2014 South Australian state election

none May 2020 the local government elections held in November 2014 South Australian local elections 2014 South Australian state election South Australia parliamentary Primary no 2010 South Australian state election 2010 2018 South Australian state election 2018 All 47 seats in the House of Assembly24 seats are needed for a majority11 (of the 22) seats in the Legislative Council 15 March 2014 Jay Weatherill Crop.jpg 125 120 160 0 0 Jay Weatherill 21 October 2011 Australian Labor Party (South Australian Branch) Cheltenham 26 seats 23 3 364,420 35.80% 1.67 Steven Marshall crop.jpg 125 120 160 0 0 Steven Marshall 4 February 2013 Liberal Party of Australia (South Australian Division) Dunstan 18 seats 6 22 4 455,797 44.78% 3.13 TPP 47.0% 53.0% TPP swing 1.39 1.39 2014 South Australian state election.svg 360px Winning margin by electorate. Premier Resulting Premier Jay Weatherill Australian Labor Party (South Australian Branch) Jay Weatherill Australian Labor Party (South Australian Branch) The 2014 South Australian state election elected members to the 53rd Parliament of South Australia on 15 March 2014, to fill all 47 seats in the House of Assembly (lower house) and 11 of 22 seats in the Legislative Council (upper house). The 12-year-incumbent Australian Labor Party (SA) government, led by Premier Jay Weatherill, won its fourth consecutive four-year term in government, a record 16 years of Labor government, defeating the opposition Liberal Party of Australia (SA), led by Opposition Leader Steven Marshall. The election resulted in a hung parliament with 23 seats for Labor and 22 for the Liberals. The balance of power rested with the two crossbench independents, Bob Such and Geoff Brock. Such did not indicate whom he would support in a minority government before he went on medical leave for a brain tumour, diagnosed one week after the election. University of Adelaide Professor and Political Commentator Clem McIntyre said the absence of Such virtually guaranteed that Brock would back Labor – with 24 seats required to govern, Brock duly provided support to the incumbent Labor government, allowing Weatherill to continue in office as head of a minority government. McIntyre said:https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-13/sa-by-election-bob-such-seat-to-put-pressure-on-weatherill-govt/5810494 SA by-election to put pressure on Weatherill Government 13 October 2014 www.abc.net.au If Geoff Brock had gone with the Liberals, then the Parliament would have effectively been tied 23 to 23, so once Bob Such became ill and stepped away then Geoff Brock, I think had no choice but to side with Labor. It is Labor's longest-serving South Australian government and the second longest-serving South Australian government behind the Playmander-assisted Liberal and Country League government of 1933-1965, which served first under Richard Layton Butler and then Thomas Playford IV. It is also the third time that any party has won four consecutive election victories in South Australia, after the LCL's 10 consecutive victories from 1933 to 1965 (the last eight under Playford) and Labor's four consecutive victories between 1970 and 1977 under Don Dunstan. Recent hung parliaments occurred when Labor came to government in 2002 and prior to that when the state Liberal retained government in 1997 which saw the South Australian Division of the Liberal Party of Australia, created in 1974, win re-election for the first time. The Liberals were reduced to 21 seats in May 2014 when Martin Hamilton-Smith became an independent and entered cabinet with Brock. Both Hamilton-Smith and Brock agreed to support the Labor government on confidence and supply while retaining the right to otherwise vote on conscience. Labor went from minority to majority government when Nat Cook won the 2014 Fisher by-election by five votes from a 7.3 percent two-party swing which was triggered by the death of Such. Despite this, the Jay Weatherill Labor government kept Brock and Hamilton-Smith in cabinet, giving the government a 26 to 21 parliamentary majority. Like federal elections, South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting in the lower house and single transferable vote group voting tickets in the proportionally represented upper house. The election was conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament. Results thumb|right|Winning party by electorate. House of Assembly Results of the 2014 South Australian state election (House of Assembly) The Liberals took three seats from Labor resulting in a hung parliament with 23 seats for Labor and 22 for the Liberals. The balance of power rested with the two crossbench independents, Bob Such and Geoff Brock.http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-03-16/sa-election3a-all-eyes-on-the-independents-as-hung-parliament-/5324116 Independents Bob Such, Geoff Brock likely to hold balance of power as hung parliament looms Australian Broadcasting Corporation 16 March 2014 Such did not indicate who he would support in a minority government before he went on medical leave for a brain tumour, diagnosed one week after the election. University of Adelaide Professor and Political Commentator Clem McIntyre said the absence of Such virtually guaranteed that Brock would back Labor – with 24 seats required to govern, Brock duly provided support to the incumbent Labor government, allowing Premier Jay Weatherill to continue in office as head of a minority government. McIntyre said: If Geoff Brock had gone with the Liberals, then the Parliament would have effectively been tied 23 to 23, so once Bob Such became ill and stepped away then Geoff Brock, I think had no choice but to side with Labor. In a joint press conference with Weatherill, Brock said Such's absence prompted him to make his decision a week sooner than planned.https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-03-23/sa-to-form-minority-labor-government/5339398 Labor to form minority government in SA with support of Geoff Brock 23 March 2014 www.abc.net.au The new government was sworn in on 26 March, with Brock in cabinet as Minister for Regional Development and Local Government.https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-03-27/labor-geoff-brock-deal-weatherill-regional-fund/5348244 Re-elected Labor gives details of Brock 'sweeteners' 26 March 2014 www.abc.net.au The Liberals were reduced to 21 seats in May 2014 when Martin Hamilton-Smith became an independent and entered cabinet as Minister for Investment and Trade, Defence Industries and Veterans Affairs. Both Hamilton-Smith and Brock agreed to support the Labor government on confidence and supply while retaining the right to otherwise vote on conscience.Martin Hamilton-Smith quits Liberals to back South Australian Labor Government http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-05-27/martin-hamilton-smith-defect-labor-minister-/5480710 2014-05-28 ABC News 2014-05-28https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-02/martin-hamilton-smith-first-labor-cabinet-meeting/5493714 Ex-Liberal attends first SA Labor Cabinet meeting 2 June 2014 www.abc.net.au Labor achieved majority government when Nat Cook won the 2014 Fisher by-election by five votes from a 7.3 percent two-party swing which was triggered by the death of Such. Despite this, the Jay Weatherill Labor government kept Brock and Hamilton-Smith in cabinet, giving the government a 26 to 21 parliamentary majority.https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-12-13/labor-win-fisher-weatherill-majority-government-sa-by-election/5965332 By-election win for Labor gives Weatherill Government majority 13 December 2014 www.abc.net.au File:2014 South Australian House of Assembly.svg 1142419 32503 0.84 0.24 Liberal 455797 3.13 22 4 Labor 364420 1.67 23 3 Greens 88600 0.59 0 0 Family First Party 63575 0.87 0 0 Independents 37955 0.97 2 1 Dignity 5934 0.45 0 0 South Australian National Party 1328 0.92 0 0 #1e1e1e FREE Australia 247 0.13 0 0 y Two-party-preferred vote Liberal 539495 1.39 Labor 478361 1.39 Details of SA 2014 Election http://elections.uwa.edu.au/elecdetail.lasso?keyvalue=1881 Australian Politics and Elections Database Popular vote #ddd 600px 410px Liberal Liberal Party of Australia 44.78 Labor Australian Labor Party 35.80 Greens Australian Greens 8.70 Family First #00CCFF 6.25 Independents Independent 3.73 Others #777777 0.74 Two-party-preferred vote #ddd 600px 410px Liberal Liberal Party of Australia 53.00 Labor Australian Labor Party 47.00 Seats #ddd 600px 410px Labor Australian Labor Party 48.94 Liberal Liberal Party of Australia 46.81 Independents Independent 4.26 Independents: Bob Such, Geoff Brock Although the state-wide two-party vote (2PP) was 47.0% Labor v 53.0% Liberal, the Adelaide metropolitan area containing over 75% of South Australia's population and 72% of seats (34 of 47) recorded a 2PP of 51.5% Labor v 48.5% Liberal.Metropolitan 2PP correctly calculated by adding raw metro 2PP vote numbers from the 34 metro seats, both Labor and Liberal, then dividing Labor's raw metro 2PP vote from the total, which revealed a Labor metropolitan 2PP of 51.54%. Obtained raw metro 2PP vote numbers from ECSA 2014 election statistics https://web.archive.org/web/20160307214109/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/publications?view=document&id=1006 7 March 2016 , ECSA 2014 Heysen election https://web.archive.org/web/20141211062918/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/elections/state-elections/past-state-election-results/7678?view=result 11 December 2014 and ABC 2014 Fisher by-election. thumb|15 of 47 electorates in South Australia had a Green vote of above 10 percent at the 2014 state election. At the 2013 federal election, of 11 seats, the Green vote was above 10 percent in Adelaide, Boothby and Mayo. Seat movement The following seats changed hands: http://www.abc.net.au/news/sa-election-2014/results/electorates/#&s=0%2Casc%2C0&f=%23changing-seats 2014 SA election Changing Seats Antony Green Australian Broadcasting Corporation 16 March 2014 Seat Pre-2014 Swing Post-2014 Party Member Margin Margin Member Party Bright  Labor Chloë Fox 0.53.73.3 David Speirs Liberal   Hartley  Labor Grace Portolesi 0.1 2.6 2.4 Vincent Tarzia Liberal   Mitchell  Labor Alan Sibbons 2.4 3.6 1.2 Corey Wingard Liberal   Mount Gambier  Independent Don Pegler 0.5 7.7 7.2 Troy Bell Liberal   Pendulum South Australian state election, 2010#Pendulum South Australian state election, 2018#Pendulum The following Mackerras pendulum works by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin on a two candidate preferred basis based on the 2014 results.http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2014/03/2014-south-australian-post-election-pendulum.html 2014 SA pendulum 2014 South Australian Election Australian Broadcasting Corporationhttp://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/elections/2014-state-election-results-summary/house-of-assembly-final-results 2014 SA election House of Assembly final results: ECSA https://web.archive.org/web/20140324190639/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/elections/2014-state-election-results-summary/house-of-assembly-final-results 24 March 2014 www.ecsa.sa.gov.au "Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.https://www.aec.gov.au/Electorates/party-codes.htm Political party name abbreviations & codes, demographic ratings and seat status Canberra ACT 2600; contact=13 23 26 corporateName=Australian Electoral Commission; address=10 Mort Street Australian Electoral Commission Labor seats (23)MarginalNewlandTom KenyonALP1.4%ColtonPaul CaicaALP1.5%ElderAnnabel DiganceALP1.8%AshfordSteph KeyALP1.9%FloreyFrances BedfordALP2.5%LightTony PiccoloALP2.8%WrightJennifer RankineALP3.0%TorrensDana WortleyALP3.5%LeeStephen MullighanALP4.5%MawsonLeon BignellALP5.6%Fairly safeGilesEddie HughesALP7.0%Little ParaLee OdenwalderALP7.4%KaurnaChris PictonALP7.7%EnfieldJohn RauALP8.1%NapierJon GeeALP9.1%ReynellKatrine HildyardALP10.0%SafePort AdelaideSusan CloseALP10.6%West TorrensTom KoutsantonisALP10.8%TaylorLeesa VlahosALP11.6%PlayfordJack SnellingALP12.6%CheltenhamJay WeatherillALP14.3%RamsayZoe BettisonALP18.4%CroydonMichael AtkinsonALP18.9% Liberal seats (22) MarginalMitchellCorey WingardLIB1.2%AdelaideRachel SandersonLIB2.4%HartleyVincent TarziaLIB2.4%DunstanSteven MarshallLIB3.1%BrightDavid SpeirsLIB3.3%Fairly safeMt GambierTroy BellLIB7.2% v INDDavenportIain EvansLIB8.1%UnleyDavid PisoniLIB9.8%MorialtaJohn GardnerLIB10.0%SafeHeysenIsobel RedmondLIB11.0% v GRNWaiteMartin Hamilton-SmithLIB11.4%GoyderSteven GriffithsLIB12.9%MorphettDuncan McFetridgeLIB12.9%FinnissMichael PengillyLIB13.8%KavelMark GoldsworthyLIB14.0%SchubertStephan KnollLIB14.6%HammondAdrian PederickLIB14.6%BraggVickie ChapmanLIB18.7%StuartDan van Holst PellekaanLIB20.5%ChaffeyTim WhetstoneLIB25.1%MacKillopMitch WilliamsLIB26.7%FlindersPeter TreloarLIB29.2%Independent seats (2)FromeGeoff BrockIND8.8% v LIBFisherBob SuchIndependent MP for Fisher Bob Such, without indicating confidence and supply support, took immediate medical leave for a brain tumour, diagnosed one week after the election, with his death occurring later that year. Labor achieved majority government when Nat Cook won the 2014 Fisher by-election.IND9.4% v LIB Legislative Council Results of the 2014 South Australian state election (Legislative Council) File:2014 South Australian Legislative Council.svg 1142419 41508 0.8 1.9 Not up Won Total seats Liberal 363809 3.40 4 4 8 Labor 312944 6.32 3 4 7 Independent Nick Xenophon Team 130289 New 0 1 1 Greens 65215 0.17 1 1 2 Family First 44015 0.06 1 1 2 Independent Palmer United 16603 New 0 0 0 Shooters and Fishers 13608 0.55 0 0 0 Dignity 9367 0.25 1 0 1 Independent Animal Justice 8787 New 0 0 0 #7fffd4 Fishing and Lifestyle 7999 New 0 0 0 Liberal Democrats 6091 New 0 0 0 Independent Legal Voluntary Euthanasia 4533 New 0 0 0 Independent Your Voice Matters 4278 New 0 0 0 #FF7400 Stop Population Growth Now 3884 New 0 0 0 Independent No Domestic Violence 2299 New 0 0 0 #1e1e1e FREE Australia 2831 0.11 0 0 0 Others Independent Mark Aldridge Alliance 2789 New 0 0 0 National 2268 0.14 0 0 0 Independent Joseph Masika 1944 New 0 0 0 Others Multicultural Progress 1560 New 0 0 0 Katter's South Australian Party 1503 New 0 0 0 Independent Environment Education Disability 1499 New 0 0 0 Others Fair Land Tax - Tax Party 1363 0.49 0 0 0 Independent Powerful Communities 1341 New 0 0 0 Independent (John Browne) 112 New 0 0 0 Independent (ex ALP) 1 0 1 Results of 2014 Election http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/elections/state-elections/2014-state-election-results-summary Electoral Commission of South Australia 22 June 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150629104307/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/elections/state-elections/2014-state-election-results-summary 29 June 2015 dead Members of the South Australian Legislative CouncilLabor (7)Liberal (8)Green (2)Family First (2) *Xenophon Team (1)Dignity for Disability (1) elected 2014: Russell Wortley Ian Hunter Tung Ngo Kyam Maher elected 2014: Rob Lucas John Dawkins Michelle Lensink Andrew McLachlan elected 2014: Mark Parnell elected 2014: Dennis Hood elected 2014: John Darley elected 2010: Gerry Kandelaars 1 Gail Gago John Gazzola elected 2010: David Ridgway Stephen Wade Terry Stephens Jing Lee elected 2010: Tammy Franks elected 2010: Robert Brokenshire elected 2010: Kelly VincentIndependent (ex Labor) (1) elected 2010: Bernard Finnigan 2 1 Appointed by casual vacancy in 2011 2 Elected from Labor ticket, became independent on 21 April 2011 “Mr Bernard Finnigan.” Parliament.Sa.Gov.Au. Retrieved 12 Aug 2026. following suspension from the ALP.http://aap.newscentre.com.au/acci/110503/library/workplace_relations/25593488.htmlAugust 2026 yes * On 25 April 2017, it was announced that the Family First Party would merge with the Australian Conservatives, with its two members of the South Australian Legislative Council joining the party.Green Antony The Urge to merge – Family First and the Australian Conservatives http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2017/04/the-urge-to-merge-family-first-and-the-australian-conservatives.html 4 May 2017 ABC 26 April 2017 The Family First executive voted to dissolve the party, and in accordance with Australian law, they donated all their assets to the Australian Conservative Party.2017-04-25 Cory Bernardi's Australian Conservatives to amalgamate with Family First Louise Yaxley en-AU ABC News https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-04-25/cory-bernardi-australian-conservatives-family-first-to-merge/8471244 2022-06-18 Date The last state election was held on 20 March 2010 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday, occurs within the same month as a Commonwealth election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the Government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them. http://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/search/display/display.w3p;query=Id%3A%22library%2Fprspub%2FHU1T6%22#states Australian elections timetable Australian Parliamentary Library 5 February 2013 The Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013 introduced set dates for writs for General elections in South Australia. The writ sets the dates for the close of the electoral roll and the close of nominations for an election. The Electoral Act 1985 requires that, for a general election, the writ be issued 28 days before the date fixed for polling (S47(2a)) and the electoral roll be closed at 12 noon, 6 days after the issue of the writ (S48(3(a)(i). The close of nominations will be at 12 noon 3 days after the close of rolls (Electoral Act 1985 S48(4)(a) and S4(1)). Since the previous election, five new parties had registered: Fishing and Lifestyle Party, Liberal Democratic Party, Multicultural Progress Party, Stop Population Growth Now, and Katter's Australian Party. Six were no longer registered: The Democrats, Save the RAH, Gamers 4 Croydon, Democratic Labor Party, One Nation, and United Party. Registered Political Parties : 7 November 2013 ECSA.sa.gov.au http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/component/edocman/?task=document.download&id=36 7 November 2013 Polling Day for the 2014 South Australian State election was Saturday 15 March 2014 from 8am until 6pm. The Issue of Writ for the 2014 South Australian State election was Saturday 15 February 2014. The Electoral Roll closed at 12 noon, Friday 21 February 2014. Nominations for candidates wishing to stand for election closed at 12 noon, Monday 24 February 2014, http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/component/edocman/?task=document.download&id=622 Key dates 2014 SA election ECSA.sa.gov.au with the ballot order for both houses drawn and released shortly after, http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/parties-and-candidates/house-of-assembly-candidates 2014 SA election Lower house candidates ECSA.sa.gov.au 27 February 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140227130801/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/parties-and-candidates/house-of-assembly-candidates 27 February 2014 dead http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/parties-and-candidates/legislative-council-candidates 2014 SA election Upper house candidates ECSA.sa.gov.au 27 February 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140227131931/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/parties-and-candidates/legislative-council-candidates 27 February 2014 dead followed by close and release of upper house above-the-line preference tickets. Lower house how-to-vote card lodgements closed at 12 noon, 7 March 2014. http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/voting/voting-at-the-state-election/how-to-vote-cards 2014 SA election How-to-vote cards ECSA.sa.gov.au dead https://web.archive.org/web/20140308071401/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/voting/voting-at-the-state-election/how-to-vote-cards 8 March 2014 The 2014 Tasmanian state election occurred on the same day.http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-16/tasmanian-premier-names-election-date/5203346 Tasmanian Premier names election date as March 15 Australian Broadcasting Corporation 16 January 2014 16 January 2014 Background Candidates of the South Australian state election, 2014 Full results of the South Australian state election, 2010 The centre-left Australian Labor Party, led by Premier Jay Weatherill, and the centre-right Liberal Party of Australia, led by Leader of the Opposition Steven Marshall, are the two main parties in South Australia. In the 2010 state election, of 47 seats total, the Labor Party won 26 seats and the Liberal Party won 18 seats. Three seats were won by independents, Bob Such (Fisher), Geoff Brock (Frome), and Don Pegler (Mount Gambier). Smaller parties which held no seats in the lower House but achieved significant votes in 2010 include the SA Greens and the Family First Party. In the upper house, the Labor Party held eight seats, the Liberal Party held seven seats, the SA Greens, the Family First Party, and No Pokies all held two seats each, and Dignity for Disability held one seat. A Port Adelaide by-election and a Ramsay by-election occurred on 11 February 2012, Labor retained both seats. Retiring MPs Labor Lyn Breuer MHA (Giles)Lyn Breuer ponders her political deadline http://www.abc.net.au/local/stories/2013/04/29/3747497.htm Australian Broadcasting Corporation 29 April 2013 Patrick Conlon MHA (Elder)Senior Ministers to quit State Parliament http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-01-15/conlon-quits-cabinet2c-forces-reshuffle/4464970?section=sa 15 January 2013 ABC News 15 January 2013 Robyn Geraghty MHA (Torrens)Government Whip Robyn Geraghty will retire at the 2014 election http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/government-whip-robyn-geraghty-will-retire-at-the-2014-election/story-e6frea83-1226613559984 The Advertiser Adelaide News Ltd Brad Crouch 5 April 2013 John Hill MHA (Kaurna) Michael O'Brien MHA (Napier)Jonathan Swan http://www.smh.com.au/national/senator-don-farrell-backs-down-on-move-to-sa-politics-after-premier-jay-weatherill-threatens-to-quit-20140131-31r5x.html Senator Don Farrell backs down on move to SA politics after Premier Jay Weatherill threatens to quit The Sydney Morning Herald 31 January 2014 16 February 2014 Gay Thompson MHA (Reynell)Breuer to quit after losing speaker's chair http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-03-28/breuer-quits-after-losing-speaker27s-chair/4599306 Australian Broadcasting Corporation 28 March 2013 Michael Wright MHA (Lee)Former Foley staffer tipped for Wright's seat http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-03-15/michael-wright-retire-lee-mulligan/3890700 Australian Broadcasting Corporation 15 March 2012 Carmel Zollo MLC http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-11-29/cfs-volunteers-to-challenge-compensation-legislation/5124348 CFS volunteers consider challenge to 'disgraceful' compensation legislation Australian Broadcasting Corporation 29 November 2013 Liberal Ivan Venning MHA (Schubert)http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/liberal-south-australian-mp-ivan-venning-calling-stumps/story-e6frea83-1226422861849 Liberal South Australian MP Ivan Venning calling stumps: AdelaideNow 10 July 2012 Other Ann Bressington MLCThe Tally Room http://www.tallyroom.com.au/sa2014/legcsa2014 2014 SA election, upper house 26 January 2014 Tally Room 2014-02-16 Redistributions and the two-party vote To produce 'fair' boundaries, which has a history going back to the mid-1900s Playmander, the Electoral Commission of South Australia has been required following the 1989 election to redraw boundaries after each election through a "fairness" provision with the objective that the party which receives over 50 percent of the statewide two-party vote at the forthcoming election should win the two-party vote in a majority of seats.10.1080/00323269008402128 25 The 1989 South Australian election 1990 Australian Journal of Political Science 333–338 Jaensch Dean 2 Labor's success in South Australia since the end of the Playmander has been based in part on the strength of its dominance in Adelaide. South Australia is the most centralised state in Australia; while 1.7 million people live in South Australia, 1.3 million of them live in Adelaide − uniquely, over 75 percent of the state's population and 72 percent of seats (34 of 47) are located in the metropolitan area alongside a lack of comparatively-sized rural population centres. Therefore, to a far greater extent than is the case in the rest of Australia, the metropolitan area tends to decide election outcomes. Under normal conditions, Labor wins the most seats in Adelaide, with the Liberal vote locked up in ultra-safe rural seats. In 2010, for instance, the Liberals picked up a swing of 8.4 percent, more than the uniform 6.9 percent swing that the Boundaries Commission envisaged as being enough for a Liberal win. However, most of that swing came in seats that would have stayed in Labor hands in any event; while 22 seats saw double-digit swings, Labor sat on insurmountably safe margins in 16 of them.2010 election preview from Antony Green Additionally, while the Liberals took three Adelaide-area seats off Labor, it only won six additional seats in the capital. While six of the Liberals' 13 safe two-party seats were urban, all but one of their four marginal seats were urban. As a result, while the Liberals won 51.6 percent of the two-party vote, Labor only suffered an overall three-seat swing, allowing it to hold onto a two-seat majority. The 2014 election saw more of the same. While the state-wide two-party vote (2PP) was 47.0% Labor v 53.0% Liberal, the metropolitan area recorded a 2PP of 51.5% Labor v 48.5% Liberal. The Liberals only won 12 of the 34 metropolitan seats; while only four of their 14 safe two-party seats were urban, all eight non-safe (<10 percent) seats were urban. Overall, the election resulted in a hung parliament with 23 seats for Labor and 22 for the Liberals. The balance of power rested with the two crossbench independents, Bob Such and Geoff Brock. Their seats, Fisher and Frome, both returned clear Liberal two-party votes but elected independents. 24 seats had returned a Liberal two-party vote, 23 seats returned a Labor two-party vote, therefore the "fairness" provision was met. One element of the Playmander remains to this day − the House of Assembly is still elected using single-member seats. Prior to the Playmander, the House of Assembly had always been elected using multi-member seats since the inaugural 1857 election. Each Labor period of government since the end of the Playmander had at least one comprehensive win, allowing often-Liberal seats to be won by Labor candidates who then built up incumbency and personal popularity. Examples in 2014 were Mawson, Newland and Light, and additionally in 2010, Bright and Hartley – all gained at the 2006 election landslide. Mawson in fact swung toward Labor in 2010 and 2014 despite the statewide trend. The bellwether seat of Colton was retained by Labor. Furthermore, all but two of the nine Liberal-held metropolitan seats saw swings against the Liberals. In 2014, referring to the 1989 fairness legislation, Premier Jay Weatherill said "Complaining about the rules when you designed the rules I think sits ill on the mouth of the Liberal Party", while Electoral Commissioner Kay Mousley said it was an "impossible" task for the Boundaries Commission to achieve the legislated requirement, stating "It is a constitutional requirement, and until the constitution gets changed, I must say I find it a very inexact science".https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/liberals-blocked-by-unfair-boundaries-says-downer/news-story/e9d945a01bbc5fab26b2b32984cf8b12 subscription Liberals blocked by unfair boundaries, says Downer Additionally, she had previously stated in 2010 "Had the Liberal Party achieved a uniform swing it would have formed Government. The Commission has no control over, and can accept no responsibility for, the quality of the candidates, policies and campaigns."http://ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/news/?sectionID=176 Draft Redistribution Report Electoral Commission of South Australia 12 August 2011 9 June 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20121103012905/http://ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/news/?sectionID=176 3 November 2012 University of Adelaide Professor of Politics Clem Macintyre stated after the 2014 election that fair electoral boundaries are an "impossible challenge".https://adelaide.edu.au/about/news/ News | Adelaide University adelaide.edu.au The Liberal Party disagreed with that assessment, and submitted that Hartley, Elder and Bright should be moved from Labor to Liberal.http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/liberals-want-three-marginal-labor-seats-to-swing-their-way/story-e6frea83-1226443411259 Liberals want three marginal Labor seats to swing their way The Advertiser 5 August 2012 The Australian Broadcasting Corporation's election expert Antony Green expected that the Labor government's parliamentary majority from the 2010 election would be redistributed away.http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2010/03/south-australian-election-final-2party-preferred-counts.html South Australian Election, Final 2-Party Preferred Counts Antony Green Antony Green's Election Blog ABC News 29 March 2010 9 June 2012http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2011/02/future-election-dates.html Future election dates Antony Green Antony Green's Election Blog ABC News 8 February 2011 9 June 2012 However, the draft redistribution, which altered the boundaries of 36 of 47 seats, nominally gave Labor 26 seats and the Liberals 21 seats on a two-party basis. Although held by an independent member, Frome was proposed to be moved from Labor to Liberal on a two-party basis. It was also proposed that the Norwood be renamed Dunstan.http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2012/06/new-state-electoral-boundaries-proposed-for-south-australia.html#more New State Electoral Boundaries Proposed for South Australia Antony Green Antony Green's Election Blog ABC News 1 June 2012 9 June 2012 The final redistribution was released in August 2012. The renaming of the seat of Norwood to Dunstan occurred. On Antony Green's calculations, the notional two-party margin in Frome went from 0.1 percent Labor to 1.7 percent Liberal, Ashford went from 4.8 percent to 0.6 percent for Labor, Hartley went from 2.3 percent to 0.1 percent for Labor, Elder went from 3.6 percent to 2.0 percent for Labor and Light went from 5.3 percent to 2.8 percent for Labor, amongst other boundary and margin reductions and increases. All redistribution figures and swings used are based on Antony Green's booth-based declaration vote calculations rather than the electoral commission's seat-based declaration vote calculations.https://www.abc.net.au/news/antony-green/3496478 Antony Green - ABC News 30 May 2025 www.abc.net.auhttp://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/news/?sectionID=179 Final redistribution report Electoral Commission of South Australia 23 August 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20130409070334/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/news/?sectionID=179 9 April 2013 dead http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2012/08/23/south-australia-redistributed/ South Australia redistributed Poll Bludger 23 August 2012https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2014/guide/electorates Electorates A-Z www.abc.net.au Polling Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian was conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consisted of over 800 electors, while the 10–13 March 2014 poll consisted of 1602 electors. The declared margin of errors at these sample sizes were ±3.5 percent and ±2.5 percent respectively. Two-party preferred figures were calculated based on preference flows at the 2010 state election. none|frame|Primary vote opinion polling for the 2014 South Australian state election with a local regression (LOESS) trendline for each party. none|frame|Two-party-preferred opinion polling for the 2014 South Australian state election with a local regression (LOESS) trendline for each party. + House of Assembly (lower house) pollingPrimary voteTPP voteLibNatALPGrnOthLibALP15 Mar 2014 election44.8%0.1%35.8%8.7%10.7%53.0%47.0%10–13 Mar 2014 41% <.5% 34% 9% 16%52.3%47.7%21–27 Feb 2014 44% <.5% 34% 7% 15%54%46%Oct–Dec 2013 40% <.5% 33% 10% 17%53%47%Apr–Jun 2013 44% 1% 32% 10% 13%56%44%Mar 2013 43% 1% 33% 10% 13%54%46%Oct–Dec 2012 40% 1% 37% 9% 13%51%49%Jul–Sep 2012 43% 1% 28% 11% 17%57%43%Jan–Mar 2012 40% <.5% 34% 11% 15%52%48%Nov–Dec 2011 40% 2% 34% 9% 15%52%48%Apr–Jun 2011 40% 1% 30% 14% 15%54%46%25 Feb–6 Mar 2011 42% 1% 29% 14% 14%56%44%20 Mar 2010 election41.7%1.0%37.5%8.1%11.7%51.6%48.4%14–18 Mar 201042.5%< .5%35.3%9.3%12.3%52%48%Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. + Better Premier and satisfaction polling^Better PremierWeatherillMarshall Weatherill MarshallSatisfiedDissatisfiedSatisfiedDissatisfied15 Mar 2014 election––––––10–13 Mar 201443%37%42%42%42%35%21–27 Feb 201440%39%43%44%45%29%Oct–Dec 201340%29%43%37%43%21%Apr–Jun 201341%30%47%35%41%20%Mar 201342%27%46%34%37%19%Oct–Dec 201247%27%249%32%40%240%2Jul–Sep 201240%27%242%33%40%236%2Jan–Mar 201246%23%247%23%43%234%2Nov–Dec 201145%29%251%14%49%230%2Apr–Jun 201134%145%231%159%151%229%225 Feb–6 Mar 201132%150%230%159%152%225%220 Mar 2010 election––––––14–18 Mar 201043%145%243%148%159%223%2Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.1 Mike Rann.2 Isobel Redmond. See also Candidates of the South Australian state election, 2014 Members of the South Australian House of Assembly, 2014–2018 Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2014–2018 2010 South Australian state election 2018 South Australian state election References External links 2014 SA election: Antony Green ABC 2014 SA election: Poll Bludger 2014 SA election: Tally Room Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA) Lower house how-to-vote cards and upper house above-the-line preference tickets: ECSA Polls point towards possible hung Parliament: ABC 14 March 2014 Advertiser-Galaxy poll shows Labor ahead 51-49 in two critical marginal seats & chance to deny Libs majority government: The Advertiser 15 March 2014 Galaxy; 51-49 to Labor in Newland and Mitchell (SA): Poll Bludger 13 March 2014 Category:2014 elections in Australia Category:Elections in South Australia Category:2010s in South Australia Category:March 2014 in Australia