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2010 United States Senate election in Arizona
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2010 United States Senate election in Arizona Arizona presidential Yes 2004 United States Senate election in Arizona 2004 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona 2016 November 2, 2010 150x150px File:John McCain official portrait 2009 (cropped 2).jpg John McCain Republican Party (United States) 1,005,615 59.07% Rodney Glassman (cropped).jpg Rodney Glassman Democratic Party (United States) 592,011 34.78% 220px County results 220px Congressional district results 220px Precinct results McCain: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Glassman: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% #ae8bb1 50% #808080 No votes U.S. Senator John McCain Republican Party (United States) John McCain Republican Party (United States)
The 2010 United States Senate election in Arizona took place on November 2, 2010, along with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 24, 2010.https://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2010/01/your_2010_election_calendar.html Your 2010 Election Calendar January 25, 2010 January 28, 2010 National Public Radio Ken Rudin NPR Ken Rudin Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain, who had lost the 2008 presidential election to then-United States Senator from Illinois Barack Obama, ran for reelection to a fifth term and won, defeating Democratic challenger Rodney Glassman. As of , this was the last time the counties of Coconino and Pima voted for the Republican candidate.
Republican primary
Background
thumb|J. D. Hayworth
thumb|John McCain
Incumbent Republican senator John McCain lost his bid for President of the United States in the 2008 election on November 4, 2008. By November 18, he had indicated his intention to form a political action committee to run for Senate re-election in 2010.http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/11/mccains_next_step.html https://web.archive.org/web/20090708233419/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/11/mccains_next_step.html dead July 8, 2009 McCain's Next Step: Re-Election in 2010 Cillizza Chris The Washington Post December 2, 2008 November 19, 2008http://apnews.myway.com/article/20081119/D94HLT100.html McCain to seek 5th Senate term Kellman, Laurie Associated Press for My Way News November 18, 2008 December 6, 2008 McCain confirmed his decision at a press conference in Phoenix, Arizona, on November 25, 2008, saying, "I intend to run again and will make an announcement at an appropriate time."https://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/1108/McCain_I_intend_to_run_again.html McCain: I intend to run again Kraushaar, Josh Politico November 25, 2008 December 6, 2008 In his appearance, McCain made a point of shifting from discussion of national issues to local ones, and followed up with renewed attention to the state during the next few months. In February 2009, McCain began active fundraising efforts for his re-election campaign.http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2009/02/mccain-senate.html John McCain starts raising money for Senate term No. 5 Malcolm, Andrew Los Angeles Times February 11, 2009 February 14, 2009
McCain faced a possible Republican primary challenge.http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=Yzc4NTZmNTdjMDhhZTdkNDQ2Y2NiNjM3ZmJhODFiZGQ= Could John McCain Lose Again? Byron York National Review Online December 2, 2008 December 6, 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081205102848/http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=Yzc4NTZmNTdjMDhhZTdkNDQ2Y2NiNjM3ZmJhODFiZGQ= December 5, 2008 dead mdy-all He had won less than half the votes against the field of candidates in the 2008 Arizona Republican presidential primary, and had only won the presidential contest in Arizona by 8.5 percentage points. The person most mentioned as a possible primary challenger was radio talk show host and former U.S. congressman J. D. Hayworth, who was being urged to run by his listeners. (Hayworth had once been allied with McCain and had supported his 2000 presidential campaign, but the two diverged ideologically shortly thereafter.) However, McCain's strong opposition to the economic stimulus package of 2009 warmed some conservatives to him and made a primary challenge less likely.http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=55a52a71-4c0d-486c-a90d-07d3f3abb3b0 More Pain For McCain? Darby, Seyward The New Republic February 23, 2009 February 23, 2009
As 2009 progressed, McCain got two announced primary challengers, U.S. Navy veteran and businessman Jim Deakin,http://jimdeakin.com Jim Deakin for United States Senate Jimdeakin.com June 14, 2010 and Chris Simcox, the co-founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps.Ben Smith McCain Facing 2010 Primary April 21, 2009 https://www.politico.com/blogs/ben-smith/2009/04/mccain-facing-2010-primary-017695 Politico April 22, 2009 Simcox's April 2009 announcement of his candidacy garnered a fair amount of press attention; he stated that "John McCain has failed miserably in his duty to secure this nation's borders and protect the people of Arizona from the escalating violence and lawlessness. ... Coupled with his votes for reckless bailout spending and big government solutions to our nation's problems, John McCain is out of touch with everyday Arizonans. Enough is enough."http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/04/21/mccain-gets-conservative-primary-challenger McCain gets conservative primary challenger Mooney, Alexander CNN April 21, 2009 April 23, 2009 April 24, 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20090424062458/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/04/21/mccain-gets-conservative-primary-challenger/ dead
In October 2009, Hayworth said that he was considering a primary challenge: "There's a great deal of respect for John as a historical figure. But he's long been at odds with the conservative base of the Republican Party and more recently with Arizonans."http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1929092,00.html https://web.archive.org/web/20091011095913/http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1929092,00.html dead October 11, 2009 John McCain: Can He Mend Fences with the Right? Newton-Small, Jay Time October 8, 2009 November 20, 2009 Hayworth quoted a poll which said that 61 percent of Arizona Republicans thought McCain had lost touch with his party. McCain had raised $4.7 million for his Senate re-election, and he had access to more than $20 million left over from his 2008 presidential effort. A November 2009 Rasmussen Reports poll surprisingly showed that Hayworth was nearly even with McCain among likely Republican Party primary voters in the state.http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arizona/election_2010_arizona_senate_gop_primary Election 2010: Arizona Senate GOP Primary Rasmussen Reports November 20, 2009 November 20, 2009 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20091122005441/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arizona/election_2010_arizona_senate_gop_primary November 22, 2009 As January 2010 progressed, McCain began running negative ads against Hayworth. On January 22, 2010, Hayworth resigned from his talk radio position at KFYI, a necessary step to becoming a candidate. On January 23, Hayworth announced at a meeting of the Arizona Republican Party State Committee that he did intend to run, and that a formal announcement would be forthcoming soon.http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dawn-teo/jd-hayworth-resigns-tea-p_b_433978.html Dawn Teo: JD Hayworth Resigns: Tea Party Talk Show Host Will Run Against McCain HuffPost January 23, 2010 June 14, 2010http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/hayworth_to_cha.php Hotline on Call: Hayworth to Challenge McCain National Journal January 25, 2010 Wilson, Reid January 23, 2010 The Hotline https://web.archive.org/web/20111006095909/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/hayworth_to_cha.php October 6, 2011 dead mdy-all
As the contest began, some elements of the Tea Party movement supported Hayworth, but others stayed out of the contest,Arizona Tea Party groups not taking sides in Hayworth-McCain race http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2010/03/01/daily19.html August 12, 2010 Phoenix Business Journal March 1, 2010 and still others supported Jim Deakin. The threat from Hayworth helped account for McCain's sometimes-awkward reversals or softpedallings of his former positions on issues such as the bank bailouts, national security, campaign finance reform, and gays in the military; Hayworth said, "John is undergoing a campaign conversion."From Right of Radio Dial, Challenge to McCain Steinhauer, Jennifer The New York Times February 9, 2010 A1 https://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/09/us/politics/09arizona.html McCain remained strong among party centrists and independents, and had strong financial resources. McCain also had the endorsements of the entire Arizona congressional delegation. Regardless, pundits predicted it would become "one of the country's fiercest political contests of 2010."
Hayworth officially launched his bid on February 15, 2010, in Phoenix. His announcement led Simcox to drop his campaign and endorse Hayworth, saying that he wanted to present a united conservative front.http://www.azstarnet.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_518c7d0a-1a6d-11df-a076-001cc4c002e0.html Blasting McCain, Hayworth launches campaign for U.S. Senate Fischer, Howard Capitol Media Services Arizona Daily Star February 15, 2010 February 15, 2010 Hayworth attracted the support of a good number of top-rated radio talk show hosts, including Michael Savage.https://news.yahoo.com/s/politico/20100217/pl_politico/33050 Talk-show titans take on McCain David Catanese February 16, 2010 Politico Yahoo! News Hayworth called for a series of 10 debates between himself and McCain. This echoed a proposal that McCain had unsuccessfully made to Obama during their 2008 presidential campaign; this time, McCain labeled the idea a "desperate publicity stunt." With Hayworth using the campaign slogan "The Consistent Conservative," McCain backed off his reputation for unorthodoxy, saying, "I never considered myself a maverick. I consider myself a person who serves the people of Arizona to the best of his abilities."Margolick, David. "The McCain Mutiny", Newsweek (April 3, 2010). Retrieved April 6, 2010. McCain's former vice presidential running mate, Sarah Palin, staged a campaign appearance with him in late March; she said that McCain was deserving of support among Tea Party movement-types.https://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/27/us/politics/27mccain.html Differences Set Aside, Palin Lends McCain Aid Zeleny, Jeff The New York Times March 26, 2010 Many in the crowd came to see Palin rather than McCain and were unsure of whom they would vote for in the primary.
Both candidates endorsed Arizona SB 1070, the anti-illegal immigration state law passed in April 2010 that aroused national controversy, and both made tough stands on border control central to their campaigns.Slevin, Peter. "Hard line on immigration marks GOP race in Arizona", The Washington Post (May 22, 2010). Retrieved May 22, 2010. McCain retained a financial edge, having $4.6 million in hand at the end of the first quarter to Hayworth's $861,000.
Hayworth's campaign began to struggle when infomercials he had made in 2007 came to light, which had pitched access to free government payment programs from a company that was accused of swindling thousands of people.http://www.ajc.com/news/nation-world/in-ariz-senate-race-577878.html In Ariz. Senate race, Hayworth hopes to slay giant Cooper, Jonathan J. Associated Press The Atlanta Journal-Constitution July 24, 2010 McCain ran television ads that labeled Hayworth a "huckster", and in return Hayworth's wife charged McCain with engaging in deliberate character assassination. Hayworth also had difficulty rallying conservative backing due to his past support for Congressional earmarks and for his past associations with lobbyist and convicted felon Jack Abramoff.
Hayworth was further harmed by stating that the United States never declared war on Germany during the Second World War,https://www.phoenixnewtimes.com/news/jd-hayworth-calls-john-mccains-world-war-ii-history-lesson-shameful-6654605 J.D. Hayworth Calls John McCain's World War II History Lesson "Shameful" James King Phoenix New Times when in fact it did on December 11, 1941.
During the summer, McCain began running immigration-themed ads featuring Pinal County sheriff Paul Babeu, a strong supporter of SB 1070; however, Hayworth asked McCain to withdraw the ads because Babeu had recently appeared on the white nationalist radio show The Political Cesspool.http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2010/07/21/20100721hayworth-mccain-pinal-sheriff-interview0722.html Hayworth asks McCain to dump Pinal County Sheriff ads July 22, 2010 July 21, 2010 Lindsey Collum The Arizona Republic
Candidates
John McCain, incumbent U.S. senator
Jim Deakin, businessman
J. D. Hayworth, former U.S. representative
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Jim Deakin J. D. Hayworth John McCain Chris Simcox Other Undecided Public Policy Polling (report) September 18–21, 2009 400 ± 4.5% –– –– 67% 17% –– 17% Rasmussen Reports (report) November 18, 2009 570 ± 4.0% –– 43% 45% 4% 2% 7% Tarrance Group (report) December 8–10, 2009 600 ± 4.1% –– 36% 56% –– –– — Rasmussen Reports (report) January 20, 2010 502 ± 4.5% –– 31% 53% 4% 3% 8% Rasmussen Reports (report) March 18, 2010 541 ± 4.0% –– 41% 48% –– 3% 8% Research 2000 (report) March 29–31, 2010 600 ± 4.0% –– 37% 52% –– –– 11% Rasmussen Reports (report) April 13, 2010 510 ± 4.0% –– 42% 47% –– 2% 8% Behavior Research Center (report) April 12–25, 2010 666 ± 3.5% –– 28% 54% –– –– 18% Rasmussen Reports (report) May 17, 2010 541 ± 4.5% –– 40% 52% –– 2% 6% Rasmussen Reports (report) June 16, 2010 707 ± 4.0% 7% 36% 47% –– 1% 8% Magellan Strategies (report) June 22, 2010 1,139 ± 2.9% –– 29% 52% –– 14% 5% Behavior Research Strategies (report) June 30 – July 11, 2010 524 ± 4.4% 5% 19% 64% –– — 12% Rasmussen Reports (report) July 21, 2010 595 ± 4.0% –– 34% 54% –– 7% 6%
Endorsements
John McCain U.S. executive branch officials
William Bennett, former U.S. Secretary of Education, former director of the Office of National Drug Control Policy, and host of the conservative radio talk show The William Bennett Show
Governors
Jan Brewer, governor of Arizonahttp://www.abc15.com/content/news/phoenixmetro/north/story/Gov-Brewer-picks-a-side-endorses-McCain-s/FVJqeZ6_DUav3HruCO4_DQ.cspx Gov. Brewer picks a side, endorses McCain's reelection bid - Phoenix Arizona news, breaking news, local news, weather radar, traffic from ABC15 News ABC15.com February 25, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100426012320/http://www.abc15.com/content/news/phoenixmetro/north/story/Gov-Brewer-picks-a-side-endorses-McCain-s/FVJqeZ6_DUav3HruCO4_DQ.cspx April 26, 2010 dead mdy-all
Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida and brother of former U.S. president George W. Bushhttp://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/03/10/jeb-bush-endorses-mccain-in-arizona/?fbid=rgJ9vx7SJRq CNN Jeb Bush endorses McCain in Arizona May 27, 2010 March 10, 2010 February 19, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120219053217/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/03/10/jeb-bush-endorses-mccain-in-arizona/?fbid=rgJ9vx7SJRq dead
Jane Dee Hull, former governor of Arizona
Bob McDonnell, governor of Virginiahttp://voices.washingtonpost.com/virginiapolitics/2010/02/former.html https://archive.today/20120719022511/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/virginiapolitics/2010/02/former.html dead July 19, 2012 The Washington Post McDonnell will endorse McCain for re-election
Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and McCain's running mate in 2008https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE60J41Z20100120 Palin to campaign for McCain in Arizona Reuters January 20, 2010 June 14, 2010 Steve Holland
Tim Pawlenty, governor of MinnesotaMiller Sean J. http://www.thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/83813-pawlenty-backs-mccain-hayworth-calls-for-10-debates Pawlenty backs McCain, Hayworth calls for 10 debates – The Hill's Ballot Box The Hill February 25, 2010 June 14, 2010
Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and candidate for President in 2008http://liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/02/23/romney-endorses-mccain/?test=latestnews Romney Endorses McCain " Liveshots Liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com February 23, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100227230141/http://liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/02/23/romney-endorses-mccain/?test=latestnews February 27, 2010 dead mdy-all
Fife Symington, former governor of Arizonahttp://www.kgun9.com/Global/story.asp?S=12012658 2 former Arizona governors endorse McCain KGUN-TV February 25, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20171216201113/https://www.kgun9.com/Global/story.asp?S=12012658 December 16, 2017 dead mdy-all
U.S. Senators
Scott Brown, U.S. senator of Massachusetts
Jon Kyl, U.S. senator of Arizona
Fred Thompson, former U.S. senator of Tennesseehttp://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2010/02/15/daily45.html Fred Thompson endorses John McCain – Phoenix Business Journal Bizjournals.com February 17, 2010 June 14, 2010
U.S. Representatives
Jeff Flake, U.S. representative of ArizonaCadei Emily http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000003285556 McCain-Hayworth Slugfest in Arizona? CQ Politics June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100201021050/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000003285556 February 1, 2010 dead mdy-all
Trent Franks, U.S. representative of Arizona
Jim Kolbe, former U.S. representative of Arizona
Matt Salmon, former U.S. representative of Arizonahttp://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/azdc/74120 Ex-Reps. Salmon, Kolbe go with McCain over Hayworth The Arizona Republic Feb 16, 2010 February 25, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100221061807/http://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/azdc/74120 February 21, 2010 dead
John Shadegg, U.S. representative of Arizonahttp://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/azdc/73696 blogs – AZ/DC Blog – azdc – Kyl, Flake, Shadegg and Franks endorse McCain Azcentral.com Feb 10, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100213175237/http://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/azdc/73696 February 13, 2010 dead
State legislators
Andy Tobin, Arizona state representativeArizona's ownGila Courier http://www.gilacourier.com/?p=5936 Rep. Andy Tobin Endorses John McCain Gila Courier March 18, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110711092753/http://www.gilacourier.com/?p=5936 July 11, 2011 dead mdy-all
Organizations
Arizona Fraternal Order of Police
U.S. Chamber of Commercehttp://content.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/post/2010/04/chamber-endorses-john-mccain/1 USA Today Chamber endorses Sen. McCain in Arizona primary battle April 5, 2010 May 27, 2010 Fredreka Schouten https://web.archive.org/web/20100410162302/http://content.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/post/2010/04/chamber-endorses-john-mccain/1 April 10, 2010 dead
NRA Political Victory Fundhttp://phoenix.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2010/05/31/daily49.html NRA endorses McCain June 3, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20121009173146/https://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2010/05/31/daily49.html October 9, 2012 live The NRA’s Political Victory Fund said Thursday it is backing the incumbent senator, ...
Individuals
Steve Forbes, editor-in-chief of Forbes magazine and former presidential candidatehttp://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=121905 MediaPost Publications John McCain Campaign Gets Social 02/05/2010 Mediapost.com June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100726062642/http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=121905 July 26, 2010 dead mdy-all
Luis Gonzalez, former outfielder for the Arizona Diamondbackshttp://www.ktar.com/?nid=6&sid=1281055 Former D-back Gonzalez backs McCain KTAR.com April 5, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110713173328/http://www.ktar.com/?nid=6&sid=1281055 July 13, 2011 dead
Michael Medved, host of the radio talk-show The Michael Medved Show
Grover Norquist, tax-reform activisthttp://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/02/10/endorsements-stacking-up-for-mccain/?fbid=gxpD_eLe8bA CNN Endorsements stacking up for McCain May 27, 2010 February 10, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20120219053212/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/02/10/endorsements-stacking-up-for-mccain/?fbid=gxpD_eLe8bA February 19, 2012 dead
J. D. Hayworth U.S. Representatives
Dana Rohrabacher, U.S. representative of Californiahttp://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/azdc/74120 blogs – AZ/DC Blog – azdc – Ex-Reps. Salmon, Kolbe go with McCain over Hayworth Azcentral.com June 14, 2010
State legislators
State Senate Majority Leader Chuck Grayhttp://www.jdforsenate.com/endorsements Endorsements J.D. Hayworth 2010 Jdforsenate.com July 25, 2010 August 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100622035145/http://www.jdforsenate.com/endorsements June 22, 2010 dead mdy-all
State Senator Russell Pearce
State Senator Ron Gould
County officials
Joe Arpaio, sheriff of Maricopa County, ArizonaAlexander Rachel http://www.intellectualconservative.com/2010/02/13/why-j-d-hayworth-will-beat-mccain-for-u-s-senate Why J.D. Hayworth Will Beat McCain for U.S. Senate " Intellectual Conservative Politics and philosophy Intellectualconservative.com February 13, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100421130722/http://www.intellectualconservative.com/2010/02/13/why-j-d-hayworth-will-beat-mccain-for-u-s-senate/ April 21, 2010 dead mdy-all
Organizations
Arizona Police Associationhttp://www.azplea.com/index.php?view=article&catid=33:legislative-news&id=275:apa-endorses-jd-hayworth-for-us-senate APA Endorses JD Hayworth for US Senate Azplea.com June 14, 2010
Gun Owners of Americahttp://www.ammoland.com/2010/02/19/gun-owners-of-america-political-victory-endorses-hayworth-for-congress Gun Owners of America Political Victory Endorses Hayworth for Congress Ammoland.com February 19, 2010 June 14, 2010
National Association of Police Organizationshttp://www.jdforsenate.com/news/2010/04/12/hayworth-endorsed-national-association-police-organizations Hayworth Endorsed by National Association of Police Organizations Jdforsenate.com February 25, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100416151612/http://www.jdforsenate.com/news/2010/04/12/hayworth-endorsed-national-association-police-organizations April 16, 2010 dead mdy-all
National Border Patrol Council Local 2544http://www.theamericano.com/2010/04/21/j-d-hayworth-goes-on-the-offensive-vs-john-mccain J.D. Hayworth Goes on the Offensive vs. John McCain The Americano April 21, 2010 June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100424062020/http://theamericano.com/2010/04/21/j-d-hayworth-goes-on-the-offensive-vs-john-mccain/ April 24, 2010 dead
Phoenix Law Enforcement AssociationKing James http://blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com/valleyfever/2010/02/jd_hayworth_draws_support_of_p.php J.D. Hayworth Draws Support of Phoenix Police Union, but McCain Gets Nod of Past PLEA Presidents – Phoenix News – Valley Fever Blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com February 22, 2010 June 14, 2010 February 25, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100225173716/http://blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com/valleyfever/2010/02/jd_hayworth_draws_support_of_p.php dead
Individuals
Mark Levin, host of the conservative radio talk show The Mark Levin Show
Michelle Malkin, conservative journalist and writerMalkin Michelle http://www.michellemalkin.com/2010/04/23/john-s-mccain-will-you-please-go-now John S. McCain, Will You Please Go Now? Michelle Malkin April 23, 2010 June 14, 2010
Robert Stacy McCain, conservative journalist and writer and McCain's cousinhttp://www.theothermccain.com/2010/03/30/cousin-john-suddenly-decides-to-get-in-touch-with-his-inner-tom-tancredo Cousin John Suddenly Decides to Get in Touch With His Inner Tom Tancredo The Other McCain March 30, 2010 June 14, 2010
Jay A. Nenninger, anti-abortion activist, president and executive director of Arizona Right to Lifehttp://www.christiannewswire.com/news/9946613974.html Pro-Life Leaders Favor Hayworth over McCain Christiannewswire.com June 14, 2010
Michael Savage, host of the conservative radio talk show The Savage Nation
Douglas R. Scott Jr., anti-abortion activist, president of Life Decisions International
Chris Simcox, founder of Minuteman Civil Defense Corps and former candidate who withdrew from the campaign
Orly Taitz, controversial Obama eligibility lawyer and dentisthttp://www.orlytaitzesq.com/?p=11867 Vote JD Hayworth in AZ, real change from status quo Dr. Orly Taitz Esquire Orlytaitzesq.com June 22, 2010 August 21, 2010 [Warning:possible malware and redirecting]
Jim Deakin Individuals
Roger Boone, leader of 200-member Flagstaff, Arizona Tea Party PatriotsKenneth P. Vogel https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0310/34363_Page3.html A Politico survey: The tea party's least favorite Republicans Politico June 14, 2010
Results
thumb|Results by county:
#cc2f4a McCain—60–70%
#e27f90 McCain—50–60%
#f2b3be McCain—40–50%
Republican primary results
John McCain (incumbent)
Republican Party (US)
284,374
56.2%
J. D. Hayworth
Republican Party (US)
162,502
32.1%
Jim Deakin
Republican Party (US)
59,447
11.7%
506,323
100.0%
Democratic primary
Background
Many considered popular Democratic governor Janet Napolitano a possible Democratic challenger to McCain, and some very early polling showed her ahead or competitive with him in a prospective 2010 matchup.http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Arizona_804.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20081028193349/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Arizona_804.pdf Public Policy Polling October 28, 2008 Napolitano was term-limited as governor in 2010, and had openly discussed the possibility of a Senate race, especially given McCain's 2008 electoral results in the Democratic-trending state.
However, Napolitano was nominated by President-elect Barack Obama to be the new Secretary of Homeland Security on December 1, 2008,Key members of Obama-Biden national security team announced Newsroom Office of the President-elect December 1, 2008 http://change.gov/newsroom/entry/key_members_of_obama_biden_national_security_team_announced Press release December 1, 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081201182614/http://change.gov/newsroom/entry/key_members_of_obama_biden_national_security_team_announced/ December 1, 2008 dead mdy-allhttp://www.tucsoncitizen.com/ss/fromcomments/103929.php Obama names Napolitano to Cabinet post Tucson Citizen December 1, 2008 December 1, 2008 January 16, 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20090116043719/http://www.tucsoncitizen.com/ss/fromcomments/103929.php dead making it appear unlikely that she would challenge McCain.
In February 2009, Arizona Senate minority leader Jorge Luis Garcia was saying: "There hasn't been any discussion about any [candidates]. The Democratic Party would be willing to lend support to a candidate against Senator McCain. It would be very expensive—very, very, very expensive." In April 2009, only one person had announced a candidacy, Rudy Garcia, the former mayor of Bell Gardens, California.http://arizonaonthemove.com Home Arizona on the Move June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100617075408/http://www.arizonaonthemove.com/ June 17, 2010 dead mdy-all In October 2009, national Democratic leaders were saying that they were not bothering to recruit anyone to face McCain, but that same month, Tucson Councilman Rodney Glassman filed an exploratory committee for this Senate seat at the urging of Arizona Attorney General and Arizona gubernatorial candidate Terry Goddard.http://www.fox11az.com/news/local/Tucson-Council-member-Rodney-Glassman-announces-Senate-Exploratory-Committee-64335857.html Arizona Tucson Fox News 11 February 18, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110719062830/http://www.fox11az.com/news/local/Tucson-Council-member-Rodney-Glassman-announces-Senate-Exploratory-Committee-64335857.html July 19, 2011 dead mdy-all
Other possible Democratic challengers mentioned included Phoenix mayor Phil Gordon, U.S. Congresswoman Gabby Giffords, and Terry Goddard. However, Goddard had formally announced his candidacy for the 2010 Arizona gubernatorial race,http://www.azstarnet.com/news/state-and-regional/article_f4f403f3-430a-5a47-88f4-c79a9fffec85.html Arizona Arizona Daily Star February 18, 2010 January 26, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100126174942/http://azstarnet.com/news/state-and-regional/article_f4f403f3-430a-5a47-88f4-c79a9fffec85.html dead and Phil Gordon was exploring a run for John Shadegg's Congressional seat in Arizona's 3rd district.http://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/PHXBeat/74091 Arizona The Arizona Republic February 18, 2010
Candidates
Rodney Glassman, Tucson city councilman2010-06-06 Rodney Glassman: McCain (Or Hayworth) Gets First Serious Democratic Challenger https://www.huffpost.com/entry/rodney-glassman-mccain-or_n_527764 2023-04-24 HuffPost en
John Dougherty, former investigative reporter for Phoenix New Timeshttp://www.kold.com/Global/story.asp?S=12449195 Former reporter enters Arizona's US Senate race – KOLD News 13 Kold.com May 7, 2010 June 14, 2010 November 2018 InternetArchiveBot yes http://www.johndougherty2010.com John Dougherty, Democrat For US Senate 2010 Johndougherty2010.com June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100509201626/http://www.johndougherty2010.com/ May 9, 2010 dead mdy-all
Cathy Eden, former state legislator and an aide to governors Rose Mofford and Janet Napolitanohttp://www.azsos.gov/election/2010/Primary/FullListing.htm Full Listing Azsos.gov June 14, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20140628014642/http://www.azsos.gov/election/2010/Primary/FullListing.htm June 28, 2014 dead mdy-all http://edenforaz.com Home – Eden For Arizona Edenforaz.com August 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100811111315/http://www.edenforaz.com/ August 11, 2010 dead mdy-all
Randy Parraz, civil rights and labor activist, attorneyhttp://www.parrazforchange.com Randy Parraz for U.S Senate :: New Challenges Demand New Leaders Parrazforchange.com October 21, 2008 August 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100501181710/http://www.parrazforchange.com/ May 1, 2010 dead mdy-all
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error John Dougherty Cathy Eden Rodney Glassman Randy Parraz Other Undecided Rasmussen Reports (report) June 16, 2010 342 ± 5.0% 8% 11% 12% 9% 14% 46% Rasmussen Reports (report) July 21, 2010 331 ± 5.5% 7% 11% 15% 10% 10% 47%
Debates
Debates were planned for:
Friday, July 9, 2010, in Phoenix, to be televised on KTVK Channel 3http://www.tucsonsentinel.com/local/report/062410_dem_debates Democratic Senate debates set; Glassman agrees to 2 of 3 Dylan Smith June 25, 2010 June 28, 2010
Wednesday, July 21, 2010, in Yuma, to be radio broadcast on NPR's Yuma affiliate, KAWC
Thursday, August 5, 2010, in Tucson, to be televised on KUAT
Results
thumb|Results by county:
#a5b0ff Glassman—40–50%
#bdd3ff Glassman—30–40%
#dfeeff Glassman—20–30%
#aae5aa Eden—30–40%
#c0f0c0 Eden—20–30%
#ffcca9 Parraz—30–40%
Democratic primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AZ Arizona Senate Primary Results Politico August 24, 2010 August 24, 2010 August 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100823031212/http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/AZ dead
Rodney Glassman
Democratic Party (US)
86,881
34.7%
Cathy Eden
Democratic Party (US)
66,421
26.5%
John Dougherty
Democratic Party (US)
60,262
24.1%
Randy Parraz
Democratic Party (US)
36,637
14.6%
250,201
100.0%
General election
Candidates
Rodney Glassman (D), city councilor of Tucson
Jerry Joslyn (G), businessmanhttps://www.ourcampaigns.com/CandidateDetail.html?CandidateID=244880 Our Campaigns – Candidate – Jerry Joslyn www.ourcampaigns.com
John McCain (R), incumbent U.S. senator
David Nolan (L), former chairman of the Libertarian Party and inventor of the Nolan Chart
Campaign
After spending over $20 million during the primaries, McCain still had more than $1 million in cash on hand after the primary election. Glassman criticized McCain on women's issues.http://www.rodneyglassman.com/2010/08/on-gender-equity-day-mccains-dismal-record-on-womens-issues-highlighted/ On Gender Equity Day, McCain's Dismal Record on Women's Issues Highlighted : Rodney Glassman for United States Senate August 31, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101001011929/http://www.rodneyglassman.com/2010/08/on-gender-equity-day-mccains-dismal-record-on-womens-issues-highlighted/ October 1, 2010 dead mdy-all In August 2010, Glassman released a TV advertisement called "Arizona First."http://www.rodneyglassman.com/2010/08/u-s-senate-candidate-rodney-glassman-launches-arizona-first-ad/ U.S. Senate Candidate Rodney Glassman Launches "Arizona First" Ad : Rodney Glassman for United States Senate August 31, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100817234858/http://www.rodneyglassman.com/2010/08/u-s-senate-candidate-rodney-glassman-launches-arizona-first-ad/ August 17, 2010 dead mdy-all
Debates
September 26: All four candidates on KTVK-TV in Phoenix.June 2024 medicmedic It ran without commercial interruption from 6pm to 7pm.http://www.kpho.com/news/24886985/detail.html AZ Senate Candidates To Debate - Phoenix News Story - KPHO Phoenix September 9, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20110614060037/http://www.kpho.com/news/24886985/detail.html June 14, 2011 dead mdy-all
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/senate Senate Cook Political Report October 26, 2010 Solid R October 26, 2010 Rothenberghttp://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate Senate Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 26, 2010 Safe R October 22, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html Battle for the Senate RealClearPolitics October 26, 2010 Safe R October 26, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate 2010 Senate Ratings Sabato's Crystal Ball October 26, 2010 October 28, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ dead Safe R October 21, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics October 26, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate October 28, 2010 Safe R October 26, 2010
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Rodney Glassman John McCain Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 18–21, 2009 617 ± 3.9% 25% 55% –– 20%Research 2000Research 2000 March 29–31, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 33% 52% –– 13%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 32% 54% 8% 6%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 23–25, 2010 813 ± 3.4% 33% 49% –– 13%Behavior Research CenterBehavior Research Center April 12–25, 2010 666 ± 3.5% 24% 46% –– 30%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 17, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 28% 57% 9% 7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 29, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 34% 53% 11% 3%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 31% 53% 10% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 51% 7% 6%Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 33% 54% 8% 6%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 23–24, 2010 664 ± 3.8% 38% 56% –– 6%Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 32% 52% 9% 7%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base)
Poll Source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Republican nominee Democratic nominee Other Undecided J. D. Hayworth (R) John McCain (R) Bruce Babbitt (D) Gabby Giffords (D) Rodney Glassman (D) Public Policy Polling(report) September 18–21, 2009 617 ± 3.9% — 57% — 30% — — 13% — 55% — — 25% — 20% Research 2000(report) March 29–31, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 43% — 42% — — — 15% 48% — — 36% — — 15% 49% — — — 37% — 15% — 48% 42% — — — 10% — 52% — 34% — — 15% — 53% — — 33% — 13% Rasmussen Reports(report) April 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% — 54% — — 32% 8% 6% 48% — — — 39% 7% 7% Public Policy Polling(report) April 23–25, 2010 813 ± 3.4% 49% — — 33% — — 13% 39% — — — 42% — 19% Behavior Research Center (report) April 12–25, 2010 666 ± 3.5% — 46% — — 24% — 30% 37% — — — 30% — 33% Rasmussen Reports (report) May 17, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% — 57% — — 28% 9% 7% 49% — — — 33% 9% 9% Rasmussen Reports () July 29, 2010 500 ± 4.5% — 53% — — 34% 11% 3% 38% — — — 43% 13% 6%
Fundraising
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt John McCain (R) $20,077,490 $11,868,523 $472,777 $27,999 Rodney Glassman (D) $1,366,612 $1,087,161 $279,450 $500,000 Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSProcessCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=AZ&election_yr=2010 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Arizona fec.gov July 25, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101107190432/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSProcessCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=AZ&election_yr=2010 November 7, 2010 dead mdy-all
Results
2010 United States Senate election in Arizonahttp://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AZ/22333/40707/en/summary.html AZ - Election Results December 3, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121215034049/http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AZ/22333/40707/en/summary.html December 15, 2012 dead mdy-all
Republican Party (US)
John McCain (incumbent)
1,005,615
59.07%
-17.67%
Democratic Party (US)
Rodney Glassman
592,011
34.78%
+14.16%
Libertarian Party (US)
David Nolan
80,097
4.71%
+2.07%
Green Party (US)
Jerry Joslyn
24,603
1.45%
N/A
413,604
24.30%
-14.45%
1,702,326
100.0%
Republican Party (US)
By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none
CountyRodney GlassmanDemocraticJohn McCainRepublicanOthers#%#%#%Apache11,78557.2%7,37135.8%1,4447.0%Cochise13,11933.0%23,44559.0%3,1768.0%Coconino17,16444.3%18,99549.1%2,5506.6%Gila4,85827.4%11,50064.9%1,3667.8%Graham2,19424.2%6,22368.5%6677.3%Greenlee94739.1%1,32154.6%1536.4%La Paz1,08524.2%3,00367.0%3938.8%Maricopa319,01232.5%599,06861.0%64,7416.5%Mohave12,30223.0%36,36768.0%4,8129.0%Navajo10,73736.7%16,15755.2%2,3948.2%Pima134,29643.0%158,87950.8%19,4246.2%Pinal24,85631.8%47,85061.3%5,3647.0%Santa Cruz5,71057.6%3,69337.2%5135.3%Yavapai21,63626.9%52,09364.7%6,7358.4%Yuma12,31036.3%19,65057.9%1,9765.8% Totals592,01134.7%1,005,61558.9%110,8586.5%
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Apache (largest municipality: Eagar)
Santa Cruz (largest municipality: Nogales)
right 220px Swing by county 220px Trend by county
Legend #006D92 Democratic —+>40% #00a1c8 Democratic —+30−40% #00bdec Democratic —+25−30% #09ceff Democratic—+20%−25% #4bdbff Democratic—+15%−20% #77e3ff Democratic—+10−15% #aaeeff Democratic—+5−10% #D5F6FF Democratic—+<5% #FFD5D5 Republican—+<5% #FFAAAA Republican—+5−10% #FF8080 Republican—+10−15% #FF5555 Republican—+15−20% #FF2A2A Republican—+20−25% #FF0000 Republican—+25−30% 220px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
#0671b0 Flip
Republican
#f48882 Hold
References
External links
Arizona Secretary of State – Elections
U.S. Congress candidates for Arizona https://web.archive.org/web/20100930121017/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=AZ September 30, 2010 at Project Vote Smart
Arizona U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
2010 Arizona Senate Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Arizona Senate from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Arizona Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
2010 Arizona Senate Race from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times
Debates
Arizona Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPAN, July 16, 2010
Arizona Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPAN, July 17, 2010
Arizona Senate Debate, C-SPAN, September 26, 2010
Official campaign websites (Archived)
Rodney Glassman for U.S. Senate
John McCain for U.S. Senate
Category:2010 Arizona elections
Arizona
2010
Category:John McCain