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2016 United States Senate election in Vermont
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January 2026
January 2018
2016 United States Senate election in Vermont Vermont presidential no 2010 United States Senate election in Vermont 2010 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont 2022 November 8, 2016 150x150px File:Patrick Leahy 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg Patrick Leahy Democratic Party (United States) 192,243 61.26% File:Scott Milne -- Vermont politician and businessman -- 2017-05-15-3 (cropped).jpg Scott Milne Republican Party (United States) 103,637 33.03% x220px County results x220px Municipality results Leahy: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90%
Milne: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy Democratic Party (United States) Patrick Leahy Democratic Party (United States)
The 2016 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 9.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy, the most senior member in the Senate, the longest-serving U.S. Senator from Vermont, and the first Democrat to be elected to a Senate seat in Vermont, won re-election to a record eighth term in office, the final term he would serve.http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 Roll Call January 28, 2015 January 29, 2015 Emily Cahn Alexis Levinson https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ January 29, 2015 dead
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Cris Ericson, perennial candidate, later ran as Marijuana Party nominee (also ran for governor)http://www.rutlandherald.com/article/20160527/THISJUSTIN/305279996 Voters to see familiar faces and new races The Rutland Herald May 27, 2016 June 2, 2016 Josh O'Gorman https://web.archive.org/web/20160530192403/http://www.rutlandherald.com/article/20160527/THISJUSTIN/305279996 May 30, 2016 dead mdy-all
Patrick Leahy, incumbent U.S. Senator
Results
Democratic primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/VT Vermont Results Politico August 24, 2010 August 24, 2010 June 13, 2019 https://web.archive.org/web/20190613234450/https://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/VT dead
Patrick Leahy (incumbent) Democratic Party (United States) 62,412 89.15%
Cris Ericson Democratic Party (United States) 7,595 10.85%
70,007 100.00%
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Scott Milne, businessman, candidate for the State House in 2006 and nominee for governor in 2014http://www.sevendaysvt.com/OffMessage/archives/2015/10/05/scott-milne-considers-challenging-patrick-leahy Scott Milne Considers Challenging Patrick Leahy Seven Days Heintz Paul October 5, 2015 October 7, 2015http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/story/news/2016/05/26/milne-hopes-unseat-sen-leahy/84999986 Milne hopes to unseat Sen. Leahy The Burlington Free Press Gram Dave May 26, 2016 May 27, 2016
Liberty Union primary
This election was the last in which Diamondstone ran prior to his death in 2017. Diamondstone had run for Vermont statewide office in every biennial election since 1970.
Candidates
Declared
Peter Diamondstone, LU party co-founder, lawyer, and perennial candidate http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/story/news/politics/2016/05/26/candidate-registration-deadline-nears/84904788/
Candidates register to appear on ballots
The Burlington Free Press
June 5, 2016
Other candidacies
Declared
Jerry Trudell, independent candidate, environmental activist, candidate for House of Representatives in 2014 http://jerrytrudellforsenate.com Jerry Trudell for Senate VT October 24, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161025174709/http://www.jerrytrudellforsenate.com/ October 25, 2016 dead mdy-all
Cris Ericson, Marijuana Party perennial candidate, previously sought Democratic nomination
General election
Candidates
Patrick Leahy (D)
Scott Milne (R)
Jerry Trudell (I)
Peter Diamondstone (LU)
Cris Ericson (MJ)
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139360 The Cook Political Report March 26, 2021 Safe D November 2, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball2016 Senate http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19, 2016 Safe D November 7, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report2016 Senate Ratings https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2016-senate-ratings-november-3-2016 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016 Safe D November 3, 2016 Daily KosDaily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/8/1593119/-Daily-Kos-Election-2016-forecast-The-final-version Daily Kos March 27, 2021 Safe D November 8, 2016 Real Clear PoliticsBattle for the Senate 2016 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/2016_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics October 28, 2016 Safe D November 7, 2016
Debates
Dates Location Leahy Milne Ericson Trudell Diamondstone LinkOctober 18, 2016Burlington, VermontParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror PatrickLeahy (D) ScottMilne (R) Other UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 454 ± 4.6% 75% 24% — 1%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 447 ± 4.6% 75% 24% — 1%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 449 ± 4.6% 69% 28% — 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 424 ± 4.6% 65% 32% — 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 428 ± 4.6% 64% 34% — 2%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 436 ± 4.6% 64% 33% — 3%Braun Research/WCAXBraun Research/WCAX https://web.archive.org/web/20161027120850/http://www.wcax.com/story/33476242/wcax-poll-leahy-holds-strong-lead-over-milne October 27, 2016 October 19–22, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 64% 29% 3% 5%Castleton UniversityCastleton University September 29 – October 14, 2016 579 ± 3.9% 59% 22% 7% 10%Emerson CollegeEmerson College September 2–5, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 57% 34% 4% 5%Castleton UniversityCastleton University July 11–23, 2016 637 ± 3.9% 62% 23% 1% 11%
Results
United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016https://elections16.burlingtonfreepress.com/results/vermont/senate Burlington Free Press Vermont Election Results January 29, 2017 mdy-all July 2018 medicmedichttps://vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us/Index.html#/federal Official Results - General Election - November 8, 2016 Vermont Secretary of State November 8, 2016 December 28, 2016 May 28, 2019 https://web.archive.org/web/20190528035300/https://vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us/Index.html#/federal dead
Democratic Party (United States)
Patrick Leahy (incumbent)
192,243
61.26%
-3.10%
Republican Party (United States)
Scott Milne
103,637
33.03%
+2.10%
United States Marijuana Party
Cris Ericson
9,156
2.92%
+1.76%
Independent (United States)
Jerry Trudell
5,223
1.66%
N/A
Liberty Union Party
Peter Diamondstone
3,241
1.03%
+0.42%
309
0.10%
N/A
313,809
100.00%
N/A
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none
CountyPatrick LeahyDemocraticScott MilneRepublicanVarious candidatesOther parties#%#%#%Addison11,88262.44%6,29433.08%8534.38%Bennington10,24659.4%5,52732.04%1,4768.56%Caledonia7,34852.21%5,91041.99%8165.8%Chittenden57,33869.21%21,65426.14%3,8564.65%Essex1,32445.8%1,35646.9%2117.29%Franklin11,94855.63%8,52639.7%1,0044.67%Grand Isle2,36357.49%1,55637.86%1914.65%Lamoille7,90261.89%4,16332.61%7025.5%Orange8,07355.11%5,82339.75%7545.14%Orleans6,03350.39%5,19943.42%7416.19%Rutland15,40452.29%12,49242.41%1,5625.3%Washington19,62862.94%9,91431.79%1,6425.27%Windham14,72066.01%5,41024.26%2,1719.73%Windsor18,03460.52%9,81332.93%1,9506.55% Totals192,24361.26%103,63733.03%17,9295.71%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Essex (largest town: Lunenburg)
right 300px Shift by county 300px Trend by county
Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10−12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5−15% #00a1c8 Democratic — >15% 300px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#ca0120 Flip
References
External links
Official campaign websites (Archived)
Patrick Leahy (D) for Senate
(MJ) for Senate
Scott Milne (R) for Senate
Jerry Trudell (I) for Senate
Debates
Complete video of October 18, 2016 debate
Senate
Vermont
2016
Category:Patrick Leahy