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2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana
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June 2025
September 2023
2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana Louisiana 2006 presidential no 2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana 2004 2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana 2012 November 4, 2008 x200px John McCain official portrait 2009 (cropped).jpg John McCain Republican Party (United States) Arizona Sarah Palin 9 1,148,275 58.56% Obama portrait crop.jpg Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Illinois Joe Biden 0 782,989 39.93% 350px Parish results 350px Congressional district results 350px Precinct results
McCain
#f2b3be 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90%
#800000 90–100%
Obama
#b9d7ff 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70%
#1666cb 70–80%
#0645b4 80–90%
#002b84 90–100% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States)
The 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 4, 2008, was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Louisiana was won by Republican nominee John McCain by an 18.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise a "red state". Although Bill Clinton carried the state twice, it has since shifted strongly toward the Republican Party. This is despite having one of the largest percentages of African Americans in the country, one of the Democratic Party's most reliable voting blocs and which gave record-breaking support to Obama, the first African American on a major-party presidential ticket. Its shift to the right has been due almost entirely to its white population, which has become overwhelmingly Republican in the 21st century. It was one of five states to swing Republican from 2004, along with West Virginia, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. This marked the first time that Louisiana failed to back the winning candidate since 1968, when it voted for a third-party candidate George Wallace. In doing so, Obama became the first winning Democratic presidential nominee to lose Louisiana since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. He was the first Democrat to ever win without Calcasieu Parish since the parish's founding in 1840.
In this election, Louisiana voted 25.9% to the right of the nation at-large, or a 13.85 percent bigger differential than in 2004.Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ 2023-04-12 uselectionatlas.org This was the first time since 1988 that either major party won Louisiana in more than two consecutive presidential races.
Primaries
2008 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary
2008 Louisiana Republican presidential caucuses and primary
Campaign
Predictions
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
+SourceRankingD.C. Political Report2009-01-01 D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html 2021-08-23 usurped https://web.archive.org/web/20090101161206/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html 2009-01-01Likely RCook Political Report2015-05-05 Presidential http://cookpolitical.com/presidential 2021-08-23 https://web.archive.org/web/20150505003043/http://cookpolitical.com/presidential 2015-05-05Solid RThe Takeaway2009-04-22 Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ 2021-08-23 https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ 2009-04-22Solid RElectoral-vote.comElectoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily https://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html 2021-08-23 electoral-vote.comSolid RWashington PostBased on TakeawaySolid RPoliticoPOLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com https://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html 2016-09-22 www.politico.comSolid RRealClearPolitics http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5 2008-06-05 RealClearPolitics - Electoral MapSolid RFiveThirtyEightSolid RCQ PoliticsCQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/ dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08 June 14, 2009 December 20, 2009 CQ PoliticsSolid RThe New York TimesNagourney Adam Zeleny Jeff Carter Shan 2008-11-04 The Electoral Map: Key States The New York Times http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse May 26, 2010Solid RCNN2008-10-31 October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs CNN http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ May 26, 2010 2010-06-19 https://web.archive.org/web/20100619013250/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ deadSafe RNPRSolid RMSNBCSolid RFox NewsApril 27, 2010 Winning The Electoral College Fox News http://www.foxnews.com/oreilly/winning-the-electoral-college/Likely RAssociated Pressroadto270 http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/ 2016-09-22 hosted.ap.org December 8, 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081208002123/http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/ deadLikely RRasmussen ReportsElection 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update 2016-09-22 www.rasmussenreports.comSafe R
Polling
Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Louisiana Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Louisiana
McCain won every pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 50% to 40%.Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
Fundraising
John McCain raised a total of $2,175,416 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,438,276.http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=LA&cand_id=P00000001 Presidential Campaign Finance 2009-08-20 https://web.archive.org/web/20090324090016/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=LA&cand_id=P00000001 2009-03-24 dead
Advertising and visits
Obama spent $368,039. McCain and his interest groups spent $6,019.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/ad.spending/ CNN Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com May 26, 2010 McCain visited the state once, in New Orleans.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/candidate.visits/ CNN Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com May 26, 2010
Analysis
thumb|left|Voters wait in queue at a polling station in New Orleans
Polling in Louisiana gave a strong lead to McCain, sometimes as high as 19%,http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/louisiana/election_2008_louisiana_president Rasmussen Reports: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Site. 2008-12-16 https://web.archive.org/web/20090131063802/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/louisiana/election_2008_louisiana_president 2009-01-31 dead and Barack Obama did not seriously contest the state. Governor Bobby Jindal endorsed McCain early on in the primary season. Louisiana was also one of only two states to list Ron Paul on their official ballot (the other being Montana which gave the largest percentage to any third-party candidate nationwide). This was the last time any parish flipped in the state in a presidential election until 2024.
At the same time, however, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu avoided the Republican trend in the state and held onto her U.S. Senate seat, taking in 52.11% of the vote to State Treasurer John N. Kennedy, a Democrat who switched parties to run against Landrieu. Republicans picked up two U.S. House seats in Louisiana (LA-02 and LA-06 with Joseph Cao and Bill Cassidy, respectively).
Results
2008 United States presidential election in Louisianahttp://www.thegreenpapers.com/G08/LA.phtml Official General Election Results 2008-12-12 The Green PapersPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 1,148,275 58.56% 9 Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 782,989 39.93% 0Louisiana TaxpayersLouisiana Taxpayers Ron Paul (no campaign) Barry Goldwater Jr. 9,368 0.48% 0 Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 9,187 0.47% 0 Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 6,997 0.36% 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 2,581 0.13% 0 Socialist Workers James Harris Alyson Kennedy 735 0.04% 0 Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva Eugene Puryear 354 0.02% 0 Prohibition Gene Amondson Leroy Pletten 275 0.01% 0 Totals 1,960,761 100.00% 9 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 62.0%
By parish
ParishJohn McCainRepublicanBarack ObamaDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Acadia19,22971.99%7,02826.31%4541.70%12,20145.68%26,711Allen6,33366.90%2,89130.54%2432.57%3,44236.36%9,467Ascension31,23967.08%14,62531.40%7071.52%16,61435.68%46,571Assumption5,98154.57%4,75643.39%2232.03%1,22511.18%10,960Avoyelles10,23660.43%6,32737.35%3752.21%3,90923.08%16,938Beauregard10,71876.15%3,07121.82%2852.03%7,64754.33%14,074Bienville3,77650.82%3,58948.30%650.87%1872.52%7,430Bossier32,71371.37%12,70327.71%4190.91%20,01043.66%45,835Caddo52,22848.07%55,53651.11%8960.82%-3,308-3.04%108,660Calcasieu50,44961.43%30,24436.82%1,4381.75%20,20524.61%82,131Caldwell3,69675.54%1,11822.85%791.61%2,57852.69%4,893Cameron3,08981.44%61316.16%912.40%2,47665.28%3,793Catahoula3,48666.72%1,65931.75%801.53%1,82734.97%5,225Claiborne3,75054.82%3,02544.22%660.96%72510.60%6,841Concordia5,66859.49%3,76639.53%930.98%1,90219.96%9,527DeSoto6,88356.16%5,24242.77%1321.08%1,64113.39%12,257East Baton Rouge95,39048.34%99,65250.50%2,3071.17%-4,262-2.16%197,349East Carroll1,25435.23%2,26763.70%381.07%-1,013-28.47%3,559East Feliciana5,43254.61%4,38344.06%1321.33%1,04910.55%9,947Evangeline9,79361.30%5,85336.64%3302.07%3,94024.66%15,976Franklin6,27867.09%2,96131.64%1191.27%3,31735.45%9,358Grant6,90780.71%1,47417.22%1772.07%5,43363.49%8,558Iberia20,12760.68%12,49237.66%5491.66%7,63523.02%33,168Iberville7,18543.75%9,02354.95%2131.30%-1,838-11.20%16,421Jackson5,19067.09%2,45631.75%901.16%2,73435.34%7,736Jefferson113,19162.50%65,09635.94%2,8331.56%48,09526.56%181,120Jefferson Davis9,27868.72%3,92329.06%3002.22%5,35539.66%13,501Lafayette62,05564.88%32,14533.61%1,4421.51%29,91031.27%95,642Lafourche27,08971.49%9,66225.50%1,1423.01%17,42745.99%37,893LaSalle5,60285.49%86013.12%911.39%4,74272.37%6,553Lincoln10,68055.69%8,29243.23%2071.08%2,38812.46%19,179Livingston43,26985.02%6,68113.13%9421.85%36,58871.89%50,892Madison2,15240.60%3,10058.49%480.91%-948-17.89%5,300Morehouse7,25854.98%5,79243.88%1501.14%1,46611.10%13,200Natchitoches9,05453.05%7,80145.71%2121.24%1,2537.34%17,067Orleans28,13019.08%117,10279.42%2,2071.50%-88,972-60.34%147,439Ouachita41,74162.07%24,81336.90%6901.03%16,92825.17%67,244Plaquemines6,89465.98%3,38032.35%1751.67%3,51433.63%10,449Pointe Coupee6,70253.90%5,51644.36%2171.75%1,1869.54%12,435Rapides36,61163.65%20,12734.99%7831.36%16,48428.66%57,521Red River2,48453.66%2,08044.93%651.40%4048.73%4,629Richland5,75162.64%3,31136.06%1191.30%2,44026.58%9,181Sabine7,22674.87%2,24523.26%1811.88%4,98151.61%9,652St. Bernard9,64371.21%3,49125.78%4073.01%6,15245.43%13,541St. Charles16,45764.80%8,52233.56%4181.65%7,93531.24%25,397St. Helena2,52240.78%3,56757.68%951.54%-1,045-16.90%6,184St. James5,43243.23%6,99455.67%1381.10%-1,562-12.44%12,564St. John the Baptist8,91241.15%12,42457.37%3201.48%-3,512-16.22%21,656St. Landry21,65050.95%20,26847.70%5751.35%1,3823.25%42,493St. Martin14,44359.55%9,41938.84%3901.61%5,02420.71%24,252St. Mary13,18357.56%9,34540.80%3751.64%3,83816.76%22,903St. Tammany83,07875.84%24,59622.45%1,8681.71%58,48253.39%109,542Tangipahoa31,43464.68%16,43833.82%7301.50%14,99630.86%48,602Tensas1,36744.97%1,64654.14%270.89%-279-9.17%3,040Terrebonne28,21069.32%11,58128.46%9052.22%16,62940.86%40,696Union7,61970.10%3,10328.55%1461.34%4,51641.55%10,868Vermilion18,06972.76%6,26625.23%4982.01%11,80347.53%24,833Vernon11,94675.76%3,53422.41%2891.83%8,41253.35%15,769Washington12,21565.59%6,12232.87%2871.54%6,09332.72%18,624Webster11,41762.49%6,61036.18%2431.33%4,80726.31%18,270West Baton Rouge6,65456.08%5,04342.50%1691.42%1,61113.58%11,866West Carroll4,04581.11%87817.61%641.28%3,16763.50%4,987West Feliciana3,15056.05%2,41542.97%550.98%73513.08%5,620Winn4,63268.40%2,04730.23%931.37%2,58538.17%6,772Totals1,148,27558.56%782,98939.93%29,4971.51%365,28618.63%1,960,761
right 300px Swing by parish Legend #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px Trend relative to the state by parish Legend #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5-15% #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px Parish flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
#0671b0 Flip
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Caddo (largest city: Shreveport)
East Baton Rouge (largest city: Baton Rouge)
Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Assumption (largest city: Napoleonville)
Pointe Coupee (largest city: New Roads)
By congressional district
John McCain carried six of the state's seven congressional districts, both McCain and Obama won a district won by the other party.
District McCain Obama RepresentativeLouisiana 1 1st72.72%25.68%Bobby Jindal (110th Congress)Steve Scalise (111th Congress)Louisiana 2 2nd24.86%74.13%William J. Jefferson (110th Congress)Joseph Cao (111th Congress)Louisiana 3 3rd 60.99% 37.03%Charles MelanconLouisiana 4 4th59.28%39.57%Jim McCrery (110th Congress)John C. Fleming (111th Congress)Louisiana 5 5th 61.75% 36.96%Rodney AlexanderLouisiana 6 6th57.40%41.26%Don Cazayoux (110th Congress)Bill Cassidy (111th Congress)Louisiana 7 7th 63.14% 35.20%Charles Boustany
Electors
List of 2008 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Louisiana is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm Electoral College 2008-11-01 California Secretary of State dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm October 30, 2008 An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:http://www.sos.louisiana.gov/Portals/0/elections/pdf/2008%20Presidential%20Electors.pdf Archived copy November 8, 2008 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081108004111/http://www.sos.louisiana.gov/Portals/0/elections/pdf/2008%20Presidential%20Electors.pdf November 8, 2008
Lynn Skidmore
Joe Lavigne
Gordon Giles - He replaced Billy Nungesser, who was absent due to illness.http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=9525360July 2016 InternetArchiveBot yes
Alan Seabaugh
Karen Haymon
Charles Davis
Charlie Buckels
Dianne Christopher
Roger F. Villere Jr.
See also
United States presidential elections in Louisiana
Presidency of Barack Obama
References
Louisiana
Category:2008 Louisiana elections
2008