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2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
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June 2025
September 2023
2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma Oklahoma 1988 presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Oklahoma 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 7 959,792 65.57% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 503,966 34.43% 350px County results 350px Congressional district results 350px Precinct results 1 350px
Bush
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90%
#800000 90–100%
Kerry
#86B6F2 50–60%
#4389E3 60–70%
#1666CB 70–80%
#0645B4 80–90%
#002B84 90–100%
Other
#D4C4DC Tie
#808080 No vote President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 68.3% (of registered voters) 55.6% (of voting age population)
The 2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Oklahoma was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 31.14% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered a safe red state. Bush won this state, every single county, and congressional district. Giving Bush 65.57% of the vote, it was the most Republican state in the south and Bush's fifth best performance in the country after Utah, Wyoming, Idaho and Nebraska.https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2004&f=0&off=0&elect=0 2004 Presidential Election Statistics Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections 2018-03-05
Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since 1952 and a Republican stronghold since 1980. This was the first of six consecutive elections to date in which every county in the state was won by the Republican candidate.
Primaries
2004 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary
2004 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Article title November 28, 2009 November 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW dead
+SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid RCook Political ReportSolid RResearch 2000Solid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington PostLikely RWashington DispatchLikely RWashington TimesSolid RThe New York TimesSolid RCNNLikely RNewsweekSolid RAssociated PressSolid RRasmussen ReportsLikely R
Polling
Bush won every single pre-election poll, each with a double-digit margin and with at least 53% of the vote, except for the first poll. Many polls had Bush winning with a 30% margin or even higher. The final three polls' average had Bush leading 63% to 32%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=40 2004 Presidential Election Polls uselectionatlas.org
Fundraising
Bush raised $1,194,549.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Kerry raised $357,038.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President
Advertising and visits
Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.11.html America votes 2004: Candidate tracker CNN 2022-05-27http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ America votes 2004: Campaign ad buys CNN 2022-05-27 2021-04-22 https://web.archive.org/web/20210422073439/http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ live
Analysis
By 2000, Oklahoma had long been one of the more Republican-leaning states in the South, having been one of only two Southern states to have voted for Gerald Ford over Jimmy Carter in 1976, and having been one of a handful of Southern states never to vote for Bill Clinton. In 2000, George W. Bush, then the governor of the neighboring state of Texas, carried Oklahoma with a little over 60% of the vote, making it his sixth-best state nationally and his best state in the South that year. However, Al Gore did manage to carry a cluster of traditionally Democratic rural counties in the eastern part of the state.
In 2004, Bush improved his percentage in Oklahoma by a little over 5% and carried every county in the state, the first of six consecutive elections (as of 2024) in which the Republican has swept the state's counties. He performed strongly in both the state's rural areas, and in its two main population centers, getting 64% of the vote in both Oklahoma and Tulsa Counties. Only in six counties was Kerry so much as able to hold Bush to a single-digit margin: Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal, McIntosh, Muskogee, and Okmulgee. None of these cast over 30,000 votes. However, in McIntosh County, John Kerry held Bush to a margin of just 2%, which would be the closest any Democrat since Gore came to carrying any Oklahoma county until Joe Biden came within 1.5% of carrying Oklahoma County in 2020.
The third-party vote, which had amounted to 1.26% of the total state vote in 2000, disappeared in 2004, as no independent obtained ballot access in the state in 2004. Oklahoma has the toughest laws regarding third-party ballot access,2012-10-09 Third-party Oklahoma voters seek easier ballot access https://oklahoman.com/article/3717072/third-party-oklahoma-voters-seek-easier-ballot-access/ 2021-11-09 Oklahoman.com en-US and 2004 was the first of three elections in a row in which only the Democrat and the Republican appeared on the ballot (with write-in votes not allowed).
Results
2004 United States presidential election in Oklahomahttp://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential ElectionsPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) Dick Cheney (incumbent) 959,792 65.57% 7 Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 503,966 34.43% 0 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 55.6%
By county
CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticMarginTotal#%#%#%Adair4,97165.99%2,56234.01%2,40931.98%7,533Alfalfa2,20182.40%47017.60%1,73164.80%2,671Atoka3,14261.75%1,94638.25%1,19623.50%5,088Beaver2,27288.44%29711.56%1,97576.88%2,569Beckham5,45473.85%1,93126.15%3,52347.70%7,385Blaine3,19972.36%1,22227.64%1,97744.72%4,421Bryan8,61559.99%5,74540.01%2,87019.98%14,360Caddo6,49162.37%3,91637.63%2,57524.74%10,407Canadian33,29777.42%9,71222.58%23,58554.84%43,009Carter12,17865.32%6,46634.68%5,71230.64%18,644Cherokee9,56952.60%8,62347.40%9465.20%18,192Choctaw3,16854.55%2,63945.45%5299.10%5,807Cimarron1,24287.10%18412.90%1,05874.20%1,426Cleveland65,72065.90%34,00734.10%31,71331.80%99,727Coal1,39653.71%1,20346.29%1937.42%2,599Comanche21,17063.78%12,02236.22%9,14827.56%33,192Cotton1,74265.98%89834.02%84431.96%2,640Craig3,89460.86%2,50439.14%1,39021.72%6,398Creek18,84865.50%9,92934.50%8,91931.00%28,777Custer7,83973.67%2,80126.33%5,03847.34%10,640Delaware10,01764.18%5,59135.82%4,42628.36%15,608Dewey1,84381.87%40818.13%1,43563.74%2,251Ellis1,68581.01%39518.99%1,29062.02%2,080Garfield17,68576.00%5,58624.00%12,09952.00%23,271Garvin7,61067.24%3,70732.76%3,90334.48%11,317Grady14,13670.31%5,97029.69%8,16640.62%20,106Grant1,95077.35%57122.65%1,37954.70%2,521Greer1,52968.02%71931.98%81036.04%2,248Harmon83870.30%35429.70%48440.60%1,192Harper1,39783.90%26816.10%1,12967.80%1,665Haskell2,94655.33%2,37844.67%56810.66%5,324Hughes3,06657.32%2,28342.68%78314.64%5,349Jackson7,02475.89%2,23224.11%4,79251.78%9,256Jefferson1,54659.39%1,05740.61%48918.78%2,603Johnston2,63560.60%1,71339.40%92221.20%4,348Kay14,12170.33%5,95729.67%8,16440.66%20,078Kingfisher5,63084.64%1,02215.36%4,60869.28%6,652Kiowa2,61064.88%1,41335.12%1,19729.76%4,023Latimer2,53556.58%1,94543.42%59013.16%4,480LeFlore10,68361.31%6,74138.69%3,94222.62%17,424Lincoln10,14971.52%4,04128.48%6,10843.04%14,190Logan11,47470.21%4,86929.79%6,60540.42%16,343Love2,29559.87%1,53840.13%75719.74%3,833Major3,12285.32%53714.68%2,58570.64%3,659Marshall3,36361.70%2,08838.30%1,27523.40%5,451Mayes9,94658.93%6,93341.07%3,01317.86%16,879McClain10,04172.85%3,74227.15%6,29945.70%13,783McCurtain7,47266.98%3,68433.02%3,78833.96%11,156McIntosh4,69251.11%4,48848.89%2042.22%9,180Murray3,66563.24%2,13036.76%1,53526.48%5,795Muskogee15,12454.58%12,58545.42%2,5399.16%27,709Noble3,99374.94%1,33525.06%2,65849.88%5,328Nowata2,80562.82%1,66037.18%1,14525.64%4,465Okfuskee2,54259.32%1,74340.68%79918.64%4,285Oklahoma174,74164.23%97,29835.77%77,44328.46%272,039Okmulgee8,36353.17%7,36746.83%9966.34%15,730Osage11,46758.70%8,06841.30%3,39917.40%19,535Ottawa7,44359.41%5,08640.59%2,35718.82%12,529Pawnee4,41263.25%2,56436.75%1,84826.50%6,976Payne19,56065.95%10,10134.05%9,45931.90%29,661Pittsburg11,13459.91%7,45240.09%3,68219.82%18,586Pontotoc9,64765.13%5,16534.87%4,48230.26%14,812Pottawatomie17,21566.59%8,63833.41%8,57733.18%25,853Pushmataha2,86359.68%1,93440.32%92919.36%4,797Roger Mills1,38878.42%38221.58%1,00656.84%1,770Rogers24,97667.70%11,91832.30%13,05835.40%36,894Seminole5,62460.66%3,64839.34%1,97621.32%9,272Sequoyah8,86560.00%5,91040.00%2,95520.00%14,775Stephens13,64671.22%5,51528.78%8,13142.44%19,161Texas5,45084.29%1,01615.71%4,43468.58%6,466Tillman2,27365.92%1,17534.08%1,09831.84%3,448Tulsa163,45264.43%90,22035.57%73,23228.86%253,672Wagoner19,08167.57%9,15732.43%9,92435.14%28,238Washington16,55170.69%6,86229.31%9,68941.38%23,413Washita3,70573.44%1,34026.56%2,36546.88%5,045Woods3,16677.26%93222.74%2,23454.52%4,098Woodward6,19380.94%1,45819.06%4,73561.88%7,651Totals959,79265.57%503,96634.43%455,82631.14%1,463,758
right 300px Swing by county Legend #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px Trend by county Legend #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px County flips Legend
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Cherokee (largest city: Tahlequah)
Choctaw (largest city: Hugo)
Haskell (largest city: Stigler)
Hughes (largest city: Holdenville)
Latimer (largest city: Wilburton)
McIntosh (largest city: Checotah)
Muskogee (largest city: Muskogee)
Okmulgee (largest city: Okmulgee)
Ottawa (largest city: Miami)
By congressional district
Bush won all five congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project
District Bush Kerry RepresentativeOklahoma 1 1st 65% 35%John SullivanOklahoma 2 2nd59%41%Brad CarsonDan BorenOklahoma 3 3rd 72% 28%Frank LucasOklahoma 4 4th 67% 33%Tom ColeOklahoma 5 5th 64% 36%Ernest Istook
Electors
List of 2004 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Oklahoma cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Oklahoma is allocated seven electors because it has five congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of seven electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all seven electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged for Bush/Cheney:
George Wiland
Paul Hollrah
Colby Schwartz
Diana Gunther
Ken Bartlett
Donald Burdick
Bob Hudspeth
The slate for the Democrats, which was not elected, consisted of George Krumme, Edwynne Krumme, Maxine Horner, Jim Hamilton, Bernice Mitchell, Betty McElderry, and Bob Lemon.PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/08electr.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20200125231659/https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/08electr.pdf 2020-01-25
See also
United States presidential elections in Oklahoma
Presidency of George W. Bush
References
Oklahoma
2004
United States presidential