411 REFERENCE · Wikipedia
2012 United States presidential election in Montana
Reference material by Wikipedia contributors. This retains its source identity and is not 411 news reporting.
none
June 2025
February 2023
2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Montana Montana presidential no 2008 United States presidential election in Montana 2008 2016 United States presidential election in Montana 2016 November 6, 2012 x200px Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg Mitt Romney Republican Party (United States) Massachusetts Paul Ryan 3 267,928 55.30% President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Illinois Joe Biden 0 201,839 41.66% 350px 350px County results
Romney
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#d40000 70–80%
#aa0000 80–90%
Obama
#b9d7ff 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70% President Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States)
The 2012 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Montana voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.
Romney carried Montana with 55.30% of the vote to Obama's 41.66%, with a 13.64% margin of victory. Montana was the second-best state performance for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, carrying about 3% of the vote. Montana in 2012 and 2016 had a larger than ever margin for the Libertarian Party.
Romney performed much better than John McCain had in 2008, when he narrowly won over Obama with only a 2.38% margin of victory. Romney also won over five counties that voted for Obama in 2008. Most of the counties Obama won were either majority Native American (such as Big Horn, Blaine, Glacier, and Roosevelt) or have some of Montana's most populous cities and towns, such as Missoula County (containing its namesake city, the second largest in the state and home of the University of Montana) and Silver Bow County (home to Butte and Montana Tech).
As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that a Republican has won Gallatin County or that a Democrat has won Hill County or Roosevelt County.
Obama remains the only Democrat since statehood to win two terms in the White House without carrying Montana either time.Leip Dave Montana Election Results https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=30&f=0&off=99 October 2, 2022 US Election Atlas
Primary elections
Democratic primary
June 2022
Republican primary
2012 Montana Republican presidential caucuses Montana presidential yes 2008 Montana Republican presidential caucuses and primary 2008 2016 United States presidential election in Montana#Republican primary 2016 2012 06 16 x125px Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg Mitt Romney ff6600 Massachusetts Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg Ron Paul ffcc00 Texas Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Rick Santorum 008000 Pennsylvania Montana Republican presidential primary election results by county, 2012.svg 300px Montana results by county
#ff6600 Mitt Romney
(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)
thumb|Members of the Montana delegation at the 2012 Republican National Convention
The Republican caucuses took place on June 14 to 16, 2012 as the Montana state convention. Ten days before, the state delegates were selected by the central committee in each countyhttps://www.cnn.com/election/2012/calendar.html Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar CNN January 11, 2012https://www.FEC.gov/pubrec/fe2012/2012pdates.pdf Presidential Primary Dates Federal Election Commission January 23, 2012https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MT-R#0614 Montana Republican Delegation 2012 23 delegates were to have been chosen, for a total of 26 delegates to go to the national convention. Prior to selecting delegates, a non-binding primary election was held June 5, 2012. Results were announced before the Republican National Convention in August.
2012 Montana Republican presidential primaryunofficial election results https://web.archive.org/web/20141021114427/http://electionresults.sos.mt.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY 2014-10-21 . Secretary of State. June 22, 2012. Retrieved July 2, 2012. Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates Mitt Romney 96,121 68.4% Ron Paul 20,227 14.4% Rick Santorum 12,546 8.9% Newt Gingrich 6,107 4.3% No Preference 5,456 3.9% Unpledged delegates: 25 Total: 140,457 26
Key: Withdrew prior to contest
General election
Predictions
SourceRankingAs ofHuffington PostHuffington Post Election Dashboard HuffPost http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map https://archive.today/20130813173708/http://web.archive.org/web/20120502191502/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map 2013-08-13Safe RNovember 6, 2012CNNAmerica's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map CNN http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator#?battleground dead https://archive.today/20130119130158/http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator%23?battleground 2013-01-19Safe RNovember 6, 2012 New York TimesElection 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2012/electoral-map.html https://archive.today/20120708093751/http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/electoral-map July 8, 2012 Safe R November 6, 2012Washington Post2012 Presidential Election Results The Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ limited live https://web.archive.org/web/20120726195644/https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ 2012-07-26Safe RNovember 6, 2012RealClearPolitics http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html dead https://web.archive.org/web/20110608112207/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html 2011-06-08 RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White HouseSolid RNovember 6, 2012Sabato's Crystal Ball https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERMSolid RNovember 5, 2012FiveThirtyEight https://www.masslive.com/news/2012/11/nate_silvers_political_calcula.html Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcomeSolid RNovember 6, 2012
Results
2012 United States presidential election in Montanahttps://archive.today/20121212090806/http://electionresults.sos.mt.gov/resultsCTY.aspx?type=FED&rid=450001349&osn=100&map=CTY Election results
Republican Party (United States)
Mitt Romney
267,928
55.30
Democratic Party (United States)
Barack Obama (incumbent)
201,839
41.66
Libertarian Party (United States)
Gary Johnson
14,165
2.93
Others
Others
116
0.02
484,048 100.0
By county
CountyMitt RomneyRepublicanBarack ObamaDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Beaverhead3,28968.35%1,37128.49%1523.16%1,91839.86%4,812Big Horn1,66736.04%2,88262.30%771.66%-1,215-26.26%4,626Blaine1,17841.20%1,61656.52%652.28%-438-15.32%2,859Broadwater2,15271.47%76425.37%953.16%1,38846.10%3,011Carbon3,53360.42%2,14636.70%1682.88%1,38723.72%5,847Carter67885.18%9612.06%222.76%58273.12%796Cascade18,34553.06%15,23244.05%9992.89%3,1139.01%34,576Chouteau1,75862.32%97834.67%853.01%78027.65%2,821Custer3,37362.87%1,83334.17%1592.96%1,54028.70%5,365Daniels74073.49%23723.54%302.97%50349.95%1,007Dawson3,02968.48%1,21927.56%1753.96%1,81040.92%4,423Deer Lodge1,44832.47%2,86064.13%1523.40%-1,412-31.66%4,460Fallon1,12880.23%23716.86%412.91%89163.37%1,406Fergus4,25770.12%1,64027.01%1742.87%2,61743.11%6,071Flathead28,30964.47%13,89231.64%1,7083.89%14,41732.83%43,909Gallatin24,35850.84%21,96145.84%1,5893.32%2,3975.00%47,908Garfield62288.73%669.42%131.85%55679.31%701Glacier1,41531.76%2,92465.63%1162.61%-1,509-33.87%4,455Golden Valley35173.28%11022.96%183.76%24150.32%479Granite1,10764.93%53331.26%653.81%57433.67%1,705Hill3,16446.36%3,40349.86%2583.78%-239-3.50%6,825Jefferson4,05562.18%2,27234.84%1942.98%1,78327.34%6,521Judith Basin85470.29%33727.74%241.97%51742.55%1,215Lake7,13553.63%5,80543.63%3642.74%1,33010.00%13,304Lewis and Clark16,80350.43%15,62046.88%8952.69%1,1833.55%33,318Liberty70270.34%25725.75%393.91%44544.59%998Lincoln6,05768.13%2,55228.71%2813.16%3,50539.42%8,890Madison3,13069.06%1,28928.44%1132.50%1,84140.62%4,532McCone74575.03%22322.46%252.51%52252.57%993Meagher67068.93%26927.67%333.40%40141.26%972Mineral1,21660.17%70034.64%1055.19%51625.53%2,021Missoula22,65239.58%32,82457.35%1,7563.07%-10,172-17.77%57,232Musselshell1,83376.15%49220.44%823.41%1,34155.71%2,407Park4,70953.71%3,78343.15%2763.14%92610.56%8,768Petroleum24080.54%4916.44%93.02%19164.10%298Phillips1,68875.76%47121.14%693.10%1,21754.62%2,228Pondera1,67361.53%97535.86%712.61%69825.67%2,719Powder River83381.11%17016.55%242.34%66364.56%1,027Powell1,80665.03%88831.98%832.99%91833.05%2,777Prairie52073.97%16723.76%162.27%35350.21%703Ravalli14,30764.41%7,28532.80%6202.79%7,02231.61%22,212Richland3,51075.52%1,00221.56%1362.92%2,50853.96%4,648Roosevelt1,51441.23%2,08656.81%721.96%-572-15.58%3,672Rosebud2,00456.88%1,42240.36%1522.76%58216.52%3,523Sanders3,98067.45%1,72029.15%2013.40%2,26038.30%5,901Sheridan1,20762.60%66534.49%562.91%54228.11%1,928Silver Bow5,43032.41%10,85764.79%4692.80%-5,427-32.38%16,756Stillwater3,33770.97%1,24826.54%1172.49%2,08944.43%4,702Sweet Grass1,59475.30%47522.44%482.26%1,11952.86%2,117Teton2,11364.40%1,08232.98%862.62%1,03131.42%3,281Toole1,44068.51%58227.69%803.80%85840.82%2,102Treasure31970.11%11425.05%224.84%20545.06%455Valley2,33760.56%1,38535.89%1373.55%95224.67%3,859Wheatland69369.86%27227.42%272.72%42142.44%992Wibaux42177.39%9818.01%254.60%32359.38%544Yellowstone40,50058.86%26,40338.37%1,9042.77%14,09720.49%68,807Totals267,92855.30%201,83941.66%14,7173.04%66,08913.64%484,484
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Cascade (largest city: Great Falls)
Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
Lake (largest city: Polson)
Lewis and Clark (largest city: Helena)
Rosebud (largest city: Colstrip)
right 300px Swing by county 300px Trend relative to the state by county
Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% 300px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#f48882 Hold
#ca0120 Flip
By congressional district
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated, the At-Large District. This district covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
District Romney Obama RepresentativeAt-large 55.35% 41.7%Steve Daines
See also
United States presidential elections in Montana
2012 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
Montana Republican Party
References
External links
The Green Papers: for Montana
The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order
expanded
Montana
United States president
2012