2004 United States presidential election in Hawaii

none June 2025 September 20232004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in Hawaii Hawaii presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Hawaii 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Hawaii 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 4 231,708 54.01% George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 0 194,191 45.26% 350px 350px County results Kerry #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) The 2004 United States presidential election in Hawaii took place on November 2, 2004. Voters chose four representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. The state has voted Republican only twice since statehood (in the 49-state Republican landslides of 1972 and 1984). Hawaii was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by an 8.7% margin. This is the last time Hawaii was decided by a single-digit margin, as of the 2024 election. Compared to 2000, Bush improved upon his performance by 9.59%, the third-largest swing towards Bush in the country after only Tennessee and Alabama. Bush's strong performance in the state has been explained by the relatively high troop count (10,000) from Hawaii deployed to either Iraq, or Afghanistan.2004-10-29 Vice president to rally voters in Hawaii https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna6362281 2024-10-26 NBC News en Caucuses 2004 Hawaii Democratic caucuses Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.Article title +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid DAssociated PressSolid DCNNLikely DCook Political ReportSolid DNewsweekSolid DNew York TimesSolid DRasmussen ReportsLikely DResearch 2000Solid DWashington PostLikely DWashington TimesSolid DZogby InternationalLikely DWashington DispatchLikely D Polling Only 4 pre-election polls were taken in the state in the entire 2004 election. Kerry won the first two, which were taken before October, and Bush won the other 2 which were taken in the final month of October. The final RCP average gave Bush leading with a margin of 0.9%.http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/hi_polls.html RealClear Politics - Polls The final 3 polls averaged Kerry leading 48% to 43%.2004 Presidential Election Polls--Hawaii https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=15 Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections Fundraising Bush raised $906,799.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Kerry raised $279,877.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President Advertising and visits Neither campaign spent advertising money during the fall campaign. However, with polls showing the race tightening, Vice President Cheney appeared at a campaign rally for the Republican ticket in Honolulu on October 31, 2004.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ CNN.com Specials CNNhttp://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html CNN.com Specials CNN Analysis Bush and Cheney did campaign here early on, but not throughout the entire campaign. Hawaii is considered too much of a Democratic stronghold to be a swing state. Hawaii is represented by two Democratic senators and representatives, and there has never been any competition in a senatorial election. Despite Bush's loss in the state, he improved upon his performance in the state from 2000. More importantly, he had the strongest showing for a Republican presidential candidate in the state since Ronald Reagan in 1984, doing a little better than his father did in 1988.September 2017 This is the last time Hawaii was decided by a single digit margin, and where the Democratic nominee won fewer than 60% of the vote in Hawaii. Bush's strongest local performance was in Honolulu County (Oahu) where he trailed Kerry by slightly more than 2% of the vote. Results 2004 United States presidential election in Hawaiihttp://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2004/2004Stat.htm#11 Clerk of the House of Representativeshttp://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Official General Election Results for US president (2004) July 17, 2009 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf May 13, 2009 PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic John Kerry 231,708 54.01% 4 Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) 194,191 45.26% 0 Green David Cobb 1,737 0.40% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 1,377 0.32% 0 By county County John KerryDemocratic George W. BushRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Hawaii 35,116 60.86% 22,032 38.18% 554 0.96% 13,084 22.68% 57,702 Honolulu 152,500 51.08% 144,157 48.29% 1,890 0.63% 8,343 2.79% 298,547 Kalawao 26 65.00% 14 35.00% 0 0.00% 12 30.00% 45 Kauaʻi 14,916 59.96% 9,740 39.15% 220 0.89% 5,176 20.81% 24,876 Maui 28,803 60.73% 18,187 38.34% 440 0.92% 10,616 22.39% 47,430Totals231,70854.01%194,19145.26%3,1140.73%37,5178.75%429,013 right 300px Swing by county Legend #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% 300px Trend by county Legend #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% By congressional district Kerry won both congressional districts.Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2004&fips=15&f=0&off=0&elect=0&datatype=cd&def=1 District Bush Kerry RepresentativeHawaii 1 1st 47% 52%Neil AbercrombieHawaii 2 2nd 44% 56%Ed Case Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Hawaii cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Hawaii is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from Hawaii. All were pledged to and voted for John Kerry and John Edwards:https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ The Electoral College 20 May 2019 Frances Kagawa Joy Kobashigawa Lewis Samuel Mitchell Dolly Strazar References Hawaii 2004 Category:2004 elections in Hawaii