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2010 United States Senate election in Missouri
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2010 United States Senate election in Missouri Missouri presidential Yes 2004 United States Senate election in Missouri 2004 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri 2016 November 2, 2010 150x150px File:Rep Roy Blunt (cropped).jpg Roy Blunt Republican Party (United States) 1,054,160 54.23% File:SOS Robin Carnahan (cropped).jpg Robin Carnahan Democratic Party (United States) 789,736 40.63% 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri results map by county.svg 275px County resultsBlunt: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Carnahan: #7996e2 50–60% #584cde 70–80% U.S. Senator Kit Bond Republican Party (United States) Roy Blunt Republican Party (United States)
The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kit Bond decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt won the open seat.Missouri election results 2010: Robin Carnahan defeated by Roy Blunt, Washington Post, 2 November 2010
Republican primary
Candidates
Roy Blunt, U.S. representative since 1997
Davis Conway
Tony Laszacs
Hector Maldonado, sales representative
Kristi Nichols, sales manager, activist, perennial candidate
R.L. Praprotnik
Chuck Purgason, state senator
Deborah Solomon
Mike Vontz
Polling
Poll source Dates administered Roy Blunt Chuck Purgason UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 53% 16% 31%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 48% 18% 34%
Results
Republican primary results
Roy Blunt
Republican Party (United States)
411,040
70.9%
Chuck Purgason
Republican Party (United States)
75,663
13.1%
Kristi Nichols
Republican Party (United States)
40,744
7.0%
Deborah Solomon
Republican Party (United States)
15,099
2.6%
Hector Maldonado
Republican Party (United States)
8,731
1.5%
Davis Conway
Republican Party (United States)
8,525
1.5%
R.L. Praprotnik
Republican Party (United States)
8,047
1.4%
Tony Laszacs
Republican Party (United States)
6,309
1.1%
Mike Vontz
Republican Party (United States)
5,190
0.9%
579,348
100.00%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Robin Carnahan, Missouri Secretary of State, daughter of former U.S. Senator Jean Carnahan and former governor Mel Carnahan
Richard Charles Tolbert
Francis Vangeli
Results
Democratic primary resultshttp://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=283 Missouri Senate Primary results Missouri SOS August 3, 2010 August 3, 2010 October 2, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121002074200/http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=283 dead
Robin Carnahan
Democratic Party (United States)
266,349
83.9%
Richard Charles Tolbert
Democratic Party (United States)
33,731
10.6%
Francis Vangeli
Democratic Party (United States)
17,511
5.5%
317,591
100.00%
Other primaries
Constitution
Candidates
Declared
Jerry Beck
Joe Martellaro
Mike Simmons
Constitution Party primary results
Jerry Beck
Constitution Party (United States)
819
43.5%
Mike Simmons
Constitution Party (United States)
554
29.4%
Joe Martello
Constitution Party (United States)
511
27.1%
1,884
100.00%
Libertarian
Candidates
Declared
Jonathan Dine
Cisse Spragins
Libertarian primary results
Jonathan Dine
Libertarian Party (United States)
2,069
58.6%
Cisse Spragins
Libertarian Party (United States)
1,460
41.4%
3,529
100.00%
General election
Candidates
Jerry Beck (C)
Roy Blunt (R), U.S. representative
Robin Carnahan (D), Missouri secretary of state
Jonathan Dine (L)
Mark S. Memoly (write-in)
Frazier Glenn Miller (write-in), perennial candidate
Jeff Wirick (write-in)
Richie L. Wolfe (write-in)
Campaign
Carnahan and national Democrats heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt."Congressman 'Bailout' Blunt Tries to Redefine His Role in the $700 Billion Bailout Fired Up! Missouri Blunt criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill, and the Affordable Care Act.Blunt's 2nd ad attacks Carnahan on Obama event
Carnahan was endorsed by the Kansas City Star,Recommendations for Missouri’s top races, editorial board, Kansas City Star, October 24, 2010 St. Louis Post-Dispatch,Carnahan for Senate: Part of the solution, not the problem, editorial board, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, October 22, 2010 and St. Louis American.American endorses Robin Carnahan and Barbara FraserJuly 2016 InternetArchiveBot yes , editorial board, St. Louis American, October 21, 2010
Blunt was endorsed by the Quincy Herald-WhigRoy Blunt for Senate https://web.archive.org/web/20101023142759/http://www.royblunt.com/news.php?id=28 October 23, 2010 and St. Joseph News-Press.Roy Blunt for Senate https://web.archive.org/web/20101023142758/http://www.royblunt.com/news.php?id=30 October 23, 2010
Debates
October 14: Televised on Kansas City Public Television in Kansas City, Missouri.June 2024 medicmedic
October 18: Missouri Press Association convention in Lake of the Ozarks State Park.Senate candidate heavyweights debate at lake - Camdenton, MO - Serving Missouri's Lake of the Ozarks region including Osage Beach, Camdenton, Lake Ozark, Eldon and Sunrise Bea... https://web.archive.org/web/20110713182041/http://www.lakenewsonline.com/news/x1389369414/Senate-candidate-heavyweights-debate-at-lake July 13, 2011
October 29: Televised on KTVI in St. Louis.Blunt and Carnahan Fire Up Supporters – KTVI https://web.archive.org/web/20101107163614/http://www.fox2now.com/news/ktvi-blunt-carnahan-fire-up-supporters-102910,0,5528248.story November 7, 2010
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/senate Senate Cook Political Report October 26, 2010 Lean R October 26, 2010 Rothenberghttp://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate Senate Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 26, 2010 Lean R October 22, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html Battle for the Senate RealClearPolitics October 26, 2010 Likely R October 26, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate 2010 Senate Ratings Sabato's Crystal Ball October 26, 2010 October 28, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ dead Likely R October 21, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics October 26, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate October 28, 2010 Lean R October 26, 2010
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Roy Blunt (R) Robin Carnahan (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling January 10–11, 2009 867 ± 3.3% 44% 45% –– 11%Wilson Strategies (R)Wilson Strategies (R) March 7–9, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% –– 9%Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) April 28–30, 2009 800 ± 3.5% 44% 53% –– 3%Momentum Analysis (D)Momentum Analysis (D) September 19, 2009 802 ± 3.5% 45% 48% –– 7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 21, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 2% 5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 763 ± 3.6% 42% 43% –– 15%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports December 15, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 44% 46% 4% 6%YouGovPolimetrixYouGovPolimetrix January 6–11, 2010 500 –– 39% 43% –– 19%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports January 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 43% 3% 5%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 42% 3% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 4% 8%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 495 ± 4.4% 45% 41% –– 13%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 42% 3% 7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 42% 4% 4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 44% 4% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 43% 3% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 47% 45% 2% 6%Mason DixonMason Dixon July 19–21, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 48% 42% –– 10%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 43% 4% 4%Rasmussen Reports August 10, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 50% 43% 3% 4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 14–15, 2010 –– ± 3.73% 45% 38% 8% 9%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 23, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 5% 4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 53% 43% 2% 2%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 44% 2% 3%Fox News/Pulse Opinion ResearchFox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 50% 42% 5% 3%CNN/Time/Opinion ResearchCNN/Time/Opinion Research October 1–5, 2010 1,398 ± 2.5% 53% 40% 4% ––Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 43% 3% 2%Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 16, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 49% 43% 5% 3%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 17–18, 2010 646 ± 3.9% 46% 41% 6% 7%Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 43% 4% 3%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon October 18–20, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 49% 40% 3% 8%KSN3/Missouri State UniversityKSN3/Missouri State University October 20–27, 2010 821 ± 3.8% 54% 41% 3% 2%
Fundraising
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Roy Blunt (R) $8,203,670 $4,537,049 $4,003,030 $0 Robin Carnahan (D) $7,297,929 $3,658,278 $3,639,651 $0 Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=MO&election_yr=2010 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Missouri fec.gov August 19, 2010 April 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes
Results
United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010Official Election Returns 2010 https://www.sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/ElectionResultsStatistics/AllRacesGeneralNovember2010.pdf Missouri Secretary of State
Roy Blunt
Republican Party (United States)
1,054,160
54.23%
-1.86%
Robin Carnahan
Democratic Party (United States)
789,736
40.63% -2.17%
Jonathan Dine
Libertarian Party (United States)
58,663
3.02% +2.29%
Jerry Beck
Constitution Party (United States)
41,309
2.12% +1.73%
31
0.00%
N/A
1,943,899
100.0%
Republican Party (United States)
See also
United States Senate elections, 2010
Missouri state auditor election, 2010
Missouri Senate elections, 2010
References
External links
Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State
Official candidate lists
U.S. Congress candidates for Missouri https://web.archive.org/web/20100930122137/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=MO September 30, 2010 at Project Vote Smart
Missouri U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
https://archive.today/20130131133416/http://www.pollster.com/polls/mo/10-mo-sen-ge-bvc.php 2010 Missouri Senate General Election: Roy Blunt (R) vs Robin Carnahan (D) el graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Missouri Senate from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Missouri Senate - Blunt vs. Carnahan from Real Clear Politics
https://archive.today/20130120075614/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-2010-MO 2010 Missouri Senate Race el from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times
News coverage from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star
News coverage at the St. Louis Post-Dispatch
Official campaign websites
Roy Blunt for U.S. Senate
Robin Carnahan for U.S. Senate
Jerry Beck for U.S. Senate
Cisse Spragins for U.S. Senate
Hector Maldonado for U.S. Senate https://web.archive.org/web/20100617042008/http://www.hectorforfreedom.com/ June 17, 2010
Missouri
2010
United States Senate