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2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas
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2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas Arkansas 1924 presidential Yes 2004 United States Senate election in Arkansas 2004 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas 2016 November 2, 2010 150x150px John Boozman 109th pictorial.jpg John Boozman Republican Party (United States) 451,617 57.90% Blanche Lincoln, 2007 (cropped).jpg Blanche Lincoln Democratic Party (United States) 288,156 36.95% 210px County results 210px Congressional district results 1 200px Boozman: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Lincoln: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% U.S. Senator Blanche Lincoln Democratic Party (United States) John Boozman Republican Party (United States) 47.61%
The 2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
This was one of the three Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that John McCain won in the 2008 presidential election along with North Dakota and West Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln ran for re-election to a third term, facing a strong primary challenge from Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter and prevailing only in a runoff. Lincoln then lost the general election to U.S. Representative John Boozman, the younger brother of Fay Boozman, whom Lincoln defeated in 1998. Boozman became the first Republican since Reconstruction in 1872 to win this seat. Lincoln's 21% margin of defeat was the largest for a sitting senator since the 1978 United States Senate election in Maine.Enten Harry 2014-12-05 Senate Forecast: Landrieu Headed Toward Historic Defeat In Louisiana Runoff https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/senate-forecast-landrieu-headed-toward-historic-defeat-in-louisiana-runoff/ https://web.archive.org/web/20190614024632/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/senate-forecast-landrieu-headed-toward-historic-defeat-in-louisiana-runoff/ dead June 14, 2019 2020-09-13 FiveThirtyEight en-US With Democratic Governor Mike Beebe concurrently winning re-election, this is the last time that Arkansas simultaneously voted for gubernatorial and U.S. Senate candidates of different political parties.
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary was held on May 18, 2010, with early voting from May 3 to 17. Lincoln was challenged by Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, who ran as a more liberal alternative. As no candidate received 50 percent of the vote, a runoff election was held on June 8, with early voting from June 1 to 7. Lincoln managed to narrowly defeat Halter in the runoff.http://www.votenaturally.org/election_dates.html Election Dates and Deadlines January 30, 2010 Secretary of State of Arkansas https://web.archive.org/web/20100305074843/http://www.votenaturally.org/election_dates.html March 5, 2010 usurped mdy-all
MoveOn.org supported Halter, criticizing Lincoln for her stance on issues such as health care and environmental regulations.Cillizza, Chris. "The Fix" Washington Post, March 3, 2010. Labor unions also backed Halter, and pledged to spend more than $3 million on his campaign.DeMillo, Andrew. "Halter raises more than $2M for Ark. Senate bid" https://web.archive.org/web/20121023195317/http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9EQ90100.htm October 23, 2012 Business Week, April 1, 2010.
Candidates
Nominee
Blanche Lincoln, incumbent U.S. senatorhttp://www.katv.com/news/stories/0309/603992.html Vice President in Little Rock to Support Senator Lincoln March 15, 2009 January 30, 2010 KATV dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090706025245/http://www.katv.com/news/stories/0309/603992.html July 6, 2009
Eliminated in runoff
Bill Halter, incumbent lieutenant governor of ArkansasCNN Political Ticker - All politics, all the time - CNN.com Blogs CNN http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/?fbid=7H7RZKUXNG6 https://archive.today/20120715084540/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/?fbid=7H7RZKUXNG6 dead July 15, 2012 May 27, 2010
Eliminated in primary
D.C. Morrison, businessman
Withdrew before primary
Drew Pritt, activist and 2006 candidate for lieutenant governor of ArkansasMany U.S. Senate candidates already running https://www.nwaonline.com/news/2009/oct/28/many-us-senate-candidates-already-running-20091028/
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BlancheLincoln BillHalter D.C.Morrison Other UndecidedResearch 2000Research 2000 May 10–12, 2010 600 ± 5% 46% 37% 6% — 11%Research 2000Research 2000 April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 43% 35% — 7% (Drew Pritt) 15%Talk BusinessTalk Business April 13, 2010 1,167 ± 3% 38% 31% 10% — 20%Research 2000Research 2000 March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 44% 31% — — 25%Research 2000Research 2000 November 30 – December 2, 2009 600 ± 4% 42% 26% — — 32%
Results
210px|thumb|Results by county:
Lincoln #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70%
Halter #87de87 40–50% #5fd35f 50–60% #37c837 60–70%
Democratic primary resultshttp://www.votenaturally.org/electionresults/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=211&contestid=3 https://web.archive.org/web/20100522015856/http://www.votenaturally.org/electionresults/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=211&contestid=3 usurped May 22, 2010 Arkansas Secretary of State Votenaturally.org June 18, 2010 August 23, 2014
Blanche Lincoln (incumbent)
Democratic Party (United States)
146,579
44.51%
Bill Halter
Democratic Party (United States)
140,081
42.53%
D.C. Morrison
Democratic Party (United States)
42,695
12.96%
329,355
100.00%
Runoff
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BlancheLincoln BillHalter UndecidedResearch 2000Research 2000 June 2–4, 2010 600 ± 4% 45% 49% 6%Research 2000Research 2000 May 24–26, 2010 600 ± 4% 44% 47% 9%
Results
thumb|210px|Runoff results by county:
Lincoln #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80%
Halter #5fd35f 50–60% #37c837 60–70% #2ca02c 70–80%
Democratic primary runoff resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AR Arkansas Democratic Runoff Results Politico June 8, 2010 June 8, 2010 August 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100823031212/http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AR dead 2010 General Primary (Runoff) Election https://www.ark.org/arelections/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=221&contestid=4 Arkansas Secretary of State
Blanche Lincoln (incumbent)
Democratic Party (United States)
134,756
52.00%
Bill Halter
Democratic Party (United States)
124,405
48.00%
259,161
100.00%
Republican primary
The Republican primary was held on May 18, 2010, with early voting from May 3–17.
Candidates
Nominee
John Boozman, optometrist and U.S. representative for Arkansas's 3rd congressional districthttps://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0110/Boozman_running_against_Lincoln.html Boozman running against Lincoln January 29, 2010 January 30, 2010 Politico Josh Kraushaar
Eliminated in primary
Randy Alexander, University of Arkansas housing director and vice chair of the Washington County Tea Party
Gilbert Baker, state senatorStewart Martina September 1, 2009 Former Arkansas GOP chair announces Senate bid CNN http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/09/01/former-arkansas-gop-chair-announces-senate-bid January 30, 2010 December 7, 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20091207035909/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/09/01/former-arkansas-gop-chair-announces-senate-bid/ dead
Curtis Coleman, businessmanhttps://www.politico.com/story/2009/06/tea-party-leader-to-run-for-senate-023775 Tea party leader to run for Senate June 15, 2009 January 30, 2010 Politico Andy Barr
Kim Hendren, minority leader of the Arkansas Senatehttp://www.kfsm.com/news/kfsm-top-story-kim-hendren-senate-bid,0,7411731.story Kim Hendren Announces Run for U.S. Senate April 20, 2009 January 30, 2010 KFSM-TV December 12, 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20091212185527/http://www.kfsm.com/news/kfsm-top-story-kim-hendren-senate-bid,0,7411731.story dead
Jim Holt, former state senator, nominee for this U.S. Senate seat in 2004, and nominee for lieutenant governor of Arkansas in 2006http://arkansasnews.com/2010/01/14/holt-announces-u-s-senate-campaign Holt announces U.S. Senate campaign January 14, 2010 January 30, 2010 Arkansas News John Lyon
Fred Ramey, real estate investment company ownerhttp://www.katv.com/news/stories/0609/634409.html Ramey Joins GOP Field for U.S. Senate June 23, 2009 January 30, 2010 KATV October 2010 H3llBot
Conrad Reynolds, retired U.S. Army colonelhttp://www.wxvt.com/Global/story.asp?S=11876804 'Joe the Plumber' appears with Reynolds January 25, 2010 January 30, 2010 WXVT July 2018 InternetArchiveBot yes
Straw poll
In December 2009, a straw poll was held for the current Republican candidates for U.S. Senate. The results were as follows:http://www.swtimes.com/articles/2009/12/08/news/news120709_09.txt Baker Upbeat After 'Straw Poll' Win December 8, 2009 January 30, 2010 Southwest Times Record Rob Moritz December 15, 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20171215221254/http://www.swtimes.com/articles/2009/12/08/news/news120709_09.txt dead
Gilbert Baker – 35%
Curtis Coleman – 33%
Conrad Reynolds – 23%
Tom Cox – 4%
Kim Hendren – 2%
Fred Ramey – 2%
Buddy Rogers – 1%
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RandyAlexander GilbertBaker JohnBoozman CurtisColeman KimHendren JimHolt FredRamey ConradReynolds Other UndecidedResearch 2000Research 2000 May 10–12, 2010 – ± 4% — 12% 46% — 6% 19% — — 4% 13%Talk BusinessTalk Business April 13, 2010 1,357 ± 3% 3% 14% 46%5%3%8%1%3%—17%
Results
thumb|210px|Results by county:
Boozman #ffe0ea 20–30% #ffc8cd 30–40% #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #c21b18 80–90%
Holt #ffcca9ff 30–40% #ffb580ff 40–50%
Boozman/Holt tie #d2b1d9 20–30%
Baker #aae5aaff 30–40% #5fd35fff 50–60%
Republican primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AR The 2010 Results Maps Politico June 7, 2010 August 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100823031212/http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AR dead
John Boozman
Republican Party (United States)
75,010
52.73%
Jim Holt
Republican Party (United States)
24,826
17.45%
Gilbert Baker
Republican Party (United States)
16,540
11.63%
Conrad Reynolds
Republican Party (United States)
7,128
5.01%
Curtis Coleman
Republican Party (United States)
6,928
4.87%
Kim Hendren
Republican Party (United States)
5,551
3.90%
Randy Alexander
Republican Party (United States)
4,389
3.09%
Fred Ramey
Republican Party (United States)
1,888
1.33%
142,260
100.00%
General election
Candidates
John Boozman, U.S. representative
Trevor Drown (L), military veteranhttp://www.couriernews.com/archived_story.php?ID=22133&Search=Trevor%20Drown The Courier, Russellville, Ark Couriernews.com July 27, 2009 June 7, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110708195923/http://www.couriernews.com/archived_story.php?ID=22133&Search=Trevor%20Drown July 8, 2011 dead mdy-all http://www.trevordrown.ning.com Trevor Drown (I) for Senate - Arkansas Trevordrown.ning.com January 31, 2010 June 7, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100418062820/http://trevordrown.ning.com/ April 18, 2010 mdy-all
John Gray (G), mayor of Greenlandhttp://www.johngrayforussenate.com John Gray for U.S. Senate John Gray for U.S. Senate June 7, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100507112823/http://www.johngrayforussenate.com/ May 7, 2010 dead mdy-all
Blanche Lincoln, incumbent senator
Campaign
Arkansas had previously only elected one Republican senator since the Reconstruction, Tim Hutchinson who was defeated after his first term in 2002 by Mark Pryor. Lincoln faced Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter and narrowly won the primary contest.
The political blog FiveThirtyEight ranked Lincoln the most vulnerable senator of this electoral cycle. RealClearPolitics claimed that in 2010 Lincoln had the potential for the lowest percentage of the vote for any incumbent since the nation first began directly electing senators. RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Arkansas Senate - Boozman vs. Lincoln http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/ar/arkansas_senate_boozman_vs_lincoln-1186.html https://web.archive.org/web/20190116061946/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/ar/arkansas_senate_boozman_vs_lincoln-1186.html 2019-01-16 Boozman received 58% of the vote in the general election and defeated Lincoln (37%), Independent Trevor Drown (3%) and Green John Gray (2%).
Lincoln heavily criticized Boozman for supporting the FairTax and privatization of Social Security, as well as for trying to tie her name, and beliefs to Bill Clinton.Demillo Andrew http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9HHA59G0.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20100821094626/http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9HHA59G0.htm dead August 21, 2010 Lincoln criticizes Boozman on Social Security BusinessWeek August 11, 2010 August 23, 2014 She released an advertisement touting her support for earmarks.Jesse Zwick http://washingtonindependent.com/96282/the-earmark-wars-continue-in-arkansas The Earmark Wars Continue in Arkansas The Washington Independent August 31, 2010 August 23, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140826122626/http://washingtonindependent.com/96282/the-earmark-wars-continue-in-arkansas August 26, 2014 usurped mdy-all
Debates
2010 United States Senate general election in Arkansas debateNo. NumberDateLinkDemocraticRepublicanblack #90ff90 P Participant black #ff9090 A Absent black #A2B2C2 N Non-invitee black #CCFFCC I Invitee
#f0e68c W WithdrawnBlanche LincolnJohn Boozman1October 13, 2010C-SPANC-SPANPP
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2010-11-01_12-08-06.php https://web.archive.org/web/20101121153907/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2010-11-01_12-08-06.php dead November 21, 2010 Senate Cook Political Report October 9, 2010 Lean R Flip October 9, 2010 Inside Electionshttp://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/november-1-2010-senate-ratings Senate Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 9, 2010 Likely R Flip October 8, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball2010 Senate Ratings http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate October 9, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 28, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ dead Safe R Flip October 28, 2010 RealClearPoliticsBattle for the Senate http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html October 9, 2010 RealClearPolitics Safe R Flip October 9, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics October 9, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate October 28, 2010 Lean R Flip October 9, 2010
Fundraising
Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Blanche Lincoln (D) $9,508,007 $8,431,989 $1,886,132 $0 John Boozman (R) $1,452,241 $968,318 $483,923 $11,905 Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSProcessCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=AR&election_yr=2010 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Arkansas fec.gov July 25, 2010 May 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BlancheLincoln (D) JohnBoozman (R) Other UndecidedRasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsOctober 28, 2010500± 4.5%36% 55%5%4%CNN/Time/Opinion ResearchCNN/Time/Opinion ResearchOctober 15–19, 20101,505± 2.5%41% 55%——Mason-DixonMason-DixonOctober 15–19, 2010625± 4%34% 55%6%5%Talk BusinessTalk Business https://web.archive.org/web/20110724091726/http://www.talkbusiness.net/assets/files/SenGovFinalPoll.pdf July 24, 2011 October 14, 20101,953± 2.2%36% 49%8%7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsSeptember 30, 2010500± 4.5%37% 55%3%5%Reuters/IpsosReuters/IpsosSeptember 17–19, 2010600± 4%39% 53%1%7%Mason-DixonMason-DixonSeptember 12–14, 2010625± 4%34% 51%4%11%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsAugust 18, 2010500± 4.5%27% 65%4%3%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsJuly 20, 2010500± 4.5%35% 60%2%3%Reuters/IpsosReuters/IpsosJuly 16–18, 2010600± 4%35% 54%1%10%Talk BusinessTalk BusinessJuly 17, 2010793± 3.7%32% 57%5%6%Magellan StrategiesMagellan StrategiesJuly 12, 2010879± 3.3%29% 60%4%6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsJune 15, 2010500± 4.5%32% 61%4%3%Research 2000Research 2000May 24–26, 2010600± 4%38% 58%—4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 2016 InternetArchiveBot yes May 19, 2010500± 4.5%28% 66%2%4%Research 2000Research 2000May 10–12, 2010—± 4%40% 54%——Research 2000Research 2000April 26–28, 2010600± 5%42% 52%——Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsApril 26, 2010500± 4.5%30% 57%9%5%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMarch 30, 2010500± 4.5%36% 51%6%7%Research 2000Research 2000March 22–24, 2010600± 4%42% 49%—9%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMarch 1, 2010500± 4.5%39% 48%6%7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsFebruary 1, 2010500± 4.5%35% 54%4%7%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy PollingJanuary 29–31, 2010810± 3.4%33% 56%—11%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BlancheLincoln (D) GilbertBaker (R) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling (report) March 20–22, 2009 600 ± 4% 48% 37% — 16% Public Policy Polling (report) August 21–24, 2009 784 ± 3.5% 40% 42% — 18% Research 2000 (report) September 8–10, 2009 600 ± 4% 44% 37% — 19% Rasmussen Reports (report) September 28, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 39% 47% 5% 8% Zogby (report) November 16–17, 2009 501 ± 4.5% 41% 39% 2% 18% Rasmussen Reports (report) December 1, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 41% 47% 6% 7% Research 2000 (report) November 30 – December 2, 2009 — ± 4% 42% 41% — — Rasmussen Reports (report) January 5, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 51% 3% 7% Public Policy Polling (report) January 29–31, 2010 810 ± 3.4% 35% 50% — 15% Rasmussen Reports (report) February 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 33% 52% 6% 8% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 40% 45% 6% 8% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 41% 49% — 10% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 51% 6% 7% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 31% 53% 12% 4% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 40% 47%—— Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4% 39% 45%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BlancheLincoln (D) KimHendren (R) Other Undecided Research 2000 (report) September 8–10, 2009 600 ± 4% 47% 28% — 25% Rasmussen Reports (report) September 28, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 41% 44% 5% 10% Zogby (report) November 16–17, 2009 501 ± 4.5% 45% 29% 2% 24% Rasmussen Reports (report) December 1, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 39% 46% 6% 9% Research 2000 (report) November 30 – December 2, 2009 — ± 4% 46% 30% — — Rasmussen Reports (report) January 5, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 47% 4% 10% Rasmussen Reports (report) February 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 51% 7% 7% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 43% 7% 12% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 43% 48% — 9% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 51% 5% 8% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 30% 51% 11% 8% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 40% 50%—— Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4% 40% 46%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BlancheLincoln (D) CurtisColeman (R) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling (report) August 21–24, 2009 784 ± 3.5% 40% 41% — 19% Research 2000 (report) September 8–10, 2009 600 ± 4% 45% 37% — 18% Rasmussen Reports (report) September 28, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 41% 43% 5% 11% Rasmussen Reports (report) December 1, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 40% 44% 7% 9% Research 2000 (report) November 30 – December 2, 2009 — ± 4% 44% 39% — — Rasmussen Reports (report) January 5, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 48% 4% 9% Rasmussen Reports (report) February 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 34% 50% 7% 9% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 41% 43% 7% 10% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 44% 47% — 9% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 48% 7% 8% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 32% 52% 8% 7% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 42% 46%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BlancheLincoln (D) JimHolt (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 45% 6% 10% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 51% 7% 7% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 31% 54% 6% 9% Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4% 41% 44%——
with Bill Halter
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BillHalter (D) JohnBoozman (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 33% 52% 6% 9% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 40% 48% — 12% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 34% 48% 8% 11% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 31% 56% 7% 7% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 42% 47%—— Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4% 41% 50%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BillHalter (D) GilbertBaker (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 44% 5% 13% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 44% 46% — 10% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 36% 44% 7% 12% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 33% 48% 10% 9% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 43% 44%—— Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4%42% 42%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BillHalter (D) KimHendren (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 42% 7% 15% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 44% 45% — 11% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 34% 42% 10% 13% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 33% 45% 15% 9% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 43% 45%—— Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4%42%42%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BillHalter (D) CurtisColeman (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 38% 9% 18% Research 2000 (report) March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4% 45% 44% — 11% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 40% 10% 13% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 43% 11% 9% Research 2000 (report) April 26–28, 2010 600 ± 5% 43% 41%——
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BillHalter (D) JimHolt (R) Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) March 1, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 42% 8% 12% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 34% 43% 9% 13% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 31% 49% 12% 8% Research 2000 (report) May 10–12, 2010— ± 4% 42% 43%——
Results
United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2010http://www.votenaturally.org/electionresults/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=231&contestid=18 https://web.archive.org/web/20101023223845/http://www.votenaturally.org/electionresults/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=231&contestid=18 usurped October 23, 2010 Arkansas Secretary of State Votenaturally.org November 29, 2010 August 23, 2014
Republican Party (United States)
John Boozman
451,618
57.90%
+13.83%
Democratic Party (United States)
Blanche Lincoln (incumbent)
288,156
36.95%
-18.95%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Trevor Drown
25,234
3.24%
+3.24%
Green Party (United States)
John Gray
14,430
1.85%
+1.85%
519
0.07%
+0.04%
779,957
100.00%
N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Bradley (largest city: Warren)
Calhoun (largest city: Hampton)
Cleveland (largest city: Rison)
Columbia (largest city: Magnolia)
Conway (largest city: Morrilton)
Faulkner (largest city: Conway)
Franklin (largest city: Ozark)
Fulton (largest city: Salem)
Garland (largest city: Hot Springs)
Grant (largest city: Sheridan)
Howard (largest city: Nashville)
Independence (largest city: Batesville)
Johnson (largest city: Clarksville)
Logan (largest city: Booneville)
Miller (largest city: Texarkana)
Perry (largest city: Perryville)
Prairie (largest city: Des Arc)
Sevier (largest city: De Queen)
Sharp (largest city: Cherokee Village)
Union (largest city: El Dorado)
Van Buren (largest city: Clinton)
Washington (largest city: Fayetteville)
Yell (largest city: Dardanelle)
Ashley (largest city: Crossett)
Craighead (largest city: Jonesboro)
Cross (largest city: Wynne)
Dallas (largest city: Fordyce)
Drew (largest city: Monticello)
Greene (largest city: Paragould)
Hot Spring (largest city: Malvern)
Izard (largest city: Horseshoe Bend)
Lafayette (largest city: Stamps)
Nevada (largest city: Prescott)
Ouachita (largest city: Camden)
Bradley (largest city: Warren)
Clay (largest city: Piggott)
Hempstead (largest city: Hope)
Little River (largest city: Ashdown)
Poinsett (largest city: Harrisburg)
See also
2010 Arkansas elections
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election
References
External links
Arkansas Secretary of State - Elections
U.S. Congress candidates for Arkansas https://web.archive.org/web/20100930121045/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=AR September 30, 2010 at Project Vote Smart
Arkansas U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
https://archive.today/20130131122212/http://www.pollster.com/polls/ar/10-ar-sen-ge.php 2010 Arkansas Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups el graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Arkansas Senate from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Arkansas Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
2010 Arkansas Senate Race from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times
Debates
Arkansas Senate Democratic Primary Debate, C-SPAN, April 23, 2010
Arkansas Senate debate excerpts https://web.archive.org/web/20130523022650/http://senate.ontheissues.org/2010_AR_Senate.htm May 23, 2013 , OnTheIssues.org
Official campaign sites
Randy Alexander for U.S. Senate
Gilbert Baker for U.S. Senate
John Boozman for U.S. Senate
Curtis Coleman for U.S. Senate
Tom Cox for U.S. Senate
Trevor Drown for U.S. Senate
Bill Halter for U.S. Senate
Kim Hendren for U.S. SenateJuly 2016 InternetArchiveBot yes
Jim Holt for U.S. Senate https://web.archive.org/web/20100310152022/http://jimholt2010.com/ March 10, 2010
Blanche Lincoln for U.S. Senate incumbent
Fred Ramey for U.S. Senate
Colonel Conrad Reynolds for U.S. Senate
Buddy Roger for U.S. Senate
Category:2010 Arkansas elections
Arkansas
2010