2007 BCS computer rankings

In American college football, the 2007 BCS computer rankings are a part of the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) formula that determines who plays in the BCS National Championship Game as well as several other bowl games. Each computer system was developed using different methods which attempts to rank the teams' performance. For 2007, the highest and lowest rankings for a team are dropped and the remaining four rankings are summed. A team ranked #1 by a computer system is given 25 points, #2 is given 24 points and so forth. The summed values are then divided by 100 (the maximum value a team can earn if they received four first place votes that were summed). The values are then ranked by percentage. This percentage ranking is then averaged with the Coaches Poll and Harris Poll average rankings, each receiving equal weight, and the results become the BCS Rankings. BCS computer rankings average For 2007, the rankings released beginning with the eighth week of the season on October 13. The rankings are updated each week until the end of the season. Data taken from official BCS website. There are missing values in the table because the BCS Rankings only list the top 25 of the BCS Rankings, providing data on how those teams achieved their top 25 ranking. The computers ranking may include teams that do not make the top 25 BCS Rankings once averaged with the AP and Coaches Polls. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 South Florida LSU South Carolina Kentucky tie: Ohio St. Arizona St. NA Boston College tie: Kansas Virginia Tech NA West Virginia Oklahoma Auburn Oregon tie:Cal Virginia NA Missouri tie:Florida Tennessee NA Georgia Kansas St. Wake Forest Cincinnati USC Michigan Hawaii Boston College u LSU Ohio St. u Arizona St. u South Florida d Virginia u Kansas u Virginia Tech Oregon u Tie: Florida West Virginia NA Kentucky d Missouri u Oklahoma d South Carolina d tie: Auburn Connecticut NA Wake Forest u Michigan u Georgia d USC u Alabama npr UCLA npr Rutgers npr Boise State npr Cal Cincinnati Hawaii Kansas St. Maryland Tennessee Boston College Tie: Ohio St. Arizona St. u NA LSU d Kansas u Oregon u West Virginia u Georgia u Oklahoma u Virginia Tech d Connecticut u South Florida d Missouri Auburn u Alabama u Michigan u Florida d Virginia d Tie: Clemson Wake Forest NA Tennessee npr Boise State u South Carolina d Purdue npr USC d Kentucky UCLA Rutgers Ohio St. u LSU u Oregon u Kansas u Arizona St. d Boston College d Oklahoma u Missouri u Georgia d Tie: Connecticut Virginia Tech NA West Virginia d Michigan u Virginia u Florida u Clemson u Auburn d Texas npr Penn State npr Alabama d NA Boise State USC u Tennessee d NA Purdue South Carolina South Florida Wake Forest LSU u Kansas u Oregon Arizona State u Missouri u Ohio State d Oklahoma West Virginia u Georgia Virginia Tech Florida u Virginia u USC u Clemson u Boston College d Illinois npr Cincinnati npr Connecticut d Tennessee u Texas d Michigan d Kentucky npr NA Wisconsin npr NA Alabama Auburn Boise St. Penn St. LSU Kansas Tie: West Virginia Ohio State Arizona State u NA NA Missouri d Georgia u Virginia Tech u Oregon d Boston College u Florida USC u Oklahoma d Virginia d Connecticut u Tennessee u Texas u Illinois d South Florida npr Clemson d Cincinnati d Hawaii npr Wisconsin u BYU npr NA Kentucky Michigan Missouri u West Virginia u Ohio State Kansas d Georgia u Virginia Tech u LSU d Boston College u Arizona State d Tie: USC Florida u NA Oklahoma u Tennessee u Hawaii u South Florida u Clemson u Illinois u Oregon d BYU u Virginia d Cincinnati N/A Wisconsin Auburn npr Texas d Connecticut Anderson & Hester Jeff Anderson and Chris Hester are the owners of this computer system that has been a part of the BCS since its inception. The Anderson & Hester Rankings claim to be distinct in four ways:http://www.andersonsports.com/football/ACF_frnk.html The Only Original and Unaltered* BCS Computer Rankings.. Andersonsports.com 2006-12-03 2006-12-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20061210010007/http://andersonsports.com/football/ACF_frnk.html 10 December 2006 live These rankings do not reward teams for running up scores. Teams are rewarded for beating quality opponents, which is the object of the game. Margin of victory, which is not the object of the game, is not considered. Unlike the AP and Coaches Polls, these rankings do not prejudge teams. These rankings first appear after the season's fifth week, and each team's ranking reflects its actual accomplishments on the field, not its perceived potential. These rankings compute the most accurate strength of schedule ratings. Each team's opponents and opponents' opponents are judged not only by their won-lost records but also, uniquely, by their conferences' strength (see #4). These rankings provide the most accurate conference ratings. Each conference is rated according to its non-conference won-lost record and the difficulty of its non-conference schedule. The BCS once allowed computer rankings to consider margin of victory, but that was removed following the 2004 season. Therefore, all six computer systems currently do not include margin of victory. However, this computer system has never included it in its formula. In addition, only human polls (specifically the AP Poll and Coaches Poll in this reference) "prejudge" teams by releasing pre-season polls with the expected rankings of teams before they have played any games. The last two claims are subjective opinions by the authors of this computer system. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 South Florida (6-0) Arizona State (7-0) Ohio State (7-0) LSU (6-1) South Carolina (6-1) Boston College (7-0) Kansas (6-0) Kentucky (6-1) Oregon (5-1) California (5-1) Missouri (5-1) Auburn (5-2) Virginia (6-1) Oklahoma (6-1) Virginia Tech (6-1) West Virginia (5-1) Georgia (5-2) USC (5-1) Tennessee (4-2) Florida (4-2) UCLA (4-2) Wake Forest (4-2) Cincinnati (6-1) Kansas State (4-2) Illinois (5-2) Arizona State (7-0) u Ohio State (8-0) u Boston College (7-0) u Kansas (7-0) u LSU (7-1) d Oregon (6-1) u South Florida (6-1) d Virginia (7-1) u Missouri (6-1) u Virginia Tech (6-1) u Florida (5-2) u UCLA (5-2) u Oklahoma (7-1) u USC (6-1) u West Virginia (6-1) u Auburn (5-3) d Georgia (5-2) Kentucky (6-2) d Wake Forest (5-2) u Connecticut (6-1) npr Alabama (6-2) npr South Carolina (6-2) d Michigan (6-2) npr California (5-2) d Penn State (6-2) npr Tennessee Cincinnati Kansas State Illinois Ohio State (9-0) u Boston College (8-0) u LSU (7-1) u West Virginia (7-1) u Arizona State (8-0) d Oregon (7-1) Michigan (7-2) u Kansas (8-0) d Oklahoma (7-1) u USC (6-2) u Virginia Tech (6-2) d Georgia (6-2) u Boise State (7-1) npr Connecticut (7-1) u Missouri (7-1) d Purdue (7-2) npr Florida (5-3) d Auburn (6-3) d South Florida (6-2) d Rutgers (5-3) npr Wake Forest (6-2) d Alabama (6-2) d Oregon State (5-3) npr Clemson (6-2) npr Tennessee (5-3) npr Virginia UCLA Kentucky South Carolina California Penn State Ohio State (10-0) Oregon (8-1) u Kansas (9-0) u Arizona State (8-1) u LSU (8-1) d Missouri (8-1) u Boston College (8-1) d Oklahoma (8-1) u Georgia (7-2) u Connecticut (8-1) u West Virginia (7-1) d Virginia (8-2) npr Florida (6-3) u Michigan (8-2) d USC (7-2) d Virginia Tech (7-2) d Texas (8-2) npr Alabama (6-3) u Penn State (7-3) npr Auburn (7-3) d California (6-3) npr Boise State (8-1) d Florida State (6-3) npr Tennessee (6-3) u Clemson (7-2) d Purdue South Florida Rutgers Wake Forest Oregon State LSU (9-1) Oregon (8-1) Kansas (10-0) Arizona St (9-1) Missouri (9-1) Ohio State (10-1) Oklahoma (9-1) Georgia (8-2) West Virginia (8-1) USC (8-2) Florida (7-3) Virginia (9-2) Texas (9-2) Virginia Tech (8-2) Illinois (8-3) Clemson (8-2) Tennessee (7-3) Cincinnati (8-2) Boston College (8-2) Connecticut (8-2) Penn State (8-3) Michigan (8-3) Wisconsin (8-3) Kentucky (7-3) Auburn (7-4) LSU (10-1) Arizona State (9-1) Kansas (11-0) Missouri (10-1) Ohio State (11-1) West Virginia (9-1) Georgia (9-2) Oregon (8-2) Florida (8-3) Virginia Tech (9-2) USC (8-2) Boston College (9-2) Texas (9-2) Oklahoma (9-2) Virginia (9-2) Tennessee (8-3) Illinois (9-3) Connecticut (9-2) South Florida (8-3) Wisconsin (9-3) Cincinnati (8-3) Clemson (8-3) Auburn (7-4) Hawaii (10-0) Michigan (8-4) Missouri (11-1) West Virginia (10-1) Ohio State (11-1) Kansas (11-1) Georgia (10-2) LSU (10-2) Arizona State (9-2) USC (9-2) Virginia Tech (10-2) Boston College (10-2) Florida (9-3) Oklahoma (10-2) Oregon (8-3) Tennessee (9-3) Illinois (9-3) South Florida (9-3) Hawaii (11-0) BYU (9-2) Clemson (9-3) Texas (9-3) Wisconsin (9-3) Auburn (8-4) Virginia (9-3) Cincinnati (9-3) Michigan (8-4) Billingsley Richard Billingsley owns this computer system. He describes himself as not a mathematician or computer-geek; simply a devout college football fan since the age of 7.http://www.cfrc.com/Archives/Search_of_NC.htm IN SEARCH OF A NATIONAL CHAMPION 2002-07-21 2006-12-12 cfrc.com Richard Billingsley https://web.archive.org/web/20060720092159/http://www.cfrc.com/Archives/Search_of_NC.htm 2006-07-20 dead The main components in the formula are: Won-Loss Records, Opponent Strength (based on the opponent's record, rating, and rank), with a strong emphasis on the most recent performance. Very minor consideration is also given to the site of the game, and defensive scoring performance. Billingsley did use margin of victory, but removed it after the 2001 season. It had accounted for 5% of the total ranking for his system and was part of it for 32 years. Also, this computer system releases rankings each week, using a complex formula to incorporate the previous season's rank (but not ranking score) into the early parts of the current season. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 Ohio State (7-0) South Florida (6-0) Kentucky (6-1) LSU (6-1) Boston College (7-0) South Carolina (6-1) West Virginia (5-1) Southern Cal (5-1) Arizona State (7-0) Virginia Tech (6-1) Michigan (5-2) Oklahoma (6-1) California (5-1) Florida (4-2) Auburn (5-2) Tennessee (4-2) Maryland (4-2) Oregon (5-1) Purdue (5-2) Boise State (5-1) Missouri (5-1) Oregon State (4-3) Wake Forest (4-2) Georgia (5-2) Kansas (6-0) Ohio State (8-0) LSU (7-1) u Boston College (7-0) u Southern Cal (6-1) u West Virginia (6-1) u Florida (5-2) u South Florida (6-1) d Kentucky (6-2) d Arizona State (7-0) Michigan (6-2) u Virginia Tech (6-1) d Oklahoma (7-1) Oregon (6-1) u Rutgers (5-2) npr Missouri (6-1) u Boise State (6-1) u Virginia (7-1) npr Purdue (6-2) u Auburn (5-3) d Kansas (7-0) u Wake Forest (5-2) u Alabama (6-2) npr UCLA (5-2) npr Penn State (6-2) npr Oregon State (4-3) d South Carolina California Tennessee Maryland Georgia Ohio State (9-0) Boston College (8-0) u LSU (7-1) d West Virginia (7-1) u Arizona State (8-0) u Oregon (7-1) u Michigan (7-2) u Kansas (8-0) u Oklahoma (7-1) u Southern Cal (6-2) d Virginia Tech (6-2) Georgia (6-2) npr Boise State (7-1) u Connecticut (7-1) npr Missouri (7-1) Purdue (7-2) u Florida (5-3) d Auburn (6-3) u South Florida (6-2) d Rutgers (5-3) d Wake Forest (6-2) Alabama (6-2) Oregon State (5-3) u Clemson (6-2) npr Tennessee (5-3) npr Kentucky Virginia UCLA Penn State Ohio State (10-0) LSU (8-1) Oregon (8-1) West Virginia (7-1) Arizona State (8-1) Boston College (8-1) Kansas (9-0) Oklahoma (8-1) Michigan (8-2) Southern Cal (7-2) Connecticut (8-1) Virginia Tech (7-2) Missouri (8-1) Georgia (7-2) Boise State (8-1) Florida (6-3) Auburn (7-3) Penn State (7-3) Clemson (7-2) Texas (8-2) Florida State (6-3) Tennessee (6-3) Rutgers (5-4) Alabama (6-3) Wisconsin (7-3) LSU (9-1) Ohio State (10-1) Oregon (8-1) West Virginia (8-1) Arizona State (9-1) Kansas (10-0) Southern Cal (8-2) Virginia Tech (8-2) Oklahoma (9-1) Missouri (9-1) Georgia (8-2) Boise State (9-1) Illinois (8-3) Wisconsin (8-3) Florida (7-3) Cincinnati (8-2) Clemson (8-2) Michigan (8-3) Penn State (8-3) Connecticut (8-2) Texas (9-2) Boston College (8-2) Tennessee (7-3) Virginia (9-2) Hawaii (9-0) Ohio State (11-1) LSU (10-1) West Virginia (9-1) Kansas (11-0) Arizona State (9-1) Missouri (10-1) Virginia Tech (9-2) USC (8-2) Georgia (9-2) Oregon (8-2) Illinois (9-3) Boise State (10-1) Boston College (9-2) Wisconsin (9-3) Florida (8-3) Oklahoma (9-2) Connecticut (9-2) Texas (9-2) Hawaii (10-0) Tennessee (8-3) Cincinnati (8-3) Virginia (9-2) Rutgers (7-4) BYU (8-2) Oregon State (7-4) West Virginia (10-1) Ohio State (11-1) Missouri (11-1) Kansas (11-1) LSU (10-2) USC (9-2) Virginia Tech (10-2) Arizona State (9-2) Georgia (10-2) Hawaii (11-0) Florida (9-3) Boston College (10-2) Illinois (9-3) Wisconsin (9-3) Boise State (10-2) Oklahoma (10-2) Tennessee (9-3) Arkansas (8-4) Connecticut (9-3) Cincinnati (9-3) Oregon (8-3) BYU (9-2) Clemson (9-3) Virginia (9-3) Rutgers (7-4) Colley Matrix Wes Colley has a Ph.D. from Princeton University in astrophysical sciences. He attended Virginia, and his brother, Will Colley, played for Georgia. Colley claims 5 advantages using his system:http://www.colleyrankings.com/index.html#advan Advantages in this Method Wes Colley ColleyRankings.com 2006-12-12 2006-12-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20061206091006/http://colleyrankings.com/index.html 6 December 2006 live First and foremost, the rankings are based only on results from the field, with absolutely no influence from opinion, past performance, tradition or any other bias factor. This is why there is no pre-season poll here. All teams are assumed equal at the beginning of each year. Second, strength of schedule has a strong influence on the final ranking. A team does not gain by padding its schedule, so those wins against James Madison or William & Mary are discounted. (Prior to 2007, these games were completely ignored. With the schedule expansion to 12 games, these are now countedhttp://colleyrankings.com/iaagroups.html FCS Grouping System 2 November 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20091005085653/http://colleyrankings.com/iaagroups.html 5 October 2009 live but still influence the scores very little since their strength of schedule makes them very weak teams.) For example, Wisconsin with 4 losses finished the 2000 season well ahead of TCU with only 2 losses. That's because Wisconsin's Big 10 schedule was much, much more difficult that TCU's WAC schedule. Third, as with the NFL, NHL, NBA, and Major League, score margin does not matter at all in determining ranking, so a large victory margin may influence pollsters, but does not influence this scheme. This reflects Colley's view that the object of football is winning the game, not winning by a large margin. Fourth, there is no ad hoc weighting of opponents' winning percentage and opponents' opponents' winning percentage, etc., ad infinitum (no random choices of 1/3 of this + 2/3 of that, for example). In this method, very simple statistical principles, with absolutely no fine tuning are used to construct a system of 117 equations with 117 variables, representing each team according only to its wins and losses, (see Ranking Method). The computer simply solves those equations to arrive at a rating (and ranking) for each team. Fifth, comparison between this scheme and the final press polls (1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002) proves that the scheme produces sensible results. While all computer systems are not biased towards the "Name recognition" of a school, Colley's system doesn't include any information that doesn't involve the current season. No pre-season poll and no carry-over from the previous season. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 South Florida (6-0) Arizona State (7-0) Louisiana State (6-1) Ohio State (7-0) Kentucky (6-1) South Carolina (6-1) Boston College (7-0) Oregon (5-1) Virginia Tech (6-1) Kansas (6-0) Oklahoma (6-1) Virginia (6-1) Auburn (5-2) California (5-1) West Virginia (5-1) Missouri (5-1) Cincinnati (6-1) Florida (4-2) Georgia (5-2) Hawaii (7-0) Tennessee (4-2) Kansas State (4-2) Illinois (5-2) Michigan (5-2) Wisconsin (5-2) Louisiana State (7-1) Boston College (7-0) Ohio State (8-0) Arizona State (7-0) South Florida (6-1) Virginia (7-1) Oregon (6-1) Kansas (7-0) Virginia Tech (6-1) Kentucky (6-2) Missouri (6-1) Florida (5-2) West Virginia (6-1) Oklahoma (7-1) South Carolina (6-2) Connecticut (6-1) Michigan (6-2) Auburn (5-3) Wake Forest (5-2) Boise State (6-1) UCLA (5-2) Alabama (6-2) Georgia (5-2) USC (6-1) Rutgers (5-2) California Cincinnati Hawaii Tennessee Kansas State Illinois Wisconsin Boston College (8-0) Arizona State (8-0) Louisiana State (7-1) Ohio State (9-0) Oregon (7-1) Kansas (8-0) West Virginia (7-1) Connecticut (7-1) Georgia (6-2) Oklahoma (7-1) South Florida (6-2) Virginia Tech (6-2) Missouri (7-1) Michigan (7-2) Virginia (7-2) Boise State (7-1) Alabama (6-2) Auburn (6-3) Wake Forest (6-2) Florida (5-3) Clemson (6-2) Kentucky (6-3) South Carolina (6-3) Tennessee (5-3) Purdue (7-2) Louisiana State (8-1) Oregon (8-1) Ohio State (10-0) Boston College (8-1) Arizona State (8-1) Kansas (9-0) Oklahoma (8-1) Connecticut (8-1) Missouri (8-1) Georgia (7-2) Virginia (8-2) West Virginia (7-1) Virginia Tech (7-2) Florida (6-3) Michigan (8-2) Boise State (8-1) Texas (8-2) Auburn (7-3) South Florida (6-3) Alabama (6-3) Clemson (7-2) Kentucky (6-3) Penn State (7-3) Florida State (6-3) USC (7-2) LSU Oregon Arizona St. Kansas Ohio St. Missouri West Virginia Georgia Oklahoma Florida Virginia Virginia Tech Clemson Boston College Texas Cincinnati Connecticut South Florida USC Illinois Tennessee Kentucky Michigan Boise St. Wisconsin Louisiana State (10-1) Ohio State (11-1) Arizona State (9-1) West Virginia (9-1) Kansas (11-0) Missouri (10-1) Georgia (9-2) Oregon (8-2) Boston College (9-2) Florida (8-3) Virginia Tech (9-2) Virginia (9-2) South Florida (8-3) Texas (9-2) Oklahoma (9-2) Tennessee (8-3) Connecticut (9-2) USC (8-2) Illinois (9-3) Clemson (8-3) BYU (8-2) Cincinnati (8-3) Hawaii (10-0) Wisconsin (9-3) Boise State (10-1) West Virginia (10-1) Missouri (11-1) Ohio State (11-1) Georgia (10-2) Louisiana State (10-2) Boston College (10-2) Virginia Tech (10-2) Florida (9-3) Arizona State (9-2) Kansas (11-1) Oklahoma (10-2) Tennessee (9-3) USC (9-2) South Florida (9-3) Oregon (8-3) Clemson (9-3) BYU (9-2) Hawaii (11-0) Illinois (9-3) Virginia (9-3) Cincinnati (9-3) Texas (9-3) Wisconsin (9-3) Connecticut (9-3) Auburn (8-4) Louisiana State (11-2) Virginia Tech (11-2) Georgia (10-2) Missouri (11-2) Ohio State (11-1) West Virginia (10-2) Florida (9-3) Oklahoma (11-2) Arizona State (10-2) Kansas (11-1) Boston College (10-3) USC (10-2) South Florida (9-3) Hawaii (12-0) Clemson (9-3) BYU (10-2) Tennessee (9-4) Virginia (9-3) Illinois (9-3) Cincinnati (9-3) Oregon (8-4) Texas (9-3) Connecticut (9-3) Auburn (8-4) Oregon State (8-4) Massey Kenneth Massey is the owner of this complex computer system. He was a Ph.D. candidate of Mathematics at Virginia Tech. Only the score, venue, and date of each game are used to calculate the Massey ratings. However, Massey calculates an offensive and defensive ratings which combine to produce a power ranking as well. The overall team rating is a merit based quantity, and is the result of applying a Bayesian win-loss correction to the power rating. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 South Florida (6-0) LSU (6-1) Boston College (7-0) South Carolina (6-1) Kentucky (6-1) Arizona State (7-0) Ohio State (7-0) Virginia Tech (6-1) West Virginia (5-1) Auburn (5-2) Kansas (6-0) Oregon (5-1) Virginia (6-1) Oklahoma (6-1) California (5-1) Florida (4-2) Missouri (5-1) Wake Forest (4-2) Tennessee (4-2) Georgia (5-2) Michigan (5-2) Kansas State (4-2) Maryland (4-2) Florida State (4-2) USC (5-1) Boston College (7-0) u LSU (7-1) Ohio State (8-0) u South Florida (6-1) d Arizona State (7-0) u Virginia (7-1) u Kansas (7-0) u Virginia Tech (6-1) Florida (5-2) u Oregon (6-1) u Kentucky (6-2) d West Virginia (6-1) d South Carolina (6-2) d Missouri (6-1) u Wake Forest (5-2) u Auburn (5-3) d Oklahoma (7-1) d Connecticut (6-1) npr Michigan (6-2) u Georgia (5-2) Rutgers (5-2) npr Alabama (6-2) npr Georgia Tech (5-3) npr Maryland (4-3) d UCLA (5-2) npr California Tennessee Kansas State Florida State USC Boston College (8-0) Arizona State (8-0) u LSU (7-1) d Kansas (8-0) u Ohio State (9-0) d Oregon (7-1) u West Virginia (7-1) u Georgia (6-2) u Virginia Tech (6-2) d South Florida (6-2) d Oklahoma (7-1) u Connecticut (7-1) u Auburn (6-3) u Alabama (6-2) u Wake Forest (6-2) Missouri (7-1) d Florida (5-3) d Clemson (6-2) Michigan (7-2) Virginia (7-2) d LSU (8-1) u Ohio State (10-0) u Kansas (9-0) u Oregon (8-1) u Arizona State (8-1) d Boston College (8-1) d Oklahoma (8-1) u Missouri (8-1) u Virginia Tech (7-2) Georgia (7-2) d Connecticut (8-1) u West Virginia (7-1) d Florida (6-3) u Michigan (8-2) u Virginia (8-2) u Alabama (6-3) d Clemson (7-2) u Auburn (7-3) d Penn State (7-3) Tennessee (6-3) Kentucky (6-3) Texas (8-2) USC (7-2) LSU Kansas Oregon Arizona State Missouri Ohio State Georgia Oklahoma West Virginia Virginia Tech Florida Clemson NE Omaha Boston College Virginia Tennessee Illinois Kentucky USC Connecticut Michigan Cincinnati Texas Wisconsin South Florida LSU (10-1) Kansas (11-0) Arizona State (9-1) Ohio State (11-1) Georgia (9-2) Missouri (10-1) West Virginia (9-1) Virginia Tech (9-2) Florida (8-3) Boston College (9-2) Oregon (8-2) NE Omaha (10-0) Tennessee (8-3) USC (8-2) Oklahoma (9-2) Virginia (9-2) Connecticut (9-2) Illinois (9-3) South Florida (8-3) Clemson (8-3) Texas (9-2) Auburn (7-4) Kentucky (7-4) Northern Iowa (11-0) Cincinnati (8-3) Missouri (11-1) West Virginia (10-1) Georgia (10-2) Ohio State (11-1) Virginia Tech (10-2) LSU (10-2) Kansas (11-1) Boston College (10-2) Florida (9-3) Arizona State (9-2) Tennessee (9-3) USC (9-2) Oklahoma (10-2) Clemson (9-3) Hawaii (11-0) South Florida (9-3) Illinois (9-3) Oregon (8-3) Auburn (8-4) Virginia (9-3) Connecticut (9-3) Northern Iowa (12-0) Wisconsin (9-3) BYU (9-2) Cincinnati (9-3) Sagarin Jeff Sagarin owns this computer system that is published in USA Today. He holds an MBA from Indiana. This system uses the Elo Chess system where winning and losing are the sole factors. He also publishes a "Predictor" system that uses margin of victory. However, the BCS only uses the Elo Chess system. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 South Florida (6-0) LSU (6-1) South Carolina (6-1) Kentucky (6-1) Boston College (7-0) Kansas (6-0) Ohio State (7-0) West Virginia (5-1) Arizona State (7-0) Virginia Tech (6-1) Auburn (5-2) Oklahoma (6-1) Tennessee (4-2) California (5-1) Missouri (5-1) Virginia (6-1) Georgia (5-2) North Dakota State (6-0) Oregon (5-1) Florida (4-2) Kansas State (4-2) Mississippi State (4-3) Wake Forest (4-2) Maryland (4-2) Florida State (4-2) Boston College (7-0) u LSU (7-1) Ohio State (8-0) u Kansas (7-0) u Arizona State (7-0) u South Florida (6-1) d Virginia Tech (6-1) u Virginia (7-1) u West Virginia (6-1) d South Carolina (6-2) d Florida (5-2) u Kentucky (6-2) d Oregon (6-1) u Oklahoma (7-1) d Missouri (6-1) Wake Forest (5-2) u Connecticut (6-1) npr Auburn (5-3) d Georgia (5-2) d North Dakota State (7-0) d Georgia Tech (5-3) npr Michigan (6-2) npr Maryland (4-3) u Alabama (6-2) npr Clemson (5-2) npr Tennessee California Kansas State Mississippi State Florida State Boston College (8-0) Kansas (8-0) u Ohio State (9-0) Arizona State (8-0) u LSU (7-1) d Virginia Tech (6-2) u West Virginia (7-1) u Georgia (6-2) u Oklahoma (7-1) u Oregon (7-1) u South Florida (6-2) d Connecticut (7-1) u Missouri (7-1) u Clemson (6-2) u South Carolina (6-3) d North Dakota State (8-0) u Auburn (6-3) u Tennessee (5-3) u Florida (5-3) d Alabama (6-2) u Wake Forest (6-2) d Virginia (7-2) d Michigan (7-2) d Georgia Tech (5-3) d Northern Iowa (8-0) u Kentucky Maryland Ohio State (10-0) u Kansas (9-0) LSU (8-1) u Oregon (8-1) u Boston College (8-1) d Arizona State (8-1) d Missouri (8-1) u Oklahoma (8-1) u Virginia Tech (7-2) d Georgia (7-2) d West Virginia (7-1) d Connecticut (8-1) Michigan (8-2) u Florida (6-3) u Clemson (7-2) d Virginia (8-2) u Tennessee (6-3) Alabama (6-3) u Auburn (7-3) d Penn State (7-3) npr Texas (8-2) npr USC (7-2) npr Kansas (10-0) u LSU (9-1) u Oregon (8-1) u Arizona State (9-1) u Missouri (9-1) u Ohio State (10-1) d Oklahoma (9-1) u West Virginia (8-1) u Virginia Tech (8-2) Georgia (8-2) Florida (7-3) u Clemson (8-2) u Boston College (8-2) d USC (8-2) u Tennessee (7-3) u Virginia (9-2) Illinois (8-3) Connecticut (8-2) d Kentucky (7-3) Cincinnati (8-2) Michigan (8-3) d Texas (9-2) Kansas (11-0) LSU (10-1) West Virginia (9-1) u Missouri (10-1) u Arizona State (9-1) d Ohio State (11-1) Georgia (9-2) u Virginia Tech (9-2) u Boston College (9-2) u Florida (8-3) u Oregon (8-2) d Northern Iowa (11-0) USC (8-2) u Oklahoma (9-2) d Virginia (9-2) u Tennessee (8-3) d Connecticut (9-2) u South Florida (8-3) Clemson (8-3) d Illinois (9-3) d Texas (9-2) u Cincinnati (8-3) d Hawaii (10-0) Auburn (7-4) Kentucky (7-4) d Missouri (11-1) u West Virginia (10-1) u Kansas (11-1) d Virginia Tech (10-2) u Ohio State (11-1) u Georgia (10-2) u Boston College (10-2) u LSU (10-2) d Florida (9-3) u USC (9-2) u Hawaii (11-0) u Arizona State (9-2) d Oklahoma (10-2) u Tennessee (9-3) u Northern Iowa (12-0) d Clemson (9-3) u South Florida (9-3) u Oregon (8-3) d Illinois (9-3) u Virginia (9-3) d Auburn (8-4) u Connecticut (9-3) d Cincinnati (9-3) d BYU (9-2) npr Florida State (7-5) npr Virginia Tech (11-2) LSU (11-2) Oklahoma (11-2) Ohio State (11-1) Kansas (11-1) Missouri (11-2) Georgia (10-2) Hawaii (12-0) USC (10-2) Boston College (10-3) West Virginia (10-2) Florida (9-3) Arizona State (10-2) Clemson (9-3) South Florida (9-3) Virginia (9-3) Tennessee (9-4) Illinois (9-3) Auburn (8-4) Connecticut (9-3) Oregon State (8-4) Cincinnati (9-3) BYU (10-2) Florida State (7-5) Wake Forest (8-4) Wolfe Peter Wolfe uses a Bradley-Terry model for his computer system. It uses wins and losses but also uses game location as a factor. In addition, he ranks all teams that can be connected by schedule played (over 700 involving Division I FBS, Division I FCS, II, III and NAIA). 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Oct 13 Oct 20 Oct 27 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 17 Nov 24 Dec 2 South Florida (6-0) LSU (6-1) South Carolina (6-1) Arizona State (7-0) Kentucky (6-1) Boston College (7-0) Ohio State (7-0) West Virginia (5-1) Virginia Tech (6-1) Kansas (6-0) Oklahoma (6-1) Hawai'i (7-0) Missouri (5-1) Virginia (6-1) Oregon (5-1) California (5-1) Auburn (5-2) Georgia (5-2) Tennessee (4-2) Cincinnati (6-1) Connecticut (5-1) Kansas State (4-2) Florida (4-2) Texas Tech (6-1) Florida State (4-2) Boston College (7-0) u LSU (7-1) Ohio State (8-0) u Arizona State (7-0) South Florida (6-1) d Virginia (7-1) u Oregon (6-1) u Virginia Tech (6-1) u West Virginia (6-1) d Kansas (7-0) Missouri (6-1) u Oklahoma (7-1) d Florida (5-2) u Connecticut (6-1) u South Carolina (6-2) d Kentucky (6-2) d Hawaii (7-0) d Wake Forest (5-2) npr Georgia (5-2) d Auburn (5-3) d Michigan (6-2) npr UCLA (5-2) npr USC (6-1) npr California (5-2) d Texas A&M (6-2) npr Tennessee Cincinnati Kansas State Texas Tech Florida State Boston College (8-0) Arizona State (8-0) u Ohio State (9-0) Kansas (8-0) u LSU (7-1) d Oregon (7-1) u West Virginia (7-1) u Oklahoma (7-1) u Virginia Tech (6-2) d Georgia (6-2) u Connecticut (7-1) u South Florida (6-2) d Missouri (7-1) d Hawaii (8-0) u Virginia (7-2) d Clemson (6-2) npr Alabama (6-2) npr Auburn (6-3) u Michigan (7-2) u Wake Forest (6-2) d Florida (5-3) d Boise State (7-1) npr Ohio State u LSU u Oregon u Kansas Arizona State d Boston College d Oklahoma u Missouri u Virginia Tech West Virginia d Connecticut Georgia d Virginia u Michigan u Hawaii d Texas Clemson d Florida u Florida State Penn State Boise State Tennessee South Florida d USC Auburn d Kansas LSU Oregon Missouri Arizona State Ohio State Oklahoma West Virginia Georgia Virginia Tech Virginia Hawaii Florida USC Michigan Boston College Clemson Connecticut Cincinnati Illinois Texas South Florida Tennessee Boise State Penn State LSU (10-1) Kansas (11-0) West Virginia (9-1) Missouri (10-1) Ohio State (11-1) Arizona State (9-1) Georgia (9-2) Virginia Tech (9-2) Boston College (9-2) Oregon (8-2) Oklahoma (9-2) Florida (8-3) Virginia (9-2) USC (8-2) Connecticut (9-2) Texas (9-2) Hawaii (10-0) Illinois (9-3) South Florida (8-3) Tennessee (8-3) Cincinnati (8-3) BYU (8-2) Clemson (8-3) Boise State (10-1) Wisconsin (9-3) Missouri (11-1) West Virginia (10-1) Ohio State (11-1) Virginia Tech (10-2) Kansas (11-1) Georgia (10-2) Boston College (10-2) LSU (10-2) Oklahoma (10-2) USC (9-2) Arizona State (9-2) Florida (9-3) Tennessee (9-3) Hawaii (11-0) South Florida (9-3) Clemson (9-3) Illinois (9-3) BYU (9-2) Oregon (8-3) Cincinnati (9-3) Connecticut (9-3) Virginia (9-3) Texas (9-3) Wisconsin (9-3) Auburn (8-4) Legend   Increase in ranking   Decrease in ranking   Not ranked previous week Italics   Number of first place votes (#-#)   Win–loss record (t) Tied with team above or below also with this symbol See also 2006 BCS computer rankings References Category:Bowl Championship Series