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2015 Madeiran regional election
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2015 Madeiran regional election Madeira parliamentary no 2011 Madeiran regional election 2011 2019 Madeiran regional election 2019 47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira 49.6% 7.8 pp 24 29 March 2015 Miguel Albuquerque, Conferências do Mar, Crescimento Azul, A Madeira, As Regiões Ultraperiféricas e o Atlântico, Funchal, 10 de julho de 2017 - Image 141026 (cropped).jpg 110 110 150 0 0 Miguel Albuquerque Social Democratic Party (Portugal) 25 seats, 48.6% 24 1 56,569 44.4% 4.2 pp José Manuel Rodrigues (24.º Congresso Nacional do PS, 2024).png 150 110 150 0 17 José Manuel Rodrigues CDS – People's Party 9 seats, 17.6% 7 2 17,489 13.7% 3.9 pp 85px Victor Freitas aa2277 no Change Socialist Party (Portugal) 11 seats, 22.4%PS-PTP-PAN-MPT 6 5 14,574 11.4% 11.0 pp Élvio Sousa interviewed by Agencia Lusa, May 2025 (cropped).png 115 110 150 0 0 Élvio Sousa JPP Did not contest 5 5 13,114 10.3% New party Edgar-silva-2016-01-11.jpg 115 110 150 0 0 FF0000 Edgar Silva CDU 1 seat, 3.8% 2 1 7,060 5.5% 1.8 pp Abertura das Jornadas Parlamentares, ALRAM, Madeira, Maio 2024 (53703458109).jpg 500 110 150 20 190 Roberto Almada Left Bloc (Portugal) 0 seats, 1.7% 2 2 4,849 3.8% 2.1 pp Pt regelection2 1996.PNG 250px The most voted party in each municipality. President Alberto João Jardim Social Democratic Party (Portugal) Miguel Albuquerque Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
A regional election was held in Madeira on 29 March 2015, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election was the first in which the former President of the Region, Alberto João Jardim, was not on the ballot as he earlier stated that he would step down as President and leader of the PSD-Madeira in January 2015.Alberto João Jardim anuncia abandono da política em 2015, TSF, 24 November 2012. Retrieved 22 June 2014. On 29 December 2014, the PSD-Madeira elected Miguel Albuquerque as the new president of the party's regional section.Miguel Albuquerque é o novo presidente do PSD/Madeira, Diário de Notícias, 29 December 2014. Retrieved 29 December 2014. After winning the presidency, Albuquerque stated that he would not assume the Presidency of the Government without an election,Jardim escreveu, Passos ligou. Albuquerque é o novo líder do PSD-Madeira - sem inseguranças, Expresso, 29 December 2014. Retrieved 29 December 2014. so Alberto João Jardim asked President Aníbal Cavaco Silva to dissolve the Parliament and call an election, which was scheduled for 29 March.Eleições na Madeira marcadas para 29 de Março, Radio Renascença, 28 January 2015. Retrieved 28 January 2015.
The campaign for the regional legislative election in Madeira ran from 15 to 27 March 2015.
The results showed that the Social Democrats were reelected for the 11th time in a row and, again, with an absolute majority of 24 seats, against the 25 seats won in 2011. The People's Party was again the second most voted party and the coalition between the Socialists and other smaller parties called Change suffered a huge defeat by winning fewer votes and seats compared to the combined total of the parties in 2011. Together for the People was the surprise of the election winning 10.3 percent of the vote and winning 5 seats. The Unitary Democratic Coalition increase their result by one MP and the Left Bloc returned to the regional parliament with 2 seats.Madeira. PSD ganha maioria absoluta por pouco , Expresso, 29 March 2015. Retrieved 29 March 2015.
The turnout in these elections was the lowest ever, with 49.6 percent of voters casting a ballot.
Background
Leadership changes and challenges
Social Democratic Party
After 34 years of uninterrupted rule and without any challenges to his leadership within the party, Alberto João Jardim faced an internal challenge from the mayor of Funchal, Miguel Albuquerque.https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/politica/alberto-joao-jardim-reeleito-para-presidencia-do-psd-madeira_n600294 2012-11-03 Alberto João Jardim reeleito para presidência do PSD-Madeira RTP 23 February 2024 The leadership ballot was held on 2 November 2012 and, in a surprise result, Jardim just narrowly defeated Albuquerque by a 52 to 48 percent margin.https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/politica/jardim-derrotou-albuquerque-com-uma-diferenca-de-142-votos_n600345 2012-11-03 Jardim derrotou Albuquerque com uma diferença de 142 votos RTP 23 February 2024 The results were the following:
Ballot: 2 November 2012
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate
! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes
! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Alberto João Jardim
| align=right | 1,786
| align=right | 52.1
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Miguel Albuquerque
| align=right | 1,644
| align=right | 47.9
|-
| colspan=2 align=left | Blank/Invalid ballots
| align=right | 43
| align=right | –
|-
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout
| align=right | 3,473
| align=right | 90.00
|-
| colspan="4" align=left|Source:
|}
Shortly after his narrow win in the party leadership ballot, Jardim announced that this would be his last term as leader and that he would abandon office in early 2015.https://www.sabado.pt/portugal/detalhe/alberto-joao-jardim-abandona-politica-activa-em-janeiro-de-2015 2012-11-25 Alberto João Jardim abandona política activa em Janeiro de 2015 Sábado 23 February 2024 In late 2014, a leadership ballot was called to elect Jardim's successor. Six candidates were in the race:https://rr.sapo.pt/informacao_detalhe.aspx?did=172477 2014-12-18 Os seis que querem o lugar de Alberto João Jardim Renascença 23 February 2012 Former mayor of Funchal, Miguel Albuquerque; João Cunha e Silva; Jaime Ramos; Miguel de Sousa, by then deputy Speaker of the Madeira regional parliament; Sérgio Marques, former member of Jardim's regional governments; and Manuel António Correia, by then regional secretary for Environment and Natural Resources. The first ballot was held on 19 December 2014 and a second one on 29 December 2014. Albuquerque was the most voted in the first round with 47 percent of the votes, and defeated Manuel António Correia by a 64 to 36 percent margin in the second round.https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/miguel_albuquerque_com_472_dos_votos_vai_disputar_liderança_do_psdmadeira_na_segunda_volta_com_manuel_antonio 2014-12-20 Miguel Albuquerque com 47,2% dos votos vai disputar liderança do PSD/Madeira na segunda volta com Manuel António Jornal de Negócios 23 February 2024https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/politica/miguel-albuquerque-sucede-a-jardim-na-lideranca-do-psd-madeira_n793154 2014-12-29 Miguel Albuquerque sucede a Jardim na liderança do PSD Madeira RTP 23 February 2024 The results were the following:
Ballot: 19 and 29 December 2014
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
! align="center" rowspan=2 colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate
! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 50px"|1st round
! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 50px"|2nd round
|-
! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes
! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%
! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes
! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Miguel Albuquerque
| align=right | 2,992
| align=right | 47.2
| align=right | 3,949
| align=right | 64.1
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Manuel António Correia
| align=right | 1,819
| align=right | 28.7
| align=right | 2,216
| align=right | 35.9
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | João Cunha e Silva
| align=right | 996
| align=right | 15.7
|colspan="2"|
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Sérgio Marques
| align=right | 335
| align=right | 5.3
|colspan="2"|
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Miguel de Sousa
| align=right | 144
| align=right | 2.3
|colspan="2"|
|-
|bgcolor=orange|
| align=left | Jaime Ramos
| align=right | 47
| align=right | 0.7
|colspan="2"|
|-
| colspan=2 align=left | Blank/Invalid ballots
| align=right | 64
| align=right | –
| align=right | 67
| align=right | –
|-
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout
| align=right | 6,397
| align=right | 89.29
| align=right | 6,232
| align=right | 87.00
|-
| colspan="6" align=left|Source:
|}
Electoral system
The 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007
Parties
The parties that contested the election, and their leaders, were:Sorteio das Candidaturas - ALRAM 2015, Comissão Nacional de Eleições, 17 February 2015. Retrieved 20 February 2015.
Change (PS-PTP-PAN-MPT), Victor Freitas
Citizen Platform (PPM-PDA), Miguel Fonseca
Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU), Edgar Silva
New Democracy Party (PND), Baltazar Aguiar
Workers' Communist Party (PCTP/MRPP), Alexandre Caldeira
Left Bloc (BE), Roberto Almada
National Renovator Party (PNR), Álvaro Araújo
People's Party (CDS–PP), José Manuel Rodrigues
Social Democratic Party (PSD), Miguel Albuquerque
Socialist Alternative Movement (MAS), José Carlos Gonçalves Jardim
Together for the People (JPP), Filipe Sousa
Opinion polling
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 24 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork datelink=Social_Democratic_Party_(Portugal)|25x25px|PSDlink=CDS_–_People's_Party|25x25px|CDS–PP ChangePS-PTP-PAN-MPT 31px|link=Unitary Democratic Coalition|CDU 27px|link=New Democracy Party (Portugal)|PND 25px|link=Left Bloc (Portugal)|BE Logo Juntos pelo Povo.png 60 35 25 0 12 Together for the People center O Others Lead 35px|link=Socialist Party (Portugal)|PS 32px|link=Portuguese Labour Party|PTP 30px|link=People–Animals–Nature|PAN 18px|link=Earth Party|MPT 2015 regional election 29 Mar 201544.475% Verdana 24 13.775% Verdana 7 11.475% Verdana 6 5.575% Verdana 2 2.175% Verdana 1 3.875% Verdana 2 10.375% Verdana 5 8.875% Verdana 0 30.6 UCP–CESOP 21–23 Mar 20154975% Verdana 23/27 1175% Verdana 4/6 1875% Verdana 8/10 575% Verdana 2/3 275% Verdana 0/1 375% Verdana 1/2 675% Verdana 2/3 675% Verdana 0/1 31 Eurosondagem 16–18 Mar 201546.775% Verdana 24/25 12.575% Verdana 6/7 19.575% Verdana 10/11 4.875% Verdana 2 1.675% Verdana 0/1 2.575% Verdana 1 5.575% Verdana 2/3 6.975% Verdana 0 27.2 Eurosondagem 9–12 Mar 201543.375% Verdana 22/23 11.175% Verdana 5/6 22.575% Verdana 11/12 4.875% Verdana 2 1.775% Verdana 0/1 2.275% Verdana 1 7.775% Verdana 4 6.775% Verdana 0 20.8 Eurosondagem 11–14 Nov 201433.1 16.9 26.6 4.6 2.6 2.3 5.5 1.8 2.5 4.1 6.5 Eurosondagem 3–5 Nov 201430.9 17.0 27.0 5.5 2.1 1.7 5.2 2.3 2.5 5.8 3.9 Eurosondagem 18–22 Jul 201432.1 17.9 22.6 3.6 2.6 5.7 5.2 2.2 2.1 6.0 9.5 2014 EP elections 24 May 2014 31.075% Verdana (18) 22.675% Verdana (13) 6.675% Verdana (3) 3.375% Verdana (1) 10.075% Verdana (5) 4.875% Verdana (2) 2.375% Verdana (1) 3.775% Verdana (2) 15.775% Verdana (2) 8.4 Eurosondagem 8–14 Jan 201433.9 20.1 25.5 4.0 1.3 1.2 5.3 2.1 2.2 4.4 8.4 2013 local elections 29 Sep 201334.875% Verdana (21) 13.075% Verdana (8) 25.875% Verdana (15) 0.775% Verdana (0) 1.275% Verdana (0) 1.675% Verdana (0) 5.375% Verdana (3) 0.475% Verdana (0) 17.275% Verdana (0) 9.0 Eurosondagem 24–25 May 201343.9 21.2 13.5 4.4 2.4 2.3 3.9 3.7 2.6 2.1 22.7 2011 regional election 9 Oct 201148.675% Verdana 25 17.675% Verdana 9 11.575% Verdana 6 6.975% Verdana 3 2.175% Verdana 1 1.975% Verdana 1 3.875% Verdana 1 3.375% Verdana 1 1.775% Verdana 0 2.675% Verdana 0 31.0
Voter turnout
The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day.
Turnout Time 12:00 16:00 19:00 2011 2015 ± 2011 2015 ± 2011 2015 ± Total 23.47% 17.21% 6.26 pp 43.46% 37.48% 5.98 pp 57.38% 49.58% 7.80 pp Sourceshttps://www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2015/afluencia.html Regionais 2015 - Afluência pt eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2015/index.html Ministry of Internal Administration 12 June 2023https://www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2011/afluencia.html Regionais 2011 - Afluência pt eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2011/index.html Ministry of Internal Administration 12 June 2023
Summary of votes and seats
Summary of the 29 March 2015 Legislative Assembly of Madeira elections results
|-
| colspan=10| center
|-
! rowspan="2" colspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=left|Parties
! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|Votes
! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%
! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±pp swing
! colspan="5" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|MPs
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;"|2011
! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;"| 2015
! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±
! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%
! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±
|-
| Social Democratic Party (Portugal) Social Democratic
||56,574||44.36||4.2||25||24||1||51.06||2.1
|-
| CDS – People's Party People's
||17,488||13.71||3.9||9||7||2||14.89||4.3
|-
|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=#aa2277 align="center" |
|align=left|Change Coalition (PS/PTP/PAN/MPT)Change
||14,573||11.43||11.0||11||6||5||12.77||10.6
|-
| Together for the People Together for the People Together for the People
||13,114||10.28||||||5||||10.64||
|-
| Unitary Democratic Coalition Unitary Democratic CoalitionCDU
||7,060||5.54||1.8||1||2||1||4.25||2.1
|-
| Left Bloc (Portugal) Left Bloc
||4,849||3.80||2.1||0||2||2||4.25||4.3
|-
| New Democracy Party (Portugal)
||2,635||2.07||1.2||1||1||0||2.13||0.0
|-
| Communist Party of the Portuguese Workers / Reorganizative Movement of the Party of the Proletariat Portuguese Workers' Communist
||2,137||1.67||||||0||||0.00||
|-
| Socialist Alternative Movement crimson Socialist Alternative Movement
||1,715||1.34||||||0||||0.00||
|-
| National Renovator Party
||1,052||0.82||||||0||||0.00||
|-
|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=People's Monarchist Party (Portugal) align="center" |
|align=left|Citizen Platform (PPM/PDA)PPM
||903||0.71||||||0||||0.00||
|-
|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total valid
|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|122,100
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|95.74
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|1.6
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|47
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|47
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.0
|-
|colspan=2|Blank ballots
||1,116||0.87||0.2||colspan=5 rowspan=4|
|-
|colspan=2|Invalid ballots
||4,323||3.39||1.5
|-
|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total
|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|127,539
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00
|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|
|-
|colspan=2|Registered voters/turnout
||257,232||49.58||7.8
|-
| colspan=10 align=left | Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições
|}
Vote share #ddd 550px 500px PSD Social Democratic Party (Portugal) 44.36
CDS–PP Democratic and Social Centre – People's Party 13.71
CM #aa2277 11.43
JPP Together for the People 10.28
CDU Portuguese Communist Party 5.54
BE Left Bloc (Portugal) 3.80
PND New Democracy Party (Portugal) 2.07
PCTP/MRPP Communist Party of the Portuguese Workers / Reorganizative Movement of the Party of the Proletariat 1.67
MAS crimson 1.34
Others #777777 1.53
Blank/Invalid #DDDDDD 4.26
Parliamentary seats #ddd 550px 500px PSD Social Democratic Party (Portugal) 51.06
CDS–PP Democratic and Social Centre – People's Party 14.89
CM #aa2277 12.67
JPP Together for the People 10.64
CDU Portuguese Communist Party 4.25
BE Left Bloc (Portugal) 4.25
PND New Democracy Party (Portugal) 2.13
Maps
See also
Madeira
Notes
PS-PTP-PAN-MPT PS, PTP, PAN and MPT contested the election in an electoral coalition called Change.
Change Coalition between the PS, PTP, PAN and the MPT. The 11 seats from 2011 are the sum of PS, PTP, PAN and MPT seats.
CDU Portuguese Communist Party (2 MPs) and "The Greens" (0 MPs) ran in coalition.
PPM People's Monarchist Party (0 MPs) and Democratic Party of the Atlantic (0 MPs) ran in coalition.
References
External links
Election results
Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Category:2015 elections in Portugal
2015
Category:March 2015 in Portugal