2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary

none June 2025 September 2023 2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary Missouri presidential no 2012 2012 United States presidential election in Missouri#Primary elections 2020 Missouri Republican presidential primary 2020 2016 03 15 x160px Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Donald Trump New York 283681 37 383,631 40.84% Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz Texas DAA520 381,666 40.63% 15 John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg John Kasich Ohio 00B487 94,857 10.10% 0 Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Marco Rubio Florida C60E3B 57,244 6.09% 0 275px County results 275px Congressional district results #283681 Donald Trump #9ea8e1 30–40%#7786d5 40–50%#5063c9 50–60%#3649af 60–70% #D4AA00 Ted Cruz #ffe680 30–40% #ffdc4d 40–50%#ffd21a 50–60% The 2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Missouri, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 United States presidential election. The Missouri primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, North Carolina and Ohio, along with the Democratic contest in Missouri. The hotly contested primary was won by businessman Donald Trump by a margin of 0.21% over Texas Senator Ted Cruz. Background In the 2012 primaries, the state of Missouri held two separate contests, a "beauty contest" primary on February 7 and caucuses beginning on March 15. Missouri Governor Jay Nixon signed SB892 in 2014 to move the state's presidential primary contest to March.SB 892 Changes the presidential primary election date from February to March http://www.senate.mo.gov/14info/BTS_Web/Bill.aspx?SessionType=R&BillID=30702539 1 August 2016 In addition, the caucus was removed so the primary counted for delegates. According to Missouri Republican Party chair John Hancock, the move was to encourage candidates to campaign in all parts of the state and to avoid the chaotic convention fights in the 2012 campaign.Missouri Republicans announce delegate allocation process for 2016 http://www.kansascity.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article35194227.html The Kansas City Star 1 August 2016 The state of the campaign Previous contests Despite an early victory by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump was seen as making steady progress towards the Republican nomination at the time. Trump was victorious in 7 of the contests on March 1, with Cruz seen as the only viable threat to Trump after victories in his home state of Texas and three other March 1 contests. Marco Rubio performed worse than anticipated on March 1, taking only Minnesota. On March 8, two primaries and a caucus were held in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Despite a poll from American Research Group that showed Kasich leading Trump in Michigan, Trump won all three contests.http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/mirep.html Michigan Republican Presidential Primary American Research Group 2016-06-23https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-wins-mississippi-michigan-primaries/2016/03/08/ecb576d6-e539-11e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html Trump wins in Hawaii, Mississippi and Michigan Washington Post 2016-06-23 Run-up to the election Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries#Missouri Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rdOtherPrimary resultsPrimary resultsMarch 15, 2016 Donald Trump40.84% Ted Cruz40.63% John Kasich10.10% Marco Rubio 6.09%, Ben Carson 0.88%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Mike Huckabee 0.23%, Rand Paul 0.19%, Chris Christie 0.18%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Carly Fiorina 0.07%Fort Hayes State Universityhttp://www.stltoday.com/news/missouri-poll-results/pdf_403071e8-60bd-5830-ad9e-0364a168dc67.html Missouri Poll Results Fort Hayes State University 12 March 2016 Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 208 March 3–10, 2016Donald Trump36%Ted Cruz29% Marco Rubio9% John Kasich 8%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%Remington Research GroupRemington Research Group https://web.archive.org/web/20160122101359/http://moscout.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/MOScout-Weekly-Poll-December-20.pdf January 22, 2016 Margin of error: ± 2.6% Sample size: 1,528 December 18–19, 2015Donald Trump33% Ted Cruz23% Marco Rubio12% Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 14%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: 4.7% Sample size: 440 August 7–8, 2015Donald Trump23% Ben Carson11% Jeb Bush11% Mike Huckabee 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Scott Walker 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone else/Undecided 2% While there was limited polling in Missouri prior to the primary contest, Ted Cruz and Donald Trump were projected to be the main contenders, with Trump considered to be the favorite. Missouri was considered an important state due to its "winner-take-most" nature, which could allow Trump to accrue a large net gain of delegates with a small change in the popular vote.Wasserman David Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-sleep-on-illinois-and-missouri-they-could-help-make-trump-unstoppable/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160312091212/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-sleep-on-illinois-and-missouri-they-could-help-make-trump-unstoppable/ dead March 12, 2016 FiveThirtyEight 2 August 2016 Results Following the March 15 contests, Marco Rubio suspended his campaign, largely due to a poor performance in Florida.https://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/rubio-suspends-presidential-campaign-220827 Rubio suspends presidential campaign POLITICO 2016-06-23 Possible recount Missouri elections law allows the second-place candidate to request a recount if they are defeated in the election by less than one half of a percent.Section 115.601.1 http://www.moga.mo.gov/mostatutes/stathtml/11500006011.html Missouri Revised Statutes Missouri Legislature 3 August 2016 6 August 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160806224832/http://www.moga.mo.gov/mostatutes/stathtml/11500006011.html dead Speculation arose that Cruz would ask for a recount, as he lost the primary by less than 2,000 votes, or 0.21 percent.Recount Could Be Possible for Missouri Republican Primary After Results Are Certified http://www.koamtv.com/story/31550244/recount-could-be-possible-for-missouri-republican-primary-after-results-are-certified KOAMTV However, Cruz decided not to request a recount of the election, thus conceding the primary to Trump.Lieb David Cruz Won't Seek Recount of Missouri Primary Loss to Trump https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-04-19/cruz-won-t-seek-recount-of-missouri-primary-loss-to-trump 3 August 2016 Bloomberg 19 April 2016 The recount was considered important because 12 of the 52 delegates to the Republican National Convention were awarded winner-take-all to the winner of the state. See also 2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary References Missouri Republican presidential primary Category:Missouri Republican primaries