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1948 United States presidential election in Virginia
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1948 United States presidential election
1948 United States presidential election in Virginia Virginia 1931 presidential no 1944 United States presidential election in Virginia 1944 1952 United States presidential election in Virginia 1952 November 2, 1948 x160px Harry S Truman, bw half-length photo portrait, facing front, 1945 (cropped).jpg Harry S. Truman Democratic Party (United States) Missouri Alben W. Barkley 11 200,786 47.89% Thomas Dewey (3x4 crop).jpg Thomas E. Dewey Republican Party (United States) New York Earl Warren 0 172,070 41.04% Strom Thurmond 1948 (cropped).jpg Strom Thurmond States’ Rights Democratic South Carolina Fielding L. Wright 0 43,393 10.35% 435px 436px County and independent city results
Truman
#d3e7ff 30–40%
#b9d7ff 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70%
#1666cb 70–80%
Dewey
#ffccd0 30–40%
#f2b3be 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
Thurmond
#ff9955 50–60% President Harry S. Truman Democratic Party (United States) Harry S. Truman Democratic Party (United States)
The 1948 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on November 2, 1948, throughout the 48 contiguous states. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
For the previous four decades Virginia had almost completely disenfranchised its black and poor white populations through the use of a cumulative poll tax and literacy tests.Kousser J. Morgan The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910 1974 Yale University Press 178–181 0-300-01696-4 So restricted was suffrage in this period that it has been calculated that a third of Virginia's electorate during the first half of the twentieth century comprised state employees and officeholders.
This limited electorate allowed Virginian politics to be controlled for four decades by the Byrd Organization, as progressive “antiorganization” factions were rendered impotent by the inability of almost all their potential electorate to vote.Key Valdimer Orlando Southern Politics in State and Nation 1949 20–25 Historical fusion with the “Readjuster” Democrats,Heersink Boris Jenkins Jeffrey A. Republican Party Politics and the American South, 1865-1968 March 19, 2020 217–221 Cambridge University Press 978-1107158436 defection of substantial proportions of the Northeast-aligned white electorate of the Shenandoah Valley and Southwest Virginia over free silver,Moger Allen The Rift in Virginia Democracy in 1896 The Journal of Southern History 1938 4 3 295–317 10.2307/2191291 2191291 and an early move towards a “lily white” Jim Crow party meant Republicans retained a small but permanent number of legislative seats and local offices in the western part of the state.Phillips Kevin P. The Emerging Republican Majority 193, 219 1969 Arlington House 0870000586 In 1928 a combination of growing middle-class Republicanism in the cities and anti-Catholicism against Al Smith in the TidewaterPhillips. The Emerging Republican Majority, p. 195 allowed the GOP to carry Virginia and elect three Congressmen, including one representing the local district of emerging machine leader Byrd.Hawkes (junior) Robert T. The Emergence of a Leader: Harry Flood Byrd, Governor of Virginia, 1926-1930 July 1974 82 3 The Virginia Magazine of History and Biography 259–281 However, from 1932 with the state severely affected by the Depression, Republican strength declined below its low pre-1928 level, although Byrd himself became highly critical of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal policies as early as 1940.Davidson Chandler Grofman Bernard 1994 Quiet revolution in the South: the impact of the Voting rights act, 1965-1990 275–276 Princeton University Press 0691032475
Virginia’s delegates at the 1948 Democratic National Convention were all opposed to incumbent President Harry S. Truman after his proposal for black civil rights titled To Secure These Rights. Nevertheless, the presence of viable Republican opposition in the southwest and Shenandoah Valley meant that Byrd refused to endorse either South Carolina Governor Strom Thurmond, who received the nomination of the States’ Rights Democratic Party, or Republican nominee New York Governor Thomas E. Dewey,Guthrie Paul Daniel The Dixiecrat Movement of 1948 179–181 Bowling Green State University 144207 1955 largely because of fear of losing several seats in the House to resurgent Republicans.
Campaign
Despite the failure of local federal officeholders to endorse him, Thurmond campaigned extensively in Virginia during October, arguing that Truman, Dewey and Progressive candidate Henry A. Wallace all had platforms that would destroy the existing “American way of life”.Thurmond Says Party Holds Hope to U.S. Daily Press Newport News, Virginia October 10, 1948 1 The Item argued that Byrd did support Thurmond and that his tour was helping the South Carolina Governor,Tour Pays Off: Thurmond Is Said Gaining Strength Rapidly in Once-Lukewarm Virginia October 9, 1948 1 The Item Sumter, South Carolina although other polls did not imply this. Neither Dewey nor Truman campaigned in Virginia, and despite the fact that all federal representatives supported the incumbent president, local party officials of the Byrd Organization did little to work for Truman and running mate Alben W. Barkley.The Break-Up of the South's Political Pattern Norfolk Ledger-Dispatch Norfolk, Virginia October 16, 1948 6
Despite all polls expecting Dewey to carry the state, Truman would win quite comfortably, although the Democratic margin fell by more than seventeen points vis-à-vis the 1944 election.
Thurmond won 11% of white voters.Black Black 1992 147
thumb|290px|Clifford K. Berryman's editorial cartoon of October 19, 1948. One of the cards says that, according to a poll, Dewey would succeed in Virginia.
Polls
SourceRankingAs ofChattanooga Daily TimesGallup George Only Four States Go to Dixiecrats Chattanooga Daily Times Chattanooga, Tennessee October 15, 1948 6-ALean R flipOctober 15, 1948The Montgomery AdvertiserMoss Charles Virginia The Montgomery Advertiser Montgomery, Alabama 16 October 24, 1948Likely R flipOctober 24, 1948The Miami NewsJohnston Ben B. October 25, 1948 Virginia 8 The Miami News Miami, FloridaLikely R flipOctober 25, 1948Mount Vernon ArgusTucker Ray Truman Whistling in a White House Graveyard, Says Tucker, Predicting It'll Be a Dewey Sweep Mount Vernon Argus Mount Vernon, New York November 1, 1948 8Likely R flipNovember 1, 1948Oakland TribuneGallup George Final Gallup Poll Shows Dewey Winning Election with Wide Electoral Vote Margin Oakland Tribune Oakland, California November 1, 1948 1–2Tilt R flipNovember 1, 1948
Results
1948 United States presidential election in VirginiaStatistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 2, 1948 http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/1948election.pdf Clerk of the House of Representatives 42PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic Harry S. Truman (inc.) 200,786 47.89% 11 Republican Thomas E. Dewey 172,070 41.04% 0 States’ Rights Strom Thurmond 43,393 10.35% 0 Progressive Henry A. Wallace 2,047 0.49% 0 Socialist Norman Thomas 726 0.17% 0 Socialist Labor Edward Teichert 234 0.06% 0 Totals 419,256 100.00% 11
Results by county or independent city
1948 United States presidential election in Virginia by counties and independent citiesGéoelections http://geoelections.free.fr/USA/elec_comtes/1948.htm 1948 Presidential Election Popular Vote (.xlsx file for €15)Géoelections http://geoelections.free.fr/USA/elec_comtes/1948thur.htm Popular Vote for Strom Thurmond (.xlsx file for €15)Géoelections http://geoelections.free.fr/USA/elec_comtes/1948wall.htm Popular Vote for Henry Wallace (.xlsx file for €15) County orcity Harry S. TrumanDemocratic Thomas E. DeweyRepublican Strom ThurmondStates’ Rights Henry A. WallaceProgressive Other candidatesVarious parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % # % # % Accomack County 1,669 53.77% 1,088 35.05% 339 10.92% 5 0.16% 3 0.10% 581 18.72% 3,104 Albemarle County 1,178 48.22% 984 40.28% 271 11.09% 4 0.16% 6 0.25% 194 7.94% 2,443 Alleghany County 2,253 58.52% 1,425 37.01% 147 3.82% 14 0.36% 11 0.29% 828 21.51% 3,850 Amelia County 443 41.87% 372 35.16% 237 22.40% 4 0.38% 2 0.19% 71 6.71% 1,058 Amherst County 1,481 60.06% 460 18.65% 507 20.56% 4 0.16% 14 0.57% 974"ThurmonddDewey" In this county or city where Thurmond ran second ahead of Dewey, the margin given is Truman vote minus Thurmond vote. 39.50% 2,466 Appomattox County 1,182 70.95% 238 14.29% 241 14.47% 3 0.18% 2 0.12% 941"ThurmonddDewey" 56.48% 1,666 Arlington County 7,798 38.77% 10,774 53.57% 1,121 5.57% 267 1.33% 151 0.75% -2,976 -14.80% 20,111 Augusta County 1,355 39.23% 1,690 48.93% 401 11.61% 2 0.06% 6 0.17% -335 -9.70% 3,454 Bath County 375 39.98% 488 52.03% 70 7.46% 5 0.53% 0 0.00% -113 -12.05% 938 Bedford County 1,556 43.11% 1,084 30.04% 963 26.68% 2 0.06% 4 0.11% 472 13.08% 3,609 Bland County 738 45.33% 822 50.49% 66 4.05% 1 0.06% 1 0.06% -84 -5.16% 1,628 Botetourt County 1,026 39.00% 1,363 51.81% 230 8.74% 10 0.38% 2 0.08% -337 -12.81% 2,631 Brunswick County 1,067 48.46% 229 10.40% 895 40.64% 3 0.14% 8 0.36% 172"ThurmonddDewey" 7.81% 2,202 Buchanan County 3,174 59.61% 2,085 39.15% 51 0.96% 7 0.13% 8 0.15% 1,089 20.45% 5,325 Buckingham County 728 57.46% 354 27.94% 185 14.60% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 374 29.52% 1,267 Campbell County 1,554 54.03% 668 23.23% 644 22.39% 3 0.10% 7 0.24% 886 30.81% 2,876 Caroline County 731 55.72% 397 30.26% 182 13.87% 2 0.15% 0 0.00% 334 25.46% 1,312 Carroll County 1,196 32.00% 2,456 65.72% 76 2.03% 5 0.13% 4 0.11% -1,260 -33.72% 3,737 Charles City County 258 51.91% 167 33.60% 69 13.88% 2 0.40% 1 0.20% 91 18.31% 497 Charlotte County 964 57.83% 285 17.10% 417 25.01% 0 0.00% 1 0.06% 547"ThurmonddDewey" 32.81% 1,667 Chesterfield County 2,600 54.97% 1,428 30.19% 671 14.19% 18 0.38% 13 0.27% 1,172 24.78% 4,730 Clarke County 482 41.62% 384 33.16% 284 24.53% 3 0.26% 5 0.43% 98 8.46% 1,158 Craig County 456 57.29% 317 39.82% 23 2.89% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 139 17.46% 796 Culpeper County 804 47.32% 682 40.14% 211 12.42% 2 0.12% 0 0.00% 122 7.18% 1,699 Cumberland County 424 52.15% 219 26.94% 169 20.79% 0 0.00% 1 0.12% 205 25.22% 813 Dickenson County 2,945 56.94% 2,197 42.48% 16 0.31% 12 0.23% 2 0.04% 748 14.46% 5,172 Dinwiddie County 961 64.07% 261 17.40% 268 17.87% 7 0.47% 3 0.20% 693"ThurmonddDewey" 46.20% 1,500 Elizabeth City County 2,744 57.31% 1,617 33.77% 364 7.60% 47 0.98% 16 0.33% 1,127 23.54% 4,788 Essex County 329 50.54% 221 33.95% 99 15.21% 1 0.15% 1 0.15% 108 16.59% 651 Fairfax County 3,719 39.19% 4,930 51.95% 705 7.43% 79 0.83% 56 0.59% -1,211 -12.76% 9,489 Fauquier County 1,291 48.41% 1,102 41.32% 265 9.94% 3 0.11% 6 0.22% 189 7.09% 2,667 Floyd County 434 24.87% 1,266 72.55% 42 2.41% 1 0.06% 2 0.11% -832 -47.68% 1,745 Fluvanna County 447 52.46% 319 37.44% 83 9.74% 2 0.23% 1 0.12% 128 15.02% 852 Franklin County 1,343 47.74% 1,100 39.10% 348 12.37% 13 0.46% 9 0.32% 243 8.64% 2,813 Frederick County 1,244 51.75% 921 38.31% 239 9.94% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 323 13.44% 2,404 Giles County 1,529 49.09% 1,448 46.48% 131 4.21% 4 0.13% 3 0.10% 81 2.60% 3,115 Gloucester County 719 56.44% 434 34.07% 117 9.18% 3 0.24% 1 0.08% 285 22.37% 1,274 Goochland County 683 59.91% 292 25.61% 154 13.51% 8 0.70% 3 0.26% 391 34.30% 1,140 Grayson County 2,741 41.73% 3,669 55.86% 152 2.31% 3 0.05% 3 0.05% -928 -14.13% 6,568 Greene County 261 36.55% 420 58.82% 28 3.92% 3 0.42% 2 0.28% -159 -22.27% 714 Greensville County 710 49.75% 301 21.09% 404 28.31% 4 0.28% 8 0.56% 306"ThurmonddDewey" 21.44% 1,427 Halifax County 1,323 34.19% 521 13.46% 2,007 51.86% 7 0.18% 12 0.31% -684"ThurmonddDewey" -17.67% 3,870 Hanover County 1,048 47.59% 838 38.06% 294 13.35% 14 0.64% 8 0.36% 210 9.54% 2,202 Henrico County 2,321 46.70% 2,092 42.09% 508 10.22% 36 0.72% 13 0.26% 229 4.61% 4,970 Henry County 1,318 51.95% 730 28.77% 474 18.68% 7 0.28% 8 0.32% 588 23.18% 2,537 Highland County 423 38.81% 579 53.12% 85 7.80% 1 0.09% 2 0.18% -156 -14.31% 1,090 Isle of Wight County 1,064 66.88% 442 27.78% 81 5.09% 2 0.13% 2 0.13% 622 39.09% 1,591 James City County 198 44.49% 177 39.78% 68 15.28% 1 0.22% 1 0.22% 21 4.72% 445 King and Queen County 293 53.56% 171 31.26% 82 14.99% 0 0.00% 1 0.18% 122 22.30% 547 King George County 248 34.44% 316 43.89% 152 21.11% 2 0.28% 2 0.28% -68 -9.44% 720 King William County 476 49.02% 348 35.84% 138 14.21% 5 0.51% 4 0.41% 128 13.18% 971 Lancaster County 560 47.70% 459 39.10% 149 12.69% 4 0.34% 2 0.17% 101 8.60% 1,174 Lee County 4,069 48.06% 4,297 50.76% 86 1.02% 7 0.08% 7 0.08% -228 -2.69% 8,466 Loudoun County 1,545 47.61% 1,430 44.07% 246 7.58% 10 0.31% 14 0.43% 115 3.54% 3,245 Louisa County 782 46.24% 701 41.45% 201 11.89% 6 0.35% 1 0.06% 81 4.79% 1,691 Lunenburg County 1,126 65.54% 251 14.61% 335 19.50% 3 0.17% 3 0.17% 791"ThurmonddDewey" 46.04% 1,718 Madison County 428 36.03% 662 55.72% 89 7.49% 2 0.17% 7 0.59% -234 -19.70% 1,188 Mathews County 458 44.42% 490 47.53% 81 7.86% 2 0.19% 0 0.00% -32 -3.10% 1,031 Mecklenburg County 2,117 69.34% 513 16.80% 422 13.82% 1 0.03% 0 0.00% 1,604 52.54% 3,053 Middlesex County 457 51.99% 271 30.83% 148 16.84% 1 0.11% 2 0.23% 186 21.16% 879 Montgomery County 1,126 32.42% 2,070 59.60% 254 7.31% 5 0.14% 18 0.52% -944 -27.18% 3,473 Nansemond County 2,115 76.27% 413 14.89% 179 6.46% 66 2.38% 0 0.00% 1,702 61.38% 2,773 Nelson County 1,204 69.16% 371 21.31% 164 9.42% 1 0.06% 1 0.06% 833 47.85% 1,741 New Kent County 277 53.89% 140 27.24% 92 17.90% 1 0.19% 4 0.78% 137 26.65% 514 Norfolk County 4,696 66.24% 1,830 25.81% 536 7.56% 21 0.30% 6 0.08% 2,866 40.43% 7,089 Northampton County 997 56.71% 525 29.86% 229 13.03% 5 0.28% 2 0.11% 472 26.85% 1,758 Northumberland County 429 37.43% 535 46.68% 178 15.53% 2 0.17% 2 0.17% -106 -9.25% 1,146 Nottoway County 1,004 51.15% 486 24.76% 467 23.79% 2 0.10% 4 0.20% 518 26.39% 1,963 Orange County 856 46.22% 726 39.20% 264 14.25% 3 0.16% 3 0.16% 130 7.02% 1,852 Page County 1,611 39.73% 2,236 55.14% 172 4.24% 33 0.81% 3 0.07% -625 -15.41% 4,055 Patrick County 760 41.30% 648 35.22% 430 23.37% 1 0.05% 1 0.05% 112 6.09% 1,840 Pittsylvania County 3,149 55.58% 1,164 20.54% 1,321 23.31% 11 0.19% 21 0.37% 1,828"ThurmonddDewey" 32.26% 5,666 Powhatan County 338 50.98% 238 35.90% 83 12.52% 2 0.30% 2 0.30% 100 15.08% 663 Prince Edward County 740 43.07% 459 26.72% 510 29.69% 2 0.12% 7 0.41% 230"ThurmonddDewey" 13.39% 1,718 Prince George County 745 61.57% 317 26.20% 138 11.40% 7 0.58% 3 0.25% 428 35.37% 1,210 Princess Anne County 2,008 54.05% 1,329 35.77% 361 9.72% 12 0.32% 5 0.13% 679 18.28% 3,715 Prince William County 1,162 55.78% 760 36.49% 151 7.25% 6 0.29% 4 0.19% 402 19.30% 2,083 Pulaski County 1,412 40.90% 1,691 48.99% 344 9.97% 3 0.09% 2 0.06% -279 -8.08% 3,452 Rappahannock County 617 59.67% 311 30.08% 100 9.67% 3 0.29% 3 0.29% 306 29.59% 1,034 Richmond County 240 39.02% 296 48.13% 70 11.38% 3 0.49% 6 0.98% -56 -9.11% 615 Roanoke County 2,876 38.58% 3,988 53.49% 568 7.62% 18 0.24% 5 0.07% -1,112 -14.92% 7,455 Rockbridge County 994 43.52% 1,062 46.50% 217 9.50% 5 0.22% 6 0.26% -68 -2.98% 2,284 Rockingham County 1,680 32.42% 3,219 62.12% 260 5.02% 8 0.15% 15 0.29% -1,539 -29.70% 5,182 Russell County 2,689 51.29% 2,447 46.67% 103 1.96% 2 0.04% 2 0.04% 242 4.62% 5,243 Scott County 2,676 42.67% 3,520 56.12% 63 1.00% 6 0.10% 7 0.11% -844 -13.46% 6,272 Shenandoah County 1,603 30.95% 3,349 64.65% 214 4.13% 8 0.15% 6 0.12% -1,746 -33.71% 5,180 Smyth County 1,750 36.29% 2,897 60.08% 161 3.34% 4 0.08% 10 0.21% -1,147 -23.79% 4,822 Southampton County 1,462 69.62% 339 16.14% 291 13.86% 5 0.24% 3 0.14% 1,123 53.48% 2,100 Spotsylvania County 818 54.17% 517 34.24% 170 11.26% 4 0.26% 1 0.07% 301 19.93% 1,510 Stafford County 708 44.84% 732 46.36% 129 8.17% 6 0.38% 4 0.25% -24 -1.52% 1,579 Surry County 460 59.43% 134 17.31% 180 23.26% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 280"ThurmonddDewey" 36.18% 774 Sussex County 614 50.33% 244 20.00% 355 29.10% 3 0.25% 4 0.33% 259"ThurmonddDewey" 21.23% 1,220 Tazewell County 2,258 47.98% 2,278 48.41% 163 3.46% 6 0.13% 1 0.02% -20 -0.42% 4,706 Warren County 1,291 51.99% 1,016 40.92% 166 6.69% 6 0.24% 4 0.16% 275 11.08% 2,483 Washington County 2,510 44.09% 2,972 52.20% 187 3.28% 11 0.19% 13 0.23% -462 -8.12% 5,693 Westmoreland County 503 39.42% 568 44.51% 197 15.44% 7 0.55% 1 0.08% -65 -5.09% 1,276 Wise County 4,862 61.98% 2,836 36.15% 133 1.70% 8 0.10% 6 0.08% 2,026 25.83% 7,845 Wythe County 976 29.26% 2,077 62.26% 279 8.36% 3 0.09% 1 0.03% -1,101 -33.00% 3,336 York County 826 60.03% 418 30.38% 119 8.65% 6 0.44% 7 0.51% 408 29.65% 1,376 Alexandria City 3,917 44.99% 3,903 44.83% 777 8.92% 67 0.77% 43 0.49% 14 0.16% 8,707 Bristol City 1,451 58.94% 879 35.70% 125 5.08% 7 0.28% 0 0.00% 572 23.23% 2,462 Buena Vista City 297 52.75% 234 41.56% 31 5.51% 1 0.18% 0 0.00% 63 11.19% 563 Charlottesville City 1,527 45.35% 1,419 42.14% 387 11.49% 15 0.45% 19 0.56% 108 3.21% 3,367 Clifton Forge City 818 58.22% 451 32.10% 131 9.32% 4 0.28% 1 0.07% 367 26.12% 1,405 Danville City 2,334 42.84% 1,579 28.98% 1,511 27.73% 11 0.20% 13 0.24% 755 13.86% 5,448 Fredericksburg City 816 42.26% 810 41.95% 290 15.02% 9 0.47% 6 0.31% 6 0.31% 1,931 Hampton City 727 58.87% 371 30.04% 123 9.96% 13 1.05% 1 0.08% 356 28.83% 1,235 Harrisonburg City 751 31.93% 1,377 58.55% 208 8.84% 8 0.34% 8 0.34% -626 -26.62% 2,352 Hopewell City 1,242 62.70% 570 28.77% 150 7.57% 16 0.81% 3 0.15% 672 33.92% 1,981 Lynchburg City 2,480 36.76% 2,373 35.17% 1,841 27.29% 23 0.34% 30 0.44% 107 1.59% 6,747 Martinsville City 814 39.50% 642 31.15% 598 29.02% 6 0.29% 1 0.05% 172 8.35% 2,061 Newport News City 3,420 65.28% 1,453 27.73% 284 5.42% 71 1.36% 11 0.21% 1,967 37.55% 5,239 Norfolk City 9,370 50.76% 7,556 40.93% 1,255 6.80% 259 1.40% 20 0.11% 1,814 9.83% 18,460 Petersburg City 2,019 52.70% 1,189 31.04% 599 15.64% 16 0.42% 8 0.21% 830 21.67% 3,831 Portsmouth City 4,612 62.48% 2,056 27.86% 615 8.33% 82 1.11% 16 0.22% 2,556 34.63% 7,381 Radford City 826 46.80% 850 48.16% 80 4.53% 6 0.34% 3 0.17% -24 -1.36% 1,765 Richmond City 16,466 46.64% 14,549 41.21% 3,892 11.03% 307 0.87% 87 0.25% 1,917 5.43% 35,301 Roanoke City 5,343 40.48% 6,542 49.56% 1,244 9.42% 60 0.45% 11 0.08% -1,199 -9.08% 13,200 South Norfolk City 857 66.80% 347 27.05% 73 5.69% 6 0.47% 0 0.00% 510 39.75% 1,283 Staunton City 914 34.19% 1,323 49.49% 418 15.64% 9 0.34% 9 0.34% -409 -15.30% 2,673 Suffolk City 1,030 49.76% 741 35.80% 246 11.88% 51 2.46% 2 0.10% 289 13.96% 2,070 Warwick City 1,822 57.57% 1,014 32.04% 306 9.67% 13 0.41% 10 0.32% 808 25.53% 3,165 Waynesboro City 839 46.77% 833 46.43% 118 6.58% 0 0.00% 4 0.22% 6 0.33% 1,794 Williamsburg City 312 36.75% 334 39.34% 191 22.50% 8 0.94% 4 0.47% -22 -2.59% 849 Winchester City 894 35.11% 1,272 49.96% 371 14.57% 7 0.27% 2 0.08% -378 -14.85% 2,546Totals200,78647.89%172,07041.04%43,39310.35%2,0470.49%9600.23%28,7166.85%419,256
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican
20em
Augusta
Bath
Bland
Botetourt
King George
Lee
Mathews
Northumberland
Pulaski
Radford City
Richmond
Roanoke
Roanoke City
Rockbridge
Staunton City
Tazewell
Washington
Westmoreland
Williamsburg City
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Dixiecrat
Halifax
Analysis
Ultimately, Virginia was won by Truman with 47.89 percent of the vote to Dewey's 41.04 percent and Thurmond's 10.35 percent. This contradicted polls that expected Dewey to carry the state with around 47 percent of the vote to Truman's 45 percent and 7 to 8 percent for Thurmond.Mosteller Frederick The pre-election polls of 1948; report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-election Polls and Forecasts 1949 27 New York City Social Science Research Council. Committee on Analysis of Pre-election Polls and Forecasts This election nonetheless accelerated the major losses Franklin D. Roosevelt experienced in the Washington D.C. suburbs and the Shenandoah Valley at the previous election — losses which would pave the way for Virginia voting Republican in thirteen of the next fourteen presidential elections.Atkinson Frank B. 2006 The Dynamic Dominion: Realignment and the Rise of Two-party Competition in Virginia, 1945-1980 Rowman & Littlefield 9780742552098
2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last election in which the Fifth Congressional District has supported a Democratic presidential candidate. It is also the last election when Hanover County, King William County, Lancaster County, Middlesex County and Orange County have supported a Democratic presidential nominee.Menendez Albert J. The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004 327–331 0786422173 2005 McFarland Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City would not vote Democratic again at a presidential level until 2020, Henrico County not until 2008, Albemarle County and Danville City not until 2004, Prince Edward County not until 1996 and Amelia County not until 1976.
This remains the last occasion Virginia voted to the left of Delaware, and was also the last time until 2012 that Virginia voted for a different candidate than Indiana.
See also
United States presidential elections in Virginia
Notes
References
Works cited
Black Earl Earl Black (political scientist) Black Merle Merle Black The Vital South: How Presidents Are Elected Harvard University Press 1992 https://archive.org/details/vitalsouthhowpre0000blac 0674941306
Virginia
1948
Category:1948 Virginia elections