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2004 United States presidential election in Idaho
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2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Idaho Idaho presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Idaho 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Idaho 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px File:George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 4 409,235 68.38% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 181,098 30.26% 200px County results 200px Congressional district results 200px Precinct results
Bush
#f2b3be 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90%
#800000 90–100%
Kerry
#B9D7FF 40–50%
#86B6F2 50–60%
#4389E3 60–70%
#1666CB 70–80%
No Data
#808080 President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 75.0% (of registered voters) 60.2% (of voting age population)
The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho was held on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1 point margin of victory. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee had won the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and even then, the race was closely contested. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County.
With 68.38 percent of the popular vote, Idaho would prove to be Bush's third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming.https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2004&f=0&off=0&elect=0 2004 Presidential Election Statistics Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections 2018-03-05
Caucuses
2004 Idaho Democratic presidential caucuses
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 17 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm 21 November 2010 usurped
+SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid RAssociated PressSolid RCNNLikely RCook Political ReportSolid RNewsweekSolid RNew York TimesSolid RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Solid RWashington PostLikely RWashington TimesSolid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R
Polling
Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=16 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections uselectionatlas.org 26 January 2022 https://archive.today/20120716053016/http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=16 16 July 2012 dead
Fundraising
Bush raised $371,495.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-20 Kerry raised $359,011.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-20
Advertising and visits
Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-20http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-20
Analysis
With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliable GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995.
Results
2004 United States presidential election in Idahohttps://www.fec.gov/introduction-campaign-finance/election-results-and-voting-information/ https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Election results and voting information May 13, 2009 FEC.gov deadPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 409,235 68.38% 4 Democratic John Kerry 181,098 30.26% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 3,844 0.64% 0 Constitution Michael Peroutka 3,084 0.52% 0 Write In Ralph Nader 1,115 0.19% 0 Write In David Cobb 58 0.01% 0 Write In John Joseph Kennedy 9 <0.01% 0 Write In Walt Brown 3 <0.01% 0 Totals 598,447100.00% 4 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.2%
Results by county
CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal votes cast # % # % # % # %Ada94,64161.05%58,52337.75%1,8661.20%36,11823.30%155,030Adams1,46871.16%55526.90%401.94%91344.26%2,063Bannock21,47961.64%12,90337.03%4621.33%8,57624.61%34,844Bear Lake2,50682.43%49416.25%401.32%2,01266.18%3,040Benewah2,82369.70%1,14828.35%791.95%1,67541.35%4,050Bingham12,73476.87%3,60521.76%2261.37%9,12955.11%16,565Blaine4,03439.76%5,99259.05%1211.19% -1,958 -19.29%10,147Boise2,50170.91%97027.50%561.59%1,53143.41%3,527Bonner10,69760.49%6,64937.60%3381.91%4,04822.89%17,684Bonneville30,04877.30%8,35621.50%4671.20%21,69255.80%38,871Boundary3,01268.78%1,26828.96%992.26%1,74439.82%4,379Butte1,07776.60%32122.83%80.57%75653.77%1,406Camas45075.63%13923.36%61.01%31152.27%595Canyon41,59974.69%13,41524.09%6841.22%28,18450.60%55,698Caribou2,75383.91%49114.96%371.13%2,26268.95%3,281Cassia6,56283.90%1,15314.74%1061.36%5,40969.16%7,821Clark30285.55%4613.03%51.42%25672.52%353Clearwater2,83970.38%1,11727.69%781.93%1,72242.69%4,034Custer1,76274.72%55923.71%371.57%1,20351.01%2,358Elmore6,01174.57%1,95924.30%911.13%4,05250.27%8,061Franklin4,52789.57%4569.02%711.41%4,07180.55%5,054Fremont4,96586.06%74112.84%631.10%4,22473.22%5,769Gem5,41675.92%1,62822.82%901.26%3,78853.10%7,134Gooding3,97374.61%1,27824.00%741.39%2,69550.61%5,325Idaho6,01775.50%1,68921.19%2643.31%4,32854.31%7,970Jefferson7,70386.49%1,08412.17%1191.34%6,61974.32%8,906Jerome5,17778.68%1,34420.43%590.89%3,83358.25%6,580Kootenai36,17366.25%17,58432.20%8461.55%18,58934.05%54,603Latah8,68649.48%8,43048.03%4372.49%2561.45%17,553Lemhi3,07975.93%91522.56%611.51%2,16453.37%4,055Lewis1,35974.67%44024.18%211.15%91950.49%1,820Lincoln1,38873.99%46624.84%221.17%92249.15%1,876Madison10,69391.89%8267.10%1181.01%9,86784.79%11,637Minidoka5,79780.50%1,33118.48%731.02%4,46662.02%7,201Nez Perce11,00962.20%6,47636.59%2151.21%4,53325.61%17,700Oneida1,78983.87%30414.25%401.88%1,48569.62%2,133Owyhee2,85979.64%68519.08%461.28%2,17460.56%3,590Payette6,25676.47%1,84822.59%770.94%4,40853.88%8,181Power2,10571.16%82928.03%240.81%1,27643.13%2,958Shoshone2,92254.75%2,33143.68%841.57%59111.07%5,337Teton2,23560.57%1,41638.37%391.06%81922.20%3,690Twin Falls19,67274.42%6,45824.43%3051.15%13,21449.99%26,435Valley2,86359.97%1,84338.60%681.43%1,02021.37%4,774Washington3,27475.11%1,03323.70%521.19%2,24151.41%4,359Totals409,23568.38%181,09830.26%8,1141.36%228,13738.12%598,447
right 180px Swing by county Legend #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5-15% #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% 180px Trend by county Legend #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5-15% #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15%
By congressional district
Bush won both congressional districts.https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2004&fips=16&f=0&off=0&elect=0&datatype=cd&def=1 Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data uselectionatlas.org
District Bush Kerry RepresentativeIdaho 1 1st 68% 30%Butch Otter Idaho 2 2nd 68% 30%Mike Simpson
Electors
List of 2004 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.
Pete T. Cenarrusa
Debbie Field
Sandra Patano
John Sandy
See also
United States presidential elections in Idaho
Presidency of George W. Bush
Notes
References
External links
Dave Leip's U.S. Election Atlas
Archives.gov
Category:2004 Idaho elections
Idaho
2004