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2010 Polish presidential election
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September 2020
Poland presidential 2005 Polish presidential election 2005 2015 Polish presidential election 2015 20 June 2010 (first round) 4 July 2010 (second round) 54.92% (first round) 5.20pp 55.30% (second round) 4.32pp Bronisław Komorowski official photo (cropped).jpg 142 130 145 5 6 center Bronisław Komorowski Civic Platform 8,933,887 53.01% Kaczynski 5-7-2010.jpg 160 130 145 0 15 centre Jarosław Kaczyński Law and Justice 7,919,134 46.99% Präsidentschaftswahl Polen 2010 Runde 2.svg Second round results by powiat President Bronisław Komorowski (acting)Komorowski, the incumbent Marshal of the Sejm, became Acting President on 10 April 2010 after the death of Lech Kaczyński. He resigned from both offices on 8 July 2010, after being confirmed as the winner of the election, leaving Marshal of the Senate Bogdan Borusewicz (Independent, PO caucus) as Acting President for less than a day. The Sejm reconvened later that same day to elect Grzegorz Schetyna (PO) as Marshal, and thus Acting President until Komorowski's inauguration on 6 August. Civic Platform Bronisław Komorowski Civic Platform
Presidential elections were held in Poland on 20 June 2010. As no candidate received a majority of votes in the first round, a second round was held on 4 July 2010.https://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8633981.stm Poland's snap presidential elections set for June 20 BBC News 21 April 2010 21 June 2010 Bronisław Komorowski, the acting President of Poland and vice-chairman of the Civic Platform, defeated Jarosław Kaczyński, twin brother of the recently deceased President Lech Kaczyński and chairman of Law and Justice (PiS). The 2008 financial crisis, flooding in Poland and the Smolensk disaster were the main themes in the last months of the election campaign.
, this remains the last Polish presidential election won by a non PiS-aligned candidate and the only election won by a candidate from PO.
Background
The 2010 presidential election was expected to be a rematch of the 2005 election between Lech Kaczyński and Donald Tusk. Since the last presidential election, Polish politics had become centered around the rivalry between Law and Justice and the Civic Platform. President Kaczyński and Prime Minister Tusk were constantly battling each other over who should represent Poland on the international stage.https://euobserver.com/political/26658 Spats over who gets to go to EU summit break out in Poland, Finland 29 August 2008 Tusk was leading Kaczyński in all the opinion polls (as he did ahead of the 2005 elections, which he ultimately lost) and the election was expected to be a dirty one. However, this rematch never came to be. Donald Tusk announced in January 2010 that he will not run for President because he wants to remain Prime Minister.http://www.polishmarket.com.pl/document/:22912?p=%2FEconomic+Monitor%2F Polish Market Online .:. Polish Market Online .:. What's next for Poland? Polishmarket.com.pl 12 April 2010 21 June 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20111005213515/http://www.polishmarket.com.pl/document/:22912?p=%2FEconomic+Monitor%2F 5 October 2011 dead Lech Kaczyński was set to declare his candidacy for re-election on 23 May but he died on 10 April in the Smolensk air disaster, while he was attending the remembrance for the 70th anniversary of the Katyn massacre.https://www.tokfm.pl/Tokfm/1,103087,7745826,Wybory_2010__Lech_Kaczynski_rozpocznie_kampanie_23.html Wybory 2010. Lech Kaczyński rozpocznie kampanię 23 maja
After Donald Tusk declined to run for president, the Civic Platform organized a presidential primary. The primary was won by Bronisław Komorowski who defeated Radosław Sikorski receiving 68.5% of the vote to Sikorski's 31.5%.https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/komorowski-kandydatem-po-na-prezydenta-kleska-sikorskiego/2dwvxfn Komorowski kandydatem PO na prezydenta. Klęska Sikorskiego 27 March 2010 Bronisław Komorowski consistently lead Lech Kaczyński by double digits in the first round and by a 2-to-1 margin in the second round. No other candidate registered support in the double digits.https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/polityka/artykul/sondaz;kaczynski;nie;ma;szans;na;reelekcje,22,0,603670.htm February 2022
After President Lech Kaczyński's death in a plane crash, the Constitution required the Marshal of the Sejm to declare the date within two weeks, with the election to take place on a weekend within the following 60 days, i.e. 20 June at the latest. On 21 April, the Marshal, Bronisław Komorowski, announced the election date as 20 June 2010.http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-04-14/poland-may-hold-early-election-on-june-20-napieralski-says.html Poland May Hold Election June 20, Napieralski Says (Update1) Bloomberg BusinessWeek 14 April 2010 21 June 2010April 2023 medicmedic Candidates were required to register by 26 April 2010 (with 1,000 signatures of voters in support) and submit 100,000 signatures by 6 May 2010.Sobczyk Marcin https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052748704133804575197321643319484?mod=WSJ_latestheadlines Polish Election Set for June 20 The Wall Street Journal 21 April 2010 21 June 2010
Originally, Lech was up for re-election between 19 September and 3 October; the exact date would have been announced between 23 May and 23 June, before the end of his first five-year term of office.Constitution of Poland, Article 128
Two candidates for the election died in the crash. Incumbent Lech Kaczyński was nominated as the Law and Justice party candidate (he had yet to accept the nomination, but it was widely believed that he would do so), and Jerzy Szmajdziński was to have run for the Democratic Left Alliance. Jerzy Szmajdziński – kandydat SLD na prezydenta Gazeta Wyborcza 20 December 2009 http://wyborcza.pl/1,75478,7385246,Jerzy_Szmajdzinski___kandydat_SLD_na_prezydenta.html 22 December 2009 pl Jarosław Kaczyński ran for president as the replacement for his deceased twin brother.https://www.reuters.com/article/us-poland-election-view/instant-view-jaroslaw-kaczynski-to-run-for-polish-presidency-idUSTRE63P1RR20100426 Instant view: Jaroslaw Kaczynski to run for Polish presidency Reuters 26 April 2010 Jerzy Szmajdziński's replacement was Grzegorz Napieralski.https://www.newsweek.pl/grzegorz-napieralski-kandydat-na-prezydenta-sld-wybory-2010/z22cefj Grzegorz Napieralski 20 May 2010
Senate by-elections to fill the three seats whose senators died in the crash – Krystyna Bochenek (PO), Janina Fetlińska (PiS) and Stanisław Zając (PiS, himself elected in a by-election on 22 June 2008 to replace Andrzej Mazurkiewicz) – were held on the same day.
Candidates
In total, 23 candidates registered with the Polish National Electoral Commission on, or just following, the 26 April deadline. 17 of the 23 candidacies were accepted by the commission, whilst the remaining 6 were rejected because they had not gathered the required 1000 signatures.
Only ten candidates collected the required 100,000 signatures and were eligible to run for president.jagor, zsz http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/Wiadomosci/1,80271,7851073,Wybory_2010__Dziewieciu_kandydatom_na_prezydenta_udalo.html Wybory 2010. Dziesięciu kandydatom na prezydenta udało się zebrać 100 tys. podpisów Wiadomosci.gazeta.pl 21 June 2010 pl
Rejected candidates
Zdzisław Jankowski
Gabriel Janowski – national-conservative, former Minister of Agriculture
Dariusz Kosiur
Bartłomiej Kurzeja – artist, self-described as "the National Sculptor"
Krzysztof Mazurski – scientist, geographer
Paweł Pietrzyk
Roman Sklepowicz
Paweł Soroka – political scientist
Bogdan Szpryngiel – a former Libertas candidate to the European Parliament
Ludwik Wasiak
Józef Wójcik
Waldemar Urbanowski
Withdrawn
Ludwik Dorn – former Marshal of Sejm (Law and Justice), candidate of liberal-conservative party Poland Plus. Ludwik Dorn rezygnuje ze startu w wyborach pl Rzeczpospolita 20 April 2010 http://www.rp.pl/artykul/464305.html
Tomasz Nałęcz – former Vice-Marshal of Sejm, candidate of Social Democracy of Poland (SdPl). Tomasz Nałęcz rezygnuje ze startu w wyborach pl polskieradio.pl 20 April 2010 http://www.polskieradio.pl/5/3/Artykul/199810,Tomasz-Nalecz-rezygnuje-ze-startu-w-wyborach
Zdzisław Podkański – former member of the European Parliament (Polish People's Party), leader of the national-conservative party Piast.Rezygnacja kandydata. Poprze J. Kaczyńskiego? pl gazeta.pl 4 May 2010 http://wiadomosci.onet.pl/2164891,11,rezygnacja_kandydata_poprze_j_kaczynskiego,item.html 4 May 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100507145807/http://wiadomosci.onet.pl/2164891,11,rezygnacja_kandydata_poprze_j_kaczynskiego,item.html 7 May 2010
Dead
Lech Kaczyński – President who applied to start for reelection. First candidate of Law and Justice. Prezydent Kaczyński nie żyje pl se.pl 10 April 2010 http://www.se.pl/wydarzenia/kraj/lech-kaczynski-nie-zyje-kto-zginal-lista-pasazerow_136006.html 10 April 2010
Jerzy Szmajdziński – former Minister of Defence, Vice-Marshal of Sejm. First candidate of Democratic Left Alliance. Jerzy Szmajdziński nie żyje pl wp.pl 10 April 2010 http://wiadomosci.wp.pl/kat,1342,title,Jerzy-Szmajdzinski-nie-zyje,wid,12158487,wiadomosc.html 10 April 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100414014928/http://wiadomosci.wp.pl/kat,1342,title,Jerzy-Szmajdzinski-nie-zyje,wid,12158487,wiadomosc.html 14 April 2010 dead
Campaign
Bronisław Komorowski's campaign slogan was "Unity builds" (Zgoda buduje) and his strategy was to portray himself as an independent politician ready to work with everyone to fix the nation's problems. He pledged to work closely with the government of Prime Minister Donald Tusk to adopt the euro in about five years, end the unpopular military mission in Afghanistan and promote pro-market reforms.https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sdut-komorowski-leading-kaczynski-in-polish-election-2010jun20-story.html Komorowski leading Kaczynski in Polish election 20 June 2010
Jarosław Kaczyński's campaign slogan was "Poland is the most important" (Polska jest najważniejsza) and he aimed to soften his own image and present himself as someone ready for compromise. He praised his late twin brother's legacy and promised to continue his policies as President. He made it a priority to fight crime and corruption, scale back market reforms to preserve a strong welfare state and promote Roman Catholic values
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
thumb|1000px|centre| Graphical summary of the first round opinion polls:10em Civic Platform solid 5px B. Komorowski
Law and Justice solid 5px J. Kaczyński
Democratic Left Alliance (Poland) solid 5px G. Napieralski
Polish People's Party solid 5px Waldemar Pawlak
#8FBCBC solid 5px A. Olechowski
Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland solid 5px Andrzej Lepper
#808080 solid 5px J. Korwin-Mikke
#3F5CC6 solid 5px Lech Kaczyński
First round
Polling firm/LinkFieldworkdateSamplesize KomorowskiPO J. KaczyńskiPiS NapieralskiSLD PawlakPSL Olechowskiind. LepperSRP Korwin-MikkeWiP JurekPR Morawieckiind. ZiętekPPPOthersDon't knowLead 2010 presidential election Election result 16,806,170 41.54 36.46 13.68 2.48 1.75 1.44 1.28 1.06 0.18 0.13 5.08 Millward Brown SMG/KRC Wybory 2010. Ostatni sondaż przed wyborami. Komorowski wygrywa, ale w II turze. 56 proc. do 33 proc. Gazeta Wyborcza 18 June 2010 http://wybory.gazeta.pl/wybory/1,106728,8034350,Wybory_2010__Komorowski_wygrywa_w_II_turze__56_proc_.html pl 18 June 44 29 13 2 2 1 3 1 0 0 5 15 TNS OBOP Sondaż: 13 proc. głosów dla Napieralskiego TVP Info 17 June 2010 http://www.tvp.info/informacje/wybory-2010/sondaze/sondaz-13-proc-glosow-dla-napieralskiego/1984288 pl 17 June 42 35 13 2 2 1 3 1 0 0 7 Millward Brown SMG/KRC Cztery dni przed wyborami Kaczyńskiemu spada poparcie gazeta.pl 16 June 2010 http://www.tvn24.pl/-1,1660985,0,1,cztery-dni-przed-wyborami-kaczynskiemu-spada-poparcie,wiadomosc.html pl 16 June 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100619071626/http://www.tvn24.pl/-1,1660985,0,1,cztery-dni-przed-wyborami-kaczynskiemu-spada-poparcie,wiadomosc.html 19 June 2010 dead 16 June 1,001 41 29 12 2 1 1 2 1 12 GfK Polonia Komorowski – 48 proc., Kaczyński – 34 proc. Gazeta Wyborcza 16 June 2010 http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/Wiadomosci/1,80271,8019085,Platforma_wciaz_wierzy_w_pierwsza_ture.html pl 16 June 48 34 9 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 14 CBOS 10–16 June 977 42 28 10 2 2 1 3 1 0 0 8 14 TNS OBOP 10–15 June 965 41 31 8 2 1 1 3 1 0 0 12 10 GfK Polonia Liderzy traca, szef SLD zyskuje Rp 12 June 2010 http://www.rp.pl/artykul/492862_Liderzy_traca__szef_SLD_zyskuje.html pl 12 June 2010 31 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120331175551/http://www.rp.pl/artykul/492862_Liderzy_traca__szef_SLD_zyskuje.html dead 12 June 42 29 11 4 1 1 2 1 0 0 9 13 SMG/KRC Millward Brown Wybory 2010. Sondaż: Komorowski rośnie w siłę, ale wygrywa dopiero w drugiej turze TVN24 9 June 2010 http://wybory.gazeta.pl/wybory/1,106728,7994712,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Komorowski_rosnie_w_sile__ale.html pl 9 June 45 31 7 2 2 1 2 0 0 0 5 14 SMG/KRC Millward BrownSondaż: liderzy nieznacznie zyskują TVN24 7 June 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/,1,3238276,aktualnosc.html pl 7 June 43 32 8 3 2 1 2 1 0 1 5 11 Homo Homini Wybory 2010. Sondaż: Kaczyński łagodzi wizerunek i nie traci, Komorowskiemu spada PR 5 June 2010 http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/Wiadomosci/1,80271,7975977,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Kaczynski_lagodzi_wizerunek_i.html pl 5 June 46.5 32.4 6.1 4.4 2.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0 6.4 14.1 SMG/KRC Millward Brown Wybory 2010. Sondaż: Komorowski i PO tracą poparcie TVN24 4 June 2010 http://wybory.gazeta.pl/wybory/1,106728,7975086,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Komorowski_i_PO_traca_poparcie.html pl 4 June 42 31 6 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 15 11 PBS DGA Sondaż: Komorowski traci, ale nadal ma prawie 50 proc. poparcia Gazeta Wyborcza 2 June 2010 http://www.tokfm.pl/Tokfm/1,102433,7964752,Sondaz__Komorowski_traci__ale_nadal_ma_prawie_50_proc_.html pl 3 June 2010 8 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120308000110/http://wybory.gazeta.pl/wybory/1,106728,7964752,Sondaz__Komorowski_traci__ale_nadal_ma_prawie_50_proc_.html dead 2 June 48 33 8 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 15 SMG/KRC Millward Brown Kandydat PO prowadzi. Napieralski znów w górę TVN24 31 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/kandydat-po-prowadzi-napieralski-znow-w-gore,1,3234586,aktualnosc.html pl 31 May 46 30 9 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 5 16 Homo Homini Wybory 2010. Sondaż: Komorowski zyskuje, Kaczyński traci. Będzie druga tura? PR 29 May 2010 http://www.tokfm.pl/Tokfm/1,102433,7951011,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Komorowski_zyskuje__Kaczynski.html pl 3 June 2010 15 September 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120915011853/http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/1,114873,7951011,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Komorowski_zyskuje__Kaczynski.html dead 29 May 47.6 32.5 6.1 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 5.6 15.1 GfK PoloniaWybory 2010. Sondaż: Kaczyński traci 8 proc. Komorowski wygrywa w I turze TVP 21 May 2010 http://www.tokfm.pl/Tokfm/1,102433,7919457,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Kaczynski_traci_8_proc__Komorowski.html pl 3 June 2010 25 August 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120825225509/http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/1,114873,7919457,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Kaczynski_traci_8_proc__Komorowski.html dead 22 May 53 28 4 3 4 4 3 1 0 0 25 SMG/KRC Millward BrownSondaż: duża przewaga marszałka TVN24 17 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/sondaz-duza-przewaga-marszalka,1,3226469,aktualnosc.html pl 17 May 49 29 3 2 3 3 1 1 0 0 7 20 Homo Homini Sondaż: Kaczyński coraz bliżej Komorowskiego PR 15 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/sondaz-kaczynski-coraz-blizej-komorowskiego,1,3225385,aktualnosc.html pl 15 May 42.2 35.9 4.7 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.7 1.9 0 0 6 6.3 GfK Polonia Sondaż: Komorowski dystansuje Kaczyńskiego Rzeczpospolita 15 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/sondaz-komorowski-dystansuje-kaczynskiego,1,3225329,aktualnosc.html pl 15 May 48 30 5 2 4 2 2 1 0 0 6 18 TNS OBOP 7–10 May 949 45 33 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 12 12 GfK Polonia Najnowszy sondaż: Komorowski słabnie, Kaczyński 28 proc. Rzeczpospolita 12 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/najnowszy-sondaz-komorowski-slabnie-kaczynski-28-p,1,3223335,aktualnosc.html pl 12 May 41 28 4 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 16 13 SMG/KRC Millward BrownWybory 2010. Nowy sondaż. Komorowski bez zmian, Kaczyńskiemu rośnie poparcie gazeta.pl 10 May 2010 http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/Wiadomosci/1,80708,7865351,Wybory_2010__Nowy_sondaz__Komorowski_bez_zmian__Kaczynskiemu.html pl 10 May 45 34 5 4 3 1 2 1 0 0 11 CBOS 8–13 May 1,000 50 27 5 3 3 2 2 1 0 0 8 23 TNS OBOP Wybory 2010: Komorowski – 50 proc., Kaczyński – 36 proc. (TNS OBOP) gazeta.pl 7 May 2010 http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/Wiadomosci/1,80708,7856499,Wybory_2010__Komorowski___50_proc___Kaczynski___36.html pl dead https://web.archive.org/web/20100512191729/http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/Wiadomosci/1,80708,7856499,Wybory_2010__Komorowski___50_proc___Kaczynski___36.html 12 May 2010 dmy-all 6 May 1,000 50 36 4 3 2 2 1 1 14 26 April Jaroslaw Kaczyński enters the race 10 April Lech Kaczyński dies from plane crash CBOS 4–10 March 995 38 5 3 1 0 41Lech Kaczyński — 20, Szmajdziński — 2, Nałęcz — 1, Dorn — 1, Others — 17 12 18 CBOS 4–10 February 1,021 28 8 2 4 0 42Lech Kaczyński — 18, Szmajdziński — 3, Nałęcz — 0, Others — 21 16 10 CBOS 7–13 January 1,052 2 1 5 1 52Tusk — 20, Lech Kaczyński — 14, Cimoszewicz — 4, Szmajdziński — 3, Jolanta Kwaśniewska — 2, Aleksander Kwaśniewski — 2, Sikorski — 2, Kalinowski — 1, Others — 4 39 6
Second round
Date Institute Candidate Undecided Source Bronisław Komorowski Jarosław Kaczyński 7 May 2010 TNS OBOP 61% 39% – 10 May 2010 SMG/KRC 54% 41% 5% 12 May 2010 GfK Polonia 53% 34% 13% 14 May 2010 TNS OBOP 55% 39% 6% Sondaż: ponad połowa wyborców chce zagłosować na Komorowskiego PAP 14 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/sondaz-ponad-polowa-wyborcow-chce-zaglosowac-na-ko,1,3225077,aktualnosc.html pl 17 May 2010 SMG/KRC Millward Brown 58% 33% 9% Sondaż: duża przewaga marszałka TVN24 17 May 2010 http://wybory.onet.pl/prezydenckie-2010/aktualnosci/sondaz-duza-przewaga-marszalka,1,3226469,aktualnosc.html pl 2 June 2010 PBS DGA 64% 36% – Sondaż: Komorowski traci, ale nadal ma prawie 50 proc. poparcia Gazeta Wyborcza 2 June 2010 http://www.tokfm.pl/Tokfm/1,102433,7964752,Sondaz__Komorowski_traci__ale_nadal_ma_prawie_50_proc_.html pl 3 June 2010 8 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120308000110/http://wybory.gazeta.pl/wybory/1,106728,7964752,Sondaz__Komorowski_traci__ale_nadal_ma_prawie_50_proc_.html dead 4 June 2010 SMG/KRC Millward Brown 56% 35% 9% Wybory 2010. Sondaż: Komorowski i PO tracą poparcie TVN24 4 June 2010 http://wybory.gazeta.pl/wybory/1,106728,7975086,Wybory_2010__Sondaz__Komorowski_i_PO_traca_poparcie.html pl 9 June 2010 SMG/KRC Millward Brown 54% 36% 7% 16 June 2010 SMG/KRC Millward Brown 60% 40% – 18 June 2010 MillwardBrown SMG/KRC 56% 33% 11% 30 June – 1 July 2010 TNS OBOP 45% 37% 18% pl Sondaże: Drugą turę wygra Komorowski 1 July 2010 GfK Polonia 47% 49% 4% pl Pomorska.pl https://web.archive.org/web/20110728040420/http://www.pomorska.pl/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20100701%2FWYBORY_PREZYDENCKIE_2010%2F50609685 28 July 2011 2 July 2010 Millward Brown SMG/KRC 51% 44% 5% pl Ostatni sondaż SMG/KRC przed wyborami: Komorowski górą https://web.archive.org/web/20100705132935/http://www.tvn24.pl/0,1663324,0,1,sondaz-smgkrc-komorowski-gora,wiadomosc.html 5 July 2010 2 July 2010 Homo Homini 47.6% 45.2% 7.2%
Results
thumb|255px|Results of the first round
thumb|220px|Second round voting card
There were 10 candidates in the first round of voting. Bronisław Komorowski of Civic Platform received 41.5% and Jarosław Kaczyński of Law and Justice received 36.5%, causing a second round of voting between the two. The other eight candidates were eliminated.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10503555 Bronislaw Komorowski declared president of Poland 5 July 2010 BBC News BBC 5 July 2010
Soon after exit polls were released in the second round, Jarosław Kaczyński conceded that he had been defeated. Bronisław Komorowski appeared to tentatively claim victory, stating: "Tonight we will open a small bottle of champagne and tomorrow we will open a big bottle."https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10503555 Kaczynski accepts Polish election defeat 4 July 2010 BBC News BBC 4 July 2010 The exit polls put Komorowski ahead of Kaczyński by 53% to 47%.http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/07/05/2944462.htm?section=world https://archive.today/20120722031150/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/07/05/2944462.htm?section=world dead 22 July 2012 Liberal beats bereaved twin in Polish vote 5 July 2010 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation 4 July 2010 On the following day, Komorowski was declared the winner of the election.https://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5ir8JleEyG0Yo_1nhoC5R225rcGjAD9GP26B80 Komorowski win strengthens Polish government Gera Vanessa 5 July 2010 Associated Press 5 July 2010June 2024 medicmedic The final result put Komorowski with 53.01% of the vote, and Kaczyński with 46.99%.
Komorowski's win resulted in Civic Platform holding both the Presidency and the government (under Prime Minister Donald Tusk).https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/poland/7873488/Polands-liberals-dominate-after-dead-presidents-twin-defeated.html Poland's liberals dominate after dead president's twin defeated 5 July 2010 The Daily Telegraph 5 July 2010 London Our Foreign Correspondents in US and British business newspapers suggested that Komorowski's win would mean closer engagement with the European Union,https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052748703620604575348772126843284?mod=googlenews_wsj Poland Vote Strengthens European Ties Fairclough Gordon 5 July 2010 The Wall Street Journal 5 July 2010 and such domestic economic reforms as deficit reduction.https://www.ft.com/content/12d2922a-8859-11df-aade-00144feabdc0 Poland poised for vital reforms Buckley Neil 5 July 2010 Financial Times Pearson PLC 5 July 2010
Bronisław Komorowski Civic Platform 6981319 8933887 Jarosław Kaczyński Law and Justice 6128255 7919134 Grzegorz Napieralski Democratic Left Alliance 2299870 Janusz Korwin-Mikke Liberty and Lawfulness 416898 Waldemar Pawlak Polish People's Party 294273 Andrzej Olechowski Independent (SD) 242439 Andrzej Lepper Self-Defense of the Republic of Poland 214657 Marek Jurek Right Wing of the Republic 177315 Bogusław Ziętek Polish Labour Party - August 80 29548 #FF0000 Kornel Morawiecki Independent (SW) 21596 #D4213D 117662 197396 30813005 30833924 PKW, PKW
Vote share #ddd 600px 500px Second round
Komorowski Civic Platform 53.01
J. Kaczyński Law and Justice 46.99
First round
Komorowski Civic Platform 41.54
J. Kaczyński Law and Justice 36.46
Napieralski Democratic Left Alliance (Poland) 13.68
Korwin-Mikke Liberty and Lawfulness 2.48
Pawlak Polish People's Party 1.75
Olechowski Alliance of Democrats (Poland) 1.44
Lepper Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland 1.28
Jurek Right Wing of the Republic 1.06
Others #777777 0.31
Analysis
A post-election poll by Centre for Public Opinion Research showed a divergence from the official results, with Jarosław Kaczyński underperfoming in the poll and Bronisław Komorowski overperforming, especially in the second round — in the poll, Kaczyński only received 37.2% in the second round, whereas he received 47% in the election. Given this disparity, in the poll, 5% of Kaczyński's second-round voters had supported Grzegorz Napieralski in the first round, compared with 16% of Komorowski's electorate. 81% of Kaczyński's second-round electorate stated they were voting for Kaczyński rather than against Komorowski, while the equivalent figure among Komorowski's voters was 63%. The poll also indicated that more frequent churchgoers were more likely to vote for Kaczyński in the second round.2010-08-11 DMY Roguska Beata Po wyborach prezydenckich https://www.cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/raporty_tekst.php?id=4220 CBOS 2025-10-20
Aftermath
The atmosphere of the election heavily discouraged negative campaigning, given the president Lech Kaczyński's death and the fact that his brother, Jarosław Kaczyński, was a presidential candidate. Both Kaczyński and Komorowski utilized what the media dubbed "politics of love". This allowed Jarosław Kaczyński to improve his hitherto very negative reputation — according to March 2010 polls, only 29% of Poles trusted Jarosław Kaczyński, associating him with unethical and corrupt tactics that he resorted to as prime minister between 2006 and 2007 to eliminate Law and Justice's coalition partners, Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland and League of Polish Families, from the political life. In May 2010, 42% of poll correspondents trusted Kaczyński, and by the end of the election, 57% saw him positively, 42% neutrally, and 1% negatively. Using conciliatory rhetoric, Kaczyński was able to present himself as a "Polish Job" and a "father of the nation".Paweł Jakubowski Kampania prezydencka 2010 w Polsce. Analiza strategii i technik wyborczych Presidential campaign 2010 in Poland – analysis of electoral Consensus – Studenckie Zeszyty Naukowe 14 2010 https://open.icm.edu.pl/items/eb0ab604-f4cb-4ee7-927e-ac286b145b0a Repozytorium Otwartych Publikacji Naukowych pl 20-21
Despite his victory, the election was considered to have gone poorly for Bronisław Komorowski. Initially, his campaign heavily relied on attacking Kaczyński; the libertarian wing of PO represented by Janusz Palikot harshly attacked Kaczyński, and Komorowski's campaign also aired spots meant to ridicule Kaczyński and portray his as insincere and hypocritical. Negative campaigning backfired, and given Kaczyński's marked rise in the polls towards the end of campaign, put Komorowski and his political environment on the defensive. Prime Minister Donald Tusk heavily involved himself in Komorowski's campaign, while Komorowski vigorously attended meetings across Poland and utilized public institutions to gain votes, including having the government send letters to thousands of soldiers assuring them that the existing pension system would be maintained. Political scientist Paweł Jakubowski stated that Komorowski's campaign was marred by "a lack of coordination and an ineffective narrative", and "failed to reflect the changed situation brought about by the mood of mourning and the floods."Paweł Jakubowski Kampania prezydencka 2010 w Polsce. Analiza strategii i technik wyborczych Presidential campaign 2010 in Poland – analysis of electoral Consensus – Studenckie Zeszyty Naukowe 14 2010 https://open.icm.edu.pl/items/eb0ab604-f4cb-4ee7-927e-ac286b145b0a Repozytorium Otwartych Publikacji Naukowych pl 18-19 Jakubowski argued:[Komorowski's] narrow victory calls into question the effectiveness of the Marshal’s campaign team, which needed a major mobilisation in the face of unfavourable polls. Paradoxically – despite the defeat – Jarosław Kaczyński can claim success, as he achieved the party’s strategic objectives. Firstly, he managed to mobilise the broad coalition that emerged after 10 April. He succeeded in seamlessly taking over the electorate from his late brother, as well as expanding it, thereby rebuilding the patriotic-nationalist bloc following the defeat in 2007. The second point is the setting of the campaign agenda and the effective framing of events. A change in image and rhetoric allowed the vision of the “Fourth Republic” to be pushed into the background, relying instead on sentiment and emotion.Paweł Jakubowski Kampania prezydencka 2010 w Polsce. Analiza strategii i technik wyborczych Presidential campaign 2010 in Poland – analysis of electoral Consensus – Studenckie Zeszyty Naukowe 14 2010 https://open.icm.edu.pl/items/eb0ab604-f4cb-4ee7-927e-ac286b145b0a Repozytorium Otwartych Publikacji Naukowych pl 41
The election was also considered a success for Grzegorz Napieralski and his party, the Democratic Left Alliance. Napieralski was able to overcome the opposition within his own party, as initially Napieralski polled poorly (below 6%) and the party's key members considered removing Napieralski from party leadership. Ultimately, Napieralski won almost 14% of the popular vote, which was seen as "a personal success and a surprise to many political observers". He consolidated and expanded the Democratic Left Alliance's electorate, gained a mandate to continue leading the party, which maintained its position as the third political force.Paweł Jakubowski Kampania prezydencka 2010 w Polsce. Analiza strategii i technik wyborczych Presidential campaign 2010 in Poland – analysis of electoral Consensus – Studenckie Zeszyty Naukowe 14 2010 https://open.icm.edu.pl/items/eb0ab604-f4cb-4ee7-927e-ac286b145b0a Repozytorium Otwartych Publikacji Naukowych pl 26-27
However, the consequences of the election proved to be short-lived. In the 2011 Polish parliamentary election, the Democratic Left Alliance lost half its seats, which was considered an unmitigated disaster and led to Napieralski quickly resigning as the party leader.https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/napieralski-rezygnuje-z-funkcji-szefa-sld-6082138585526913a Wirtualna Polska Napieralski rezygnuje z funkcji szefa SLD 10 October 2011 pl Meanwhile, Kaczyński's better-than-expected election result did not strengthen Law and Justice, as the party quickly regressed after the campaign ended and underperformed in 2011, achieving a slightly worse result compared to its 2007 performance.243 19 Politologiczne Studia i Analizy pl Mariusz Kolczyński Strategia wysokiego ryzyka – wyborczy rebranding Jarosława Kaczyńskiego https://www.studiapolitologiczne.pl/Strategia-wysokiego-ryzyka-n-wyborczy-rebranding-nJaroslawa-Kaczynskiego,117456,0,1.html 2011 1640-8888 1
Notes
References
External links
The official election site of the Polish Election Committee pl
Category:Presidential elections in Poland
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Category:June 2010 elections
Category:July 2010 elections