2015 Ceuta Assembly election

Election in the Spanish autonomous city of Ceuta 2015 Ceuta Assembly election Ceuta parliamentary no 2011 Ceuta Assembly election 2011 2019 Ceuta Assembly election 2019 All 25 seats in the Assembly of Ceuta 13 61,782 10px|Green arrow up2.4% 29,671 (48.0%)10px|Red arrow down3.4 pp 24 May 2015 170x170px Juan Jesús Vivas People's Party (Spain) October 1999 18 seats, 65.2% 13 10px|Red arrow down5 13,372 45.7% 10px|Red arrow down19.5 pp 170x170px José Antonio Carracao Spanish Socialist Workers' Party 13 December 2008 3 seats, 11.7% 4 10px|Green arrow up1 4,104 14.0% 10px|Green arrow up2.3 pp 170x170px Mohamed Alí Caballas Coalition 14 March 2011 4 seats, 14.3% 4 10px|Blue arrow right0 3,881 13.3% 10px|Red arrow down1.0 pp 170x170px Fatima Hamed Movement for Dignity and Citizenship 27 October 2014 Did not contest 3 10px|Green arrow up3 3,265 11.2% New party 170x170px Javier Varga C's EB6109 23 February 2015 Did not contest 1 10px|Green arrow up1 1,758 6.0% New party Mayor-President Juan Jesús Vivas People's Party (Spain) Juan Jesús Vivas People's Party (Spain) The 2015 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 6th Assembly of the Autonomous City of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain. Electoral system The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Organic Law 5 Official State Gazette es 19 June 1985 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 28 December 2016http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG Representation of the people Institutional Act juntaelectoralcentral.es Central Electoral Commission 16 June 2017Statute of Autonomy of Ceuta of 1995 Law 1 Official State Gazette es 13 March 1995 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1995-6358 7 April 2018 The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee. Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. Opinion polls The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 28px|link=People's Party (Spain)|PP 32px|link=Caballas Coalition|Caballas 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party|PSOE 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD PDSC LV–GV 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's MDyC Lead 2015 Assembly election 24 May 2015 48.0 45.775% Verdana 13 13.375% Verdana 4 14.075% Verdana 4 1.175% Verdana 0 1.875% Verdana 0 1.775% Verdana 0 – 6.075% Verdana 1 11.275% Verdana 3 31.7 Infortécnica/Ceuta TVCeuta. Del 12 al 15 de mayo de 2015. Estudio de opinión municipal http://www.infortecnica.com/estudios/2220/index.pdf es Infortécnica 16 May 2015CEUTA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Infortécnica https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/ceuta-mayo-2015-sondeo-infortecnica.html es Electográfica 16 May 2015 12–15 May 2015 371? 58.375% Verdana 16/18 14.375% Verdana 3/4 11.775% Verdana 2/3 – – – – 9.375% Verdana 2/3 – 44.0 Insobel/El PuebloCEUTA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Insobel https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/ceuta-mayo-2015-sondeo-insobel.html es Electográfica 18 May 2015 22 Apr–8 May 2015 600??75% Verdana 17/18?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 4/5 – – – –?75% Verdana 1?75% Verdana 0/1? CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Ciudad Autónoma de Ceuta (Estudio nº 3077. Marzo-Abril 2015) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es3077mar_A.pdf es CIS 7 May 2015Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha" http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2015/05/08/pagina-16/95390495/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 8 May 2015 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 300? 49.575% Verdana 14 11.275% Verdana 3 22.675% Verdana 6 2.075% Verdana 0 – – – 6.875% Verdana 2 – 26.9 SociópolisSociópolis augura otra mayoría del PP (15-16) con la entrada de Ciudadanos y el MDyC en la Asamblea http://www.ceutaldia.com/articulo/politica/sociopolis-augura-otra-mayoria-pp-15-16-entrada-ciudadanos-y-mdyc-asamblea/20150415141629142746.html es Ceutaldia 15 April 2015CEUTA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo Sociópolis https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/ceuta-marzo-2015-sondeo-sociopolis.html es Electográfica 15 April 2015 15 Apr 2015 401? 52.075% Verdana 15/16 7.575% Verdana 2 17.075% Verdana 4/5 3.575% Verdana 0 – – – 5.775% Verdana 1/2 5.875% Verdana 1/2 35.0 Sigma Dos/El FaroEl PSOE se enreda en "el trámite" http://elfarodigital.es/ceuta/politica/163163-el-psoe-se-enreda-en-el-tramite.html https://web.archive.org/web/20150722065534/http://elfarodigital.es/ceuta/politica/163163-el-psoe-se-enreda-en-el-tramite.html dead 22 July 2015 es El Faro Digital 22 April 2015CEUTA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/ceuta-abril-2015-sondeo-sigmados.html es Electográfica 23 April 2015 8–14 Apr 2015 1,000? 54.375% Verdana 15/16 8.875% Verdana 2 16.275% Verdana 4/5 – – – – 9.675% Verdana 2 4.475% Verdana 0/1 38.1 Infortécnica/Ceuta TVCiudad autónoma de Ceuta. Octubre de 2014. Estudio de opinión municipal http://www.infortecnica.com/estudios/2184/index.pdf es Infortécnica 6 November 2014CEUTA, Octubre 2014. Infortécnica https://www.electografica.com/2014/11/ceuta-octubre-2014-infortecnica.html es Electográfica 6 November 2014 6 Nov 2014 406? 62.075% Verdana 16/17 16.575% Verdana 4/5 14.875% Verdana 3/4 – – – 6.775% Verdana 0/2 – – 45.5 Sigma Dos/El FaroEl PP revalidaría en 2015 su mayoría absoluta http://elfarodigital.es/ceuta/politica/153791-el-pp-revalidaria-en-2015-su-mayoria-absoluta.html https://web.archive.org/web/20141216171706/http://elfarodigital.es/ceuta/politica/153791-el-pp-revalidaria-en-2015-su-mayoria-absoluta.html dead 16 December 2014 es El Faro Digital 6 November 2014CEUTA, Octubre 2014. Sigma Dos https://www.electografica.com/2014/11/ceuta-octubre-2014-sigma-dos.html es Electográfica 6 November 2014 23 Sep–7 Oct 2014 1,000? 54.675% Verdana 15/16 13.775% Verdana 4 16.475% Verdana 4/5 – – – 6.275% Verdana 1 – – 38.2 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 25.9 40.375% Verdana (13) 9.075% Verdana (3) 22.575% Verdana (7) 6.875% Verdana (2) – – 3.775% Verdana (0) 2.475% Verdana (0) – 17.8 SyM ConsultingEstimación Tercera Oleada Ceuta. Enero 2014 https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/428796275136270336 es SyM Consulting 30 January 2014CEUTA, Enero 2014. SyM Consulting https://www.electografica.com/2014/01/ceuta-enero-2014-sym-consulting.html es Electográfica 29 January 2014 22–27 Jan 2014 372 79.8 41.075% Verdana 16/17 9.675% Verdana 3 12.075% Verdana 4 4.875% Verdana 0/1 3.675% Verdana 0 6.075% Verdana 2 – – – 29.0 SyM ConsultingEstimación Segunda Oleada Ceuta. Septiembre 2013 (1) https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/383535612860436481 es SyM Consulting 27 September 2013Estimación Segunda Oleada Ceuta. Septiembre 2013 (2) https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/383535760105697280 es SyM Consulting 27 September 2013 17–22 Sep 2013 432 66.1 42.175% Verdana 13/14 6.475% Verdana 3/4 16.275% Verdana 4/5 8.575% Verdana 2/3 2.175% Verdana 0 5.375% Verdana 0/1 – – – 25.9 SyM ConsultingEstimación Primera Oleada Ceuta. Mayo 2013 https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/340737695804428288 es SyM Consulting 1 June 2013Comparativa entre oleada de Mayo y Septiembre de estimación directa de voto https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/383877202242060288 es SyM Consulting 28 September 2013 1 Jun 2013? 58.0 54.175% Verdana 15/16 16.675% Verdana 5/6 11.775% Verdana 3/4 6.075% Verdana 0/1 0.775% Verdana 0 4.775% Verdana 0 – – – 37.5 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 53.2 65.975% Verdana (19) 5.475% Verdana (1) 20.375% Verdana (5) 3.375% Verdana (0) – – – – – 45.6 2011 Assembly election 22 May 2011 51.4 65.275% Verdana 18 14.375% Verdana 4 11.775% Verdana 3 2.775% Verdana 0 2.375% Verdana 0 1.975% Verdana 0 – – – 50.9 Results + ← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Assembly of Ceuta election results → center|315px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 13,372 45.74 –19.42 13 –5 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 4,104 14.04 +2.34 4 +1 Caballas Coalition (Caballas) 3,881 13.27 –1.05 4 ±0 Movement for Dignity and Citizenship (MDyC) 3,265 11.17 New 3 +3 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 1,758 6.01 New 1 +1 Democratic and Social Party of Ceuta (PDSC) 531 1.82 –0.52 0 ±0 The Greens–Green Group of Ceuta (LV–GV) 511 1.75 –0.10 0 ±0 United Left (IU) 461 1.58 New 0 ±0 Vox (Vox) 356 1.22 New 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 329 1.13 –1.53 0 ±0 Ceutan Free Party (PLCeutí) 200 0.68 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 468 1.60 +0.08 Total 29,236 25 ±0 Valid votes 29,236 98.53 –0.74 Invalid votes 435 1.47 +0.74 Votes cast / turnout 29,671 48.03 –3.34 Abstentions 32,111 51.97 +3.34 Registered voters 61,782 Sourceshttps://boe.es/boe/dias/2015/10/16/pdfs/BOE-A-2015-11158.pdf Acuerdo de 1 de julio de 2015, de la Junta Electoral Central, por el que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, y celebradas el 24 de mayo de 2015, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora, Zaragoza, Ceuta y Melilla es Boletín Oficial del Estado 22 October 2021http://www.infoelectoral.mir.es/min/busquedaAvanzadaAction.html?vuelta=1&codTipoEleccion=4&codPeriodo=201505&codEstado=99&codComunidad=18&codProvincia=51&codMunicipio=0&codDistrito=0&codSeccion=0&codMesa=0 Electoral Results Consultation. Municipal. May 2015. City of Ceuta es Ministry of the Interior 3 April 2018https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aceuta.html Elecciones Municipales y Autonómicas en Ceuta (1979-2019) es Historia Electoral.com 26 October 2021 Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party (Spain) 45.74 PSOE Spanish Socialist Workers' Party 14.04 Caballas Caballas Coalition 13.27 MDyC Movement for Dignity and Citizenship 11.17 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 6.01 PDSC Democratic and Social Party of Ceuta 1.82 LV–GV The Greens–Green Group 1.75 IU United Left (Spain) 1.58 Vox Vox (political party) 1.22 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 1.13 PLCeutí black 0.68 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.60 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party (Spain) 52.00 PSOE Spanish Socialist Workers' Party 16.00 Caballas Caballas Coalition 16.00 MDyC Movement for Dignity and Citizenship 12.00 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 4.00 References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Ceuta Category:Elections in Ceuta