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2016 Missouri gubernatorial election
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2016 Missouri gubernatorial election Missouri presidential no 2012 Missouri gubernatorial election 2012 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election 2020 November 8, 2016 150x150px File:Governor Eric Greitens (cropped) (cropped).jpg Eric Greitens Republican Party (United States) 1,433,397 51.14% File:Chris Koster official portrait (cropped).jpg Chris Koster Democratic Party (United States) 1,277,360 45.57% 275px County results 275px| Congressional districts results 275px Precinct results 1 275px Greitens: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Koster: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% #ae8bb1 50% #808080 No votes Governor Jay Nixon Democratic Party (United States) Eric Greitens Republican Party (United States)
The 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
The primaries were held on August 2. Incumbent Democratic governor Jay Nixon was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office.Bill McClellan Bill McClellan: Jay Nixon could make presidential bid in 2016 http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/columns/bill-mcclellan/bill-mcclellan-jay-nixon-could-make-presidential-bid-in/article_21c02e01-1968-5a2e-8758-f6d0f2405cb3.html March 3, 2013 St. Louis Post-Dispatch October 5, 2012 State Attorney General Chris Koster and businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.Held Kevin S. http://fox2now.com/2016/08/02/koster-wins-democratic-gubernatorial-primary/ Koster wins Democratic gubernatorial primary KTVI August 2, 2016 August 2, 2016Lieb David A. Ballentine Summer Ex-Navy SEAL Eric Greitens wins Missouri governor primary http://www.wrcbtv.com/story/32602092/ex-navy-seal-eric-greitens-wins-missouri-governor-primary WRCB August 2, 2016 August 2, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160804213247/http://www.wrcbtv.com/story/32602092/ex-navy-seal-eric-greitens-wins-missouri-governor-primary August 4, 2016 dead mdy-all On election day, November 8, 2016, the Associated Press declared Greitens the winner of the election, and Koster conceded shortly after.http://fox2now.com/2016/11/08/eric-greitens-declares-victory-in-missouri-gubernatorial-race/ Eric Greitens declares victory in Missouri gubernatorial race 9 November 2016 This was the first gubernatorial election in Missouri since 1968 in which the winner was from a different party from the presidential candidate who won the popular vote in the concurrent electionWhile Hillary Clinton lost the election to Donald Trump, she won the popular vote., and the first since 1940 that a Republican accomplished the feat.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Chris Koster, Attorney General of MissouriAssociated Press http://www.semissourian.com/story/1957857.html State News: Mo. Attorney General Koster prepares to run for governor seMissourian.com April 10, 2013 October 14, 2014 August 3, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160803104147/http://www.semissourian.com/story/1957857.html deadhttp://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/morning_call/2013/04/mo-attorney-general-chris-koster.html Chris Koster for Missouri governor? - St. Louis Business Journal Bizjournals.com 2013-04-10 2013-08-20Jo Mannies Early Missouri governor's race new political normal http://www.kansascity.com/2014/02/16/4828312/early-missouri-governors-race.html The Kansas City Star February 16, 2014 May 21, 2014
Eliminated in primary
Eric Morrison, pastor, community leader http://www.ky3.com/content/news/Republican-race-for-Mo-governor-heats-up-with-new-ads-382160431.html KY3 June 7, 2016 June 15, 2016 Republican race for Mo. governor heats up with new ads Emily Wood
Leonard Steinman, perennial candidatehttp://www.newstribune.com/news/2016/feb/24/steinman-running-governor-instead-president/ Steinman running for governor instead of president Jefferson City News Tribune Watson Bob February 24, 2016 March 2, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160301134459/http://www.newstribune.com/news/2016/feb/24/steinman-running-governor-instead-president/ March 1, 2016 dead mdy-all
Charles Wheeler, former mayor of Kansas City and former state senatorhttp://www.kansascity.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article62879222.html Here comes Charlie Wheeler The Kansas City Star Kraske Steve February 29, 2016 March 2, 2016
Declined
Joe Maxwell, former lieutenant governor of Missourihttp://themissouritimes.com/14402/2016-outlook/ 2016 Outlook The Missouri Times October 20, 2014 November 16, 2014
Claire McCaskill, U.S. senator, former state auditor of Missouri and nominee for governor in 2004Kansas City Star http://www.kansascity.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/local-columnists/article1320588.html Steve Kraske: Claire McCaskill flirts with a run for Missouri governor kansascity.com August 28, 2014 September 1, 2014http://politicmo.com/2015/01/12/claire-mccaskill-governor-koster/ PoliticMo Claire McCaskill will not run for governor in 2016 January 12, 2015 January 12, 2015 Yokley Eli
Clint Zweifel, State Treasurer of Missourihttps://www.stlbeacon.org/#!/content/30266/zweifel_governor_koster_departure St. Louis Beacon Zweifel decides against 2016 bid for governor April 9, 2013 August 20, 2013 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20130720014459/http://stlbeacon.org/ July 20, 2013
Endorsements
Chris Koster Newspapers
The Kansas City Starhttp://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article91794882.html The Star's recommendations for governor — Catherine Hanaway, Chris Koster — and for other Missouri statewide offices kansascity.com July 25, 2016
St. Louis Post-Dispatchhttp://www.stltoday.com/news/opinion/columns/the-platform/editorial-in-governor-s-primaries-catherine-hanaway-and-chris-koster/article_6ac607df-e062-5a7a-9d08-27c81c77fddb.html Editorial: In governor's primaries, Catherine Hanaway and Chris Koster stltoday.com July 24, 2016
Organizations
Missouri Farm Bureau
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster EricMorrison LeonardSteinman CharlesWheeler Other UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-DixonSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 73% 3% 1% 8% — 15%SurveyUSASurveyUSA https://web.archive.org/web/20160727170601/http://www.ksdk.com/news/politics/poll-republican-race-for-mo-governor-too-close-to-call/281586157 2016-07-27 July 20–24, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 57% 7% 3% 7% — 26%
Results
thumb|275px|Results by county:
#7996e2ff Koster #7996E2 50–60% #6674deff 60–70% #584cdeff 70–80% #1e1dbeff 80–90%
Democratic primary resultshttp://enrarchives.sos.mo.gov/enrnet/ Missouri Gubernatorial Primary results Missouri Secretary of State August 2, 2016 November 30, 2016 April 12, 2019 https://web.archive.org/web/20190412235557/https://enrarchives.sos.mo.gov/enrnet/ dead
Chris Koster Democratic Party (United States) 256,272 78.75%
Eric Morrison Democratic Party (United States) 31,474 9.67%
Charles Wheeler Democratic Party (United States) 25,756 7.92%
Leonard Steinman Democratic Party (United States) 11,911 3.66%
325,413 100.00%
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eric Greitens, businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEALScher Zagier Alan Ballentine Summer September 26, 2015 Former Navy SEAL Greitens running as Republican for Missouri governor http://www.navytimes.com/story/military/2015/09/26/navy-seal-eric-greitens-run-missouri-governor/72873806/ September 28, 2015 The Kansas City Star
Eliminated in primary
John Brunner, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012
Catherine Hanaway, Missouri Attorney General appointee, former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives, and former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of MissouriRepublican Hanaway to run for Mo. governor in 2016 http://www.ksdk.com/story/news/politics/2014/02/10/catherine-hanaway-running-missouri-governor-2016/5376869/ ksdk.com February 11, 2014 February 12, 2014 February 22, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140222035645/http://www.ksdk.com/story/news/politics/2014/02/10/catherine-hanaway-running-missouri-governor-2016/5376869/ dead
Peter Kinder, lieutenant governor of Missourihttp://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/peter-kinder-will-seek-missouri-governor-s-office-in/article_10a91681-5b89-5bc0-bb07-449c1089072d.html Peter Kinder will seek Missouri governor's office in 2016 St. Louis Post-Dispatch Pistor Nicholas J.C. July 12, 2015 July 12, 2015
Deceased
Tom Schweich, State Auditor of Missouri (died of suicide on February 26, 2015)http://www.kansascity.com/news/government-politics/article4030830.html Schweich weighing running for Missouri governor The Kansas City Star Lieb David A. November 20, 2014 November 22, 2014http://www.dailyjournal.net/view/story/92a4bf1043c64548974604056db0cd05/MO--Missouri-Governor-Schweich/ Missouri Auditor Tom Schweich to run for governor, setting up Republican primary in 2016 Daily Journal January 28, 2015 January 29, 2015 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150130183117/http://www.dailyjournal.net/view/story/92a4bf1043c64548974604056db0cd05/MO--Missouri-Governor-Schweich/ January 30, 2015Joe Millitzer Missouri Auditor Schweich dies after self-inflicted gunshot wound http://fox2now.com/2015/02/26/missouri-auditor-schweich-hospitalized-for-medical-problem/ KTVI Fox 2 Now February 26, 2015
Withdrew
Randy Asbury, former state representativehttp://www.missourinet.com/2015/09/25/asbury-out-greitens-brunner-appear-ready-to-proceed-in-missouri-governors-race Asbury out, Greitens, Brunner appear ready to proceed in Missouri governor's race Missourinet News Lear Mike September 25, 2015 September 28, 2015http://www.missourinet.com/2015/02/16/asbury-joins-republican-race-for-governor-in-2016/ Asbury joins Republican race for governor in 2016 Missourinet News Lear Mike February 16, 2015 February 20, 2015
Bob Dixon, state senatorhttp://news.stlpublicradio.org/post/bob-dixon-announces-run-republican-nomination-missouri-governor Bob Dixon announces run for Republican nomination for Missouri governor KWMU Griffin Marshall July 20, 2015 August 12, 2015http://themissouritimes.com/24523/dixon-ends-bid-for-gop-governors-nomination/ Dixon ends bid for GOP governor's nomination The Missouri Times Zimpfer Travis November 23, 2015 November 23, 2015
Mike Parson, state senator (running for lieutenant governor)http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/kevin-mcdermott/republican-mike-parson-adds-his-name-to-race-for-missouri/article_21f7855b-50c3-5e34-b23b-8b28f28d90f3.html Republican Mike Parson adds his name to race for Missouri governor St. Louis Post-Dispatch McDermott Kevin April 30, 2015 May 10, 2015http://www.news-leader.com/story/news/local/ozarks/2015/07/25/parson-run-lieutenant-governor-governor/30676843/ Sen. Mike Parson switches race to lieutenant governor Springfield News-Leader Swedien Jon July 27, 2015 August 12, 2015
Declined
Tim Jones, Speaker of the Missouri House of Representativeshttp://www.news-leader.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/11/10/get-bloody-experts-forecast-missouri-election/18785823/ 'It could get bloody' — Experts forecast 2016 Missouri election Springfield News-Leader November 9, 2014 November 12, 2014http://news.stlpublicradio.org/post/tim-jones-wont-seek-statewide-office-2016 Tim Jones Won't Seek Statewide Office In 2016 St. Louis Public Radio November 6, 2014 November 12, 2014http://www.thestate.com/2014/11/06/3795073_missouri-house-speaker-wont-seek.html https://archive.today/20141112132012/http://www.thestate.com/2014/11/06/3795073_missouri-house-speaker-wont-seek.html dead November 12, 2014 Missouri House speaker won't seek office in 2016 The State November 6, 2014 November 12, 2014 http://www.missourinet.com/2014/11/06/tim-jones-will-not-run-for-statewide-office-in-2016/ Tim Jones: will not run for statewide office in 2016 MissouriNet November 6, 2014 November 12, 2014
Bart Korman, state representativehttp://themissouritimes.com/15842/bart-korman-running-governor/ Is Bart Korman running for governor? The Missouri Times Wingo Kelsey January 13, 2015 January 28, 2015http://www.warrencountyrecord.com/local_news/article_24921b6c-9cdf-11e4-99d8-fb374d10196d.html Gov. Korman? State Rep's interest in state's top position done as tribute The Warren County Record Schmidt Tim January 17, 2015 April 11, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20170602120039/http://www.warrencountyrecord.com/local_news/article_24921b6c-9cdf-11e4-99d8-fb374d10196d.html June 2, 2017 dead
Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. representativeGiacomo Bologna Show Me Nothing: Missouri Members Entrenched http://www.rollcall.com/news/show_me_nothing_missouri_members_entrenched-228101-1.html Roll Call October 2, 2013 October 3, 2013Jo Mannies Luetkemeyer Getting Strong Encouragement To Jump Into GOP 2016 Field For Governor http://news.stlpublicradio.org/post/luetkemeyer-getting-strong-encouragement-jump-gop-2016-field-governor St. Louis Public Radio May 19, 2014 May 21, 2014http://www.missourinet.com/2015/01/31/luetkemeyer-downplays-run-for-missouri-governor-in-2016/ Luetkemeyer downplays run for Missouri governor in 2016 Missourinet News Lear Mike January 31, 2015 February 10, 2015https://twitter.com/jmannies/status/568944257651773442 Is Rep. Luetkemeyer still looking at MO gov? "No," he says Twitter Mannies Jo February 20, 2015 February 21, 2015
Ron Richard, state senator and former speaker of the Missouri House of Representativeshttps://www.stlbeacon.org/#!/content/19449/richard_no_2016_run_for_governor_will_back_kinder_for_governor_in_2012 Richard: No 2016 run for governor; will back Kinder for governor in 2012 St. Louis Beacon February 27, 2010 November 16, 2014 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20130720014459/http://stlbeacon.org/ July 20, 2013
Dave Spence, businessman and nominee for governor in 2012http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/kevin-mcdermott/apparently-no-re-run-for-former-missouri-gubernatorial-nominee-dave/article_162a0897-f7d7-5e54-b480-1b26df5ce449.html Apparently no re-run for former Missouri gubernatorial nominee Dave Spence St. Louis Post-Dispatch McDermott Kevin April 10, 2015 April 11, 2015
Jim Talent, former U.S. senatorhttp://politicmo.com/2015/03/21/as-republicans-face-split-roy-blunt-steers-clear-of-john-hancock-saga/ As Republicans face split, Roy Blunt steers clear of John Hancock saga PoliticMo Yokley Eli March 21, 2015 March 24, 2015
Endorsements
John Brunner Indoviduals
Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas
James E. Livingston, retired United States Marine Corps major general
Rand Paul, U.S. senator from Kentucky
Organizations
Gun Owners of America
Eric Greitens Individuals
Ben Carson, 2016 presidential candidatehttps://ericgreitens.com/2016/07/30/dr-ben-carson-endorses-eric-greitens/ Dr. Ben Carson Endorses Eric Greitens - Eric Greitens for Governor ericgreitens.com 14 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20170217223724/https://ericgreitens.com/2016/07/30/dr-ben-carson-endorses-eric-greitens/ 17 February 2017 dead
Jane Cunningham, former Missouri state senatorhttp://themissouritimes.com/26073/greitens-announces-state-leadership-campaign-team/ Greitens announces state leadership campaign team The Missouri Times January 13, 2016
Glen Klippenstein, former Missouri state representative
John Lamping, former Missouri state senator
Jim Lembke, former Missouri state senator
Kirk Mathews, Missouri state representative
Joe Maxwell, former Missouri Lieutenant Governorhttp://themissouritimes.com/34845/greitens-tacks-left-animal-rights-group-endorsement/ Former LG and animal rights activist Joe Maxwell endorses Greitens 21 October 2016 Themissouritimes.com 5 January 2018 (Democrat)
Robert O'Neill, Navy SEAL
David Steelman, former Missouri House minority leader
Sarah Steelman, former State Treasurer of Missouri
George Herbert Walker III, former United States Ambassador to Hungary
Nate Walker, Missouri state representative
Bill White, Missouri state representative
Catherine Hanaway Individuals
Kit Bond, former U.S. senator and former governor of Missourihttp://www.kansascity.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article3977692.html Kit Bond backing Catherine Hanaway for Missouri governor The Kansas City Star Kraske Steve November 17, 2014 November 22, 2014
Tom Dempsey, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senatehttp://themissouritimes.com/8892/dempsey-endorses-hanaway-governor-2016/ Dempsey endorses Hanaway for Governor in 2016 The Missouri Times Kleine Ben March 14, 2014 November 13, 2014
Nikki Haley, governor of South Carolina
Ron Richard, majority leader of the Missouri Senatehttp://politicmo.com/2014/03/31/senate-leadership-backing-hanaway-for-governor/ Senate leadership backing Hanaway for governor PoliticMo Yokley Eli March 31, 2014 November 13, 2014
Ann Wagner, U.S. representative, former United States Ambassador to Luxembourg, and former chair of the Missouri Republican Partyhttp://annwagner.com/wagner-endorses-catherine-hanaway-for-governor/ Wagner Endorses Catherine Hanaway for governor AnnWagner.com February 10, 2014 January 12, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150202084836/http://annwagner.com/wagner-endorses-catherine-hanaway-for-governor/ February 2, 2015 dead mdy-all
Newspapers
The Kansas City Star
St. Louis Post-Dispatch
Peter Kinder John Danforth, former U.S. senator and former United States Ambassador to the United Nationshttps://www.nationaljournal.com/s/90904/danforth-endorsed-kinder Danforth Endorsed Kinder nationaljournal.com October 19, 2015 July 19, 2016http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/danforth-donates-k-to-kinder-in-gop-governor-s-race/article_f92bf7a0-a116-5eb6-a28d-d356b919048d.html Danforth donates $10k to Kinder in GOP governor's race stltoday.com August 25, 2015 July 19, 2016
Rush Limbaugh, conservative radio talk show host, long-time Cape Girardeau family friendhttp://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/limbaugh-radio-endorsement-of-kinder-in-missouri-governor-s-race/article_d36fae3a-5870-54f4-8bee-e2cf2b4dbb54.html Limbaugh radio endorsement of Kinder in Missouri governor's race airing statewide stltoday.com June 10, 2016 July 19, 2016
Dana Loesch, conservative talk radio and television host for TheBlaze and Breitbart News, author, co-founder of the St. Louis Tea Partyhttp://danaloeschradio.com/why-im-supporting-peter-kinder-for-missouri-governor Why I'm Supporting Peter Kinder For Missouri Governor danaloeschradio.com July 13, 2016 July 19, 2016 August 13, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160813204629/http://danaloeschradio.com/why-im-supporting-peter-kinder-for-missouri-governor dead
Jared Ogden, former Navy SEAL, Ultimate Survival Alaska celebrity, and Missouri residenthttp://danaloeschradio.com/navy-seal-national-geographic-star-endorses-peter-kinder-for-missouri-gover Navy SEAL, National Geographic Star Endorses Peter Kinder For Missouri Governor danaloeschradio.com July 6, 2016 July 19, 2016 July 10, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160710063757/http://danaloeschradio.com/navy-seal-national-geographic-star-endorses-peter-kinder-for-missouri-gover dead
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnBrunner EricGreitens CatherineHanaway PeterKinder UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 23% 21% 21% 18% 17%SurveyUSA July 20–24, 2016 773 ± 3.6% 21% 25% 18% 18% 18%OnMessage Inc.OnMessage Inc. July 17–18, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 23% 21% 25% 19% 12%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 11–12, 2016 462 ± 3.2% 16% 24% 22% 15% 23%Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri ScoutRemington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout July 7–8, 2016 1,022 ± 3.0% 22% 29% 16% 12% 21%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnBrunner CatherineHanaway PeterKinder TomSchweich DaveSpence Other UndecidedRemington Research GroupRemington Research Group February 2–3, 2015 747 3.6% 10% 13% — 16% — — 62% — 12% 24% 15% — — 48% — 16% — 19% — 18% 47%Remington Research GroupRemington Research Group January 2015 1,355 ? — 44% — 56% — — — — 39% — 37% 25% — —
Results
thumb|275px|Results by county:
#e27f7f Greitens #ffc8cd 30–40% #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60%
#ff9955 Brunner #ffdac1 20–30% #ffcca9 30–40% #ffb380 40–50%
#5fd3bc Kinder #afe9dd 30–40% #87decd 40–50% #5fd3bc 50–60%
Republican primary results
Eric Greitens Republican Party (United States) 236,481 34.56%
John Brunner Republican Party (United States) 169,620 24.79%
Peter Kinder Republican Party (United States) 141,629 20.70%
Catherine Hanaway Republican Party (United States) 136,521 19.95%
684,251 100.00%
Third party and independent candidates
Green Party
Candidates
Declared
Don Fitzhttp://missourigreenparty.org/donfitz/ Don Fitz- Candidate for Governor of Missouri Missouri Green Party September 1, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160911005837/http://missourigreenparty.org/donfitz/ September 11, 2016 deadhttp://www.sos.mo.gov/default.aspx?PageID=8584 Kander Certifies Green Party for November Ballot Missouri Secretary of State September 1, 2016
Independent
Candidates
Declared
Les Turilli Jr., businessmanhttp://www.columbiamissourian.com/a/183763/updated-businessman-to-run-as-independent-for-missouri-governor UPDATED: Businessman to run as independent for Missouri governor Columbia Missourian January 13, 2015 March 5, 2015
Libertarian Party
Candidates
Declared
Cisse W. Spragins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Missouri Secretary of State in 2012http://lpmo.org/news/Cisse-Spragins-Wins-Nomination-Governor Libertarian Party of Missouri August 11, 2016 Cisse Spragins Wins Nomination For Governor https://web.archive.org/web/20160814023140/http://lpmo.org/news/Cisse-Spragins-Wins-Nomination-Governor August 14, 2016 dead
Results
Libertarian primary results
Cisse W. Spragins Libertarian Party (United States) 3,515 100.00%
3,515 100.00%
General election
Debates
Complete video of debate, September 30, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Governor Race ratings https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139364 The Cook Political Report October 15, 2018 October 15, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181015115045/https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139364 dead Tossup August 12, 2016 Daily KosElections 2015-16 https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/governor Daily Kos October 15, 2018 October 15, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181015114617/https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/governor dead Tossup November 8, 2016 Inside ElectionsGubernatorial Ratings http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2016-gubernatorial-ratings-november-3-2016 The Rothenberg Political Report October 15, 2018 Tossup November 3, 2016 Sabato's Crystal BallOur Final 2016 picks http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ Sabato's Crystal Ball October 15, 2018 October 15, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181015114619/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ dead Lean R Flip November 7, 2016 Real Clear Politics2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/governor/2016_elections_governor_map.html Real Clear Politics October 15, 2018 Tossup November 1, 2016 Governinghttps://www.governing.com/archive/gov-ratings-roundup-2016-statewide-elections.html Ratings Roundup: 2016 Statewide Elections November 4, 2016 Governing Magazine April 23, 2021 Tossup November 4, 2016
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdated ChrisKoster (D) EricGreitens (R) Other/UndecidedCalculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.MarginReal Clear PoliticsReal Clear PoliticsOctober 28 – November 1, 2016November 1, 201645.5%46.0%8.5%Greitens +0.5%
2016 Missouri gubernatorial election polls.chart 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election polls.tab 700px
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) EricGreitens (R) Other UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,368 ± 4.6% 48% 47% — 5%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 31–Nov 6, 2016 1,119 ± 4.6% 49% 46% — 5%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 28–Nov 3, 2016 879 ± 4.6% 49% 47% — 4%Public Policy Pollinghttp://images.campaignpartner.net/images/15290/MissouriResults112.pdf Public Policy Polling November 2, 2016 November 4, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161104002417/http://images.campaignpartner.net/images/15290/MissouriResults112.pdf dead November 1–2, 2016 871 ± 3.4% 47% 44% 4% 6%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 774 ± 4.6% 50% 47% — 3%The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 31 – November 1, 2016 1,722 ± 2.4% 45% 46% 4% 4%DFM ResearchDFM Research https://web.archive.org/web/20170131001706/http://www.smartmoslb.org/Missouri%20Rail%20Survey%20November%202016%20%28002%29.pdf January 31, 2017 October 27 – November 1, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 45% 39% 10% 6%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 649 ± 4.6% 52% 46% — 2%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University October 28–31, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 46% 46% 2% 5%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 671 ± 4.6% 54% 44% — 2%Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R)Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) October 27–28, 2016 1,698 ± 2.4% 46% 45% — 9%St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-DixonSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon October 24–26, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 46% 45% — 9%The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 23–25, 2016 2,559 ± 1.9% 47% 45% 4% 4%The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 9–11, 2016 2,171 ± 2.1% 48% 42% 5% 5%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University October 9–11, 2016 406 ± 4.9% 46% 43% 2% 8%The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 4–5, 2016 1,588 ± 2.6% 44% 41% 5% 10%The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) September 26–27, 2016 1,279 ± 3.0% 51% 35% 5%Cisse Spragins (L) 3%, Lester Turilli (I) 2% 10%The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens)The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens) September 19–22, 2016 606 ± 4.1% 45% 42% — 13%The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) September 19–20, 2016 1,076 ± 3.2% 47% 37% 4%Cisse Spragins (L) 2%, Lester Turilli (I) 2% 13%The Missouri Times/Gravis MarketingThe Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing September 11–13, 2016 604 ± 4.0% 49% 41% — 8%The Missouri Times/Gravis MarketingThe Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing September 4–6, 2016 589 ± 4.0% 47% 41% 3%Cisse Spragins (L) 2%, Lester Turilli (I) 1% 9%Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R)Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) September 1–2, 2016 1,275 ± 3.0% 46% 42% — 12%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University August 19–22, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 51% 40% 3% 6%Remington Research Group (R)Remington Research Group (R) August 5–6, 2016 1,280 ± 3.0% 45% 43% — 7%St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-DixonSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 52% 33% — 15%DFM ResearchDFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% 41% 24% 3% 31%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 22–23, 2015 731 ± 3.6% 37% 44% — 20%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 40% 34% — 26%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
with John Brunner
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) JohnBrunner (R) Other UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 46% 40% — 14%DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% 42% 28% 2% 28%Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 41% 36% — 23%
with Catherine Hanaway
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) CatherineHanaway (R) Other UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 52% 36% — 12%DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% 43% 31% 3% 23%Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 40% 36% — 23%Gravius Public PollingGravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% 29% 23% — 48%Wilson Perkins Allen (R-Hanaway)Wilson Perkins Allen (R-Hanaway) January 15–19, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 33% 35% — 32%
with Peter Kinder
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) PeterKinder (R) Other UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 47% 46% — 7%DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% 39% 37% 2% 22%Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 37% 40% — 24%
with Bob Dixon
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) BobDixon (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 39% 35% — 26%
with Bart Korman
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) BartKorman (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 39% 31% — 30%
with Tom Schweich
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) TomSchweich (R) Other UndecidedGravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% 30% 26% — 44%
with Randy Asbury
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ChrisKoster (D) RandyAsbury (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 40% 35% — 25%
with Claire McCaskill
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ClaireMcCaskill (D) CatherineHanaway (R) Other UndecidedGravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% 19% 30% — 51%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror ClaireMcCaskill (D) TomSchweich (R) Other UndecidedGravius Public Polling January 7–8, 2015 ? ± 6% 20% 34% — 46%
Results
Missouri gubernatorial election, 2016https://enrarchives.sos.mo.gov/enrnet/default.aspx?eid=750003949 2016 General Election - Official Results Missouri Secretary of State November 8, 2016 December 29, 2016 June 15, 2019 https://web.archive.org/web/20190615074518/https://enrarchives.sos.mo.gov/enrnet/default.aspx?eid=750003949 dead
Eric Greitens Republican Party (United States) 1,433,397 51.14% +8.61%
Chris Koster Democratic Party (United States) 1,277,360 45.57% -9.20%
Cisse Spragins Libertarian Party (United States) 41,154 1.47% -1.22%
Lester Benton Turilli, Jr. Independent (United States) 30,019 1.07% N/A
Don Fitz Green Party (United States) 21,088 0.75% N/A
28 0.00% 0.00%
2,803,046 100.00% N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
275px|thumb|State Senate districts results
275px|thumb |State House districts results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Adair (largest city: Kirksville)
Audrain (largest city: Mexico)
Bates (largest city: Butler)
Buchanan (largest city: St. Joseph)
Chariton (largest city: Salisbury)
Clark (largest city: Kahoka)
Clay (largest city: Liberty)
Clinton (largest city: Cameron)
Dunklin (largest city: Kennett)
Franklin (largest city: Washington)
Greene (largest city: Springfield)
Henry (largest city: Clinton)
Hickory (largest city: Hermitage)
Howard (largest city: Fayette)
Iron (largest city: Ironton)
Jefferson (largest city: Arnold)
Johnson (largest city: Warrensburg)
Knox (largest city: Edina)
Lafayette (largest city: Odessa)
Lewis (largest city: Canton)
Linn (largest city: Brookfield)
Madison (largest city: Fredericktown)
Mississippi (largest city: Charleston)
Monroe (largest city: Monroe City)
New Madrid (largest city: New Madrid)
Nodaway (largest city: Maryville)
Pemiscot (largest city: Caruthersville)
Pettis (largest city: Sedalia)
Pike (largest city: Bowling Green)
Platte (largest city: Kansas City)
Ray (largest city: Richmond)
Reynolds (largest city: Ellington)
Saline (largest city: Marshall)
Scott (largest city: Sikeston)
Shannon (largest city: Winona)
St. Charles (largest city: O'Fallon)
St. Francois (largest city: Farmington)
Ste. Genevieve (largest city: Ste. Genevieve)
Washington (largest city: Potosi)
Wayne (largest city: Piedmont)
By congressional district
Greitens won six of eight congressional districts.https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::e39cf7d4-f655-4f39-a7ff-178ca55673fa DRA 2020 Daves Redistricting
District Koster Greitens RepresentativeMissouri 1 1st 78% 19%Lacy ClayMissouri 2 2nd 47% 51%Ann WagnerMissouri 3 3rd 40% 57%Blaine LuetkemeyerMissouri 4 4th 39% 57%Vicky HartzlerMissouri 5 5th 60% 37%Emanuel CleaverMissouri 6 6th 40% 57%Sam GravesMissouri 7 7th 32% 65%Billy LongMissouri 8 8th 32% 65%Jason Smith
Campaign finance investigations
On April 28, 2017, the Missouri Ethics Commission fined Greitens' campaign $1,000 for violating state campaign ethics rules regarding campaign disclosure. Greitens did not contest the fine.http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/in-latest-secrecy-issue-gov-greitens-is-fined-by-state/article_f08341ac-aea7-510e-b8fd-a1f5a872964e.html In latest secrecy issue, Gov. Greitens is fined by state for undisclosed donor list McDermott Kevin stltoday.com May 7, 2017
In 2018, Missouri attorney general Josh Hawley announced the opening of an investigation of Greitens' 2016 campaign financing.ELECTIONS ‘She’s a lucky duck’: GOP implodes again for McCaskill, Politico, Daniel Strauss, April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
On June 1, 2018, Greitens resigned from office, leaving Mike Parson, his lieutenant governor, to succeed him.
Notes
References
External links
Official campaign websites (archived)
Chris Koster (D) for Governor
Eric Greitens (R) for Governor
Les Turilli, Jr. (I) for Governor
Missouri
Governor
2016
Category:2016 in Missouri
Category:November 2016 in the United States