2015 Northland by-election

New Zealand by-election April 2024 March 2015 2015 Northland by-election New Zealand 2015 parliamentary no 2014 New Zealand general election 2014 general 2017 New Zealand general election 2017 general Northland 28 March 2015 29,590 (64.39%) Winston Peters, 2019.jpg 130 120 160 0 0 Winston Peters New Zealand First 16,089 54.5% 54.5pp New Zealand National Party NAT Mark Osborne New Zealand National Party 11,648 39.4% 13.32pp Willow-Jean Prime (New Zealand Politician).jpg 170 120 160 0 25 Willow-Jean Prime New Zealand Labour Party 1,380 4.7% 21.22pp Northland electorate, 2014.svg Northland electorate boundaries used for the by-election MP Mike Sabin Winston Peters New Zealand National Party New Zealand First A by-election was held in the Northland electorate on 28 March 2015. The seat had been vacated following the resignation of Mike Sabin of the National Party from the House of Representatives on 30 January 2015. Northland was generally regarded as a safe National seat; the party has held the seat since its creation for the 1996. The election was won by Winston Peters of New Zealand First. As Peters was already a list MP for his party, this allowed New Zealand First an additional list member, Ria Bond, to join parliament. Background In December 2014 New Zealand media reported that Northland MP Mike Sabin was under investigation by police over an assault complaint. The reports were not confirmed by the New Zealand Police, the Prime Minister or Sabin himself.http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11377730 Cloud over National MP's future The New Zealand Herald 22 December 2014 Adam Bennett 31 January 2015http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/64362474/nat-mp-in-police-assault-inquiry National MP Mike Sabin in police assault inquiry stuff.co.nz 21 December 2014 31 January 2015 David Lomashttp://www.nzherald.co.nz/northern-advocate/news/article.cfm?c_id=1503450&objectid=11377825 Sabin in the spotlight as assault allegation surfaces The Northern Advocate 22 December 2014 31 January 2015 Adam Bennetthttp://www.radionz.co.nz/news/political/262327/police-tight-lipped-about-assault-allegation Police tight-lipped about assault allegation Radio New Zealand 21 December 2014 31 January 2015 Sabin resigned from parliament on 30 January 2015 with immediate effect "due to personal issues that were best dealt with outside Parliament."http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA1501/S00163/mike-sabin-announces-resignation-as-northland-mp.htm Mike Sabin announces resignation as Northland MP New Zealand National Party Scoop 30 January 2015 30 January 2015 Northland electorate The boundaries of the Northland electorate are largely determined by the Northland coastline. The electorate extends from a line between Leigh on the east coast and the Kaipara Harbour on the west coast (including Wellsford) to Cape Reinga, but excludes Whangārei and environs. The major communities include Kaitaia, Russell, Kerikeri, Kaikohe, Dargaville and Mangawhai Heads. Northland electorate profile https://www.parliament.nz/resource/en-NZ/DBHOH_Lib_EP_Northland_Electoral_Profile/47d9f8779a9ce0007b2bc2901e27350c8f936ba9 June 2015 Parliamentary Library 19 December 2016by3 the Parliamentary Library The Northland electorate experienced low population growth between the censuses in 2006 and 2013 (1.2%). Among general electorates Northland had the second-largest proportion of those from the Māori ethnic group (37.1%), as well as those who could speak Māori (10.4%). It had the highest share of: those who worked from home on census day 2013 (18.1%); those affiliated with the Ratana (Māori Christian) faith (4.7%); those affiliated with the Brethren religion (1.3%). Among general electorates in 2013, Northland had the second-lowest median family income ($51,400), and the lowest proportion of wage and salary workers (31.5%). Candidates Eleven candidates contested the by-election. The National Party confirmed that it would contest the by-election, with Mark Osborne selected as candidate.Osborne wins National candidacy The New Zealand Herald, 28 February 2015http://www.nzherald.co.nz/northern-advocate/news/article.cfm?c_id=1503450&objectid=11394143 Northland MP Mike Sabin resigns The Northern Advocate 30 January 2015 30 January 2015http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11395364 Northland by-election date set The New Zealand Herald 2 February 2015 2 February 2015 National Party board member Grant McCallum also contested National's selection, along with Mita Harris, Matt King, and Karen Rolleston.Hopefuls line up for Northland Radio New Zealand, 9 February 2015 Willow-Jean Prime, a Far North District councillor who contested the Northland electorate for the Labour Party at the 2014 election, was again Labour's candidate.http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&objectid=11395488 Little joy looms for Labour in byelection The New Zealand Herald 3 February 2015 3 February 2015 John ArmstrongHamish Rutherford http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/65969482/peters-says-northland-seat-winnable Peters says Northland seat 'winnable' stuff.co.nz 9 February 2015 10 February 2015 New Zealand First leader Winston Peters contested the by-election.http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11409054 National nightmare: Winston Peters takes aim at Mike Sabin's Northland seat The New Zealand Herald 27 February 2015 27 February 2015 Labour leader Andrew Little opined that Peters, aged 69 at the time of the election, would be too old for many voters to select as their new electorate MP.http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/winston-peters-too-twilight-northlanders-andrew-little-6245674?autoStart=true Winston Peters is too 'twilight' for Northlanders - Andrew Little One News Television New Zealand 3 March 2015 5 March 2015 This was rejected by 85% of respondents to a 3 News and Reid Research poll. The Prime Minister, John Key, stated that Peters had "zero chance" in the National Party stronghold, but softened his stance within days when the first opinion polls came out that had Peters at 35%, whilst Osborne sat at 30%.Key rethinking Northland The Press 7 March 2015 A2 Reuben Porter was the Mana Movement candidate.http://www.elections.org.nz/events/2015-northland-election-0/information-northland-voters Information for Northland Voters Electoral Commission 5 March 2015 Robin Grieve was the ACT candidate. Joe Carr contested the election for Focus New Zealand while Maki Herbert represented the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party and Rob Painting the Climate Party. Adam Holland, Adrian Bonner and Bruce Rogan were independent candidates. Holland had previously stood in the 2013 Christchurch East by-election, the 2013 Ikaroa-Rawhiti by-election and in Epsom at the 2014 general election.http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11328994 Election 2014: 11 votes later, candidate's vanished The New Zealand Herald 22 September 2014 19 March 2015 Opinion polling Party Candidate TV3/Reid Research2–4 Marchhttp://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/peters-on-track-to-win-northland-seat-2015030518 Peters on track to win Northland seat Patrick Gower Patrick Gower 3 News 5 March 2015 5 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150318133918/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/peters-on-track-to-win-northland-seat-2015030518 18 March 2015 dead http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/67009127/poll-puts-peters-ahead-in-northland Poll puts Peters ahead in Northland Stuff.co.nz Fairfax New Zealand 5 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150406114813/http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/67009127/poll-puts-peters-ahead-in-northland 6 April 2015 5 March 2015 live dmy-all http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&objectid=11412416 Winston Peters an early favourite for Northland byelection - poll Claire Trevett The New Zealand Herald 5 March 2015 5 March 2015 One News/Colmar Brunton3–6 Marchhttp://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150308_QA_Colmar_Brunton_Northland_Electorate_Poll_3-6_March_2015.pdf Q+A Colmar Brunton Northland poll Colmar Brunton 8 March 2015 18 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150923205436/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150308_QA_Colmar_Brunton_Northland_Electorate_Poll_3-6_March_2015.pdf 23 September 2015 dead TV3/Reid Research19–22 Marchhttp://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/northland-by-election-peters-way-out-in-front-2015032518 Northland by-election: Peters way out in front Patrick Gower Patrick Gower 3 News 25 March 2015 25 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150327104029/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/northland-by-election-peters-way-out-in-front-2015032518 27 March 2015 dead One News/Colmar Brunton22–25 Marchhttp://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150326_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Northland_Electorate_Poll_22-25_March_2015.pdf One News Colmar Brunton Northland by-election poll Colmar Brunton 26 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150326075116/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150326_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Northland_Electorate_Poll_22-25_March_2015.pdf 26 March 2015 dead 26 March 2015 dmy-all New Zealand FirstNZ FirstWinston Peters 35% 36% 54% 53%New Zealand National PartyNationalMark Osborne 30% 36% 34% 36%New Zealand Labour PartyLabourWillow-Jean Prime 16% 20% 10% 9%Independent politicianOther/Don't know 19% 8% 2% 2%Sample size 500 500 500 501Maximum margin of error 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% Results References Category:2015 elections in New Zealand Northland 2015 Category:March 2015 in New Zealand Category:Politics of the Northland Region