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2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana
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September 2023
2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana Louisiana 1912 presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Louisiana 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana 2008 November 2, 2004 File:George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 9 1,102,169 56.72% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 820,299 42.22% 350px Parish results 350px Congressional district results Bush
#f2b3be 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90%
Kerry
#b9d7ff 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#1666cb 70–80% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States)
The 2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Louisiana was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 14.5 percent margin. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise a red state. Bush's performance constituted a much wider margin than that of his 2000 results, where he won by a 7.7 percent margin. The state, like other states in the Deep South, is racially polarized when it comes to presidential elections, as a wide majority of the white population votes Republican, and a wide majority of the black population votes Democratic.
In this election, Louisiana voted 12.05% to the right of the nation at-large.Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ 2023-04-12 uselectionatlas.org As of the 2024 election, this is the last time Assumption and Pointe Coupee parishes voted for a Democrat, and the last in which Caddo and East Baton Rouge parishes voted for a Republican.
Primaries
2004 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary
2004 Louisiana Republican presidential primary
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.
+SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportLean RCook Political ReportSolid RResearch 2000Solid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington PostLikely RWashington DispatchLikely RWashington TimesSolid RThe New York TimesSolid RCNNLikely RNewsweekSolid RAssociated PressLean RRasmussen ReportsLikely R
Polling
Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each with at least 48 percent of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 51 to 39 percent.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=22 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections uselectionatlas.org 26 January 2022 https://archive.today/20120720113055/http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=22 20 July 2012 dead
Fundraising
Bush raised $1,933,549.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-20 Kerry raised $1,303,859.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-20
Advertising and visits
Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-20http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-20
Analysis
Bush performed better here than he did in 2000. He won four more parishes: Caddo, Bienville, Saint Landry, and West Baton Rouge, but he won each with very slim margins of victory of less than two percent, except for West Baton Rouge which he won with 54 percent of the vote, indicating that parish as trending Republican. In the northern portion of the state, Bush barely lost in Madison and Tensas. The only two parishes in which he got less than forty percent of the vote were East Carroll and Orleans. Bush also won six of seven congressional districts in the state, each with at least 58 percent of the vote. The Second District, which covers the parish and city of Orleans, was won by Kerry with seventy percent of the vote; in other words, no congressional district in the state was competitive. 2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last election in which East Baton Rouge Parish and Caddo Parish voted for a Republican presidential candidate.Sullivan, Robert David; 'How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century'; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016 Conversely, this is the last election in which Assumption Parish and Pointe Coupee Parish voted for a Democratic presidential candidate.
Results
2004 United States presidential election in Louisianahttps://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&year=2004&fips=22 2004 Presidential General Election Results - Louisiana uselectionatlas.orgPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votesRepublican George W. Bush (incumbent) 1,102,169 56.72% 9 Democratic John Kerry 820,299 42.22% 0 Independent Ralph Nader 7,032 0.36% 0 American Independent Michael Peroutka 5,203 0.27% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 2,781 0.14% 0 Independent Walt Brown 1,795 0.09% 0 Independent Gene Amondson 1,566 0.08% 0 Green David Cobb 1,276 0.07% 0 Socialist Workers James Harris 985 0.05% 0 Invalid or blank votes 169,510 1.35% — Totals 1,943,106 100.00% 9 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 58.5%
Results by parish
ParishGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%Acadia16,08363.75%8,93735.42%2100.83%7,14628.33%25,230Allen5,14056.33%3,79141.55%1932.12%1,34914.78%9,124Ascension24,66163.07%13,95535.69%4841.24%10,70627.38%39,100Assumption4,96646.26%5,58552.03%1841.71%-619-5.77%10,735Avoyelles8,30253.48%6,97644.93%2471.59%1,3268.55%15,525Beauregard9,47071.30%3,66627.60%1451.09%5,80443.70%13,281Bienville3,61250.47%3,39947.49%1462.04%2132.98%7,157Bossier30,04070.34%12,31728.84%3480.81%17,72341.50%42,705Caddo54,29250.93%51,73948.54%5640.53%2,5532.39%106,595Calcasieu46,07557.81%32,86441.24%7590.95%13,21116.57%79,698Caldwell3,30869.61%1,38429.12%601.26%1,92440.49%4,752Cameron3,19068.75%1,36729.46%831.79%1,82339.29%4,640Catahoula3,21964.98%1,67333.77%621.25%1,54631.21%4,954Claiborne3,70455.87%2,85443.05%721.09%85012.82%6,630Concordia5,42760.43%3,44638.37%1071.19%1,98122.06%8,980DeSoto6,21154.79%5,02644.34%990.87%1,18510.45%11,336East Baton Rouge99,94354.42%82,29844.81%1,4010.76%17,6459.61%183,642East Carroll1,35739.97%1,98058.32%581.71%-623-18.35%3,395East Feliciana5,02154.57%4,09144.46%890.97%93010.11%9,201Evangeline7,94956.86%5,75741.18%2731.95%2,19215.68%13,979Franklin6,14167.46%2,82831.07%1341.47%3,31336.39%9,103Grant5,91173.97%1,97724.74%1031.29%3,93449.23%7,991Iberia19,42060.17%12,42638.50%4271.32%6,99421.67%32,273Iberville6,33342.71%8,25955.70%2351.58%-1,926-12.99%14,827Jackson5,03865.88%2,52533.02%841.10%2,51332.86%7,647Jefferson117,88261.50%72,13637.64%1,6450.86%45,74623.86%191,663Jefferson Davis8,05561.93%4,74536.48%2071.59%3,31025.45%13,007Lafayette57,73264.20%31,21034.71%9811.09%26,52229.49%89,923Lafourche22,73460.04%14,41738.08%7131.88%8,31721.96%37,864LaSalle5,01580.39%1,15518.52%681.09%3,86061.87%6,238Lincoln10,79159.23%7,24239.75%1851.02%3,54919.48%18,218Livingston33,97676.78%9,89522.36%3820.86%24,08154.42%44,253Madison2,29149.03%2,33449.95%481.03%-43-0.92%4,673Morehouse7,47157.60%5,33641.14%1641.26%2,13516.46%12,971Natchitoches9,26154.59%7,39843.60%3071.81%1,86310.99%16,966Orleans42,84721.74%152,61077.43%1,6460.84%-109,763-55.69%197,103Ouachita41,75064.78%22,01634.16%6781.05%19,73430.62%64,444Plaquemines7,86664.72%4,18134.40%1060.87%3,68530.32%12,153Pointe Coupee5,42948.17%5,71250.68%1301.15%-283-2.51%11,271Rapides34,49263.79%18,90434.96%6731.24%15,58828.83%54,069Red River2,50753.15%2,14045.37%701.48%3677.78%4,717Richland5,47163.14%3,08235.57%1121.29%2,38927.57%8,665Sabine6,71170.08%2,74328.64%1221.27%3,96841.44%9,576St. Bernard19,59765.68%9,95633.37%2850.96%9,64132.31%29,838St. Charles14,74761.87%8,85637.15%2340.98%5,89124.72%23,837St. Helena2,23540.58%3,17357.61%1001.82%-938-17.03%5,508St. James4,54540.92%6,40757.68%1561.40%-1,862-16.76%11,108St. John the Baptist9,03946.08%10,30552.53%2731.39%-1,266-6.45%19,617St. Landry18,31549.82%18,16649.42%2790.76%1490.40%36,760St. Martin12,09552.99%10,32145.22%4081.79%1,7747.77%22,824St. Mary12,87756.74%9,54742.07%2701.19%3,33014.67%22,694St. Tammany75,13974.70%24,66524.52%7880.78%50,47450.18%100,592Tangipahoa26,18162.14%15,34536.42%6091.45%10,83625.72%42,135Tensas1,45349.04%1,46949.58%411.38%-16-0.54%2,963Terrebonne26,35864.96%13,68433.73%5321.31%12,67431.23%40,574Union7,45769.57%3,08928.82%1721.60%4,36840.75%10,718Vermilion15,06961.38%9,08537.00%3981.62%5,98424.38%24,552Vernon11,03272.44%4,03526.50%1621.06%6,99745.94%15,229Washington11,00661.69%6,55436.74%2811.58%4,45224.95%17,841Webster11,07060.00%6,83337.04%5462.96%4,23722.96%18,449West Baton Rouge5,82253.73%4,93245.52%810.75%8908.21%10,835West Carroll3,74074.31%1,23124.46%621.23%2,50949.85%5,033West Feliciana2,93256.19%2,21442.43%721.38%71813.76%5,218Winn4,36667.10%2,05631.60%851.31%2,31035.50%6,507Totals1,102,16956.72%820,29942.22%20,6381.06%281,87014.50%1,943,106
right 280px Swing by parish Legend #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 280px Trend by parish Legend #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% 280px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
Parishes that flipped Democratic to Republican
Bienville (Largest city: Arcadia)
Caddo (Largest city: Shreveport)
St. Landry (Largest city: Opelousas)
West Baton Rouge (Largest city: Port Allen)
By congressional district
Bush won six of seven congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2004&fips=22&f=0&off=0&elect=0&datatype=cd&def=1 Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data uselectionatlas.org
District Bush Kerry RepresentativeLouisiana 1 1st70%29%David Vitter Bobby Jindal Louisiana 2 2nd 24% 75%William J. JeffersonLouisiana 3 3rd58%41%Billy Tauzin Charlie Melancon Louisiana 4 4th 59% 40%Jim McCreryLouisiana 5 5th 62% 37%Rodney Alexander Louisiana 6 6th 59% 40%Richard H. Baker Louisiana 7 7th60%39%Chris John Charles Boustany
Electors
List of 2004 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Louisiana is allocated nine electors because it has seven congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of nine electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all nine electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All nine were pledged to Bush/Cheney:
Tom Angers
Michael Bayham
David R. Carroll
Archie Corder
Floyd Gonzalez
Gerald Hebert
John H. Musser
Sal Palmisano
Ruth L. Ulrich
See also
United States presidential elections in Louisiana
Presidency of George W. Bush
References
Presidential
Louisiana
2004