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2012 Bahamian general election
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May 2012
May 2012
March 2021
The Bahamas parliamentary 2007 Bahamian general election 2007 yes 2012 05 07 2017 Bahamian general election 2017 All 38 seats in the House of Assembly 20 171,932 90.78% ( 1.33pp) Perry Christie 2013 (cropped).jpg Perry Christie Progressive Liberal Party Centreville 47.02%, 18 seats 29 11 75,815 48.62% 1.60 pp Hubert Ingraham 2009.jpg Hubert Ingraham Free National Movement North Abaco 49.86%, 23 seats 9 14 65,633 42.09% 7.77 pp 250px250px250px Results in New Providence (top), Family Island (centre) and Grand Bahama (bottom) Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham Free National Movement Perry Christie Progressive Liberal Party
General elections were held in the Bahamas on 7 May 2012. They were the first general election in which a third party (the Democratic National Alliance) offered a full slate of candidates alongside the two major parties, the Free National Movement and the Progressive Liberal Party (PLP).The Bahamas General Election Results - 7 May 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20201014232502/http://www.caribbeanelections.com/bs/elections/bs_results_2012.asp 14 October 2020 Caribbean Elections The result was a victory for the opposition PLP, whose leader Perry Christie became prime minister.
Background
The Free National Movement had defeated the Progressive Liberal Party in the 2007 general election amid a scandal involving the residency status of model and reality television star Anna Nicole Smith and allegations that the PLP's then-immigration minister had fast-tracked her application to live in the islands.
Opinion polls
An opinion poll was carried out by Public Domain, a market research and public opinion polling company, between 2 and 12 March 2012 that involved 501 respondents. A sample of this proportion only represented a maximum margin of error of 4.4 per cent. The poll showed that the Free National Movement's (FNM) core support was the highest at 30.5 per cent, followed by the Progressive Liberal Party (PLP) at 23.7 per cent, and the Democratic National Alliance (DNA) at 16.5 per cent. A total of 12.2 per cent of the sample were undecided voters. Also the poll revealed that the PLP's swing voters constituted 6.6 per cent of the sample; the largest swing voter percentage. They were followed by the DNA ( who had 5.2 per cent swing voters ) and the FNM ( who had 3.7 per cent swing voters ). Therefore, the total support for the FNM was around 34.2 per cent, which was followed by the PLP's 30.3 per cent and the DNA's 21.7 per cent. If any of the two leading parties were to win the support of the entire 12.2 per cent undecided voters, they would win the general election. A question was asked during the polling process that went, According to you, which party will win the next election?. The results were that the FNM would ( at 32% ), the PLP would ( at 32% ) and the DNA would ( at 8% ) win the next general election. The poll also reported that 52% of the electorate was against reelecting the incumbent Free National Movement, while 55.9% opposed electing the PLP and 64.5% rejected electing the DNA.Candia Dames 29 March 2012 FNM and PLP in Statistical dead heat https://www.bahamaslocal.com/newsitem/46394/FNM_and_PLP_in_statistical_dead_heat.html The Nassau Guardian
Results
The opposition Progressive Liberal Party (PLP) won a majority in a landslide election victory, taking 30 of the 38 seats in parliament.Jacqueline Charles Bahamas swears in new leader as ex-prime minister calls the quits http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/05/08/2789999/bahamas-swears-in-new-leader.html Miami Herald 8 May 2012 8 May 2012 PLP leader Perry Christie, who had previously served as Prime Minister, was sworn into office on 8 May 2012, at approximately 4 pm.
Outgoing Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham announced his retirement from politics following the defeat of his Free National Movement (FNM). He had served in Parliament for thirty-five years, winning re-election seven times, including 2012. Ingraham told supporters, "I gave it the best I could and now I've been rejected by the public of the Bahamas...We had no indication from the general public they would go that way." Ingraham then confirmed his retirement, saying, "I am going to go back to my little law office and enjoy life with my family."
The Democratic National Alliance lost the only seat it held in the prior parliament (that of Branville McCartney, its founder and only MP) and elected no candidates.
File:Bahamas Assemblée 2012.svg Progressive Liberal Party 75815 29 +11 Free National Movement 65633 9 –14 Democratic National Alliance 13225 0 New Bahamas Constitution Party 96 0 New blue Independents 1177 0 0 142 –3 171932 Caribbean Elections
By constituency
Electoral DistrictTotal votesCandidatesIncumbentFree National MovementProgressive Liberal PartyDemocratic National AllianceOtherBain Town and Grants Town4,962John Henry Bostwick1,754 (35.35%)Bernard Nottage2,856 (57.56%)Rodney Moncur333 (6.71%)Mario Clarke (IND)19 (0.38%)Bernard NottageBamboo Town4,952Cassius Stuart1,661 (33.54%)Renward Wells1,940 (39.18%)Branville McCartney1,022 (20.64%)Craig Butler (IND)329 (6.64%)Branville McCartneyCarmichael4,769Darron Cash2,063 (43.26%)Daniel Johnson2,157 (45.23%)Theofanis Chochinamogulos527 (11.05%)Glen Rolle (IND)22 (0.46%)Desmond BannisterCat Island, Rum Cay & San Salvador1,480Michael Pintard693 (46.82%)Philip "Brave" Davis778 (52.57%)Shawn Francis9 (0.61%)Philip Brave DavisCentral and South Abaco2,967Edison Key1,490 (50.22%)Gary Sawyer1,235 (41.62%)Roscoe Thompson242 (8.16%)Edison KeyCentral and South Eleuthera2,775Howard Johnson1,326 (47.78%)Damian Gomez1,392 (50.16%)William Hunt57 (2.05%)James IngrahamCentral Grand Bahama5,202Neko Grant2,505 (48.15%)Julian Russell2,354 (45.25%)Howard Grant, Jr.343 (6.59%)New districtCentreville4,853Ella Lewis1,601 (32.99%)Perry Christie2,950 (60.79%)Celi Moss302 (6.22%)New districtEast Grand Bahama4,758Peter Turnquest2,239 (47.06%)Tanisha Tynes2,060 (43.30%)Ferline Bridgewater-Thomas402 (8.45%)Philip Thomas (IND)57 (1.20%)New districtElizabeth4,372Duane Sands1,925 (44.03%)Ryan Pinder2,049 (46.87%)Charlene Paul385 (8.81%)Jay Armbrister (IND)13 (0.30%)Ryan PinderEnglerston4,806Caron Shepard1,576 (32.79%)Glenys Hanna Martin2,962 (61.63%)Nicholas Jacques219 (4.56%)S. Ali McIntosh (BCP)18 (0.37%)Paul Rolle (IND)5 (0.10%)C. Rashard Amahad (IND)7 (0.15%)Alexander Morley (IND)19 (0.40%)Glenys Hanna MartinExumas and Ragged Island2,697Phenton Neymour1,235 (45.79%)Anthony Moss1,355 (50.24%)Floyd Ambrister94 (3.49%)Colin Miller (BCP)8 (0.30%)Reginald Smith (IND)5 (0.19%)Anthony MossFort Charlotte4,620Zhivargo Laing1,975 (42.75%)Andre Rollins2,126 (46.02%)Mark Humes519 (11.23%)Alfred SearsFox Hill4,370Shonell Ferguson1,571 (35.95%)Fred Mitchell2,448 (56.02%)Kendal Smith351 (8.03%)Fred MitchellGarden Hills4,512Brensil Rolle1,913 (42.40%)Kendal Major2,181 (48.34%)Kelphene Cunningham382 (8.47%)Paul Moss (IND)36 (0.80%)Brensil RolleGolden Gates4,822Winsome Miller1,556 (32.27%)Shane Gibson2,831 (58.71%)Allsworth Pickstock435 (9.02%)Shane GibsonGolden Isles4,614Charles Maynard1,813 (39.29%)Michael Halkitis2,220 (48.11%)Farrell Goff581 (12.59%)Michael HalkitisKillarney4,598Hubert Minnis2,434 (52.94%)Jerome Gomez1,642 (35.71%)Prodesta Moore522 (11.35%)Hubert MinnisLong Island1,729Loretta Butler-Turner979 (56.62%)Alex Storr531 (30.71%)Mario Cartwright219 (12.67%)Lawrence CartwrightMangrove Cay and South Andros2,037Ronald Bostfield532 (26.12%)Picewell Forbes794 (38.98%)Wayde Forbes85 (4.17%)Whitney Bastian (IND)626 (30.73%)Picewell ForbesMarathon4,408Heather Hunt1,907 (43.26%)Jerome Fitzgerald2,164 (49.09%)Karen Davis337 (7.65%)Earl DeveauxMarco City5,112Norris Bain2,287 (44.74%)Gregory Moss2,528 (49.45%)Tolonus Sands284 (5.56%)Leslie Minus (IND)13 (0.25%)Zhivargo LaingMICAL1,325Sidney Collie650 (49.06%)V. Alfred Gray672 (50.72%)Jamarl Chea3 (0.23%)V. Alfred GrayMontagu4,750Richard Lightbourn2,227 (46.88%)Frank Smith1,999 (42.08%)Benjamin Albury514 (10.82%)Graham Weatherford (IND)10 (0.21%)Loretta TurnerMount Moriah4,746Tommy Turnquest2,013 (42.41%)Arnold Forbes2,262 (47.66%)Wayne Munroe471 (9.92%)Tommy TurnquestNassau Village4,692Basil Moss1,518 (32.35%)Dion Smith2,308 (49.19%)Christopher Mortimer834 (17.77%)Simon Smith (BCP)32 (0.68%)New districtNorth Abaco4,130Hubert Ingraham2,235 (54.12%)Renardo Curry1,856 (44.94%)Sonith Lockhart39 (0.94%)Hubert IngrahamNorth Andros and Berry Islands2,445Desmond Bannister1,168 (47.77%)Perry Gomez1,192 (48.75%)Randy Butler85 (3.48%)Vincent PeetNorth Eleuthera3,520Theo Neilly1,787 (50.77%)Clay Sweeting1,686 (47.90%)George Taylor47 (1.34%)Alvin SmithPineridge4,637Kwasi Thompson1,808 (38.99%)Michael Darville2,635 (56.83%)Osman Johnson194 (4.18%)James ThompsonPinewood4,419Byron Woodside1,763 (39.90%)Khaalis Rolle2,231 (50.49%)Wellington Woods409 (9.26%)Elkin Sutherland (IND)16 (0.36%)Byron WoodsideSea Breeze4,556Carl Bethel1,897 (41.64%)Hope Strachan2,095 (45.98%)Alfred Poitier543 (11.92%)Brenda T. Harris (BCP)21 (0.46%)Carl BethelSouth Beach4,450Monique Gomez1,785 (40.11%)Cleola Hamilton2,029 (45.60%)Wallace Rolle619 (13.91%)James Williams (BCP)17 (0.38%)Phenton NeymourSouthern Shores4,342Kenyatta Gibson1,762 (40.58%)Kendrick Dorsett2,080 (47.90%)Madeline Sawyer500 (11.52%)New districtSt. Anne's4,337Hubert Chipman2,348 (54.14%)Gregory Burrows1,532 (35.32%)Prince Smith457 (10.54%)Brent SymonetteTall Pines4,451Karen Butler1,549 (34.80%)Leslie Miller2,516 (56.53%)Dario Terrelli386 (8.67%)New districtWest Grand Bahama & Bimini5,191Pakesia Parker2,233 (43.02%)Obediah Wilchcombe2,877 (55.42%)Rodger Rolle81 (1.56%)Obediah WilchcombeYamacraw4,522Dion Foulkes1,856 (41.04%)Melanie Griffin2,292 (50.69%)Maurice Smith374 (8.27%)Melanie GriffinSource: Bahamas Elections
Proportionality
The table below presents the proportionality of parliamentary seats won in the 2012 election, as measured by the Gallagher index. This election yielded an index score of 24.28, indicating a highly disproportionate outcome that strongly favoured the PLP while being significantly disadvantageous for others.
+Gallagher index for the 2012 Bahamian general election Party% of votesseats won% of seatsdifferencedifference squaredProgressive Liberal Party (Bahamas) PLP Progressive Liberal Party48.622976.3227.70767.29Free National Movement FNM42.09923.68(18.41)338.93Democratic National Alliance (The Bahamas) DNA Democratic National Alliance (Bahamas)8.4800(8.48)71.91 Other0.8100(0.81)0.66Total100.0038100.00(0.00)1,178.79Difference halved589.395Square root24.28
References
External links
Nassau Guardian: 2012 Election results map of the Bahamas
Category:Elections in the Bahamas
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