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2015 Canarian regional election
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Election in the Spanish region of the Canary Islands
2015 Canarian regional election Canary Islands parliamentary no 2011 Canarian regional election 2011 2019 Canarian regional election 2019 All 60 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands 31 #Opinion polls 1,661,494 10px 5.1% 931,876 (56.1%)10px 2.8 pp 24 May 2015 170x170px Fernando Clavijo CCa–PNC 12 September 2014 Tenerife 21 seats, 24.9% 18 10px 3 166,979 18.2% 10px 6.7 pp 170x170px Patricia Hernández Socialist Party of the Canaries 19 October 2014 Tenerife 15 seats, 21.0% 15 10px 0 182,006 19.9% 10px 1.1 pp 170x170px Australia Navarro People's Party of the Canary Islands 6 March 2015 Gran Canaria 21 seats, 31.9% 12 10px 9 170,129 18.6% 10px 13.3 pp 170x170px Noemí Santana Podemos (Spanish political party) 1 April 2015 Gran Canaria Did not contest 7 10px 7 133,044 14.5% New party 170x170px Román Rodríguez New Canaries 26 February 2005 Gran Canaria 2 seats, 8.4% 5 10px 3 93,634 10.2% 10px 1.8 pp 170x170px Casimiro Curbelo Gomera Socialist Group 6 March 2015 La Gomera Did not contest 3 10px 3 5,090 0.6% New party CanaryDistrictMapParliament2015.png 400px Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands President President after election Paulino Rivero CCa Fernando Clavijo CCa
A regional election was held in the Canary Islands on 24 May 2015 to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 60 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.
Overview
Under the 1982 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of the Canary Islands was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.Statute 1982 arts. 9, 13 & 17. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LEPC 2003 final prov. 1.
Date
The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Canaries (BOC).Statute 1982 art. 10; LEPC 2003 art. 16 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 24 May 2015.
The Parliament of the Canary Islands could not be dissolved before the expiration date of parliament, except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term.Statute 1982 art. 17.
The election to the Parliament of the Canary Islands was officially called on 31 March 2015 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOC, setting election day for 24 May.Decree 26/2015 2015 art. 1.
Electoral system
Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.Statute 1982 arts. 9–10; LEPC 2003 art. 2 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 2–3). Additionally, non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting, a system known as "begged" voting (es Voto rogado).LOREG 1985 art. 75.Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 31 August 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210831202218/https://cafebabel.com/en/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote-5ae00a98f723b35a145e6867/ usurped
The Parliament of the Canary Islands had a minimum of 50 and a maximum of 70 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 60. All were elected in seven multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, each of which was assigned a fixed number of seats—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a 30 percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency or six percent regionally.Statute 1982 art. 9 & trans. prov. 1.
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:Statute 1982 trans. prov. 1; Decree 26/2015 2015 art. 2.
Seats Constituencies 15 Gran Canaria, Tenerife 8 La Palma, Lanzarote 7 Fuerteventura 4 La Gomera 3 El Hierro
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LEPC 2003 art. 21 & single add. prov. (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48).
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/acanarias.html Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias (desde 1983) es Historia Electoral.com 26 April 2026https://www.parcan.es/composicion/grupos.py?legis=8 Los grupos parlamentarios. VIII Legislatura es Parliament of the Canary Islands 3 May 2026
+ Parliamentary composition in March 2015 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total People's Parliamentary Group PP 21 21 Canarian Nationalist Parliamentary Group (CC–PNC–CCN) CCa 18 21 CCN 2 AHI 1 Canarian Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 15 15 Mixed Parliamentary Group NCa 2 3 PIL 1
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LEPC 2003 art. 18 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.LOREG 1985 art. 44 bis.
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy Parties andalliances Candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Australia Navarro ConservatismChristian democracy 31.9% 21 5 March 2015 https://www.europapress.es/islas-canarias/noticia-pp-regional-propone-australia-navarro-candidata-presidencia-canarias-20150305212031.html El PP regional propone a Australia Navarro como candidata a la Presidencia de Canarias es Europa Press Las Palmas de Gran Canaria 30 July 2022 CCa–PNC List on Canarian Coalition (CCa) Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC) Independent Herrenian Group (AHI) 50px Fernando Clavijo RegionalismCanarian nationalismCentrism 24.9% 21 12 September 2014 Fernando Clavijo gana a Paulino Rivero y será el candidato de CC al Gobierno de Canarias https://www.diariodelanzarote.com/noticia/fernando-clavijo-gana-paulino-rivero-y-ser%C3%A1-el-candidato-de-cc-al-gobierno-de-canarias es Diario de Lanzarote 2 May 2026Lachica Salvador 29 September 2014 https://www.eldiario.es/canariasahora/politica/clavijo-acaba-paulinato-candidato-cc_1_4652139.html Clavijo acaba con el 'paulinato' y será candidato de CC en 2015 es Canarias Ahora Santa Cruz de Tenerife 30 July 2022 PSOE List on Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 50px Patricia Hernández Social democracy 21.0% 15 EFE 19 October 2014 https://www.lavanguardia.com/local/canarias/20141020/54418071692/patricia-hernandez-gana-las-primarias-de-canarias-y-sera-la-candidata-de-psoe.html Patricia Hernández gana las primarias de Canarias y será la candidata de PSOE es La Vanguardia Santa Cruz de Tenerife 30 July 2022 NCa List on New Canaries (NCa) Independents of Fuerteventura (IF) For Tenerife (XTF) Gomeran Democratic Alternative (ADGomera) 50px Román Rodríguez Canarian nationalismSocial democracy 9.1% 3 Europa Press 15 May 2014 https://www.eldiario.es/canariasahora/tenerifeahora/isla/nueva-canarias-xtf-espacio-izquierda_1_4881058.html Nueva Canarias y XTF firman un acuerdo para ocupar el espacio de la izquierda social es Canarias Ahora Santa Cruz de Tenerife 30 July 2022EFE 6 March 2015 https://www.eldiario.es/canariasahora/especial/elecciones_2015/nueva-canarias-primera-fuerza-politica-gran-canaria-elecciones_1_4342028.html Nueva Canarias aspira a convertirse en la primera fuerza política en Gran Canaria es Canarias Ahora Las Palmas de Gran Canaria 30 July 20228 April 2015 https://www.gomeranoticias.com/2015/04/08/nueva-canarias-y-alternativa-democratica-gomera-concurriran-juntos-a-las-elecciones-locales-y-autonomicas-bajo-las-siglas-de-nc/ Nueva Canarias y Alternativa Democrática Gomera concurrirán juntos a las elecciones locales y autonómicas bajo las siglas de NC es Gomera Noticias 30 July 2022 Podemos List on We Can (Podemos) 50px Noemí Santana Left-wing populismDirect democracyDemocratic socialism colspan="2" Did not contest Suárez Iván 1 April 2015 https://www.eldiario.es/canariasahora/politica/clavijo-acaba-paulinato-candidato-cc_1_4652139.html Noemí Santana será la candidata de Podemos al Gobierno de Canarias es Canarias Ahora Las Palmas de Gran Canaria 30 July 2022 C's List on Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 50px Melisa Rodríguez Liberalism colspan="2" Did not contest 18 March 2015 https://www.europapress.es/islas-canarias/noticia-melisa-rodriguez-candidata-ciudadanos-cs-gobierno-canarias-20150318140513.html Melisa Rodríguez, candidata de Ciudadanos (C's) al Gobierno de Canarias es Europa Press Santa Cruz de Tenerife 30 July 2022 ASG List on Gomera Socialist Group (ASG) 50px Casimiro Curbelo InsularismSocial democracy colspan="2" Did not contest 6 March 2015 https://www.eldiario.es/canariasahora/politica/casimiro-curbelo-psoe-baja-la-gomera_1_4342534.html Casimiro Curbelo pide su baja en el PSOE es Canarias Ahora Las Palmas de Gran Canaria 30 July 2022
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 28px|link=People's Party of the Canary Islands|PP 27px|link=Canarian Coalition|CCa 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Canaries|PSOE 27px|link=New Canaries|NCa 35px|SSP LV 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 27px|link=Canarian United Left|IUC PPM 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 22px|link=Gomera Socialist Group|ASG U Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 56.1 18.675% Verdana 12 18.275% Verdana 18 19.975% Verdana 15 10.275% Verdana 5 – "IU" Within IUC. 0.975% Verdana 0 2.275% Verdana 0 "U" Within Unidos. 14.575% Verdana 7 5.975% Verdana 0 0.675% Verdana 3 3.675% Verdana 0 1.3 NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantendria-sin-apoyos-castilla-y-leon-castilla-la-mancha-murcia-y-la-rioja-ML9739680 es La Razón 17 May 2015Islas Canarias: La coalición CC-PSOE necesitará otros apoyos para gobernar https://www.larazon.es/espana/isalas-canarias-la-coalicion-cc-psoe-necesitara-otros-apoyos-para-gobernar-BL9739047 es La Razón 17 May 2015Islas Canarias. Encuesta mayo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3083050_20150517014729.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20160304115712/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3083050_20150517014729.pdf dead 4 March 2016 es La Razón 17 May 2015 17 May 2015 1,150? 20.975% Verdana 12/13 19.275% Verdana 14/16 17.875% Verdana 12/13 8.975% Verdana 4/5 – – – – "U" 12.575% Verdana 8/9 9.275% Verdana 5/6?75% Verdana 1/2 – 1.7 Hamalgama Métrica/La OpiniónTriple empate en la recta final http://www.laopinion.es/elecciones/2015/05/18/triple-empate-recta-final/607221.html https://web.archive.org/web/20150520234041/http://www.laopinion.es/elecciones/2015/05/18/triple-empate-recta-final/607221.html dead 20 May 2015 es La Opinión de Tenerife 18 May 2015Estimación del voto al Parlamento de Canarias http://fotos01.laopinion.es/2015/05/18/646x260/elecciones.jpg es La Opinión de Tenerife 18 May 2015 May 2020 InternetArchiveBot yes ?–16 May 2015? 61.9 18.775% Verdana 11/14 19.475% Verdana 15/18 18.475% Verdana 13/14 8.775% Verdana 4 – – – – "U" 14.175% Verdana 6/8 8.675% Verdana 3/6 0.375% Verdana 1/2 – 0.7 Perfiles/Diario de AvisosCC gana, el PP sufre el mayor retroceso y entran con fuerza tres nuevos partidos https://www.diariodeavisos.com/2015/05/cc-gana-pp-sufre-mayor-retroceso-entran-con-fuerza-tres-nuevos-partidos/ es Diario de Avisos 17 May 2015CANARIAS, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Instituto Perfiles https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/canarias-mayo-2015-sondeo-instituto.html es Electográfica 17 May 2015 4–14 May 2015 3,000? 20.0–21.075% Verdana 11/14 20.0–21.075% Verdana 16/19 18.0–19.075% Verdana 13/16 9.0–10.075% Verdana 3/5 – – – – "U" 9.0–10.075% Verdana 5/6 9.0–10.075% Verdana 3/7 0.0–1.075% Verdana 2/3 4.0–5.075% Verdana 0 Tie Focus InvestigaciónEl PP se hunde y CC sería el más votado https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2015/04/20/ser_las_palmas/1429518104_533745.html es Cadena SER 20 April 2015Una encuesta prevé la victoria de CC y la caída del PP a 13 escaños https://www.eldia.es/canarias/2015-04-21/5-encuesta-preve-victoria-CC-caida-PP-escanos.htm/ es El Día.es 21 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151011070107/https://www.eldia.es/canarias/2015-04-21/5-encuesta-preve-victoria-CC-caida-PP-escanos.htm/ 2015-10-11 20 Apr 2015 6,840? 20.575% Verdana 12/14 23.675% Verdana 17/22 19.375% Verdana 13/15 7.475% Verdana 3/5 – "IU" – 4.7 "U" 12.175% Verdana 6/8 7.075% Verdana 2 – – 3.1 Perfiles/Diario de AvisosPodemos y C's se perfilan como dos nuevos grupos del Parlamento https://www.diariodeavisos.com/2015/04/podemos-cs-se-perfilan-como-dos-nuevos-grupos-del-parlamento/ es Diario de Avisos 25 April 2015La mayoría absoluta para un pacto de dos partidos se mueve entre uno o dos escaños https://www.diariodeavisos.com/2015/04/mayoria-absoluta-para-pacto-dos-partidos-se-mueve-entre-uno-dos-escanos/ es Diario de Avisos 26 April 2015CANARIAS, Abril 2015. Sondeo Instituto Perfiles https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/canarias-abril-2015-sondeo-instituto.html es Electográfica 25 April 2015 7–20 Apr 2015 3,000? 19.0–20.075% Verdana 13/15 18.0–19.075% Verdana 17 18.0–19.075% Verdana 13/15 7.0–8.075% Verdana 3/5 – – – – "U" 10.0–11.075% Verdana 6 10.0–11.075% Verdana 5/7 0.0–1.075% Verdana 0/1 4.0–5.075% Verdana 0 1.0 CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de Canarias (Estudio nº 3069. Marzo-Abril 2015) https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es3069mar_a es CIS 7 May 2015Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha" http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2015/05/08/pagina-16/95390495/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 8 May 2015 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,723? 20.875% Verdana 12/14 18.975% Verdana 17 20.475% Verdana 15/16 5.275% Verdana 0 – – 0.775% Verdana 0 4.175% Verdana 0 "U" 15.875% Verdana 10 10.775% Verdana 4/5 – – 0.4 TSA/Canarias7Gobernar el Archipiélago entre dos partidos, casi imposible tras el 24-M https://www.diariodeavisos.com/2015/04/gobernar-archipielago-entre-dos-partidos-casi-imposible-tras-24-m/ es Diario de Avisos 12 April 2015CANARIAS, Abril 2015. Sondeo TSA https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/canarias-abril-2015-sondeo-tsa.html es Electográfica 12 April 2015 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 2,779? 19.775% Verdana 11/14 18.975% Verdana 14/17 18.475% Verdana 11/14 11.975% Verdana 5/7 – – – – "U" 11.175% Verdana 5/6 9.375% Verdana 5/6 0.575% Verdana 1 4.175% Verdana 0 0.8 NC Report/La RazónEl PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-seguira-siendo-el-mas-votado-en-las-cc-aa-pese-a-la-caida-en-apoyos-CM9493271 es La Razón 20 April 2015Islas Canarias: El binomio CC-PSOE aguanta resiste https://www.larazon.es/espana/islas-canarias-el-binomio-cc-psoe-aguanta-resiste-FN9492722 es La Razón 20 April 2015Islas Canarias. Encuesta marzo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2945957_20150420022546.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20160304054705/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2945957_20150420022546.pdf dead 4 March 2016 es La Razón 20 April 2015 23 Mar–9 Apr 2015 1,150? 22.275% Verdana 13/14 20.275% Verdana 15/17 18.275% Verdana 12/13 8.975% Verdana 5/6 – – – – "U" 11.875% Verdana 7/8 7.175% Verdana 4/5?75% Verdana 1/2 – 2.0 Hamalgama Métrica/La ProvinciaEl pacto entre Coalición Canaria y el PP logra la mayoría para gobernar en 2015 https://www.laprovincia.es/canarias/2014/12/06/pacto-coalicion-canaria-pp-logra-10188544.html es La Provincia 6 December 2014El pacto entre Coalición Canaria y el PP logra la mayoría para gobernar en 2015 https://es.slideshare.net/NuevaCanarias/boletn-xxxxvi-diciembre-2014 es La Provincia 6 December 2014Encuesta Noviembre 2014 http://hamalgamametrica.com/Estudios-Realizados-y-Comparativas/ER-2014/ es Hamalgama Métrica 6 December 2014 10–28 Nov 2014 2,400 62.4 24.275% Verdana 14 21.275% Verdana 16/18 18.875% Verdana 10/11 8.675% Verdana 4/6 Within Podemos. 2.375% Verdana 0 1.675% Verdana 0 2.575% Verdana 0 0.575% Verdana 0 18.475% Verdana 9/11 – 0.675% Verdana 2 – 3.0 62.4 24.275% Verdana 14/15 21.275% Verdana 17/19 18.875% Verdana 11/12 8.675% Verdana 4/6 2.675% Verdana 0 2.375% Verdana 0 1.675% Verdana 0 2.575% Verdana 0 0.575% Verdana 0 15.875% Verdana 8/9 – 0.675% Verdana 2 – 3.0 62.4 24.275% Verdana 14/15 21.275% Verdana 17/19 19.475% Verdana 13/14 8.675% Verdana 4/6 2.675% Verdana 0 2.375% Verdana 0 1.675% Verdana 0 2.575% Verdana 0 0.575% Verdana 0 15.875% Verdana 8/9 – – – 3.0 Llorente & CuencaEl reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015 http://www.desarrollando-ideas.com/publico/141104_dmasi_Informe_especial_reparto_poder_territorial_2015.pdf es desarrollando-ideas.com 31 October 2014 31 Oct 2014???75% Verdana 17/19?75% Verdana 17/22?75% Verdana 12/14?75% Verdana 4/5 – –?75% Verdana 2 – –?75% Verdana 2/4 – – –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de AvisosCC, la fuerza con más escaños, el PP se hunde y el PSOE baja más https://www.diariodeavisos.com/2014/09/cc-fuerza-con-mas-escanos-pp-se-hunde-psoe-baja-mas/ es Diario de Avisos 7 September 2014 4–14 Aug 2014 2,800 60.9 23.875% Verdana 15 21.175% Verdana 18 18.075% Verdana 14 10.375% Verdana 6 – – 1.275% Verdana 0 2.275% Verdana 0 – 13.275% Verdana 7 – – – 2.7 2014 EP electionProyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos https://elpais.com/elpais/2014/05/31/media/1401568389_275456.html es El País 31 May 2014 25 May 2014 35.0 23.475% Verdana (18) 12.275% Verdana (10) 22.275% Verdana (19) – – "IU" 6.975% Verdana (2) 10.575% Verdana (6) – 11.075% Verdana (5) 1.475% Verdana (0) – – 1.2 Celeste-Tel/Diario de AvisosCC ganaría gracias al desplome del PP https://www.diariodeavisos.com/2014/06/cc-ganaria-gracias-al-desplome-del-pp/ es Diario de Avisos 2 June 2014 5–16 Apr 2014 3,200? 24.975% Verdana 16 24.375% Verdana 21 20.975% Verdana 17 13.075% Verdana 6 3.975% Verdana 0 3.075% Verdana 0 3.175% Verdana 0 4.175% Verdana 0 0.575% Verdana 0 – – – – 0.6 Focus Investigación/CCUn sondeo de CC refleja una victoria nacionalista, subida del PSOE y debacle del PP http://www.canarias7.es/articulo.cfm?id=319349 https://web.archive.org/web/20131209063837/http://www.canarias7.es/articulo.cfm?id=319349 dead 9 December 2013 es Canarias7 7 December 2013 7 Dec 2013 3,200? 20.575% Verdana 14 22.475% Verdana 19 20.075% Verdana 17?75% Verdana 4 – – – 11.375% Verdana 6 – – – – – 1.9 Hamalgama Métrica/La ProvinciaPP y CC se mantienen como las fuerzas más votadas y empatan a 20 diputados https://www.laprovincia.es/canarias/2013/12/07/pp-cc-mantienen-fuerzas-votadas/576404.html es La Provincia 7 December 2013Estimación de voto al Parlamento de Canarias https://www.versussistema.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Imagen-Encuesta-parlamento-de-canarias.jpg es La Provincia 7 December 2013 25 Nov–5 Dec 2013 1,600 55.0 29.075% Verdana 20 23.275% Verdana 20 19.575% Verdana 14/15 11.475% Verdana 5/6 2.275% Verdana 0 2.175% Verdana 0 2.775% Verdana 0 3.775% Verdana 0 0.575% Verdana 0 – – – – 5.8 Demométrica/PSOEUn sondeo del PSOE prevé que el PP canario perdería ocho escaños http://www2.rtvc.es/noticias/un-sondeo-del-psoe-prev%C3%A9-que-el-pp-canario-perder%C3%ADa-ocho-esca%C3%B1os-114596.aspx es RTVC 23 February 2014 21 Nov–4 Dec 2013 2,500? 23.375% Verdana 13 24.975% Verdana 21 22.775% Verdana 17 10.075% Verdana 6 – – – 6.375% Verdana 3 – – – – – 1.6 NC Report/La RazónEl PP ganaría de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomías https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-ganaria-de-nuevo-en-9-de-13-autonomias-LJ4391184 es La Razón 18 November 2013Encuesta autonómicas NC Report noviembre 2013 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video%285843%29.pdf es La Razón 18 November 2013 2 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303195841/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video(5843).pdf 3 March 2016 dead 15 Oct–12 Nov 2013???75% Verdana 17/18?75% Verdana 23/25?75% Verdana 14/15?75% Verdana 3/4 – – –?75% Verdana 1/2 – – – – –? NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantiene el poder autonómico https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantiene-el-poder-autonomico-AF2250507 es La Razón 13 May 2013Necesitaría pactos para gobernar en Navarra, Asturias, Canarias, Extremadura y Aragón https://www.larazon.es/espana/necesitaria-pactos-para-gobernar-en-navarra-a-LF2250159 es La Razón 13 May 2013El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160304052841/http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ dead 4 March 2016 es Electómetro 13 May 2013 15 Apr–10 May 2013 300? 27.675% Verdana 18/19 26.775% Verdana 22/24 19.775% Verdana 14/15?75% Verdana 3/4 – – –?75% Verdana 1/2 – – – – – 0.9 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 59.6 48.075% Verdana (33) 15.575% Verdana (9) 24.975% Verdana (18) "CC" Within CC. – "IU" 2.675% Verdana (0) 4.375% Verdana (0) – – – – – 23.1 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 58.9 31.975% Verdana 21 24.975% Verdana 21 21.075% Verdana 15 9.175% Verdana 3 2.175% Verdana 0 2.175% Verdana 0 1.075% Verdana 0 0.875% Verdana 0 0.575% Verdana 0 – – – – 7.0
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of the Canary Islands|PP 27px|link=Canarian Coalition|CCa 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Canaries|PSOE 27px|link=New Canaries|NCa 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 27px|link=Canarian United Left|IUC 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 22px|link=Gomera Socialist Group|ASG Lead 2015 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 24 May 2015 11.1 10.9 11.9 6.1 0.5 1.3 8.7 3.6 0.4 39.0 0.8 CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,723 10.1 9.1 11.5 1.9 0.4 1.9 8.9 5.6 – 40.6 7.1 1.6 2014 EP election"CERA" 25 May 2014 8.7 4.5 8.2 – 2.6 3.9 4.1 0.5 – 62.2 0.5 2011 general election"CERA" 20 Nov 2011 30.1 9.7 15.6 "CC" 1.7 2.7 – – – 36.3 14.5 2011 regional election"CERA" 22 May 2011 19.6 15.3 12.9 5.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 – – 36.8 4.3
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of the Canary Islands|PP 27px|link=Canarian Coalition|CCa 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Canaries|PSOE 27px|link=New Canaries|NCa 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 27px|link=Canarian United Left|IUC 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Other/None Lead CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,723 13.0 11.3 16.1 2.0 0.5 2.8 9.4 6.4 6.8 31.7 3.1
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of the Canary Islands|PP 27px|link=Canarian Coalition|CCa 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Canaries|PSOE 27px|link=New Canaries|NCa 27px|link=Canarian United Left|IUC 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Other/None Lead CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,723 18.3 25.2 13.8 0.9 0.3 3.7 0.8 2.2 34.7 6.9
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Canary Islands.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px Other/None/Notcare Lead NavarroPP ClavijoCC HernándezPSOE RodríguezNCa TrujilloIUC SantanaPodemos RodríguezC's CurbeloASG Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 3,000 7.5 11.8 7.2 7.7 – 6.0 3.9 0.4 55.5 4.1 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 3,000 5.3 11.1 9.5 6.6 – 5.6 3.2 0.2 4.9 53.6 1.6 CISResponses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll. 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,723 4.3 11.5 8.8 5.6 1.7 0.6 1.0 – 4.3 62.3 2.7
Results
Overall
+ ← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 182,006 19.89 −1.09 15 ±0 People's Party (PP) 170,129 18.59 −13.35 12 −9 Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party (CCa–PNC) 166,979 18.25 −6.69 18 −3 We Can (Podemos) 133,044 14.54 New 7 +7 New Canaries (NCa) 93,634 10.23 +1.81 5 +3 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 54,375 5.94 New 0 ±0 United (Unidos)1 32,868 3.59 +1.66 0 −1 Canaries Decides (IUC–LV–UP–ALTER)2 20,155 2.20 −0.76 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 11,296 1.23 +0.93 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 7,819 0.85 −0.15 0 ±0 Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC) 5,635 0.62 −0.12 0 ±0 Gomera Socialist Group (ASG) 5,090 0.56 New 3 +3 More for Telde (+xT) 3,390 0.37 New 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC) 1,861 0.20 −0.06 0 ±0 For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 1,827 0.20 +0.04 0 ±0 Vox (Vox) 1,814 0.20 New 0 ±0 Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC) 1,777 0.19 +0.05 0 ±0 Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) 1,498 0.16 New 0 ±0 Municipal Assemblies of Fuerteventura (AMF) 1,447 0.16 New 0 ±0 Blank Seats (EB) 1,363 0.15 New 0 ±0 Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 330 0.04 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 16,769 1.83 −0.93 Total 915,106 60 ±0 Valid votes 915,106 98.20 +0.89 Invalid votes 16,770 1.80 −0.89 Votes cast / turnout 931,876 56.09 −2.81 Abstentions 729,618 43.91 +2.81 Registered voters 1,661,494 Sourceshttps://www.parcan.es/elecciones/2015/ Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias. Elecciones 2015 es Parliament of the Canary Islands 26 April 2026 left Footnotes: 1 United results are compared to the combined totals of Commitment to Gran Canaria, Lanzarote Independents–New Canaries–Nationalist Party and Majorero Progressive Party in the 2011 election. 2 Canaries Decides results are compared to the combined totals of The Greens, Canarian United Left and Unity of the People in the 2011 election.
Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of the Canaries 19.89
PP People's Party of the Canary Islands 18.59
CCa–PNC Agreement of Nationalist Unity 18.25
Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 14.54
NCa New Canaries 10.23
C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 5.94
Unidos United for Gran Canaria 3.59
Canarias Decide Canaries Decides 2.20
PACMA Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals 1.23
ASG Gomera Socialist Group 0.56
Others #777777 3.14
Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.83
Seats #ddd 550px 500px CCa–PNC Agreement of Nationalist Unity 30.00
PSOE Socialist Party of the Canaries 25.00
PP People's Party of the Canary Islands 20.00
Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 11.67
NCa New Canaries 8.33
ASG Gomera Socialist Group 5.00
Distribution by constituency
Constituency PSOE PP CC–PNC Podemos NCa ASG % S % S % S % S % S % S El Hierro 22.1 1 17.1 − 41.8 2 6.7 − 6.5 − Fuerteventura 17.4 2 13.6 1 28.1 3 12.2 1 6.7 − Gran Canaria 17.5 3 20.4 4 6.2 1 17.0 3 18.4 4 La Gomera 16.4 1 10.3 − 10.5 − 8.8 − 5.9 − 43.0 3 La Palma 24.6 2 24.7 3 30.3 3 6.5 − 2.8 − Lanzarote 21.0 2 13.0 1 22.2 3 14.7 1 8.3 1 Tenerife 22.0 4 17.5 3 27.6 6 13.4 2 3.4 − Total 19.9 15 18.6 12 18.2 18 14.5 7 10.2 5 0.6 3 Sources
Aftermath
Government formation
First government of Fernando Clavijo
InvestitureNomination of Fernando Clavijo (CCa) Ballot → 7 July 2015 Required majority → 31 out of 60 15 Yes • CCa–PNC (18) • PSOE (15) • ASG (3) 36 60 green 125px No • PP (12) • Podemos (7) • NCa (4) 23 60 red 125px Abstentions 0 60 gray 125px Absentees • NCa (1) 1 60 black 125px Sources7 July 2015 Fernando Clavijo es investido nuevo presidente del Gobierno de Canarias https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20150707/fernando-clavijo-investido-nuevo-presidente-del-gobierno-canarias/1174900.shtml es RTVE 27 April 2026
Notes
References
Opinion poll sources
"p"
Other
Bibliography
y Ley Orgánica 10/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Canarias Organic Law 10/1982 10 August 1982 version as of 17 July 2010 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1982-20821 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20821&tn=1&p=20100717 26 April 2026 Statute 1982
y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 31 March 2015 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 5 October 2025 LOREG 1985
y Ley 7/2003, de 20 de marzo, de Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias Law 7/2003 20 March 2003 version as of 20 April 2007 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2003-7685 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2003-7685&tn=1&p=20070420 26 April 2026 LEPC 2003
y Decreto 26/2015, de 30 de marzo, del Presidente de la Comunidad Autónoma de Canarias, por el que se convocan elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias Decree 26/2015 30 March 2015 Official Gazette of the Canaries BOC-A-2015-062-1435 es https://www.gobiernodecanarias.org/boc/2015/062/003.html 26 April 2026 Decree 26/2015 2015
Regional election
Canary Islands
Category:Regional elections in the Canary Islands
Canary Islands