2016 United States Senate election in Iowa

none January 2026 January 2026 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa Iowa Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg presidential no 2010 United States Senate election in Iowa 2010 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa 2022 November 8, 2016 150x150px File:Chuck Grassley official photo 2017 (cropped).jpg Chuck Grassley Republican Party (United States) 926,007 60.09% File: Patty Judge (cropped rotate).jpg Patty Judge Democratic Party (United States) 549,460 35.66% 240px County results 240px Congressional district results 240px Precinct results 1 220px Grassley: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Judge: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90%Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley Republican Party (United States) Chuck Grassley Republican Party (United States) The 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley won reelection to a seventh term in office. Primary elections were held June 7, 2016,Iowa Secretary of State, Primary Election, sos.iowa.gov with Grassley facing no primary opposition, and former lieutenant governor Patty Judge winning the Democratic nomination. Grassley won a seventh term in a sixth consecutive landslide and outperformed Donald Trump, who also won the state that year; nevertheless, this represented Grassley's worst re-election performance at the time since his first race in 1980, until 6 years later when Michael Franken would not only make Grassley fall below 60% of the vote, but also cut his winning percentage in half and flip several counties (namely Black Hawk, Linn, Story and Polk) that Grassley carried in this election.Miller Stephen https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/11/09/republican-chuck-grassley-wins-iowa-us-senate-race-beats-mike-franken/69611362007/ Republican Chuck Grassley wins eighth term, defeats Mike Franken in Iowa US Senate race Des Moines Register 16 February 2023 Background Republican Chuck Grassley was first elected to the Senate in 1980, defeating Democratic incumbent John Culver by 53% to 46%. Since then, Grassley has been re-elected five times, most recently in 2010, on each occasion taking at least 64% of the vote. Despite speculation that Grassley, who turned 83 years old in 2016, might retire,Matt Kelley Senator Grassley not ready to consider joining Harkin in retirement http://www.radioiowa.com/2013/01/29/senator-grassley-not-ready-to-consider-joining-harkin-in-retirment May 22, 2014 Radio Iowa January 29, 2013 he announced in September 2013 that he was "making plans to run for re-election", but added that "it's not taking much of my time. I'm concentrating on doing my job for Iowans."Livingston Abby Grassley Planning to Run Again in 2016 http://atr.rollcall.com/grassley-planning-to-run-again-in-2016 September 20, 2013 Roll Call September 20, 2013 September 21, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130921060632/http://atr.rollcall.com/grassley-planning-to-run-again-in-2016/ dead Republican primary Candidates Declared Chuck Grassley, incumbent senatorhttp://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2015/03/30/first-big-fundraiser-will-kick-grassleys-re-election-campaign/70664406 And he's off: Event kicks off Grassley's re-election campaign The Des Moines Register Jacobs Jennifer Noble Jason March 31, 2015 March 31, 2015 Withdrawn Robert Rees, talk radio hosthttp://iowafreepress.com/2016/01/19/primary-challenger-to-announce-against-grassley https://web.archive.org/web/20160125030406/http://iowafreepress.com/2016/01/19/primary-challenger-to-announce-against-grassley/ usurped January 25, 2016 Primary Challenger Announces Against Grassley Iowa Free Press Porter Jake January 19, 2016 February 14, 2016http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/02/12/ia-sen-robert-rees-challenging-chuck-grassley-in-gop-primary IA-Sen: Robert Rees challenging Chuck Grassley in GOP primary Bleeding Heartland February 12, 2016 February 14, 2016http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/03/15/ia-sen-robert-rees-ends-gop-primary-challenge-to-chuck-grassley IA-Sen: Robert Rees ends GOP primary challenge to Chuck Grassley Bleeding Heartland March 15, 2016 March 17, 2016 Declined Pat Grassley, state representative and grandson of Chuck Grassleyhttps://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/2016-senate-races-113837_Page2.html 16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate December 29, 2014 December 29, 2014 Politico Cheney Kyle Steve King, U.S. RepresentativeCahn Emily Hawkeye Politicians Finally See Some Opportunity in 2014 Farm Team http://www.rollcall.com/news/hawkeye_politicians_finally_see_some_opportunity_in_2014_farm_team-225974-1.html August 14, 2013 Roll Call June 26, 2013 September 2026 InternetArchiveBot Tom Latham, former U.S. Representative Results Republican primary resultshttps://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2016/primary/canvsummary.pdf Official Results Iowa Secretary of State July 21, 2016 Chuck Grassley (Incumbent) Republican Party (United States) 90,089 98.36% Write-ins Republican Party (United States) 1,500 1.64% 91,589 100.00% Democratic primary Candidates Declared Tom Fiegen, former state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 Rob Hogg, state senatorhttp://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2015/09/21/hogg-seek-grassleys-seat-us-senate/72599768 Hogg to seek Grassley's seat in U.S. Senate Des Moines Register Petroski William September 21, 2015 September 22, 2015 Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor and former Iowa Secretary of Agriculturehttp://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2016/02/25/challenge-grassley-patty-judge-thinking/80931534 Challenge Grassley? Patty Judge is thinking about it The Des Moines Register Noble Jason February 25, 2016 February 25, 2016 https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/04/us/politics/charles-grassley-patty-judge-iowa-senate-race.html Charles Grassley Faces Formidable Challenger in Iowa Senate Race The New York Times Jennifer Steinhauer March 3, 2016 March 3, 2016http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2016/03/04/patty-judge-makes-official-shes-running-senate/81311838 It's official: Patty Judge challenges Chuck Grassley The Des Moines Register Noble Jason March 4, 2016 March 4, 2016 Bob Krause, former state representative, nominee for state treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/01/02/krause-ends-bid-for-governor-endorses-fellow-democrat-hatch Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch Des Moines Register January 2, 2014 January 3, 2014 https://archive.today/20140103155511/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/01/02/krause-ends-bid-for-governor-endorses-fellow-democrat-hatch January 3, 2014 dead mdy-all Withdrawn Ray Zirkelbach, former state representativehttp://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/zirkelbach-is-fourth-candidate-in-democratic-us-senate-race-20151107 Zirkelbach is fourth candidate in Democratic U.S. Senate race The Gazette Lynch James Q. November 7, 2015 February 14, 2016http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/02/26/ia-sen-patty-judge-thinking-about-challenging-chuck-grassley IA-Sen: Patty Judge thinking about challenging Chuck Grassley Bleeding Heartland February 26, 2016 February 26, 2016 Declined Christie Vilsack, former First Lady of Iowa and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2012 Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former governor of Iowa Chet Culver, former governor of Iowahttps://twitter.com/jasonnobleDMR/status/705813313494585344 Former Iowa Gov. Chet Culver tells me he WILL NOT run for Congress or any other political office in 2016 Twitter Noble Jason March 4, 2016 March 4, 2016 Michael Gronstal, Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate and Chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committeehttp://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2016/01/26/61-legislators-endorse-hoggs-us-senate-bid/79372958 61 legislators endorse Hogg's U.S. Senate bid The Des Moines Register Petroski William January 26, 2016 February 14, 2016 Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)http://www.radioiowa.com/2015/04/21/loebsack-in-des-moines-to-talk-2016-campaign-strategy Loebsack in Des Moines to talk 2016 campaign strategy Radio Iowa Henderson O. Kay April 21, 2015 July 23, 2015 Andy McGuire, chairwoman of the Iowa Democratic Party and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2006 Tyler Olson, former state representative, former chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party, and candidate for governor in 2014http://iowastartingline.com/2015/05/28/rumor-roundup-ravi-patels-super-pac-webbs-loss-adams-in-bertrand-for-governor Rumor Roundup: Ravi Patel's Super PAC, Webb's Loss, Adams In, Bertrand for Governor Iowa Starting Line Rynard Pat May 28, 2015 May 28, 2015http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2016/03/07/two-bizarre-takes-on-the-ia-sen-democratic-primary Two bizarre takes on the IA-Sen Democratic primary Bleeding Heartland March 7, 2016 March 8, 2016 Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error PattyJudge RobHogg BobKrause TomFiegen None/Other UndecidedDes Moines RegisterDes Moines Register May 30 – June 2, 2016 542 ± 4.2% 42% 25% 6% 5% 6% 15%KBUR-AM 1490KBUR-AM 1490 May 31 – June 1, 2016 1,361 ± 3.0% 37% 31% 3% 6% – 23% Results thumb|240px|Results by county: #eeaaff Fiegen—30–40% #37c837 Hogg—60–70% #5fd35f Hogg—50–60% #87de87 Hogg—40–50% #afe9af Hogg—30–40% #214478 Judge—80–90% #2c5aa0 Judge—70–80% #3771c8 Judge—60–70% #5f8dd3 Judge—50–60% #87aade Judge—40–50% Democratic primary results Patty Judge Democratic Party (United States) 46,322 47.62% Rob Hogg Democratic Party (United States) 37,801 38.86% Tom Fiegen Democratic Party (United States) 6,573 6.76% Bob Krause Democratic Party (United States) 6,425 6.60% Write-ins Democratic Party (United States) 154 0.16% 97,275 100.00% General election Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139360 The Cook Political Report March 26, 2021 Likely R November 2, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball2016 Senate http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19, 2016 Safe R November 7, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report2016 Senate Ratings https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2016-senate-ratings-november-3-2016 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016 Safe R November 3, 2016 Daily KosDaily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/8/1593119/-Daily-Kos-Election-2016-forecast-The-final-version Daily Kos March 27, 2021 Safe R November 8, 2016 Real Clear PoliticsBattle for the Senate 2016 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/2016_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics October 28, 2016 Safe R November 7, 2016 Debates Dates Location Grassley Judge LinkOctober 19, 2016Sioux City, IowaParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN Polling Opinion polling for the 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa.chart Opinion polling for the 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa.tab 700px Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChuckGrassley (R) PattyJudge (D) Other UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,781 ± 4.6% 57% 39% — 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 1,598 ± 4.6% 56% 39% — 5%Des Moines Register/SelzerDes Moines Register/Selzer November 1–4, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 56% 33% 2% 4%Emerson CollegeEmerson College November 1–3, 2016 700 ± 3.6% 60% 32% 4% 5%Loras CollegeLoras College https://web.archive.org/web/20161106122738/http://www.loras.edu/news/clinton-trump-tight-race-iowa-grassley-young-blum-leads-loras-college-poll-finds/ November 6, 2016 November 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 53% 37% 1% 8%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 1,469 ± 4.6% 57% 39% — 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 1,226 ± 4.6% 57% 40% — 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 867 ± 4.6% 56% 41% — 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 984 ± 4.6% 56% 41% — 3%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University https://web.archive.org/web/20190730194944/https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10282016_Sbw72uv.pdf/ July 30, 2019 October 20–26, 2016 791 ± 3.5% 56% 38% — 5%Washington Post/SurveyMonkeyWashington Post/SurveyMonkey https://web.archive.org/web/20161019223402/http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/surveymonkey-15-state-poll/2103/ October 19, 2016 October 8–16, 2016 1,135 ± 0.5% 56% 40% — 5%Google Consumer SurveysGoogle Consumer Surveys October 12–14, 2016 523 ± 4.2% 56% 41% — 3%The Times-Picayune/LucidThe Times-Picayune/Lucid October 7–10, 2016 917 ± 3.0% 51% 39% — 11%Des Moines Register/SelzerDes Moines Register/Selzer October 3–6, 2016 642 ± 3.5% 53% 36% 2% 6%Loras CollegeLoras College September 20–22, 2016 491 ± 4.4% 54% 37% — 9%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University https://web.archive.org/web/20160924022044/https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps09232016_Sqh86by.pdf September 24, 2016 September 13–21, 2016 612 ± 4.0% 55% 43% — 2%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University September 12–14, 2016 404 ± 4.9% 56% 39% 2% 3%RABA ResearchRABA Research https://web.archive.org/web/20160913211051/http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Simpson-College-Survey-September-12-2016.pdf September 13, 2016 September 6–8, 2016 1,054 ± 3.0% 50% 37% — 13%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Aug 31–Sept 1, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 51% 40% 3% 6%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 30–31, 2016 827 ± 3.4% 49% 43% — 8%CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov August 17–19, 2016 987 ± 4.0% 45% 38% 1% 15%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University https://web.archive.org/web/20161014103745/https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps08182016_Sjd43tz.pdf October 14, 2016 August 9–16, 2016 846 ± 3.4% 51% 42% — 6%Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University August 8–10, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 52% 42% — 6%NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist August 3–7, 2016 899 ± 3.3% 52% 42% 1% 5%CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov July 13–15, 2016 998 ± 4.8% 45% 37% 2% 16%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University July 8–11, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 52% 42% — 6%NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–10, 2016 822 ± 3.4% 52% 42% 1% 5%Loras CollegeLoras College https://web.archive.org/web/20160703161543/http://www.loras.edu/news/clinton-leads-trump-grassley-judge-tight-race-loras-college-poll-finds/ July 3, 2016 June 24–28, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 46% 45% — 9%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 22–23, 2016 897 ± 3.3% 46% 39% — 14%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 9–13, 2016 630 ± 3.9% 48% 41% — 11% background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base); with Rob Hogg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChuckGrassley (R) RobHogg (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling January 8–10, 2016 1,901 ± 2.3% 52% 28% 19%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling December 10–13, 2015 1,426 ± 2.6% 54% 29% 17%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 2015 1,668 ± 2.4% 53% 29% 18%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 1,500 ± 2.5% 52% 28% 20% August 2016 with Tom Fiegen Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChuckGrassley (R) TomFiegen (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling January 8–10, 2016 1,901 ± 2.3% 53% 29% 18%Public Policy Polling December 10–13, 2015 1,426 ± 2.6% 54% 29% 16%Public Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 2015 1,668 ± 2.4% 54% 30% 16%Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 1,500 ± 2.5% 53% 30% 17% with Bob Krause Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChuckGrassley (R) BobKrause (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling January 8–10, 2016 1,901 ± 2.3% 52% 28% 20%Public Policy Polling December 10–13, 2015 1,426 ± 2.6% 53% 28% 19%Public Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 2015 1,668 ± 2.4% 52% 28% 21%Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 1,500 ± 2.5% 51% 29% 20% with Tom Vilsack Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChuckGrassley (R) TomVilsack (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 25–28, 2014 1,192 ± 2.8% 51% 42% 7%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 49% 39% 12%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 48% 41% 11% Results United States Senate election in Iowa, 2016https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2016/general/canvsummary.pdf Official Results General Election Iowa Secretary of State December 19, 2016 Republican Party (United States) Chuck Grassley (incumbent) 926,007 60.09% -4.26% Democratic Party (United States) Patty Judge 549,460 35.66% +2.36% Libertarian Party (United States) Charles Aldrich 41,794 2.71% +0.44% Independent (United States) Jim Hennager 17,649 1.15% N/A Independent (United States) Michael Luick-Thrams 4,441 0.29% N/A n/a Write-ins 1,685 0.11% +0.03% 1,541,036 100.0% N/A Republican Party (United States) By congressional district Grassley won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::2d801234-32b3-4a96-a64c-82e27c460716 DRA 2020 Daves Redistricting District Grassley Judge RepresentativeIowa 1 1st 58% 38%Rod BlumIowa 2 2nd 56% 39%Dave LoebsackIowa 3 3rd 58% 37%David YoungIowa 4 4th 68% 28%Steve King References External links Official campaign websites (Archived) Chuck Grassley (R) for Senate Patty Judge (D) for Senate Iowa 2016 United States Senate