2012 Northern Territory general election

none October 2015 November 2020 the local government elections held in March 2012 Northern Territory local elections 2012 Northern Territory general election Northern Territory parliamentary no 2008 Northern Territory general election 2008 2016 Northern Territory general election 2016 All 25 seats of the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly13 seats were needed for a majority 25 August 2012 76.9 ( 1.3 pp) Terry Mills in 2005 (cropped).jpg 135 130 170 0 2 center Terry Mills 29 January 2008 Country Liberal Party Blain 46,653 50.6% 5.2 11 seats 11 16 5 Paul Henderson in 2001.jpg 130 130 170 10 0 center Paul Henderson 26 November 2007 Australian Labor Party (Northern Territory Branch) Wanguri 33,594 36.5% 6.7 13 seats 12 8 4 TPP 55.8%http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2012/09/northern-territory-election-updates.html Antony Greens's Election Blog: Final Figures for 2012 Northern Territory Election ABC News 2 September 2012 3 September 2012 44.2% TPP swing 5.1 5.1 2012 Northern Territory Election.svg 300px Chief Minister Elected Chief Minister Paul Henderson Australian Labor Party (Northern Territory Branch) Terry Mills Country Liberal Party A general election was held in the Northern Territory on Saturday 25 August 2012, which elected all 25 members of the Legislative Assembly in the unicameral Northern Territory Parliament. The 11-year Labor Party government led by Chief Minister Paul Henderson was decisively defeated in their attempt to win a fourth term against the opposition Country Liberal Party led by opposition leader Terry Mills with a swing of five seats, losing the normally safe Labor remote seats of Arafura, Arnhem, Daly, Namatjira and Stuart, whilst retaining their urban seats picked up at the 2001 election.http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nt/2012/guide/sop.htm State of the Parties - Northern Territory Votes 2012 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-08-25/nt-votes-live-blog/4222578 As it happened: NT votes 2012 25 August 2012 The election was the beginning of an ongoing political realignment in the Northern Territory. Traditionally, remote Indigenous communities had strongly voted Labor. However, at this election, there was a large swing against Labor in Indigenous communities, resulting in the CLP gaining five remote seats usually considered safe Labor seats. Results Results of the Northern Territory general election, 2012 ↓ 16 1 8 CLP Ind ALP File:2012 NT Legislative Assembly.svg #FF7F00 Country Liberal Results of the Northern Territory general election, Legislative AssemblyLegislative Assembly General Election - 25th August 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20160601092156/http://www.ntec.nt.gov.au/ElectionsAndReferendums/LegislativeAssemblyElections/PastLegislativeAssemblyElections/Pages/Legislative-Assembly-General-Election---25th-August-2012.aspx 1 June 2016 , Northern Territory Electoral Commission. 46653 #f00011 Labor 33594 16 8 +5 –5 5.23 6.72 #10c25b #964b00 #ffbf00 #dcdcdc #888888 Greens ±0 0 1.00 3039 First Nations ±0 New 2048 0 Sex Party ±0 0 New 717 Independents ±0 1 5566 1.08 No Affiliation 0 New 526 ±0 3072 123805 +1.3 –0.9 y Two-party-preferred vote Labor 40709 Country Liberal 51435 Independents: Gerry Wood Two safe Labor seats were uncontested at the previous election and therefore did not contribute to votes and results, all seats were contested at this election with the two previously uncontested Labor seats both won by the CLP. Popular vote #ddd 600px 410px Country Liberal Country Liberal Party 50.6 Labor Australian Labor Party 36.5 Greens Australian Greens 3.3 First Nations #964B00 2.2 Sex Party Australian Sex Party 0.8 Independents Independent (politician) 6.0 Other #777777 0.6 Two-party-preferred vote #ddd 600px 410px Country Liberal Country Liberal Party 55.8 Labor Australian Labor Party 44.2 Seats #ddd 600px 410px Country Liberal Country Liberal Party 64.0 Labor Australian Labor Party 32.0 Independents Independent (politician) 4.00 Seats changing hands Members in italics did not re-contest their Legislative Assembly seats at this election. Seat Pre-2012 Swing Post-2012 Party Member Margin Margin Member Party Arafura Labor Marion Scrymgour 14.0 15.0 1.0 Francis Xavier Kurrupuwu Country Liberal Arnhem Labor Malarndirri McCarthy Unopp N/A 5.3 Larisa Lee Country Liberal Daly Labor Rob Knight 5.8 10.5 4.7 Gary Higgins Country Liberal Namatjira Labor Alison Anderson Unopp N/A 18.6 Alison Anderson Country Liberal Stuart Labor Karl Hampton 15.1 18.6 3.5 Bess Price Country Liberal Background Historically, remote areas had voted Labor while the urban areas had voted CLP. The CLP had governed since the initial 1974 election until Labor led by Clare Martin surprisingly came to power with a one-seat majority government at the 2001 election, mainly by sweeping Darwin's more diverse northern suburbs. Labor won in a landslide at the 2005 election, winning the second-largest majority in the Territory's history and reducing the CLP to only four seats. Although Labor led by Henderson retained a one-seat majority government at the 2008 election on 13 Labor, 11 CLP, 1 independent with only 49.3 percent of the two-party preferred vote, Labor had won two seats uncontested by the CLP—all seats were contested again at the 2012 election. Labor, the CLP, the Northern Territory Greens, the First Nations Political Party and the Australian Sex Party were running endorsed candidates. A minority government was led by Henderson from mid-2009 when Alison Anderson resigned from the Labor Party to sit as an independent member of parliament. Anderson along with the existing independent Gerry Wood signed a letter to the speaker of parliament to push sittings forward, prompting CLP leader Mills to table a motion of no confidence on Monday 10 August 2009.http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2009/08/07/73421_ntnews.html D-Day brought forward Northern Territory News 7 August 2009 3 February 2011http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/08/07/2649483.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20090809072505/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/08/07/2649483.htm dead 9 August 2009 NT Labor may be ousted next week ABC News 7 August 2009 3 February 2011http://www.theage.com.au/national/labors-fate-uncertain-20090810-efl9.html Labor's fate uncertain The Age 11 August 2009 3 February 2011 Wood ended up voting with the government, defeating the motion of no confidence.http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25927928-5006790,00.html Labor survives D-day in NT showdown The Australian 14 August 2009 3 February 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20090817233934/http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25927928-5006790,00.html 17 August 2009 dead Anderson joined the CLP in September 2011, resulting in 12 Labor, 12 CLP, 1 independent.http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2011/09/09/259011_ntnews.html Anderson 'mates' with an old enemy Northern Territory News 9 September 2011 27 January 2012 Wood and Anderson retained their seats at the 2012 election. In October 2010, former CLP leader Jodeen Carney resigned in her seat, an Araluen by-election was held, the CLP retained the seat but suffered a 6.6-point two-party preferred swing. Method Like the Australian House of Representatives, members were elected through full-preference instant-runoff voting in single-member electorates. The election was conducted by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission, an independent body answerable to Parliament. In a change to polling in remote electorates, where most voting was previously conducted by mobile polling teams, for the first time there was full election day voting in major regional indigenous centres. As such, swings may be distorted. The conducting of a formal polling place could also alter the way voting takes places and increase the local turnout. Mobile polling teams were still used but they took many fewer votes than in the past. In addition, for the first time in the territory, there was an electronic feed of results, the last administration in Australia to go electronic.http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2012/08/2012-nt-election-how-to-follow-the-abc-coverage-on-saturday-night-.html Antony Green 11 October 2011 Date The Henderson Labor government introduced fixed four-year terms following the previous election.http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2009/08/fixed-term-parliaments-face-test-in-northern-territory.html Fixed Term Parliaments face test in Northern Territory ABC News Antony Green Antony Green 4 August 2009 3 February 2011 The Legislative Assembly was dissolved on 6 August 2012. The electoral roll was closed on 8 August and nominations on 10 August, prior to polling day on 25 August.Antony Green 2012 Northern Territory Election Website now live Australian Broadcasting Corporation 13 June 2012 http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2012/06/2012-northern-territory-election-website-now-live.html 13 June 2012 The election was held on the same day as the Heffron state by-election in New South Wales. Retiring MPs Labor Jane Aagaard (Nightcliff) Chris Burns (Johnston) Marion Scrymgour (Arafura) Candidates Sitting members are listed in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour. Electorate Held by Labor CLP Greens Other Arafura Labor Dean Rioli Francis Xavier Kurrupuwu George Pascoe Jeannie Gadambua (FNPP)Araluen CLP Adam Findlay Robyn Lambley Edan Baxter (FNPP)Arnhem Labor Malarndirri McCarthy Larisa Lee Barkly Labor Gerry McCarthy Rebecca Healy Valda Shannon (FNPP)Stewart Willey (Ind)Blain CLP Geoff Bahnert Terry Mills Daniel Fejo (FNPP)Braitling CLP Deborah Rock Adam Giles Barbara Shaw Colin Furphy (Ind)Brennan CLP Russell Jeffrey Peter Chandler Casuarina Labor Kon Vatskalis Jane Johnson Daly Labor Rob Knight Gary Higgins David Pollock Trevor Jenkins (-)Bill Risk (FNPP)Drysdale CLP James Burke Lia Finocchiaro Ross Bohlin (Ind)Fannie Bay Labor Michael Gunner Tony Clementson Ken Bird Fong Lim CLP Ashley Marsh Dave Tollner Matt Haubrick Peter Burnheim (ASP)Goyder CLP Damien Smith Kezia Purick John Kearney (-)Greatorex CLP Rowan Foley Matt Conlan Evelyne Roullet Phil Walcott (Ind)Johnston Labor Ken Vowles Jo Sangster Alana Parrott-Jolly Peter Bussa (-)Krystal Metcalf (ASP)Karama Labor Delia Lawrie Rohan Kelly Frances Elcoate Katherine CLP Cerise King Willem Westra van Holthe Teresa Cummings (Ind)Namatjira Labor Des Rogers Alison Anderson Warren H Williams (FNPP)Nelson Independent Sharon McAlear Judy Cole Gerry Wood (Ind)Nhulunbuy Labor Lynne Walker Allen Fanning Kendall Trudgen (Ind)Nightcliff Labor Natasha Fyles Kim Loveday Owen Gale Andrew Arthur (Ind)Stuart Blanch (Ind)Peter Rudge (Ind)Felicity Wardle (ASP)Port Darwin CLP Alan James John Elferink David Andrews Rowena Leunig (ASP)Sanderson CLP Jodie Green Peter Styles Jillian Briggs (ASP)Dimitrious Magriplis (FNPP)Stuart Labor Karl Hampton Bess Price Maurie Japarta Ryan (FNPP)Wanguri Labor Paul Henderson Rhianna Harker Unregistered parties and groups Two previous One Nation candidates ran, One Nation Northern Territory Branch President John Kearney in Goyder and Peter Bussa from NSW in Johnston. Electoral pendulum The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in the Legislative Assembly according to the percentage point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted. Results are notional calculations of the redistribution.Pendulum - Northern Territory Votes 2012, Australian Broadcasting Corporation Pre-election pendulum Members listed in italics did not re-contest their seat at the election. Labor seatsMarginalFannie BayMichael GunnerALP0.9DalyRobert KnightALP5.8Fairly safeJohnstonChris BurnsALP6.9SafeNightcliffJane AagaardALP10.7KaramaDelia LawrieALP10.8ArafuraMarion ScrymgourALP14.0CasuarinaKon VatskalisALP14.3WanguriPaul HendersonALP14.7StuartKarl HamptonALP15.0BarklyGerry McCarthyALP15.6Very safeNhulunbuyLynne WalkerALP24.2ArnhemMalarndirri McCarthyALPUnoppNamatjiraAlison AndersonALPUnoppIndependent seatsNelsonGerry WoodIND28.7 v CLP Country Liberal seatsMarginalBrennanPeter ChandlerCLP2.7Port DarwinJohn ElferinkCLP2.9Fong LimDave TollnerCLP4.3SandersonPeter StylesCLP5.2Fairly safeGoyderKezia PurickCLP8.4KatherineWillem W-v-HoltheCLP8.4DrysdaleRoss BohlinCLP9.3SafeBlainTerry MillsCLP10.6GreatorexMatt ConlanCLP16.5Very safeBraitlingAdam GilesCLP20.3 v GRNAraluenRobyn LambleyCLP24.7 Post-election pendulum Country Liberal seatsMarginalArafuraFrancis Maralampuwi XavierCLP1.0SandersonPeter StylesCLP3.1StuartBess PriceCLP3.5DalyGary HigginsCLP4.7ArnhemLarisa LeeCLP5.3Fairly safeFong LimDave TollnerCLP7.3Port DarwinJohn ElferinkCLP9.6SafeBlainTerry MillsCLP13.2BrennanPeter ChandlerCLP14.2GreatorexMatt ConlanCLP14.8DrysdaleLia FinocchiaroCLP15.3GoyderKezia PurickCLP16.7NamatjiraAlison AndersonCLP18.6Very safeAraluenRobyn LambleyCLP22.2KatherineWillem Westra Van HoltheCLP22.3BraitlingAdam GilesCLP23.6 Labor seatsMarginalJohnstonKen VowlesALP5.7Fairly safeKaramaDelia LawrieALP6.4Fannie BayMichael GunnerALP6.8WanguriPaul HendersonALP7.0BarklyGerry McCarthyALP7.6NightcliffNatasha FylesALP9.2CasuarinaKon VatskalisALP9.3SafeNhulunbuyLynne WalkerALP19.0Independent seatsNelsonGerry WoodIND9.2 v CLP Newspaper endorsements Newspaper Endorsement The Australian Country Liberal Partyhttps://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/editorials/embrace-the-chance-for-a-fresh-start-in-the-territory/news-story/a061ba3d89b13b796ceb5e0ea2f786c0 Embrace the chance for a fresh start in the Territory News Limited The Australian 25 August 2012 2012-08-24 https://web.archive.org/web/20120824231636/http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/embrace-the-chance-for-a-fresh-start-in-the-territory/story-e6frg71x-1226457702385 subscription live 25 August 2012 NT News Australian Labor PartyAugust 2012 References External links Northern Territory Electoral Commission Category:Elections in the Northern Territory Category:2012 elections in Australia Category:2010s in the Northern Territory Category:August 2012 in Australia