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2016 Delaware gubernatorial election
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2016 Delaware gubernatorial election Delaware presidential no 2012 Delaware gubernatorial election 2012 2020 Delaware gubernatorial election 2020 November 8, 2016 File:John C. Carney Jr. 2017.jpg 150x150px John Carney Democratic Party (United States) 248,404 58.34% File:Colin Bonini 2 (cropped).jpg Colin Bonini Republican Party (United States) 166,852 39.18% 110px County results 110px Precinct results 1 210px Carney: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Bonini: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #808080 No votes Governor Jack Markell Democratic Party (United States) John Carney Democratic Party (United States)
The 2016 Delaware gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of Delaware, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic governor Jack Markell was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office. Democratic congressman John Carney defeated Republican state senator Colin Bonini in a landslide. Despite his loss, Bonini flipped Sussex County back to the Republicans for the first time in a gubernatorial election since 2004.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
John Carney, U.S. representative, former lieutenant governor of Delaware and candidate for governor in 2008http://www.nationaljournal.com/s/73082/rep-john-carney-run-governor-delaware Rep. John Carney to Run for Governor of Delaware National Journal Bruggeman Karyn Railey Kimberly September 16, 2015 September 16, 2015
Deceased
Beau Biden, former Delaware Attorney General and son of Delaware senator, vice president, and future president Joe BidenBeau Biden says he plans to run for governor in Delaware http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2014/04/17/beau-biden-says-he-plans-to-run-for-governor-in-delaware/?hpt=hp_t2 April 17, 2014 CNN April 17, 2014 January 18, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160118132828/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2014/04/17/beau-biden-says-he-plans-to-run-for-governor-in-delaware/?hpt=hp_t2 dead (died May 30, 2015)
Withdrew
Kevin Tinsleyhttp://delawarestatenews.net/government/can-carney-be-topped-in-delaware-governor-race/ Delaware State News Can Carney be topped in Delaware governor race? Matt Bittle July 23, 2016 August 14, 2016
Declined
Matthew Denn, Delaware Attorney General and former lieutenant governor of DelawareDelaware's 2016 speculation all about Biden http://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/local/2014/11/08/delawares-speculation-biden/18727837/ November 9, 2014 Delaware Online November 8, 2014Jonathan Starkey Denn enters AG's race; primary still possible http://www.delawareonline.com/story/firststatepolitics/2014/04/21/denn-attorney-general/7956989/ March 3, 2013 DelawareOnline April 21, 2014http://delaware.newszap.com/centraldelaware/138458-70/levy-courts-eaby-pursuing-a-run-for-lieutenant-governor Levy Court's Eaby pursuing a run for lieutenant governor DelawareNewszap Matt Bittle February 21, 2015 February 24, 2015 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150224102657/http://delaware.newszap.com/centraldelaware/138458-70/levy-courts-eaby-pursuing-a-run-for-lieutenant-governor February 24, 2015
Thomas P. Gordon, county executive of New Castle Countyhttp://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/politics/2014/11/06/bonini-declares-governors-race/18611743/ Bonini declares for governor's race Delaware Online November 6, 2014 November 9, 2014
John Kowalko, state representativehttp://www.wdde.org/69591-2016-rearing-head-return-day Talk of 2016 rears its head at Return Day WDDE Dawson James November 6, 2014 February 24, 2015 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150225011454/http://www.wdde.org/69591-2016-rearing-head-return-day February 25, 2015
Peter Schwartzkopf, Speaker of the Delaware House of Representatives
Bryan Townsend, state senator (running for Delaware's at-large seat in Congress)
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnCarney Other UndecidedFairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News JournalFairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal July 20–24, 2016 344 ± 5.3% 67% 9% 23%
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Colin Bonini, state senator and nominee for State Treasurer in 2010
Eliminated in primary
Lacey Lafferty, retired state trooper
Declined
Greg Lavelle, state senator and Minority Whip of the Delaware Senatehttp://www.delawareonline.com/story/firststatepolitics/2015/02/23/lavelle-governor-race/23896659/ Sen. Lavelle opts out of 2016 governor race The News Journal Starkey Jonathan February 23, 2015 February 24, 2015
Alan Levin, director of the Delaware Economic Development Office and former president and CEO of Happy Harry's
Michael Ramone, state representativeMcPike Erin Is Beau Biden Democrats' Next Emerging Star? http://www.realclearpolitics.com/2012/11/09/is_beau_biden_democrats039_next_emerging_star_295630.html March 3, 2013 RealClearPolitics September 11, 2012
Daniel Short, Minority Leader of the Delaware House of Representatives
Ken Simpler, State Treasurer of Delawarehttp://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/politics/2014/11/05/republicans-pushing-simpler-run-governor/18568683/ GOP may eye Simpler for governor in 2016 Delaware Online November 6, 2014 November 9, 2014
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ColinBonini LaceyLafferty Other UndecidedFairleigh Dickinson/Delaware News Journal July 20–24, 2016 224 ± 6.6% 29% 22% 3% 42%
Results
thumb|110px|Results by county:
#d72f30 Bonini—70–80%
#d75d5d Bonini—60–70%
Republican primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/governor/delaware/ Politico September 14, 2016 Delaware Election Results 2016: Governor Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates
Colin Bonini Republican Party (United States) 21,150 69.88
Lacey Lafferty Republican Party (United States) 9,115 30.12
30,265 100.00
Libertarian Party
Candidates
Declared
Sean Louis Gowardhttp://www.newarkpostonline.com/article_db6fe244-c406-5c73-be60-31217a570836.html Newark Post July 14, 2016 September 2, 2016 Josh Shannon Candidate slate set for fall election
General election
Debates
Complete video of debate, October 19, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Governor Race ratings https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139364 The Cook Political Report October 15, 2018 October 15, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181015115045/https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139364 dead Safe D August 12, 2016 Daily KosElections 2015-16 https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/governor Daily Kos October 15, 2018 September 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes Safe D November 8, 2016 Rothenberg Political ReportGubernatorial Ratings http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2016-gubernatorial-ratings-november-3-2016 The Rothenberg Political Report October 15, 2018 Safe D November 3, 2016 Sabato's Crystal BallOur Final 2016 picks http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ Sabato's Crystal Ball October 15, 2018 October 15, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181015114619/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ dead Safe D November 7, 2016 Real Clear Politics2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/governor/2016_elections_governor_map.html Real Clear Politics October 15, 2018 Safe D November 1, 2016 Governinghttp://www.governing.com/governor-races-2016 2016 Governors Races Ratings & News Governing Magazine October 28, 2016 October 27, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161027090343/http://www.governing.com/governor-races-2016 dead Safe D October 27, 2016
Polling
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! Date(s)administered
! Samplesize
! Margin oferror
! style="width:100px;"| JohnCarney (D)
! style="width:100px;"| ColinBonini (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
|SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey
| align=center| November 1–7, 2016
| align=center| 367
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 56%
| align=center| 40%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 4%
|-
|SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey
| align=center| October 31–November 6, 2016
| align=center| 383
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 54%
| align=center| 42%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 4%
|-
|SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey
| align=center| October 28–November 3, 2016
| align=center| 405
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 56%
| align=center| 40%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 4%
|-
|SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey
| align=center| October 27–November 2, 2016
| align=center| 397
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 56%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 5%
|-
|SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey
| align=center| October 26–November 1, 2016
| align=center| 413
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 58%
| align=center| 37%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 5%
|-
|SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey
| align=center| October 25–31, 2016
| align=center| 458
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 60%
| align=center| 36%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 4%
|-
|University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware
| align=center| September 16–28, 2016
| align=center| 900
| align=center| ± 3.8%
| align=center| 57%
| align=center| 25%
| align=center| 7%
| align=center| 11%
Results
Delaware gubernatorial election, 2016https://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect16/elect16_general/html/election.shtml State of Delaware General Election (Official Results) State of Delaware Election Commissioner November 16, 2016 October 28, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181028141145/https://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect16/elect16_general/html/election.shtml dead
Democratic Party (United States)
John Carney
248,404
58.34%
-10.99%
Republican Party (United States)
Colin Bonini
166,852
39.18%
+10.59%
Green Party (United States)
Andrew Groff
5,951
1.39%
+0.24%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Sean Louis Goward
4,577
1.09%
+0.17%
425,784
100.00%
N/A
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none
CountyJohn CarneyDemocraticColin BoniniRepublicanAll Others#%#%#%Kent35,95549.6834,77748.051,6462.27New Castle165,97366.2177,83931.056,8792.75Sussex46,47645.2454,23652.792,0311.97 Totals248,40458.34166,85239.1810,5562.48
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Sussex (largest city: Seaford)
right 110px Swing by county 110px Trend by county Legend #09ceff Democratic—+20%−25% #4bdbff Democratic—+15%−20% #77e3ff Democratic—+10−15% #aaeeff Democratic—+5−10% #D5F6FF Democratic—+<5% #FFD5D5 Republican—+<5% #FFAAAA Republican—+5−10% #FF8080 Republican—+10−15% #FF5555 Republican—+15−20% #FF2A2A Republican—+20−25% #FF0000 Republican—+25−30% #D40000 Republican—+30–40% #b80000 Republican—+40–50% #990000 Republican—+>50% 110px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
References
2
External links
Official campaign websites (Archived)
John Carney (D) for Governor
Colin Bonini (R) for Governor
Lacey Lafferty (R) for Governor
2016
Delaware
Gubernatorial