2015 Castilian-Manchegan regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Castilla–La Mancha June 2020 2015 Castilian-Manchegan regional election Castilla–La Mancha parliamentary no 2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 2011 2019 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 2019 All 33 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 17 #Opinion polls 1,576,351 10px 0.6% 1,127,147 (71.5%)10px 4.5 pp 24 May 2015 170x170px María Dolores de Cospedal People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 14 June 2006 Toledo 25 seats, 48.1% 16 10px 9 413,349 37.5% 10px 10.6 pp 170x170px Emiliano García-Page Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 26 February 2012 Toledo 24 seats, 43.4% 15 10px 9 398,104 36.1% 10px 7.3 pp 170x170px José García Molina Podemos (Spanish political party) 1 April 2015 Toledo Did not contest 2 10px 2 107,463 9.7% New party CastillaLaManchaProvinceMapCortes2015.svg 300px Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha President María Dolores de Cospedal People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha Emiliano García-Page Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha A regional election was held in Castilla–La Mancha on 24 May 2015 to elect the 9th es Cortes no of the autonomous community. All 33 seats in the es Cortes no were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain. Overview Electoral system The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities.Statute of Autonomy of Castilla–La Mancha of 1982 Organic Law 9 Official State Gazette es 10 August 1982 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20820&tn=1&p=20140522 15 September 2017 Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Castilian-Manchegan people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (es Voto rogado).Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160415142104/http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html usurped 15 April 2016 Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 The 33 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College, Dublin https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php 22 July 2017 30 July 2017 Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of three seats, with the remaining 18 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.The electoral law was amended twice, in 2012 and 2014. The 2012 amendment provided for a 53 seat-Cortes and a fixed allocation of seats among constituencies: 10 for Albacete, 12 for Ciudad Real, 9 for Cuenca, 9 for Guadalajara and 13 for Toledo. As a result of them being superseded by the 2014 amendment, no election was fought under these rules.Castilla–La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986 Law 5 Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha es 23 December 1986 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-2164&tn=1&p=20140728 15 September 2017 The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Organic Law 5 Official State Gazette es 19 June 1985 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 28 December 2016http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG Representation of the people Institutional Act www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Central Electoral Commission 16 June 2017 Election date The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the election date for the Cortes on 24 May 2015. The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected. Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha (25 until 13 August 2012 and 27 from 13 August 2012 to 21 July 2014). Color key: #FFEAEA Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls 1px solid #AAAAAA #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 28px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 27px|link=United Left (Spain)|IU 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 71.5 37.575% Verdana 16 36.175% Verdana 15 3.175% Verdana 0 1.075% Verdana 0 9.775% Verdana 2 8.675% Verdana 0 1.4 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTALos sondeos a pie de urna dan la victoria a María Dolores Cospedal, que tendrá entre 15 y 17 diputados http://www.vocesdecuenca.com/web/voces-de-cuenca/-/los-sondeos-a-pie-de-urna-dan-la-victoria-a-maria-dolores-cospedal-que-tendra-entre-15-y-17-diputados es Voces de Cuenca 24 May 2015El PP obtendría entre 15 y 17 diputados en Castilla–La Mancha y el PSOE entre 13 y 15 http://www.abc.es/toledo/ciudad/20150524/abci-obtendria-diputados-castilla-mancha-201505242023.html es ABC 24 May 2015 24 May 2015 20,250? 38.475% Verdana 15/17 35.275% Verdana 13/15 – – 9.975% Verdana 1/2 7.075% Verdana 0/1 3.2 GAD3/Antena 3Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015 http://www.slideshare.net/GAD3_com/con-150405-comparativa-encuestas-resultados-antena-3-48692251 es GAD3 28 May 2015 11–22 May 2015???75% Verdana 15/16?75% Verdana 13/14 – –?75% Verdana 2/3?75% Verdana 0/3? GAD3/ABCCospedal, ante su primera reválida http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/05/17/036.html es ABC 17 May 2015Rajoy cree un éxito ser el más votado aunque pierda plazas simbólicas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/05/17/023.html es ABC 17 May 2015 17 May 2015?? 39.475% Verdana 16/17 27.575% Verdana 10/11 – – 10.675% Verdana 2/3 14.275% Verdana 3/4 11.9 NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla–La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantendria-sin-apoyos-castilla-y-leon-castilla-la-mancha-murcia-y-la-rioja-ML9739680 es La Razón 17 May 2015Castilla–La Mancha: Cospedal se mantiene en el límite de revalidar su mandato http://www.larazon.es/espana/castilla-la-mancha-cospedal-se-mantiene-en-el-limite-de-revalidar-su-mandato-JL9739579 es La Razón 17 May 2015Castilla–La Mancha. Encuesta mayo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3083750_20150517025119.pdf es La Razón 17 May 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150518084920/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3083750_20150517025119.pdf 18 May 2015 17 May 2015 900? 40.875% Verdana 16/17 35.675% Verdana 12/13 3.175% Verdana 0 0.975% Verdana 0 8.975% Verdana 1/2 9.375% Verdana 1/2 5.2 Sigma Dos/El MundoCospedal se queda al filo de la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha http://www.elmundo.es/espana/2015/05/17/555831b3268e3e4f2f8b456c.html es El Mundo 17 May 2015Intención de voto en Castilla–La Mancha. Gráfico http://www.elmundo.es/grafico/espana/2015/05/16/5557891122601dcd708b4580.html es El Mundo 17 May 2015 8–12 May 2015 1,200? 37.975% Verdana 15/17 32.975% Verdana 11/13 4.375% Verdana 0 – 10.775% Verdana 3 9.675% Verdana 2/3 5.0 PPLas últimas encuestas internas dan a Cospedal la mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha https://www.libertaddigital.com/espana/politica/2015-05-10/las-ultimas-encuestas-internas-dan-a-cospedal-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-castilla-la-mancha-1276547615/ es Libertad Digital 10 May 2015La última y muy reciente encuesta interna del PP: mayoría absoluta de Cospedal y victoria en las cinco provincias http://www.eldigitalcastillalamancha.es/especial_elecciones_2015/articulo.asp?idarticulo=186442 es El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha 11 May 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150518072900/http://www.eldigitalcastillalamancha.es/especial_elecciones_2015/articulo.asp?idarticulo=186442 18 May 2015 27 Apr–8 May 2015 5,000? 37.575% Verdana 17 33.675% Verdana 12 4.575% Verdana 0 – 10.375% Verdana 2 9.875% Verdana 2 3.9 Metroscopia/El PaísCospedal vence sin mayoría absoluta tras la irrupción de Ciudadanos https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2015/05/09/actualidad/1431189162_669313.html es El País 9 May 2015 Díez Anabel Situación política en Castilla–La Mancha http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/09/media/1431196281_594577.html es El País 9 May 2015 30 Apr–5 May 2015 2,000 77 35.175% Verdana 14 26.675% Verdana 10 – – 12.675% Verdana 4 17.675% Verdana 5 8.5 Noxa/PSOEEstudio político Castilla–La Mancha / mayo de 2015 http://www.elplural.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Encuesta-NOXA-Castilla-La-Mancha-1.pdf es Noxa Consulting 10 May 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150518081802/http://www.elplural.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Encuesta-NOXA-Castilla-La-Mancha-1.pdf 18 May 2015 Castilla–La Mancha, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Noxa https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/castilla-la-mancha-mayo-2015-sondeo-noxa.html es Electográfica 10 May 2015 28 Apr–4 May 2015 2,000? 31.675% Verdana 12 32.375% Verdana 14 – – 10.075% Verdana 2 17.075% Verdana 5 0.7 Sigma Dos/La TribunaCospedal ganará las elecciones y superará a Page en las 5 provincias http://www.latribunadetoledo.es/noticia/Z158FD366-0639-A11E-01BD66A8339B0328/20150514/cospedal/roza/mayoria/absoluta/gana/cinco/provincias/region es La Tribuna de Toledo 14 May 2015 27 Apr–4 May 2015 1,500? 37.675% Verdana 15/16 28.875% Verdana 11 6.475% Verdana 0 – 11.475% Verdana 3/4 11.175% Verdana 2/4 8.8 lavozdeltajo.comPage vencería aunque sin mayoría, en la encuesta de La Voz del Tajo http://www.lavozdeltajo.com/noticia/16959/Castilla-La-Mancha/Page-venceria-aunque-sin-mayoria-en-la-encuesta-de-La-Voz-del-Tajo.html es lavozdeltajo.com 5 May 2015 23 Apr–4 May 2015 7,274? 39.575% Verdana 13/14 40.175% Verdana 14/15 1.275% Verdana 0 0.275% Verdana 0 10.775% Verdana 3/4 8.575% Verdana 2/3 0.6 GAD3/ABCCospedal, cerca de obtener su segunda mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/05/03/026.html es ABC 3 May 2015 23–28 Apr 2015 1,004? 40.175% Verdana 17/18 25.575% Verdana 9/10 3.675% Verdana 0 0.875% Verdana 0 9.175% Verdana 2/3 16.975% Verdana 3/5 14.6 CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio nº 3071. Marzo-Abril 2015) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es3071mar_A.pdf es CIS 7 May 2015Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha" http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2015/05/08/pagina-16/95390495/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 8 May 2015 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,961? 34.975% Verdana 14/15 35.175% Verdana 13 3.375% Verdana 0 1.475% Verdana 0 9.975% Verdana 2 12.075% Verdana 3/4 0.2 Noxa/La CallePage ganaría a Cospedal en la mayoría de grandes localidades de la región http://www.lacalle.info/page-ganaria-a-cospedal-en-la-mayoria-de-grandes-localidades-de-la-region/ es La Calle 22 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150430013630/http://www.lacalle.info/page-ganaria-a-cospedal-en-la-mayoria-de-grandes-localidades-de-la-region/ 30 April 2015 11–17 Apr 2015 2,000 75.6 35.175% Verdana 14 37.175% Verdana 14 3.175% Verdana 0 2.975% Verdana 0 11.275% Verdana 4 8.575% Verdana 1 2.0 Noxa/La CalleCospedal pierde la mayoría y empata con Page, mejor valorado por los ciudadanos https://issuu.com/lacalleguadalajara/docs/la_calle_-_14 es La Calle 24 March 2015 7–14 Mar 2015 2,000 73.6 35.475% Verdana 14 36.475% Verdana 14 2.875% Verdana 0 3.675% Verdana 0 11.975% Verdana 4 7.875% Verdana 1 1.0 NC Report/La RazónEl PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-seguira-siendo-el-mas-votado-en-las-cc-aa-pese-a-la-caida-en-apoyos-CM9493271 es La Razón 20 April 2015Castilla–La Mancha: Cospedal aguanta el tipo ante un PSOE desgastado en la oposición http://www.larazon.es/espana/castilla-la-mancha-cospedal-aguanta-el-tipo-ante-un-psoe-desgastado-en-la-oposicion-NN9492942 es La Razón 20 April 2015Castilla–La Mancha. Encuesta marzo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2946308_20150420023459.pdf es La Razón 20 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150427143123/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2946308_20150420023459.pdf 27 April 2015 2–11 Mar 2015 900? 42.375% Verdana 17/18 33.175% Verdana 10/11 2.875% Verdana 0 1.175% Verdana 0 10.075% Verdana 2/3 9.275% Verdana 2/3 9.2 PSOELos sondeos prevén la entrada de Podemos en Castilla–La Mancha y la salida de Cospedal del Gobierno http://vozpopuli.com/actualidad/58098-los-sondeos-preven-la-entrada-de-podemos-en-castilla-la-mancha-y-la-salida-de-cospedal-del-gobierno es VozPópuli 25 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150226013122/http://vozpopuli.com/actualidad/58098-los-sondeos-preven-la-entrada-de-podemos-en-castilla-la-mancha-y-la-salida-de-cospedal-del-gobierno 26 February 2015 Castilla–La Mancha, Febrero 2015. Sondeos internos PP y PSOE https://www.electografica.com/2015/02/castilla-la-mancha-febrero-2015-sondeos.html es Electográfica 25 February 2015 25 Feb 2015???75% Verdana 14/15?75% Verdana 15/16 – –?75% Verdana 3/5 –? PPCastilla–La Mancha, Febrero 2015. Sondeo interno PP https://www.electografica.com/2015/02/castilla-la-mancha-febrero-2015-sondeo.html es Electográfica 20 February 2015 20 Feb 2015???75% Verdana 17?75% Verdana 11/14?75% Verdana 1/2 –?75% Verdana 4/5 –? PPCospedal revalida http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/01/28/022.html es ABC 28 January 2015Cospedal repetirá en Castilla La Mancha https://gaceta.es/noticias/archivo-2/cospedal-salva-los-muebles-castilla-mancha-29012015-1914/index.php es La Gaceta 29 January 2015Castilla–La Mancha, Enero 2015. Sondeo interno PP https://www.electografica.com/2015/02/castilla-la-mancha-enero-2015-sondeo_2.html es Electográfica 2 February 2015 28 Jan 2015???75% Verdana 18?75% Verdana 10 – –?75% Verdana 5 –? GAD3/ABCCospedal renovará la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/03/01/032.html es ABC 1 March 2015 7–21 Jan 2015 2,002? 42.375% Verdana 18 32.575% Verdana 11 – – 11.675% Verdana 4 – 9.8 AsturbarómetroEl PP revalidaría la mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha con 17 diputados http://www.abc.es/toledo/ciudad/20150201/abci-revalidaria-mayoria-absoluta-castilla-201502012256.html es ABC 1 February 2015 10 Dec–9 Jan 2015?? 42.975% Verdana 17 28.175% Verdana 10 2.775% Verdana 0 2.875% Verdana 0 16.475% Verdana 6 2.475% Verdana 0 14.8 Llorente & CuencaEl reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015 http://www.desarrollando-ideas.com/publico/141104_dmasi_Informe_especial_reparto_poder_territorial_2015.pdf es desarrollando-ideas.com 31 October 2014 31 Oct 2014???75% Verdana 13/15?75% Verdana 14/16 – –?75% Verdana 2/4 –? NC Report/La TribunaCospedal revalidaría la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones regionales http://www.latribunadealbacete.es/noticia/Z393DAA1B-F425-70D9-347B0279E0187DBD/20141117/cospedal/revalidaria/mayoria/absoluta/elecciones/regionales es La Tribuna de Albacete 17 November 2014 12–23 Oct 2014 3,000 70.7 42.675% Verdana 17 35.575% Verdana 13 3.275% Verdana 0 3.475% Verdana 0 12.475% Verdana 3 – 7.1 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 46.4 37.775% Verdana (24) 28.875% Verdana (18) 8.775% Verdana (4) 7.275% Verdana (4) 6.475% Verdana (3) 2.275% Verdana (0) 8.9 GAD3/ABCEl PP refuerza su mayoría absoluta con 28 diputados frente a los 23 del PSOE http://www.abc.es/toledo/ciudad/20140504/abci-refuerza-mayoria-absoluta-diputados-201405042204.html es ABC 4 May 2014 26 Mar–10 Apr 2014 1,500? 44.875% Verdana 28 38.775% Verdana 23 8.275% Verdana 2 – – – 6.1 NC Report/La TribunaCospedal repetiría mayoría absoluta con 4 diputados más que el PSOE http://www.latribunadealbacete.es/noticia/ZAC99E578-AE60-FE45-AB7B6C3EBC2511BB/20131216/cospedal/repetiria/mayoria/absoluta/4/diputados/mas/psoe es La Tribuna de Albacete 16 December 2013 18–28 Nov 2013 3,000 69.0 41.375% Verdana 27 38.975% Verdana 23 7.575% Verdana 3 5.675% Verdana 0 – – 2.4 NC Report/La RazónEl PP ganaría de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomías http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-ganaria-de-nuevo-en-9-de-13-autonomias-LJ4391184 es La Razón 18 November 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303192445/http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-ganaria-de-nuevo-en-9-de-13-autonomias-LJ4391184 3 March 2016 Encuesta autonómicas NC Report noviembre 2013 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video%285843%29.pdf es La Razón 18 November 2013 25 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303195841/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video(5843).pdf 3 March 2016 dead 15 Oct–12 Nov 2013???75% Verdana 27?75% Verdana 23/24?75% Verdana 1/2?75% Verdana 0/1 – –? NC Report/La TribunaCospedal volvería a ganar por mayoría absoluta http://www.latribunadealbacete.es/noticia/Z6D791E3C-B4C9-8E27-B4AE479BFF1F4016/20130520/cospedal/volveria/ganar/mayoria/absoluta es La Tribuna de Albacete 20 May 2013 2–15 May 2013 3,000? 41.975% Verdana 27 39.775% Verdana 23 7.275% Verdana 3 5.575% Verdana 0 – – 2.2 NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantiene el poder autonómico http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantiene-el-poder-autonomico-AF2250507 es La Razón 13 May 2013Repite la mayoría absoluta: Castilla–La Mancha, Baleares, Castilla y León, Región de Murcia y La Rioja http://www.larazon.es/espana/repite-la-mayoria-absoluta-castilla-la-mancha-BF2250344 es La Razón 13 May 2013El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ es Electómetro 13 May 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304052841/http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ 4 March 2016 15 Apr–10 May 2013 350? 41.875% Verdana 27 40.275% Verdana 23/24?75% Verdana 2/3 – – – 1.6 GAD3/ABCCospedal aumentaría su mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2013/05/31/030.html es ABC 31 May 2013 1–22 Apr 2013 1,500? 43.575% Verdana 28 40.175% Verdana 22 8.975% Verdana 3 3.375% Verdana 0 – – 3.4 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 75.8 55.875% Verdana (32) 30.375% Verdana (17) 5.875% Verdana (0) 5.075% Verdana (0) – – 25.5 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 76.0 48.175% Verdana 25 43.475% Verdana 24 3.875% Verdana 0 1.875% Verdana 0 – – 4.7 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 27px|link=United Left (Spain)|IU 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 26.7 25.7 2.2 0.7 6.9 6.1 27.2 1.0 CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,961 18.5 14.9 2.8 0.5 8.0 8.3 34.7 7.8 3.6 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 17.3 13.2 4.0 3.3 2.9 1.0 52.9 4.1 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 42.2 22.9 4.4 3.8 – – 23.3 19.3 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 36.5 32.9 2.9 1.3 – – 23.1 3.6 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 27px|link=United Left (Spain)|IU 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Other/None Lead CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,961 22.7 20.3 2.9 0.8 8.8 9.1 8.3 27.1 2.4 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Other/None Lead CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,961 42.4 18.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 36.1 24.4 Preferred President The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Junta of Communities of Castilla–La Mancha. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px Other/None/Notcare Lead CospedalPP PagePSOE ÁvilaIU MolinaPodemos LigeroC's CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 1,961 25.7 17.1 1.4 2.5 2.0 3.6 47.8 8.6 Noxa/La Calle 7–14 Mar 2015 2,000 39.1 46.7 – – – – 14.2 7.6 Results Overall + ← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results → center|315px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 413,349 37.49 −10.62 16 −9 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 398,104 36.11 −7.29 15 −9 We Can (Podemos) 107,463 9.75 New 2 +2 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 95,230 8.64 New 0 ±0 Let's Win Castilla–La Mancha–The Greens–United Left (Ganemos–LV–IU)1 34,230 3.10 −0.67 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 10,866 0.99 −0.76 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 8,943 0.81 +0.46 0 ±0 Vox (Vox) 5,302 0.48 New 0 ±0 Union of Independent Citizens (UCIN)2 5,061 0.46 +0.34 0 ±0 The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 1,918 0.17 −0.03 0 ±0 Castilian Party–Castilian Unity (PCAS–UdCa)3 1,532 0.14 −0.15 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 987 0.09 New 0 ±0 Independents and Liberals for Manzanares (LIM) 287 0.03 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 19,256 1.75 +0.08 Total 1,102,528 33 −16 Valid votes 1,102,528 97.82 −0.87 Invalid votes 24,619 2.18 +0.87 Votes cast / turnout 1,127,147 71.50 −4.46 Abstentions 449,204 28.50 +4.46 Registered voters 1,576,351 Sourceshttp://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/CASTILLA_LA_MANCHA_2015_Resultados.pdf Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results, 24 May 2015 15 June 2015 es www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Electoral Commission of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017https://www.cortesclm.es/web2/paginas/eleccionIX.php IX Legislature. Regional election, 24 May 2015 es www.cortesclm.es Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017http://www.historiaelectoral.com/acmancha.html Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019) es Historia Electoral.com 29 September 2017 left Footnotes: 1 Let's Win Castilla–La Mancha–The Greens–United Left results are compared to United Left of Castilla–La Mancha totals in the 2011 election. 2 Union of Independent Citizens results are compared to Union of Independent Citizens of Toledo totals in the 2011 election. 3 Castilian Party–Castilian Unity results are compared to the combined totals of Castilian Party and Castilian Unity in the 2011 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 37.49 PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 36.11 Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 9.75 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 8.64 Ganemos–LV–IU Ganemos Castilla–La Mancha 3.10 Others #777777 3.17 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.75 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 48.48 PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 45.45 Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 6.06 Distribution by constituency Constituency PP PSOE Podemos % S % S % S Albacete 36.7 3 33.8 3 11.2 − Ciudad Real 37.1 4 38.8 4 8.4 − Cuenca 41.5 3 37.6 2 8.0 − Guadalajara 33.7 2 30.0 2 14.6 1 Toledo 38.3 4 36.9 4 8.8 1 Total 37.5 16 36.1 15 9.7 2 Sources Aftermath InvestitureEmiliano García-Page (PSOE) Ballot → 1 July 2015 Required majority → 17 out of 33 15 Yes • PSOE (15) • Podemos (2) 17 33 green 125px No • PP (16) 16 33 red 125px Abstentions 0 33 gray 125px Absentees 0 33 black 125px Sources Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Category:2015 in Castilla–La Mancha Castilla-La Mancha Category:Regional elections in Castilla–La Mancha Category:May 2015 in Spain