP es El País Seville 28 April 2026 forming his own party (Andalusian Forum) to contest the regional election.Lucio Lourdes 17 June 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/06/17/espana/1055800821_850215.html Pimentel da el primer paso para la creación de un partido de centro es El País Seville 28 April 2026Pedrote Isabel 7 October 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/10/07/andalucia/1065478932_850215.html El foro de Pimentel podría constituirse en partido el próximo mes de diciembre si "aporta ideas nuevas" es El País Seville 28 April 2026Narváez Diego 21 December 2003 https://elpais.com/diario/2003/12/21/andalucia/1071962530_850215.html Pimentel se presentará por Córdoba a las elecciones con un partido "atípico" y andalucista es El País Málaga 28 April 2026 Campaign Debates + 2004 Andalusian regional election debates Date Organizer(s) Moderator(s)    black #90FF90  P  PresentDenotes a main invitee attending the event.   black #D0F0C0  S  SurrogateDenotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.  black #A2B2C2  NI  Not invited  black #FFFF90  I  Invited   black #FF9090  A  Absent invitee  PSOE–A PP IULV–CA PA Audience Ref. References 4 March RTVA Manuel Campo Vidal PChaves PMartínez PValderas POrtega 17.9%(552,000) 11 February 2004 https://cadenaser.com/ser/2004/02/11/espana/1076460611_850215.html El debate de los candidatos a la Junta andaluza será el 4 de marzo es Cadena SER 8 May 20226 March 2004 https://www.abc.es/archivo/periodicos/abc-sevilla-20040306-20.html Los medios de comunicación dan a Teófila una ajustada victoria es ABC 8 May 2022 Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Graphical summary OpinionPollingAndalusiaRegionalElection2004.svg 750px Local regression trend line of poll results from 12 March 2000 to 14 March 2004, with each line corresponding to a political party. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia. Color key: #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 33px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 25px|link=Socialist Party of Andalusia (2001)|PSA Lead 2004 regional election 14 Mar 2004 74.7 50.475% Verdana 61 31.875% Verdana 37 7.575% Verdana 6 6.275% Verdana 5 0.975% Verdana 0 18.6 Sigma Dos/Antena 3El PP puede perder de tres a seis diputados http://www.estupidafregona.net/foro/viewtopic.php?p=51897&sid=ed49011eb8befae62a381a1965a8c96d#p51897 es estupidafregona.net 14 March 2004 10 December 2017 11 December 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20171211053918/http://www.estupidafregona.net/foro/viewtopic.php?p=51897&sid=ed49011eb8befae62a381a1965a8c96d#p51897 dead 14 Mar 2004?? 48.275% Verdana 56/59 34.475% Verdana 40/43 7.175% Verdana 4/7 6.575% Verdana 5 – 13.8 Ipsos–Eco/RTVEElecciones Generales y de la Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía. Sondeo de Ipsos-EcoConsulting para RTVE - Domingo 14 de Marzo http://www.rtve.es/sondeo04/index.htm es RTVE 14 March 2004 bot: unknown https://web.archive.org/web/20040326033514/http://www.rtve.es/sondeo04/index.htm 26 March 2004 14 Mar 2004?? 47.575% Verdana 57/59 32.875% Verdana 37/40 8.875% Verdana 7/8 6.675% Verdana 4/5 – 14.7 Metra Seis/PARojas Marcos llama a "tirarse a la calle" si el PSOE logra la mayoría absoluta https://elpais.com/diario/2004/03/07/andalucia/1078615328_850215.html es El País 7 March 2004 27 Feb–3 Mar 2004???75% Verdana 53/54?75% Verdana 44?75% Verdana 4?75% Verdana 7/8?75% Verdana 0? Vox Pública/Diario CórdobaEl PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía http://www.elperiodicodearagon.com/noticias/temadia/psoe-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-andalucia_104831.html es El Periódico de Aragón 29 February 2004 29 Feb 2004?? 44.075% Verdana 54/55 37.575% Verdana 46/47 7.275% Verdana 4/5 5.775% Verdana 2/3 – 6.5 Opina/El PaísEl PSOE recuperará en el Parlamento andaluz la mayoría absoluta que perdió en 1994 https://elpais.com/diario/2004/03/08/espana/1078700401_850215.html es El País 8 March 2004Elecciones autonómicas en Andalucía. Intención de voto. Marzo de 2004 http://www.elpais.com/elpaismedia/diario/media/200403/08/espana/20040308elpepinac_1_P_PDF.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20150402135319/http://www.elpais.com/elpaismedia/diario/media/200403/08/espana/20040308elpepinac_1_P_PDF.pdf dead 2 April 2015 es El País 8 March 2004 26–27 Feb 2004 1,500? 47.075% Verdana 56/59 36.575% Verdana 42/46 7.075% Verdana 4/6 6.075% Verdana 3 – 10.5 TNS Demoscopia/VocentoEl PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía y podría gobernar con el apoyo del PA o IU http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2004/02/28/012.html es ABC 28 February 2004El PSOE sería el partido más votado en todas las provincias, excepto en Almería http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2004/02/28/014.html es ABC 28 February 2004 12–20 Feb 2004 3,613 67–68 47.175% Verdana 54/56 36.775% Verdana 46/47 6.975% Verdana 4/5 7.375% Verdana 3 – 10.4 CISPreelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2004 (Estudio nº 2555. Enero-Febrero 2004) https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es2555marpdf es CIS 4 March 2004La mayoría absoluta pende de un hilo http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2004/03/05/pagina-14/33650513/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 5 March 2004 24 Jan–15 Feb 2004 4,147 75.2 47.175% Verdana 55 36.175% Verdana 42 8.175% Verdana 8 6.875% Verdana 4 0.275% Verdana 0 11.0 Idea Asesores/PPUn sondeo del PP lo sitúa a 2,2 puntos del PSOE en las elecciones http://elpais.com/diario/2004/02/14/andalucia/1076714534_850215.html es El País 14 February 2004Una encuesta del PP prevé un empate a escaños con los socialistas en Andalucía http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2004/02/14/045.html es ABC 14 February 2004 14 Feb 2004?? 42.075% Verdana 50/51 39.875% Verdana 49/51?75% Verdana 5/6?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 0 2.2 Opina/CEAUna encuesta del PP prevé un empate a escaños con los socialistas en Andalucía http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2004/02/20/047.html es ABC 20 February 2004Una encuesta encargada por los empresarios sitúa al PSOE a un escaño de la mayoría absoluta https://elpais.com/diario/2004/02/20/andalucia/1077232933_850215.html es El País 20 February 2004 2–7 Feb 2004 3,200? 45.575% Verdana 53/54 37.575% Verdana 45/46 7.575% Verdana 7 6.075% Verdana 3 0.575% Verdana 0 8.0 Sigma Dos/El MundoChaves roza de nuevo la mayoría absoluta que perdió en 1994 http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2004/02/09/espana/1076303175.html es El Mundo 9 February 2004Chaves ganaría las elecciones andaluzas con más de 7 puntos de ventaja sobre el PP http://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/chaves-ganaria-las-elecciones-andaluzas-con-mas-de-7-puntos-de-ventaja-sobre-el-pp-1276214373/ es Libertad Digital 9 February 2004 2–5 Feb 2004 2,500? 44.975% Verdana 54/55 37.775% Verdana 47/48 7.475% Verdana 4/5 5.675% Verdana 2/3 – 7.2 CADPEA/UGREl PSOE mantiene su ventaja de ocho puntos sobre el PP para las elecciones autonómicas https://elpais.com/diario/2004/01/31/andalucia/1075504924_850215.html es El País 31 January 2004El PSOE aventaja al PP en más de ocho puntos, según el Estudio de Opinión Pública de Andalucía http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/cordoba/abc.cordoba/2004/01/31/046.html es ABC Córdoba 31 January 2004 3–23 Dec 2003 3,200 72.6 45.2 37.1 7.8 6.7 0.8 8.1 Metra Seis/PADos sondeos dan al PSOE el mejor resultado en las autonómicas https://elpais.com/diario/2003/11/24/andalucia/1069629725_850215.html es El País 24 November 2003 24 Nov 2003???75% Verdana 53/54?75% Verdana 44/45?75% Verdana 5/6?75% Verdana 4/6?75% Verdana 0? IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía 2003 (Enero, 2004) http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220135.pdf es IESA 19 January 2004 19 March 2015 2 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150402090723/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220135.pdf dead Una encuesta da una ventaja de 9,5 puntos al PSOE en las autonómicas https://elpais.com/diario/2004/01/20/andalucia/1074554532_850215.html es El País 20 January 2004 1–21 Nov 2003 3,700 70 46.7 37.2 8.0 7.4 0.3 9.5 Idea Asesores/PPUn sondeo del PP le otorga los mismos escaños que al PSOE en las autonómicas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2003/10/31/041.html es ABC 31 October 2003Un sondeo encargado por el PP da una ventaja de 3,3 puntos al PSOE en las autonómicas https://elpais.com/diario/2003/10/31/andalucia/1067556132_850215.html es El País 31 October 2003 22 Sep–2 Oct 2003 3,000? 42.875% Verdana 50/51 39.575% Verdana 49/50 8.575% Verdana 6 5.575% Verdana 2/3 0.675% Verdana 0 3.3 CADPEA/UGREl PSOE superaría en 8 puntos al PP si las autonómicas fuesen hoy http://www.diariocordoba.com/noticias/cordobaandalucia/psoe-superaria-8-puntos-pp-si-autonomicas-fuesen-hoy_81642.html es Diario Córdoba 30 September 2003El PP recorta en 4 puntos la distancia al PSOE, que seguiría ganando las elecciones http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2003/09/30/039.html es ABC 30 September 2003La Encuesta de Opinión de Andalucía sitúa al PSOE 8 puntos sobre el PP en las autonómicas https://elpais.com/diario/2003/09/30/andalucia/1064874130_850215.html es El País 30 September 2003 1–19 Jul 2003 3,200 74.2 45.1 37.3 8.2 6.6 0.8 7.8 Demoscopia/Grupo JolyTres sondeos coinciden en la mayoría absoluta del PSOE http://www.diariocordoba.com/noticias/cordobaandalucia/tres-sondeos-coinciden-mayoria-absoluta-psoe_44224.html es Diario Córdoba 1 March 2003Todas las encuestas del 28-F coinciden en dar mayoría absoluta al PSOE http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2003/03/01/047.html es ABC 1 March 2003 28 Feb 2003?? 47.9 34.7 7.7 8.2 – 13.2 Opina/El PaísEl PSOE abre una brecha de 20 puntos con el PP en Andalucía http://elpais.com/diario/2003/02/28/espana/1046386816_850215.html es El País 28 February 2003Encuesta febrero 2003. Andalucía http://www.opina.es:80/usuarios/track/repositorio/encuestas/90009ar.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20050507013023/http://www.opina.es/usuarios/track/repositorio/encuestas/90009ar.pdf dead 7 May 2005 es Instituto Opina 28 February 2003 24 February 2021 18–19 Feb 2003 1,200? 50.5 30.0 9.5 7.5 – 20.5 Sigma Dos/ABCEl PSOE ganaría por mayoría absoluta y el PP sufriría un retroceso en las autonómicas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2003/02/28/044.html es ABC 28 February 2003 14–17 Feb 2003 1,000? 49.8 33.7 7.5 6.1 – 16.1 Idea Asesores/PPUna encuesta del PP sitúa a su partido a sólo 3,4 puntos de los socialistas http://elpais.com/diario/2003/02/26/andalucia/1046215338_850215.html es El País 26 February 2003El PP admite que su principal déficit para ganar a los socialistas está en Sevilla http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2003/02/26/046.html es ABC 26 February 2003 3–12 Feb 2003 2,500? 43.275% Verdana 51/52 39.875% Verdana 48/49 6.975% Verdana 5 6.675% Verdana 4 1.175% Verdana 0/1 3.4 CADPEA/UGREl PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones autonómicas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2003/02/01/047.html es ABC 1 February 2003 31 Jan 2003 3,500? 46.9 34.9 7.7 7.8 0.4 12.0 IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía 2002 (Diciembre, 2002) http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220136.pdf es IESA 21 February 2003 19 March 2015 2 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150402155229/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220136.pdf dead El barométro del IESA da una ventaja de 12,7 puntos al PSOE sobre el PP en Andalucía https://elpais.com/diario/2003/02/22/andalucia/1045869733_850215.html es El País 22 February 2003 15 Nov–10 Dec 2002 3,884 70 47.9 35.2 7.5 7.1 0.5 12.7 Inner/PSOEUn estudio electoral da al PSOE 12,5 puntos de ventaja sobre el PP https://elpais.com/diario/2002/11/10/andalucia/1036884123_850215.html es El País 10 November 2002 10 Nov 2002 431? 51.6 39.1 7.6 1.7 – 12.5 CISInstituciones y autonomías, II. CA de Andalucía (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002) https://www.cis.es/visor?migrado=true&fichero=e245510html es CIS 19 November 2002El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas http://estaticos.elmundo.es/elmundo/2002/graficos/nov/s3/cis1.pdf es El Mundo 19 November 2002El PSOE volvería a ganar las autonómicas con 7,8 puntos de ventaja sobre el PP http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2002/11/20/044.html es ABC 20 November 2002El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2002/11/20/016.html es ABC 20 November 2002 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 982 70.9 45.0 37.2 7.1 8.2 – 7.8 Sigma Dos/SurEl PSOE, satisfecho por su primer puesto en los sondeos y el PP, por acortar distancia http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2002/03/01/044.html es ABC 1 March 2002Todas las encuestas dan vencedor al PSOE https://elpais.com/diario/2002/03/01/andalucia/1014938530_850215.html es El País 1 March 2002 28 Feb 2002?? 45.0 40.7 6.8 5.0 – 4.3 Idea Asesores/PPUn sondeo del PP augura un empate a escaños con el PSOE en Andalucía http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2002/02/28/024.html es ABC 28 February 2002 28 Feb 2002?? 41.975% Verdana 50 40.675% Verdana 49/50 7.475% Verdana 4/5 5.775% Verdana 3/4 2.675% Verdana 0 1.3 Opina/El PaísEl PSOE aventaja en 12,3 puntos al PP en intención directa de voto en Andalucía http://elpais.com/diario/2002/02/28/espana/1014850812_850215.html es El País 28 February 2002Informe. Intención de voto Andalucía. Febrero 2002 http://www.opina.es:80/usuarios/track/repositorio/encuestas/90002ar.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20050507012546/http://www.opina.es/usuarios/track/repositorio/encuestas/90002ar.pdf dead 7 May 2005 es Instituto Opina 28 February 2002 24 February 2021 18–19 Feb 2002 1,200? 47.3 35.0 7.3 7.8 0.5 12.3 PSOEUn sondeo del PSOE andaluz señala una ventaja de 10 puntos sobre el PP en intención de voto http://elpais.com/diario/2002/02/09/andalucia/1013210530_850215.html es El País 9 February 2002 31 Jan–5 Feb 2002 1,200? 45.7 35.5 8.6 7.9 – 10.2 IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía 2001 (Noviembre-Diciembre, 2001) http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220137.pdf es IESA 22 February 2002 19 March 2015 2 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150402143351/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220137.pdf dead Un sondeo del IESA da 11 puntos de ventaja al PSOE sobre el PP https://elpais.com/diario/2002/02/23/andalucia/1014420134_850215.html es El País 23 February 2002 15 Nov–10 Dec 2001 3,696? 46.8 35.8 8.9 7.1 – 11.0 Opina/CEAUna encuesta de la CEA refleja la pérdida de dos escaños del PSOE en Sevilla y Huelva http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2001/11/21/053.html es ABC 21 November 2001Un sondeo de la CEA otorga al PSOE una nueva victoria electoral https://elpais.com/diario/2001/11/21/andalucia/1006298525_850215.html es El País 21 November 2001 15–27 Oct 2001 3,200? 44.275% Verdana 52/53 39.575% Verdana 47/48 7.475% Verdana 5/6 6.975% Verdana 3/4 – 4.7 PSOEEl PSOE dice que aventaja al PP en 16,8 puntos, según su encuesta http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2001/07/01/060.html es ABC 1 July 2001 7–15 Jun 2001 2,045? 50.9 34.1 – – – 16.8 Sigma DosMayoría absoluta para el PSOE en Andalucía, según un sondeo de Sigma 2 para ABC https://www.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-28-02-2003/abc/Nacional/mayoria-absoluta-para-el-psoe-en-andalucia-segun-un-sondeo-de-sigma-2-para-abc_164967.html es ABC 28 February 2003 28 Feb 2001?? 43.2 40.3 7.1 7.4 – 2.9 IESA/CSICEl PSOE saca 11 puntos de ventaja al PP, según un sondeo del IESA http://elpais.com/diario/2001/02/25/andalucia/983056932_850215.html es El País 25 February 2001El 70,7 por ciento de los andaluces aprueba el trabajo de la Junta, según el Instituto de Estudios de la Sociedad Andaluza http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2001/02/25/057.html es ABC 25 February 2003 10 Nov–5 Dec 2000 3,645? 46.6 35.7 9.4 7.8 – 10.9 2000 regional election 12 Mar 2000 68.7 44.375% Verdana 52 38.075% Verdana 46 8.175% Verdana 6 7.475% Verdana 5 – 6.3 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 33px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 25px|link=Socialist Party of Andalusia (2001)|PSA Lead 2004 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 14 Mar 2004 37.9 24.0 5.7 4.7 0.7 24.2 13.9 CIS 24 Jan–15 Feb 2004 4,147 37.8 17.6 5.1 3.2 0.1 28.6 5.9 20.2 CADPEA/UGR 3–23 Dec 2003 3,200 36.6 18.8 – – – 32.3 – 17.8 IESA/CSIC 1–21 Nov 2003 3,700 32.3 24.9 6.0 5.2 – 22.8 6.5 7.4 Idea Asesores/PP 3–12 Feb 2003 2,500 25.3 22.3 4.1 4.9 0.3 35.0 8.1 3.0 IESA/CSIC 15 Nov–10 Dec 2002 3,884 35.3 22.2 5.1 4.9 – 23.9 5.3 13.1 CIS 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 982 29.3 15.4 4.5 5.0 – 34.3 9.1 13.9 IESA/CSIC 15 Nov–10 Dec 2001 3,696 32.2 23.7 6.3 4.9 – 24.9 5.1 8.5 Opina/CEA 15–27 Oct 2001 3,200 28.2 21.0 4.2 5.2 – – – 7.2 Demoscopia/El PaísEl PSOE baja 11,5 puntos en intención de voto en Andalucía y supera sólo en uno al PP https://elpais.com/diario/2001/02/28/espana/983314822_850215.html es El País 28 February 2001El PSOE quita importancia al sondeo que le sitúa sólo un punto por encima del PP https://elpais.com/diario/2001/03/01/andalucia/983402530_850215.html es El País 1 March 2001 15–20 Feb 2001 1,205 23.7 22.7 3.2 6.0 – – – 1.0 IESA/CSIC 10 Nov–5 Dec 2000 3,645 31.8 23.4 6.3 5.2 – 26.0 5.2 8.4 2000 regional election"CERA" 12 Mar 2000 30.6 26.4 5.6 5.2 – 30.2 4.2 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 33px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 25px|link=Socialist Party of Andalusia (2001)|PSA Other/None Lead Opina/El País 26–27 Feb 2004 1,500 39.2 23.5 4.3 3.6 0.3 1.4 37.7 15.7 CIS 24 Jan–15 Feb 2004 4,147 44.4 20.4 5.5 3.5 0.2 1.2 24.8 24.0 Opina/El País 18–19 Feb 2003 1,200 35.8 19.0 4.2 4.8 0.2 0.8 35.2 16.8 Opina/El País 18–19 Feb 2002 1,200 34.5 21.3 4.3 3.4 0.3 0.6 35.7 13.2 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 33px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 25px|link=Socialist Party of Andalusia (2001)|PSA Other/None Lead Opina/El País 26–27 Feb 2004 1,500 73.6 7.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 18.6 66.1 CIS 24 Jan–15 Feb 2004 4,147 72.9 5.4 0.3 0.3 – 0.1 21.0 67.5 Inner/PSOEEl 65,1% cree que Chaves ganará las elecciones, frente a un 14,6% que opina que Teófila Martínez https://elpais.com/diario/2003/11/15/andalucia/1068852135_850215.html es El País 15 November 2003 20 Oct–7 Nov 2003 1,200 65.1 14.6 – – – 1.8 18.5 50.5 Opina/El País 18–19 Feb 2003 1,200 63.6 5.4 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.1 29.7 58.2 Opina/El País 18–19 Feb 2002 1,200 53.5 11.8 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 33.2 41.7 Preferred President The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px Other/None/Notcare Lead ChavesPSOE–A MartínezPP ValderasIULV OrtegaPA PachecoPSA Vox Pública/Diario Córdoba 29 Feb 2004? 45.8 22.1 – – – – – 23.7 Opina/El País 26–27 Feb 2004 1,500 38.0 22.5 3.2 3.2 – 2.2 30.9 15.5 CIS 24 Jan–15 Feb 2004 4,147 46.7 19.1 3.3 2.0 2.2 4.1 22.7 27.6 Inner/PSOE 20 Oct–7 Nov 2003 1,200 55.9 32.7 – – – 7.9 3.5 23.2 Results Overall + ← Summary of the 14 March 2004 Parliament of Andalusia election results → center|350px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 2,260,545 50.36 +6.04 61 +9 People's Party (PP) 1,426,774 31.78 −6.24 37 −9 United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) 337,030 7.51 −0.60 6 ±0 Andalusian Party (PA) 276,674 6.16 −1.27 5 ±0 Andalusian Forum (FA) 53,288 1.19 New 0 ±0 Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA) 42,219 0.94 New 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 5,670 0.13 +0.02 0 ±0 New Andalusian Green Left (NIVA) 5,065 0.11 New 0 ±0 Andalusia Assembly (A) 4,544 0.10 −0.01 0 ±0 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS)1 4,437 0.10 +0.07 0 ±0 Party of Precarious Workers (PTPRE) 3,321 0.07 New 0 ±0 Republican Left (IR) 3,130 0.07 New 0 ±0 Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA) 1,642 0.04 New 0 ±0 Left Assembly–Initiative for Andalusia (A–IZ) 1,334 0.03 New 0 ±0 Another Democracy is Possible (ODeP) 525 0.01 New 0 ±0 National Union (UN) 523 0.01 ±0.00 0 ±0 Blank ballots 62,451 1.39 +0.10 Total 4,489,172 109 ±0 Valid votes 4,489,172 99.35 +0.01 Invalid votes 28,658 0.65 −0.01 Votes cast / turnout 4,518,545 74.66 +5.95 Abstentions 1,533,467 25.34 −5.95 Registered voters 6,052,012 Sources30 March 2004 Resolución de 26 de marzo de 2004, de la Presidencia de la Junta Electoral de Andalucía, por la que se hacen públicos los resultados generales y por circunscripciones, y relación de diputados proclamados electos en las elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía celebradas el día 14 de marzo de 2004 https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2004/62/d1.pdf es Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia 62 2253-802X 7750–7753 7 April 2026 left Footnotes: 1 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO results are compared to Independent Spanish Phalanx totals in the 2000 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PSOE–A Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia 50.36 PP People's Party of Andalusia 31.78 IULV–CA United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia 7.51 PA Andalusian Party 6.16 FA Andalusian Forum 1.19 Others #777777 1.61 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.39 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PSOE–A Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia 55.96 PP People's Party of Andalusia 33.94 IULV–CA United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia 5.50 PA Andalusian Party 4.59 Distribution by constituency Constituency PSOE–A PP IULV–CA PA % S % S % S % S Almería 46.1 6 42.0 5 3.8 − 4.4 − Cádiz 47.8 8 32.0 5 6.6 1 7.3 1 Córdoba 45.9 7 30.8 4 11.2 1 6.4 1 Granada 49.0 7 35.4 5 7.1 1 4.3 − Huelva 52.9 7 28.8 3 7.3 − 8.0 1 Jaén 53.1 7 32.4 4 6.7 1 5.7 − Málaga 47.5 8 34.6 6 7.6 1 6.7 1 Seville 55.9 11 26.2 5 7.9 1 6.1 1 Total 50.4 61 31.8 37 7.5 6 6.2 5 Sources Aftermath Government formation InvestitureNomination of Manuel Chaves (PSOE–A) Ballot → 21 April 2004 Required majority → 55 out of 109 15 Yes • PSOE–A (61) 61 109 green 125px No • PP (36) 36 109 red 125px Abstentions • IULV–CA (6) • PA (5) 11 109 gray 125px Absentees • PP (1) 1 109 black 125px Sources Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Bibliography 30em y Ley Orgánica 6/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Andalucía Organic Law 6/1981 30 December 1981 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1982-633 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-633 14 March 2026 Statute 1981 y Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma Law 6/1983 21 July 1983 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1983-23960 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1983-23960 5 April 2026 LGAAn 1983 y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 29 November 2003 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20031129 19 October 2025 LOREG 1985 y Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía Law 1/1986 2 January 1986 version as of 31 December 2003 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1986-2788 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1986-2788&tn=1&p=20031231 19 October 2025 LEAn 1986 y Ley 6/1994, de 18 de mayo, de Modificación de la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma, y la Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía Law 6/1994 18 May 1994 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1994-14602 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1994-14602 14 March 2026 LGAAn 1994 y Decreto del Presidente 1/2004, de 19 de enero, de disolución del Parlamento de Andalucía y de convocatoria de elecciones Decree 1/2004 19 January 2004 Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia es https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2004/12/d1.pdf 14 March 2026 Decree 1/2004 2004 Regional election Andalusia Category:Regional elections in Andalusia Andalusia